gravatar

Kentucky vs. Louisville Pick NCAA Hoops – Dec 27th + Bonus Pick

The wait is finally over! College hoops is back – at least for one day, and packed with good games including a “stay home and get a TV” game in Louisville and Kentucky. Most of my attention will focus on that marquee matchup, but follow down to the bottom for a bonus pick to round out the column.

It’s been a long hiatus from college hoops so let’s not waste any time getting to today’s free picks.

MUST SEE: Bovada.lv has a High Credit Card Acceptance Rate for United States Sports Bettors!
Sportsbook DepositUS Sportsbook
Troubles depositing? Bovada.lv has a variety of great deposit options plus are awarding new depositors $100 in FREE Money Bonuses! *check local laws Click here for full details...

Today’s Free Picks:

Kentucky Wildcats -5.5 at Louisville Cardinals (Total: 125.5)

If you like the Wildcats, and I do, it feels like you might want to get this one secured in a hurry. The line opened at -3.5 or -4 and is already at -5.5 to -6 in most online sportsbooks and I have a feeling it could end up growing even larger by the 2:00 PM EST tip-off.   A week ago, I thought this was a -7.5 line for Kentucky and was really surprised when I saw it open a lot closer – apparently I am not alone in that opinion.

And the reason why should be obvious. This is the most dominant defensive team since the advent of the shot clock and three point arc. They have beaten Kansas, North Carolina and UCLA by a combined 80 points. They have yet to have a single game within single digits. They blocked more shots in the first half of the UCLA game that they allowed points. And they keep getting better.

This team couldn’t score early in the season, but the abandoning of the strict platoon system and injury to Alex Poythress seems to have freed the ‘Cats up to try some better offensive combinations and given them options with shooters on the floor to balance out their army of bigs. The results have been easier baskets. And when you aren’t giving up ANY baskets, that equals pretty easy wins.

Let’s not dismiss the Louisville Cardinals without some credit. They are #4 in the country and a perfect 11-0. They have a Player of the Year candidate in Montrez Harrell, and one of the best backcourts in the country with Jones. They are fourth in the country in steals so they have some pieces in place to turnover the Wildcats and steal some easy buckets.

But it’s just not enough. Kentucky is way too deep inside and I just don’t see Montrez Harrell having the poise and discipline to be on the floor for more than 25 minutes or so. I expect Kentucky to just do what they do – smother you with waves of relentless defense. I’ll bet on another double-digit win and the undefeated hype-machine to reach a new level of volume.

Free Pick: Kentucky Wildcats -5.5

 

BONUS PICK:

Gonzaga Bulldogs -5.5 at BYU Cougars

My second-favorite team in the country gets a chance to notch a big road win tonight, and I don’t think they’ll fail to take advantage. The rivalry with BYU has been a pretty good one, and once again the Cougars have some dynamic guards who can put up a ton of points led by Jimmer-lite Tyler Haws. The problem is they are dealing with one of the best non-Kentucky frontcourts in the country and the tremendous size of Gonzaga tonight. BYU has absolutely no answer.

Look for Gonzaga to handle their business with a lot more ease that Vegas anticipates. I’ll take GU by double digits tonight.

Free Pick: Gonzaga Bulldogs -5.5

MUST SEE: Bovada.lv has a High Credit Card Acceptance Rate for United States Sports Bettors!
Sportsbook DepositUS Sportsbook
Troubles depositing? Bovada.lv has a variety of great deposit options plus are awarding new depositors $100 in FREE Money Bonuses! *check local laws Click here for full details...