The 6th seeded Xavier Musketeers and 2nd seeded Kansas State Wildcats meet tonight in the Sweet 16 NCAA tournament round, where the winner will head to the West region championship game. Both teams are just two ways away from a Final Four appearance, something Xavier has never done and Kansas State hasn’t been since 1964. Xavier and Kansas State have a bit of a rivalry that many college basketball fans probably wouldn’t know about. On New Years eve of 2007 the Musketeers handed Kansas State a 26 point loss, the worst of Wildcats coach Frank Martin’s career. These two teams met again this season where Kansas State came out on top by 15 points in a physical game where 57 fouls were handed out. It is pretty clear that these two teams don’t like each other, and we are in for what will be an intense and exciting Sweet 16 game tonight. Spread, betting lines and odds, and my predictions for this Xavier vs Sweet 16 game are listed below.
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Xavier vs Kansas State Spread, Line, and Betting Odds:
Over 151.5 (-110)
Under 151.5 (-110)
Xavier vs Kansas State Predictions:
Spread/Line Predictions – These two teams met up in December of this season, with Kansas State being 6.5 point favorites. The Wildacat’s came out strong on their home court and beat Xavier by 15 points in that game. Xavier has beaten a weaker Minnesota team in the first round, and in the 2nd round beat an overrated Pittsburgh team. The Kansas State Wildcats are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 non conference games, and 12-3-2 in their last 17 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points. I think that Kansas State is the more talented team, and will come out very hard tonight beating this Musketeers squad and covering the points in doing so. BET KANSAS STATE -5.
Over/Under Predictions – The over is 4-1 in the Musketeers last 5 games overall, and 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The over is also 4-1 in Xavier’s last 5 NCAA tournament games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 points. In Kansas State’s last 7 neutral site games as a favorite the over is 5-2. Kansas State has scored 82 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. This is going to be a high tempo game, and although my favorite play is on Kansas State to cover, I am laying down on the over in this game as well. BET OVER 151.5.
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