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Charlotte at East Carolina Pick NCAA Hoops – Feb 27th

Both our teams won in dramatic fashion last night, but neither was able to cover the spread, giving me a disappointing 0-2 night in college hoops.  It’s been more good than bad this season, but it is never fun to drop a pair, especially to drop them both by super slim margins.

Let’s get back after it tonight on a big Thursday of college hoops action.  But first a quick note on two of the most impressive teams yesterday.  Not many people have been paying attention to Virginia, but it might be time to put them in the Final Four discussions.  They fell off the radar early with their bizarre million-point loss to Tennessee, but since entering ACC play have been one of the best teams in the country.  They absolutely hammered a Miami team that has played some of the league’s top teams tough this season, 68-44, and are emerging as perhaps the best defensive team in the league.

And let’s not forget Arizona.  I loved them preseason, I loved them all season, and then like most of you, I was concerned with the loss of Brandon Ashley.  They struggled at first, losing two games, but last night’s redemptive 87-59 hammering of Cal reminds everyone this team is still in the mix for the number one overall seed.

There’s not a lot of big important games tonight, but let’s take a look my favorite play from a wagering perspective.

Today’s Free Picks:

Charlotte 49’ers at East Carolina Pirates -2.5 (Total: 140.5)

I know this pick is a little off the normal viewing board, but it’s easily my favorite game on the national slate tonight.

Remember back in November when Charlotte upset Kansas State and Michigan and were 6-1 and ranked nationally??  My how things have soured in Charlotte.  The 49’ers have lost five games in a row and seven of their last nine and the losses are to teams like Marshall, Tulane and Rice.  They are now 14-12 overall and just 5-8 in the one-bid Conference USA.

Not that East Carolina is any better, there just hasn’t been the initial climb to have the precipitous fall from.  But like most mediocre teams, they are decent at home and dreadful away from it.  They are 9-6 at home with three straight home wins heading into today.

This series has been dominated by the home team, winning eight of the last nine matchups.  I like that trend to continue tonight.  Charlotte is just 2-7 away from home.  I expect them to be a road victim again tonight.

Let me give you a bonus play I like, based solely on trends and statistics.  Charlotte has gone UNDER in eight of their last nine games.  ECU has gone UNDER in eleven of their last 12 Conference USA games and the UNDER is 18-6 overall in their last 24.  Tonight’s total of 140.5 suddenly feels way too high.  The last five matchups head-to-head would have all fallen under the 140 threshold.  I’m playing the UNDER 140.5 tonight as well.

Free Pick:  East Carolina Pirates -2.5 & Total Points UNDER 140.5