Rakuten Monkeys vs. Fubon Guardians Pick – CPBL May 15, 2020

The Rakuten Monkeys are back on the field after suffering a rare loss on Wednesday. They were blasted by a score of 15-11 against the Uni-Lions in a pretty big upset. The Monkeys were huge favorites on the moneyline and -3.5 on the spread, but lost by 4 runs. A lot of CPBL games can get a bit wild.

When you have a bunch of spotty pitchers, especially the relievers, matches tend to get a bit hectic. If you like wild games with a barrage of runs, the CPBL is certainly a league for you. There will be the odd pitching duel here and there, but this is a league that is primarily situated around lots of offense.

The Monkeys have the most potent offense in the CPBL. The loss on Wednesday was not because the Monkeys’ offense couldn’t find the ball at the plate. They recorded 16 hits and 11 runs, which is good enough for a win nine times out of ten. In the CPBL, though, you can never let your guard down no matter how many runs are up on the board.

Despite the 15-11 loss Wednesday, the Monkeys are enjoying a comfortable lead in the CPBL with a record of 15-5. Their closest competition in the CPBL, the Chinatrust Brothers, are 10-12 at the moment, so there isn’t much competition for the Monkeys right now. That may never change, but they’re still going to lose some games here and there.

The Fubon Guardians look to shake off an ugly loss yesterday. They were never in the game, as the Chinatrust Brothers pounded the Guardians early, loaded the bases in the 1st inning which set the tone for the rest of the day. The Guardians ultimately lost the ballgame by a score of a score of 11-5.

They scored late to make it more of a respectable final score, but were never really in the game except for before the first pitch of the match. The Monkeys generally know how to respond. They’ve lost back-to-back games just once in 2020. Head below for our free Rakuten Monkeys vs. Fubon Guardians pick for May 15, 2020 in the CPBL.

Rakuten Monkeys vs. Fubon Guardians CPBL Baseball Odds:


  • Monkeys -1.5 (-170)
  • Guardians +1.5 (+140)

  • Monkeys (-265)
  • Guardians (+205)
Total Points:

  • Over 12.5 (-105)
  • Under 12.5 (-125)


Rakuten Monkeys vs. Fubon Guardians Prediction:

The Monkeys have scored a total of 32 runs in their last two games. Despite the offensive surge, the Monkeys only have a win to show for it. They were winners on Tuesday by a score of 17-10, but didn’t have enough offense in them to stymie the Uni-Lions on Wednesday. The run differential for the Monkeys has been insane this season.

They’ve scored 178 runs as opposed to 128 runs allowed for a ratio of +50. The next closest team isn’t in the same park, as the Chinatrust Brothers have a +7 run differential. The Guardians are in the negative with -20 runs. They’ve scored 126 runs while allowing 146 runs in 2020.

Former major leaguer, Ryan Carpenter, is off to a good start in his new career in Taiwan. In three warm up games with the II club, Carpenter posted a 1.76 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. That success has carried over into the regular season with the Monkeys, as he boasts an ERA of 2.42 and 1.04 WHIP in three starts.

The Carpenter signing seems to be a very smart move for the Monkeys. He will likely continue to find success at this level of baseball after a career in the majors. The Monkeys’ bullpen should be better off today after getting a break following the loss against Chinatrust.

Henry Sosa was one of the best pitchers in the CPBL last season, but has taken a big hit thus far. I don’t know if it’s a blip, or Sosa got too comfortable in the offseason, but his numbers are down considerably. Sosa notched a 1.56 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 12 starts last season. However, in 4 outings in 2020, Sosa has been way off his intended target.

He holds a 6.55 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 22 innings pitched. Sosa might show some improvement on Friday, but that may not be enough against Carpenter and the Monkeys. I see the Monkeys responding for a much better performance in this one. Look for the to win by 2 or more runs over the Guardians.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.