Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos Pick – KBO July 21, 2020

The Samsung Lions and NC Dinos are in the saddle on Tuesday to get this weekday series started. NC Park will be the site for the Lions and Dinos there-game showdown. The Dinos continue to lead the KBO with a healthy record of 42-19-2. I don’t know if anyone is going to catch them in the standings, but the Doosan Bears and Kiwoom Heroes have the best chance of catching up.

However, the Dinos are clear of the Bears by 5.5 games and the Heroes by 6.5 games, so it’s a sizable gap at the moment. That can change in a hurry, but the Dinos have looked awfully good and consistent throughout the entire season. That accounts for something. While others have been up and down, the Dinos have been consistently producing positive results.

The Samsung Lions have been herky jerky with a record of 34-31. That’s actually not too bad considering where the Lions were earlier in the season. They were well below the .500 mark, so no complaints with how things have been going for them most recently. The Lions are coming off a fairly successful weekend against the Lotte Giants. They won two of three games with wins of 15-10 and 5-2 over the Giants.

The Lions fell victim to Dan Straily in the series finale and couldn’t get the sweep, though. The first inning was the only frame that David Buchanan made a mistake for the Lions, but that was enough to guide the Giants to a 2-1 win. Samsung won’t have to deal with an ace on Tuesday, so that’s the good news. The bad news is that they’re playing the Dinos and won’t have an ace of their own on the hill.

Veteran Baek Jung-hyun will get the Lions on the road today. Baek has been a mediocre option throughout his career, which dates back to 2007. He’s spent his entire 13-year KBO career with the Lions. You’re generally not going to get perfection out of Baek, but he’s good enough to chew up some innings without getting killed, though that does happen occasionally.

The Dinos will give the home start to Choi Sung-young, who is a back-end member of the Dinos’ rotation. Like Baek, he’s serviceable, but doesn’t do anything special. Head below for our free Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos pick for July 21, 2020 in the KBO.

Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos KBO Baseball Betting Odds:


  • Lions +1.5 (-135)
  • Dinos -1.5 (+105)

  • Lions (+137)
  • Dinos (-167)
Total Points:

  • Over 11 (-118)
  • Under 11 (-112)


Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos Prediction:

Baek Jung-hyun has been consistent in his 13-year career. Not exactly the consistency he was looking for as a mediocre pitcher, but well enough to make a career out of pitching in the KBO. In 337 games in his career, Baek has a 4.89 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 671.1 innings of work. As a full-time pitcher, he’s never finished with his ERA below the 4.00 mark.

In his previous four seasons, Baek has posted ERA’s of 5.77, 4.38, 5.48, and 4.24. For the most part, Baek has been around that neck of the woods again in 2020. Baek enters Tuesday with an ERA of 4.86 and 1.38 WHIP in ten outings. He is coming off a standout performance with no runs allowed against the Kia Tigers. However, before that outing, Baek conceded 10 earned runs in 10 innings.

Baek had a spotty performance against the Dinos in his first start this season. He allowed 6 hits and 4 earned runs in 6 innings of play. That equated to a 6.00 ERA for Baek. The Dinos got hot with 8 runs versus the Wiz on Sunday. They’ve netted 14 runs in their last two games on the road. The Dinos should be able to figure it out at home against Baek. Choi Sung-young of the Dinos has been on a similar path as Baek this season.

Choi owns a 4.93 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 7 games this season. He’s coming off a deceptive performance against the Kiwoom Heroes. Choi might have allowed just 2 earned runs in 5 innings, but he also conceded 6 hits and 4 walks for a 2.00 WHIP. He was cutting it close and was able to work himself out of jams. Choi has allowed at least 2 earned runs in every start in 2020. There should be ample opportunities for scoring chances in this matchup. That leads me to a play on the OVER.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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