Chinatrust Brothers vs Fubon Guardians Pick – CPBL May 13, 2020

Both the Chinatrust Brother Elephants and the Fubon Guardians are coming off of a couple of days rest.

They played last on Sunday.

The Brothers lost a close one to the first place Monkeys while the Guardians were smacked around by the Uni Lions, although they did win the first two games of the series.

These two are currently in a battle for the all-important second place in the Chinese Taipei Professional Baseball League.

The Chinatrust Brotherhood is 9-11 while the Guardians of Fubon are just half of a game back at 8-11.

Will Fubon be able to take sole possession of second place tomorrow or will the Chinatrust Brothers go up by 1.5?

Both teams have won 3 of their last 5.

This might be a difficult game to pick.

We will examine the starting pitching matchup as well as the betting lines and make a good pick.

We are 13-5 on the young season with a 1 unit/play return on investment of nearly 37%.

These numbers aren’t supposed to be sustainable and maybe they won’t be but I promise you, I’m doing my best to keep them up.

BetOnline.AG has the odds for us today.

Let’s get to our predictions for the Chinatrust Brother Elephants vs the Fubon Guardians.

Rakuten Monkeys vs Uni Lions

Run Line

  • Brothers +1.5 (-200)
  • Guardians -1.5 (+150)
Money Line

  • Brothers (-110)
  • Guardians (-130)
Run Total

  • Over 15.5 (-120)
  • Under 15.5 (-120)

Taking the bump for the visiting Guardians will be Bryan Woodall, an Auburn alum and 6-year veteran of the CPBL.

Bryan is one of the few starting pitchers in the league to appear in 5 games.

4 starts and 1 relief appearance for the 33-year-old.

In his first 4 years in the CPBL, Bryan was able to keep his ERA under 4.00 which is well above average for starting pitchers in this league.

By above average, I mean to the good.

Last season, his performance seemed to drop off, though.

  • He finished 2019 with a record of 2-12 and an ERA of 5.48.
  • This year, it’s north of 9.00 with a WHIP approaching 2.00.

He has yet to start a game against the Brothers, though.

He has, unfortunately, had to see the Rakuten Monkeys 3 times already.

13 runs allowed in 13 innings pitched against the best team and offense in the league.

He started one and came out of the bullpen once as well against the Uni Lions.

His relief performance was a solid 2 innings of work.

Starting, though…also 2 innings pitched but 5 earned runs!

He does not throw very many strikeouts at all and a contact team like the Chinatrust Brothers could light him up.

He has faced 86 batters this season and only thrown 7 K’s.

Bryan is also a righty and 3 of the top four hitters for Chinatrust, bat from the left side.

I think Woodall may get trampled by the Brother Elephants.

What about his opposition?

Chinatrust right-hander Laio Yizhong is just 24-years-old and pitching in just the second season of his career.

The timely long ball, though, is the only reason this team isn’t sitting in last place.

Last season, Laio started 13 games for the Brothers amassing a record of 3.5 and a season-long ERA of 4.36 over 73 total innings pitched.

This year, in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance, the local product has a WHIP of 1.65 and an ERA of 7.71.

Not good but not awful either.

Has he pitched against the Guardians this season?

He has not. 2 starts against the hard-hitting Monkeys as well as one start and one relief appearance against the Unity Lions.

He went a strong 7 innings in his season debut against the Monkeys allowing only 2 earned while striking out 7 and walking 0.

Both guys are righties and while the Brothers’ best hitters for average and power are mostly left-handed, only the power hitters for the Guardians are lefties.

In his career, Brothers right-handed starter Laio Yizhong has only allowed a home run ever 32 batters faced.

I think he performs better than Bryan Woodall for the Guardians.

The Brother Elephants have a more effective bullpen and a far superior batting average.

Add on the slightly favorable pitching matchup and we might have a winner.

The moneyline is the move here.

I could get the Brothers +1.5 but for (-200) worth of juice, no thank you.

The 15.5 run line is probably about right.

That leaves the moneyline and I was eyeing it the whole time.

I favor the Brother Elephants in this matchup and they are close to even money so the choice is easy.

My Picks

In Conclusion

Okay, guys.

I haven’t picked too many of the Brothers or Guardians games.

My sweet spot has been picking for the Monkeys and against the Lions.

It has worked fairly well but these last few days, I have been zeroing in on the pitching matchup and making the most informed choice possible.

The stat I really love here is one that might not mean jack squat but 1 home run allowed every 32.8 batters is pretty swell.

Laio also has a 3-1 strikeout to walk ratio which is above average.

The worst hitting team that relies on homers is going up against a starter who protects against the long ball.

The Chinatrust Brothers also have more effective left-handed batters in their everyday lineup who can hit both for contact and power.

Get your bet in now directly from this article!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.