Dallas Mavericks at Detroit Pistons – NBA April 29

Mavericks (34-27, 16-14 road) at Pistons (19-43, 12-16 home)

  • Time: 4PM PST – 6PM CST – 7PM EST
  • Place: Little Caesar’s Arena, Detroit, MI
  • TV: Bally Sports Southwest | Bally Sports Detroit | NBA League Pass

Opening Tip

Dallas checks in one half-game ahead of the Portland Trail Blazers for sixth in the Western Conference. The Mavericks have split with the Warriors and Kings on this brief three-game road trip while winning four of their last five games.

The Pistons are in the last place in the Eastern Conference as they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.

The two teams met on April 21 in Dallas where the Mavericks took a 127-111 win over the Pistons as Dallas had won three of the last four games in the series.

Injuries to Key Contributors

  • Dallas MavericksLuka Doncic (elbow), Dorian Finney-Smith (leg), Kristaps Porzingis (ankle), JJ Redick (heel), Josh Richardson (hamstring) – Questionable; Tyrell Terry (personal) – OUT
  • Detroit PistonsJerami Grant (injury management), Rodney McGruder (elbow), Mason Plumlee (rest) – OUT, Dennis Smith (knee)

Trends

Mavericks (29-32, ATS):

  • Dallas is 3-7 ATS in it’s last 10 games
  • The Mavericks are 6-2 SU in their last 10 road games
  • The OVER has been the play on 9 of the last 12 Mavs-Pistons games in Detroit

Pistons (32-26-4, ATS):

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games vs. Dallas
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit’s last 11 games

Last Time Out

Luka Doncic scored 39 points as Dallas blew out to a 47-16 lead en route to a 133-103 win over Golden State on Tuesday evening. Tim Hardaway, Jr. scored 13 points as the Dallas bench scored 60 points.

Jerami Grant and Frank Jackson scored 18 points apiece as the Pistons downed Atlanta, 100-86 on Monday. Detroit’s defense was the difference as Atlanta shot 39 percent from the field and went only 4-of-27 from three.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Mavericks -8.5 (-110) -360 O 214.5 (-110)
Pistons +8.5 (-110) +300 U 214.5 (-110)

*Odds Courtesy of BetUS Sportsbook

Advantage, Dallas

Dallas Mavericks LogoThere is potential for several Mavericks to miss tonight’s game as five are listed as questionable (see above). One thing is for certain, if Luka Doncic is on the floor, the Pistons’ chances are very small. Doncic had 39 points, six rebounds, and eight assists in 30 minutes two nights ago. He averages 34.3 points, shoots 51 percent and 39.4 percent from three in his three outings against Detroit in his career as well as 10 rebounds and 9.3 assists. The Mavericks average 36 percent from distance (17th/NBA) while Detroit stops the three at a 31.1 percent clip to lead the NBA.

Key Mavericks Stat:

Dallas is really consistent off the dribble-drive as Jalen Brunson shoots 61 percent (3rd/NBA) off the drive while Doncic nets 59.3 percent (5th/NBA) of his opportunities therein. De’Aaron Fox of Sacramento is the only player in the NBA who has more field goal attempts on drives to the basket than Doncic, per NBA analytics.

Mavs Fact:

Former Virginia Tech Hokie Dorian Finney-Smith has picked his scoring up of late as he has a streak of seven straight games where he has scored double figures and is averaging 14.3 points and 5.6 boards per game during that stretch.

Advantage, Detroit

Detroit Pistons LogoIt looks like Jerami Grant is a no-go for Detroit this evening as it remains to be seen where the Pistons offense can come from even if Doncic and a couple more Dallas starters are out. Detroit is offensively challenged to start with as the Pistons net only 45 percent from the field (24th/NBA). Josh Jackson (13.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg) was inactive vs. Atlanta but should be back tonight as he will be the best potential scoring threat on the floor for coach Dwayne Casey. He has 29 points as he made 11-of-20 shots three games ago and Cory Joseph has three straight game in double figures, but he is a complementary scorer.

Points are going to be a problem here unless someone, say a shooter like Frank Jackson, gets on a tremendous roll.

Key Pistons Stat:

Saddiq Bey (11.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 37.7%-3) is a likely candidate as well to pick up the scoring with Grant sidelined as he has set the Pistons’ rookie record for made threes with 139 so far this season. He has five games with six or more three-point field goals. However, the rigors of the fatigue of a rookie NBA season are becoming a reality for Bey has he has made only 10-of-35 shots over his last four games.

Pistons Fact:

The Pistons also get nice contributions off the bench as the reserves lead the NBA with 41.8 points, on average, per game while Dallas scores 37.7 (10th/NBA). Frank Jackson is getting 14.4 points off the bench in his last seven games.

Winner: Mavericks (-8.5) 113, Pistons 103

The Bets
Dallas Mavericks -8.5
-109
Dallas Mavericks
-360
OVER 214.5
-110
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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