Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Betting Preview

Old Course at St. Andres - Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Logo

After a star-studded and eventful week in Surrey, England at the European Tour’s version of the PGA Championship.

Despite strong final rounds of (-6) and (-7) from Americans Patrick Reed and Billy Horschel to finish ahead of the UK’s Justin Rose and Rory McIlroy, the Europeans still held serve on their home field.

Open winner Shane Lowry, Viktor Hovland, and Paul Casey all wrapped up play for the weekend at 10 under par.

Danny “Will it” Willett went into Sunday locked in a tie with the formidable Spaniard Jon Rahm. Danny shot 5 under for the day and finished at 20 under and three strokes ahead of Jon for the win.

We were on Tommy Fleetwood who started the tournament off well but eventually fell way back.

Our punt was Eddie Pepperell.

Shanked!

Henrik Stenson did his job, though, and finished top twenty for us for (+125).

We liked Stenson for a strong course history as well as his ability to maintain a high level of play during the rain and/or wind was notable.

Turns out, the weather was good but, fortunately for us, so was he.

The Swede is not in the field this week. Pepperell and Fleetwood, though, will be returning.

Tommy is currently at (+1600) with only Rory, Rahm, and Rose ahead of him on the betting board.

McIlroy, surprise, is sitting at small odds (+550), again!

Jon Rahm isn’t far back at (+700). The golf betting sites are finally giving him the respect he deserves.

What about the course this week?

Well, this tournament will be played on three different courses.

“The home of golf” St Andrews will be the one course that is played on Sunday.

The other two, Carnoustie and Kingsbarns Golf Links, will be played just once

Each course will be played on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday as players will rotate finishing up with the final round at St Andrews.

More on these courses in a minute.

Pro/Am

Another interesting aspect of this tournament is that it’s a celebrity pro/am designed after the PGA Tour’s AT&T Pebble Beach event.

The worlds best are used to this as I’m sure it’s not the first time they’ve had to put up with it.

It could take 6 hours to get through a round of golf!

Now, we’re talking more about us humans who struggle to shoot 100.

Playing in a tournament like this is going to require some patience, for sure.

Jon Rahm is a name that comes to mind. Coming off a bit of a choke session when he only shot 2 under par on Sunday, the 24-year-old has definitely had to bring down some nerves in just a few days.

He is known for his temper so that could be a factor.

He’s paired up with Papa, though! So, I assumed the tantrums will be held inside accordingly.

Fedex Cup Champion Rory McIlroy and Martin Kaymer will also be playing with their fathers. Yes, family honor is on the line but I am hesitant to give these guys my money as Dad being around is a variable we can’t predict, especially at their aforementioned prices.

Comedy legend Bill Murray will be out there. Can you imagine how your mood would be lightened if he’s your partner? Just the thought of spending 6 hours playing golf with Bill has me cracking up inside.

Justin Timberlake will be out there alongside his namesake Justin Rose.

Luke Wilson is in attendance. I hear he has an old school style of play.

#fireharbaugh

Speaking of old school, Huey Lewis is in the house!

One of the GOATs if you ask me.

Matthias Schwab is pairing up with Vladamir Klitschko.

Fore!

I can keep going.

Actually, I can’t. The rest of the field, I haven’t heard of.

They must be comprised of European music, television, and movie stars.

BetOnline has the good this week.

Let’s take a look at the courses and make some picks for our spread.

Carnoustie

The site of 8 Open Championships, Carnoustie is simply a legendary golf course.

Regarded as “Carnasty”, scorecards can go from sexy to unsightly in a matter of minutes.

But, how are the celebs supposed to handle that?

As you might expect, the course has been adjusted to ease the pain of everyone. Play could very well go on into the night if not for the changes.

Kingsbarns

If we have nice weather, fragile celebrity egos could be restored on these 18 holes.

As of now, though, that doesn’t look like it will be the case as rain and wind are forecasted throughout all four days of play.

Well, I guess the egos will have somewhere to place so faith is restored.

St. Andrews

Officially The Royal and Ancient Golf Club at St Andrews, this course is known simply as “The home of golf”.

If that sentence doesn’t illustrate the significance of this place, I don’t know what will.

How about the fact that up until 15 years ago, the course exercised legislative authority over the game of golf the world wide minus the US and Ol’ Mexico?

Pretty special place…

You know celebs and professionals alike will all be honored to compete here.

After duos rotate through the three courses for the first three days, there will be a 54-hole cut and pairs will shoot another 18 here to finish up the tournament.

Tyrell Hatton

TOP FIVE
+600

You know, this could be a trap.

But, traps are there for a reason. They get a reaction.

How can you deny the guy, though?

Sure, he’s not playing great lately but if it weren’t for a back 9 collapse in the final round last year, we would be talking about the not two, but a three-time back-to-back-to-back champion.

1, 1, and 2 in his last three appearances.

He also plays very well in poor conditions.

With that being said, he will probably miss the cut.

I’m still taking him top five.

Heck, you can get him for plus money at (+135) for a top twenty finish.

The Bet
Hatton Top Five
+600

Shane Lowry

TOP TEN
+175

He’s baaack…

The winner or should I say destroyer of the Open Championship this year when he played 66% better than the entire field appears to be back in form with an 11th place finish last week in Surrey.

It took him a bit and without stereotyping the Irish any more than I need to, it seems he may have celebrated very well.

After finishing 52nd and 48 at the Northern Trust and BMW Championship events in the PGA Playoffs, he took a month to gather himself and after last week, boom here he is.

Shane is another phenomenal wind and rain player, that is if you couldn’t tell from his weekend performance at The Open when everyone else starting shooting 75’s.

Lowry missed the cut here in 2018 but he was pretty solid before that.

From 2014 through 2018, the Irishman finished 3rd, 6th, 19th, 18th, and 25th.

I’ll take him top ten.

The Bet
Lowry Top Ten
+175

Tommy Fleetwood

TOP TWENTY
-110

Call me crazy, but I think Fleetwood is a little Hollywood.

I can see him showing up and showing out this week.

He holds the course record here, albeit kinda, as it was dumbed down for the celebrities.

His flowing locks will forever be the dread of American golf fans as he lead the charge in what was a complete dusting of Team USA in 2018.

It appeared that we had a star in the making but he has since been good but not great.

He has an average finish of 10th in the past six years here.

I like the nearly even money for a top twenty.

The Bet
Fleetwood Top Twenty
-110

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

TOP TWENTY
+400

I love Thailand.

The food is arguably the best in the world and it has, without a doubt, the widest range of flavors.

What a warm culture too!

There’s nothing like that Thai smile…unless it’s coming from your opponent in a Muay Thai fight to which I can assure you, he doesn’t have your best interest at heart.

The same can be said of Kiradech. One of the top players coming from the Land of 1000 Smiles, he cooled off a late in 2019 but overall, had a good year.

I like him for three reasons.

  1. He’s Thai
  2. He’s coming into this massive European show under the radar, and not defending home turf or being Mr. USA challenging it either
  3. He has two appearances in this tournament finishing 4th and 15th
The Bet
Aphibarnrat Top Twenty
+400

Ross Fisher

TOP TWENTY
+300

Ross lived up to his name last week at Wentworth nailing an Albatross on the 18th hole!

It wasn’t the best tournament for him overall but 31st after a rough round 4 where he shot 4 over par meant a top twenty was well within reach.

1 under for the final round would have got him there.

It is his course history that stands out to me.

I don’t believe there are many golfers in the field that have played this tournament as many times as Ross.

Westwood, Els, Harrington, and maybe one other guy.

Fisher has three runner-up finishes at the Dunhill Links and two of them occurred in the past two years.

He’s not a lock or anything but history has a way of repeating itself at this course.

The Bet
Fisher Top Twenty
+300

In Conclusion

I hope you liked the betting odds and picks for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.

This should really be a fun tournament.

Sure, the weather is going to be a factor but you get to watch it from the comfort of your living room.

No rain, no wind.

Hey, we all aren’t built like Shane Lowry who just seems physically and mentally immune to the elements.

I like him this week as well as a couple of course killers in Ross Fisher and Tyrrell Hatton.

The smiling Thai Aphibarnrat is going to sneak into that top twenty to get to 3/3 doing so.

As far as the celebrities go, I just hope Bill Murray is mic’d up for the entirety of the tournament, and Huey Lewis shows out.

His songs are timeless. Why can’t his golf swing be as well?

Get those bets in early and don’t overdose on foosball this weekend.

Golf might not be relaxing to play but it is to watch and you may need it after you see your beloved Boy in blue, Ezekiel Elliott tear his ACL.

That would be a shame but something needs to slow those guys down.

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.