The Northern Trust Betting Preview

Liberty National Golf Course - Golf Course With a Pond, Trees and a Nice View of the Statue of Liberty - The Northern Trust Logo

Last week, we almost had a winner!

Not your favorite word?

Me, either.

It’s not Webb Simpson’s most beloved sound of the mouth these days either.

We had to him to win his hometown tournament but sadly the Demon Deacon finished up round 4 as the runner up for the second week in a row!

It took a reptilian effort on the part of fellow North Carolinian JT Poston as he shot 8 under on Sunday to take Webb one stroke.

While I’m picking Webb to win this week, he may be the hottest golfer on the Tour.
How stressed is he, though?

It would illustrate a high level of composure to see him get a victory during the Playoffs.

Here’s a quick synopsis of how the FedEx Cup Playoffs are going down in 2019.

  • 3 Tournaments in 3 weeks: Northern Trust | BMW Championship | Tour Championship
  • Top 125 golfers in the current standings enter the playoffs.
  • After this week’s tournament, there will be just 70 left.
  • Following next week’s BMW Championship, there will be 30.
  • Golfers will receive 2,000 points for victories in the next two weeks.
  • At the Tour Championship, there will be a cascading starting strokes ahead starting at (-10) for the highest-ranked down to even-par for to those ranked 26-30.
  • Also important to note that the winner of the Tour Championship will earn 15 million dollars! That’s up from the measly 10Mil from last year

Top 20

Patrick Cantlay: +120

Cantlay has been one of the best guys out there all year long.

A 12th place finish two weeks ago at the WGC event is two plusses for me.

He’s coming off of a good performance and also rested well.

3rd tee-to-green for the year and second in shots gained total are just a couple favorable state for the Californian.

Only the aforementioned Simpson and Rory McIlroy have a better scoring average. Patrick is also 3rd in top tens for the season.

I could go on all day about how good he’s looked this year and how hungry he is for an opportunity at the FedEx Cup Championship, but then we might get crazy and pick him to win.

You can grab him for (+250) for the top ten but with the thickness and seriousness of the field this week, let’s take plus money for the twenty.

My Pick
Cantlay Top Twenty

Billy Horschel: +225

Big shot Bob over here…

Sorry, I just had a Robert Horry flashback.

That’s who Billy reminds me of when it’s playoff time.

He’s an above average golfer, yes, but not elite.

He plays at an elite level for sure, though, when the pressure is on and this is true particularly in the last month of the season.

3rd, 3rd, 2nd last year…

He’s the Brooks Koepka of the FedEx Cup Playoffs!

More on him later.

Billy is historically solid off the tee but his putting numbers have been outstanding in the past month or so.

He’s placed 9th and 6th in his previous two outings.

I like the Floridian to grab us a top twenty.

My Pick
Horschel Top Twenty

Top 5

Justin Rose: +450

The Brit hasn’t been the most active golfer on the Tour lately but I don’t mind that so much here as the next few weeks are going to be intense!

Justin is the defending FedEx Cup Champion and currently ranked 4th in the world.

Going back to The Memorial in late-June, we see that he has been placing high consistently. When one of the world’s top 5 golfers is playing consistent, watch out.

13th, 3rd, 20th, and 11th.

Those are weak tourneys either. Two were majors and the other was a loaded WGC event.

I worry a bit about his driving accuracy but he normally manages to tighten that up through strategy when it counts.

Justin is 6th in shots gained total and 6th in scoring average as well.

Top five will be tough but it will be his 6th such placing of the year when he can do it.

My Pick
Rose Top Five

To Win the Northern Trust

Brooks Koepka: +800

Is it just me or are odds like this on the favorite to win amongst a loaded field getting more valuable every week?

Webb almost did it last week.

No, it doesn’t happen much but when we are talking about Brooks Koepka, any bet gains significant value.

He is coming off of a win at the WGC event and some much-needed rest last week after dealing with the elements and being somewhat in contention at The Open in Northern Ireland in the previous week.

I wouldn’t be surprised if he wins two of the three FedEx Cup Playoff events.

It’s not a bad idea to add him as a top five bet here as well (+225) to be “safe” but I love 8 to 1 for the best golfer in the world to keep doing his thing.

My Pick
Koepka to Win

In Conclusion

Playoffs?! *Jim Mora voice.

I’ll spare you the GIF. I know you can see his contorted face if you think hard enough.

I’m very excited!

It’s been a very good year for the PGA.

Tiger winning the Masters was something I believe we will all remember and even though he definitely peaked for it, he continues to prove that you can’t count him out down the stretch.

This is a big week. We will have just 70 golfers left in 5 days and a week after that, it will be down to 30!

Then there’s starting strokes?

I’m enthralled as to how the betting will go but who knows?

We might be able to fully capitalize!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.