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NASCAR Brickyard 400 Betting Preview and Prediction

Indianapolis Motor Speedway - NASCAR Brickyard 400 Logo

Indy!

What a great town to wrap up the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series regular season!

Indianapolis Motor Speedway; the home of the Indycar and ever since 1994, the track has been home to NASCAR’s Brickyard 400.

Among the active drivers, Jimmie Johnson has won here four times and Kyle Busch was victorious in 2015 and 2016.

The first time the race was held in September was last year when Brad Keselowski took the checkered flag for Team Penske.

Before we continue our discussion about this week’s racing action, let’s quickly recap what went down at “The track too tough to tame” in Darlington.

Erik Jones was finally able to get that annoying mosquito out of his helmet and secured his first victory of the year in the Cup Series and the second of his career.

He had 8 top-five finishes on the year before this weekend. Make it 9 with one victory and 13 for the Joe Gibbs Racing team on the year.

These boys are simply dominant.

I picked all Gibbs guys last week to win; Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin, and Jones who rewarded us handsomely with a (+1200) payout.

That means that Erik is in the playoffs for sure.

We also did a bubble watch of the drivers hovering around the 16th spot in the playoff standings.

Two of them got into each other at Darlington with one coming out clearly ahead.

Here are some highlights of the race.

Two spots are remaining for the 2019 playoffs with four drivers who have a chance.

More on those guys in a minute.

As far as a potential winner goes, Kyle Busch is atop in the betting board of the best NASCAR betting sites, followed by teammate Denny Hamlin, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr, Brad Keselowski, and last week’s winner Erik Jones.

Speed will be paramount. Duh, right?

Well passing at Indy has been very difficult historically, so I wouldn’t be surprised if easily the fastest team in the Cup Series, Joe Gibbs Racing gets yes another victory.

I’m sure they will all be gunning for it as momentum is huge.

Bubble Trouble

  • 15th-Clint Bowyer: +8
  • 16th-Daniel Suarez
  • 17th-Ryan Newman
  • 18th-Jimmie Johnson: -18
  • Jimmie is ways out. He is going to need a victory unless these other three drivers all crash before 100 laps.
  • He could very well do it as he has 4 wins here in the past but key words: in the past.
  • Jimmie was racing well last week but caught a tough break.
  • Ryan Newman has the same amount of points as Daniel Suarez but the latter holds the tiebreaker.
  • Newman has 3 top fives here in his career including one victory.
  • Bowyer has 3 as well.
  • Suarez one top 10 in just 2 starts.

Kyle Busch

It’s been awhile…for Kyle.

He was in the process of chasing down his teammate Jones a week ago in Darlington when hit touched the wall and Erik eventually pulled away.

You know Kyle would like some momentum going into the playoffs when they kick off in his hometown of Las Vegas, Nevada.

He has the best track history here outside of Johnson, obviously the fastest team, and he’s Kyle Busch.

The only people that would argue against him here are those chasing value, and I get it.

I just think he gets it done this week.

The Bet
BUSCH TO WIN

Denny Hamlin

I guess we are officially Team Joe Gibbs now.

Why not, though?

They just keep winning.

Denny has an excellent history here. He was rocking out last week until he was on the wrong end of some bad luck.

7 top tens here including 5 top fives but 0 wins.

Emphasis on zero.

Keselowski edged him out last year. I think the 11 gets it back on Sunday.

The Bet
HAMLIN TO WIN

Jimmie Johnson

I know. I know. His car doesn’t have the speed to keep up with these other guys.

It’s not like a lack of skill is keeping him from winning.

NASCAR needs storybook and it wouldn’t get any better than Jimmie Johnson taking the checkered flag at Indy this week to get into the playoffs.

That would pretty much be his Super Bowl. The man is such a competitor, I don’t think he looks at it this way but it’s true.

The Gibbs Team should probably be (-600) to win the Cup.

Let’s have some fun with this bet and hopefully cash out!

The Bet
JOHNSON TO WIN

In Conclusion

This week marks the 26th running of the Brickyard 400.

The list of winners spans several generations of dominant superstars from Dale Earnhardt, Jeff Gordon, Jimmie Johnson, and Kyle Busch.

I like both Kyle and Jimmie to possibly get the win this weekend.

It’s the last race of the regular season so there are so many unknowns. You have guys who may be focused on getting their teammate off the bubble.

Some drivers who are already in the playoffs and could be thinking ahead.

That’s why I want to go with dominance in the past, a recent runner up with a chip on his shoulder, and what would be a storybook finish for one of the greatest race car drivers of all the times.

Gentlemen, start your engines!

Joshua Fidler / author

Joshua has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Josh’s military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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