Chinatrust Brothers vs. Fubon Guardians Pick – CPBL April 24, 2020

The Chinatrust Brothers and Fubon Guardians will open a three-game series on Friday in Taiwan. There are four teams in the CPBL, so if you continually see the same teams playing, that’s no mistake. The Rakuten Monkeys were putting on another show before bad weather put a damper on that yesterday.

The tarp was coming off at one point, but the rain continued and they weren’t able to get the game in. After just 1 inning of play, the Monkeys felt good with a 4-1 lead. We won’t be able to see how many runs they were going to put up in that game, but I suspect it would have been a lot. The Monkeys are the clear favorites to win once again in the CPBL.

Behind Rakuten, I think the league is completely wide open. You can choose either Chinatrust, Fubon, or Uni is your next best team. The Uni Lions are likely the worst, but it’s way too early to be so sure about that. There are going to have to be some really good breaks along the way for Chinatrust and Fubon to have a chance to defeat the Monkeys. It’s likely not going to happen with the Monkeys’ quick strike offense.

Chinatrust enters with a record of 2-5 after suffering a loss against the Monkeys and Lions. The rain might have saved them from a third straight loss on Thursday. Give them credit for fighting in the two other games, though. Chinatrust were heavy underdogs in their last completed game on Wednesday and hung around for a 3-2 loss. They nearly completed a late comeback bid but just didn’t have enough offense.

There’s no defending the loss against the Lions. That was a winnable game where they didn’t show up to play in a 7-4 loss. The Brothers will send a guy to the mound, who could develop into a valuable weapon for them this season, so that should help their cause. Ariel Miranda will get the nod for Chinatrust. He was impressive in his CPBL debut. The Guardians are expected to counter with Guohao Jiang. Head below for our free Chinatrust Brothers vs. Fubon Guardians pick.

Chinatrust Brothers vs. Fubon Guardians CPBL Betting Odds:


  • Brothers -1.5 (-105)
  • Guardians +1.5 (-115)

  • Brothers (-155)
  • Guardians (+135)
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-115)
  • Under 9.5 (-105)


Chinatrust Brothers vs. Fubon Guardians Prediction:

The Brothers will call on Ariel Miranda to hit the bump for his third start of the year on Friday. In his first two outings in Taiwan, Miranda has already made a solid impression. He will be looking for another positive performance on Friday. Miranda has posted a 2.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP for a record of 1-0.

Not a bad way to get acclimated in a new league right away. Miranda’s should be familiar if you’re a Seattle Mariners’ fan. Miranda spent three seasons there, and had a fairly serviceable MLB career. In 44 total games and 40 starts, Miranda was good for a record of 13-9 with a 4.72 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

His best season was in 2016, when he was sharp with a 3.54 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. The lefty asked for his release in 2018 to seek a bigger role with a squad in Japan. If he didn’t request a release, Miranda likely would have stayed with the Mariners in 2018 and possibly last season or somewhere else in the majors.

The Cuban suffered an injury with Softbank in the Japan Western League last season, after playing well with a 2.52 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Thus far in Taiwan, Miranda has been able to find his mark in the CPBL. He holds a sizable advantage over Guohao Jiang in this match. Jiang was not impressive in his first season in the CPBL a season ago.

He got hit for a 7.40 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 20.2 innings. Looking to start fresh this season, Jiang didn’t look sharp with the II team in a warmup start. Jiang posted a 5.40 ERA in 5 innings of work. He dipped even more in his first start of the CPBL season, with a 6.75 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 5.1 innings. The former MLBer is likely the difference for the Chinatrust (CITIC) Brothers on Friday.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.