Rakuten Monkeys vs Chinatrust Brothers Pick – CPBL May 9, 2020

Hey guys, I hope you have been enjoying the CPBL season as much as I have. It’s been nice to drink coffee and watch the game again.

I was living in Thailand and Vietnam for most of 2019 and I had to get up early in the morning if I wanted to see a sporting event live.

Every Sunday morning around 5:30 AM, I would throw on a pot, hook up my lengthy HDMI cord, and throw on the UFC.

My girlfriend loved me so much for it too, let me tell ya…

I’m pretty sure I woke up every condo in my building when Jorge Masvidal delivered a flying switch knee or “Burmese knee” as I’ve heard it called, to the alpha-jaw of Ben Askren.

Life back in the States has been okay and one of the lone bright spots to my quarantine has been writing about, picking, and watching the Chinese Taipei Professional Baseball League.

There are mannequin fans, robots, pictures of actual fans on seats, and even cheerleaders.

Only the robots actually follow their lead and even they can’t keep up.

I didn’t think I was going to be a huge fan of watching a sporting event without fans in attendance but the CPBL has me rethinking that.

Hopefully, the US will take note and be creative.

The Rakuten Monkeys are the defending 3-time Taiwan Series Champions and are comfortably sitting in first place in the league.

The Chinatrust Brother Elephants won the first game of this weekend series today and are 4 games back of the Monkeys for first place.

BetOnline.AG has the odds for us today.

Let’s get to our predictions for the Rakuten Monkeys vs the Chinatrust Brothers.

Rakuten Monkeys vs Chinatrust Brothers

Run Line

  • Rakuten -2.5 (-120)
  • Chinatrust +2.5 (-120)
Money Line

  • Rakuten (-250)
  • Chinatrust (+175)
Run Total

  • Over 13.5 (-120)
  • Under 13.5 (-120)

First baseman Su Wei Da drove in 5 for the Brother Elephants and Ariel Miranda allowed just one run over 6 innings pitched to extend his record on the season to 3-0.

Ryan Carpenter had a solid start himself for the Monkeys and had a 1-0 lead heading into the bottom of the 7th.

That’s when he gave up 2 and the bullpen allowed another four in the 8th.

The Rakuten Monkeys don’t have a lot of weaknesses but their bullpen appears to be giving off the most glare.

Starting for the Monkeys tomorrow will be Lisaverto Bonilla.

The right-hander has appeared in 4 games this season starting 3 of them.

He has pitched 21 innings, striking out 24, walking 10 batters, and currently has an ERA of 4.22.

That’s not bad for a Rakuten pitcher because the team scores nearly 9 runs a ball game.

Bonilla pitched against the Brothers in his last start on the 1st of this month.

6 innings, 7 hits, 8 strikeouts, 4 walks, and 2 earned runs. That’s not terrible considering the Brothers are hitting over .300 as a team.

Esmil Rogers is taking the mound for the Brother Elephants.

In 3 starts, he has pitched just 15 innings and has an ERA of 6.46.

He looked great in his first start of the season against the Lions when he struck out 11 over 7 with only one run allowed.

After that, though, in 2 starts both against the Monkeys, he has struggled.

5 runs allowed in 5 innings and most recently he gave up 5 in 2 innings pitched.

It sounds like the Monkeys have his number and are improving against him over time.

He has been throwing a lot of strikes. Batters are just being aggressive against him. That is probably the scouting report.

The Monkeys put up 3 runs in the 9th today, and I think the big bats will be back tomorrow for Rakuten.

As far as the moneyline goes, (-250) is madness and (+175) is a trap.

The over is eh…

Let’s hit that run line. Not scaring me with the (-2.5)

If Rogers hadn’t continually gotten less effective against the Monkeys, I would jump on the (+175) for a team #2 in batting average and #1 in ERA.

I see the Monkeys getting after him early and often just like they did a week ago.

9-5 Rakuten.

My Picks

In Conclusion

The Monkeys were defeated by the Brother Elephants today but I don’t think it will happen twice in a row.

Anytime you can get a (+175) moneyline bet in a baseball game, you should probably take it.

With that being said, I am breaking this rule for one reason only and I just told you what that was.

Esmil Rogers struggles against these guys.

Everybody does, really.

They’re hitting .365 as a TEAM.

Sure, we are only 16 games into the CPBL regular season but that’s impressive!

Chinatrust hits over .300 as well but there’s a 3 run differential in runs scored/game.

Unless Esmil Rogers totally redeems himself, I like our chances to win by 3 or more.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.