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Drydene 400 from Dover Betting Preview and Predictions

Dover International Speedway - NASCAR Drydene 400 Logo

And just like that, we are down to 12 drivers left in the Monster Energy Cup Series Playoffs.

Last week was a fun one in Charlotte, and I know I say that a lot but it truly was.

There was no shortage of middle fingers, cups of water to the face, and tire walls that saved the eventual winner from not finishing.

Our picks were Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott.

I decided to go with a couple of drivers who wouldn’t necessarily be desperate but not guys like Kyle Busch or Joey Logano who had ‘er on cruise control.

Kyle came close to winning the inaugural Roval race a year ago but in typical Larson fashion, he found a way to lose.

He won the first stage again this year but eventually found his way back. Chase Elliott, a driver that could use the points, as well as the confidence, got it done for his second road course win of the season.

You have to love Chase Elliott and people do as he was voted NASCAR’s favorite driver for the second year in a row.

Not bad for a 23-year-old.

I hope you cashed that (+700) like I did!

Let’s catch you up on the action from last week in case you missed it.

Alex Bowman made it to the round of 12!

It’s a good thing he wrecked Bubba Wallace before the guy who isn’t even in the playoffs got the opportunity to do the same to him.

The Hendrick Motorsports boys aren’t playing around!

Chase and Alex finished 1 and 2 in the Queen City and elite speed is the phrase for the round of 12.

The latter, Bowman, may have a harder time making it to the round of 8 as he definitely has an enemy with nothing to lose in Bubba Wallace.

The #88 Bowman is running better than he probably ever has in his career.

He has some of his best finishes of the year at the round of 12 races as well but you bet your bottom, I’m fading the young man.

He will get spun out. Wallace might make him wait for it but it’s coming.

Last week’s picks, Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott are higher than normal on the betting board this week with Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano falling behind them.

This is mostly due to how these drivers have raced The Monster Mile in the past but I might be looking at some value here as Denny and Joey are both elites with the latter desperately needing a confidence-boosting checkered take.

BetOnline has the lines for us this week.

Let’s look at the current playoff standings and then get to the betting odds and picks for the NASCAR Dover race.

Round of 12 NASCAR Playoff Standings

  • 1. Kyle Busch: 3046 points
  • 2. Martin Truex Jr: -5
  • 3. Denny Hamlin: -16
  • 4. Joey Logano: -17
  • 5. Kevin Harvick: -18
  • 6. Chase Elliott: -22
  • 7. Brad Keselowski: -22
  • 8. Kyle Larson: -40
  • 9. Alex Bowman: -41
  • 10. Ryan Blaney: -42
  • 11. William Byron: -44
  • 12. Clint Bowyer: -45

Chase Elliott

Again?!

Yea, why not?!

He won here last year and was the runner-up to Martin Truex Jr earlier in the season.

We know he has a fast car with everybody’s good friend ‘Mo riding shotgun.

His teammate Alex Bowman is the first driver out in the upcoming Round of 8 cutoff in a few weeks and is running great only 19 points behind him in the playoff standings.

#12 in the standings, savvy veteran Clint Bowyer, is just 23 back of Chase so, pardon the expression, but the heat is on.

Elliott has run the Monster Mile as well as any track in his young career.

With 6 top-five finishes in 7 starts including a win, I love his chances to take the checkered flag for the second week in a row.

The Bet
ELLIOTT TO WIN


Kyle Busch

I know I said I wouldn’t pick him until he won again but I’m trying to be preemptive here.

It’s crazy, really, picking Kyle over his teammate Martin Truex Jr here as they have the same odds.

Marty from New Jersey won here earlier in the year too.

This goes against my better judgement but how long can Kyle keep losing?

As I say this, he is still first in the playoff standings.

He is coming off of a DNF last week at the Roval but he was 2nd at Richmond two weeks ago, albeit to his teammate Truex Jr.

I realize this isn’t the most convincing argument you’ve ever heard but Kyle has run The Monster Mile very well in his legendary career.

He has twice as many top-five finishes at Dover (12) than Marty in just two more starts.

They each have three wins but Kyle might just be mad enough to will himself to victory lane on Sunday.

The Bet
BUSCH TO WIN


Jimmie Johnson

Call me crazy.

Sure.

Jimmie isn’t in the playoffs.

Did I not the memo?

Hey, I picked Johnson a couple of times down the stretch of the regular season only to see him over-drive his car out of desperation.

The desperation is gone now. No playoffs. Just a man and his car.

And this isn’t just any man.

I mentioned Kyle Busch and Marty Truex have 3 wins apiece here. Ryan Newman does too.

Guess how many JJ has been able to accrue in his illustrious career.

11!

That’s in 6 more starts than Kyle and 8 more than Truex.

17 top fives in 35 races!

(+2500) isn’t likely, no, but we know his team, Hendrick Motorsports, has the juice at the moment.

The Bet
JOHNSON TO WIN


In Conclusion

The Monster Mile is one of NASCAR fans’ favorite venues for many reasons.

One of those is for the wrecks!

The Monster Mile rarely disappoints.

Martin Truex Jr won here in the Spring.

Don’t ask me why I’m not picking him.

I just have a gut feeling that Kyle Busch returns to victory lane this weekend.

If not him, then hopefully Jimmie J so we can get that 25 to 1 payout.

The smart money is on Chase Elliott, though.

7 starts…

6 top-five finishes including a victory.

Get your bets in before Sunday afternoon Eastern, tune in, and turn up your favorite American pilsner along with the surround sound for the “yoom yoom y y yoom!”

Mike Pruitt / author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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