LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions Pick – KBO July 4, 2020

The Samsung Lions outlasted the LG Twins for a 9-7 win on Friday to get their three-game series underway. It was a big inning for the Lions right from the get-go, as they tacked on 5 runs to take a 5-0 lead. The Twins were playing catch up from there, and did catch up with 5 runs from the 2nd to 3rd inning.

That was short lived, though, as the Lions responded for 3 more runs in the bottom of the 4th to grab the lead and keep it. With the win, the Lions are 28-24 on the season and continue to show great improvements from earlier in the year. The Lions are certainly trending in the right direction, but largely being ignored by the public.

They won as small underdogs over the Twins on Thursday. It’s typically been solid pitching that has been the catalyst for the Lions in 2020, but it was the offense that rose to the occasion yesterday. The Lions scored 9 runs to beat the Twins in a shootout. We’ll see if that’s the case on Saturday. The Twins fell to 28-23 with the loss, as they lost their third straight game.

The Twins won the series opener against the KT Wiz, but lost two in a row versus the Wiz, and then started off on the wrong note against the Lions at Samsung Lions Park. There isn’t much to say regarding the Twins’ record. 28-23 just about represents their talent level. It’s likely where we will find the Twins later in the season as well. They should be above .500, but don’t expect much more from them.

The Lions are expected to give the starting nod to Heo Yoon-dong on Saturday. The 19-year-old has been solid, but I will say he’s been hanging on by a thread. He’s had to escape plenty of jams and has been a couple of hits away from really getting nailed hard. In any event, Heo has been able to get out of some tricky situations so kudos to him for that. This will be his second appearance against the Twins this year. Lim Chan-gyu will counter for the Twins on Saturday. Heda below for our free LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions pick for July 4, 2020.

LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions KBO Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Twins -1.5 (+100)
  • Lions +1.5 (-130)
Moneyline:

  • Twins (-140)
  • Lions (+110)
Total Points:

  • Over 10.5 (+105)
  • Under 10.5 (-125)

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LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions Prediction:

Heo Yoon-dong is a 19-year-old that has been pitching reasonably well. However, Heo has had to work himself out of trouble. He owns a 3.60 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in four starts. In those four outings, Heo has failed to record a WHIP under 1.60 in any game. Heo posted an ERA of 3.60 and 2.00 WHIP in his most recent performance, which came against the Hanwha Eagles. While Heo got out of the game with just 2 earned runs allowed in 5 innings, he was putting plenty of runners on base. He gave up 5 hits and 5 walks, so Heo was really fortunate to keep his ERA down while filling up the base pads.

In his first outing against the Twins this season, Heo was tagged for a 5.40 ERA and 1.80 WHIP on June 3. He gave up 8 hits and 3 earned runs in 5 innings of play. That’s another game where it could have very easily been worse than the ERA he recorded. He is going to get dinged hard eventually. You can’t go living on the edge like this and not escape damage to the ERA. It could very well happen on Saturday against the Twins. They had their offense working for them on Friday, but the desired result wasn’t there after 9 innings of baseball.

The Lions have already tattooed Lim Chan-gyu once this season. They tagged Lim with a 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP after surrendering 4 earned runs and 7 hits in 6 innings. He managed to take the win in that one, though, thanks to plenty of run support. Lim owns an ERA of 3.99 and 1.27 WHIP on the season. Overall, Lim has posted a 5.01 ERA and 1.55 WHIP throughout his eight-year career. He was on a brutal stretch with at least 3 earned runs allowed in five of five starts before settling down against the two worst offenses in the KBO. I think there is decent enough value on the OVER at the current price of +105 at BetOnline.

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The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.