The PGA Tour stops over in Las Vegas this week for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.
Sin City keeps up their reputation for the tourism portion of the economy’s sake but it’s other than the strip, it’s not much different than most American metropolises.
It’s a big city with an ever-increasing traffic problem as it becomes more and more Californian in nature.
Vegas has a small-town feel even with over 2 million people in the greater metropolitan area. It’s the neighborhoods it’s broken into that its inhabitants mostly stick to.
Since it is spread apart fairly wide and they are always building out instead of up, people are almost forced to stay in their little pocket.
One of those pockets is Summerlin located in the far northwest corner of town. If you come to Vegas on vacation, I urge you to make your way there.
The Red Rock Casino is mostly visited by the locals but it is one of the nicest in the city. You’ll be at the base of the mountains and at the entrance to the Red Rock National Conservation Area where you will be blown away and humbled at the vastness and beauty of colorful mountains.
Just a 30-minute ride up the street will land you at 7,000 feet elevation at the base of Mt Charleston (12K feet). You can find snow up here as well as drastically reduced temperatures year-round.
This tournament raises a massive amount of money each year for this wonderful cause. The Shriners Hospitals have been around for nearly one century and have provided elite care for children regardless of their parents’ ability to pay.
The cause and the beautiful city bring in quite a bit of talent every year.
Bryson Dechambeau and Patrick Cantlay are the winners of the past two events and I expect another star to be victorious come Sunday evening.
There are just too many big names not to mostly keep your betting spread within the top twenty or thirty players on the board.
No other golfer in this week’s field has played better here than Webb Simpson and he is still plus money to finish inside the top twenty.
Brooks Koepka is making his first appearance since falling short to Rory McIlroy at the Tour Championship.
Unfortunately, the latter won’t be in attendance so we have to wait a bit for these two to renew their rivalry for the title of the best golfer in the world.
I expect Koepka to still be strong, though. He likely won’t win but a top ten bet probably isn’t a bad idea.
BetOnline.AG has the lines for us this week.
Let’s pick ‘em and remember to check out my PGA Tour betting picks for this same event!
3-Ball for the First Round
Three studs here!
Phil, believe it or not, is playing for a spot in the 2020 Ryder Cup and potentially in the US Open as well.
While I’m sure Lefty has played the private course before with it being in Vegas and all, he hasn’t played this tournament since 2005 and only has a total of 3 appearances where he has a missed cut, a withdrawal, and a 9th place finish.
His form has not been there as of late either. He missed the cut last week in a fairly weak field.
He was 48th at the BMW Championship on the European Tour. Prior to that: 71st, 57th, cut, cut, cut, 52nd, cut, 71st, cut…
Okay, I’ll stop. He deserves more respect than that.
Kevin Na and Tony Finau then…
Kevin played last week on the PGA Tour in Napa and missed the cut. Not good, of course, but he is definitely well-rested compared to Tony Finau.
The Utah native of Tongan and Samoan descent finished a very respectable 10th last week at St Andrews so you could say he’s in better form than Kevin but…
The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship was a pro/am event that saw extended playing time.
He had to cross the pond as well, granted he was traveling westerly which isn’t as lagging but there is still an effect crossing 8 time zones.
It’s nothing new for him but I would still count that as a point against.
Colonial Golf Course in Texas is probably the most similar to Summerlin TPC and these two finished 1 and 2 there this year.
Na won at 13 under and Tony was (-9).
We can’t take much from that.
How about the course history, in particular?
Kevin has won here before as well as snagging a runner-up finish.
He has missed his last two cuts, though, and 3 out of 4.
Finau has two 16ths and a 7th in his 5 appearances here and is favored much more heavily to win the tournament than Kevin.
Tony is just too good in the past two months or so to not pick him.
I worry about his driving accuracy a bit but if he has so much power off the tee, he shouldn’t have to swing very hard on a short course like this with reachable par 5s.
His putter is rocking right now too.
Let’s make some money before the second round with Tony.
Gary and Brooks are making their season debuts this week, and to say Adam Scott is dialed in already is putting it mildly.
Nobody on the PGA or European Tour has been better than Scott in the past two months.
Winner of 29 professional events in his career and a former world number one golfer, the Aussie Adam Scott is primed to perform this week.
I especially like him in the first round this week against a couple of guys who haven’t played a competitive round in 5 weeks.
If this were a bet for the entirety of the tournament, I would favor Koepka because he is, undoubtedly, one of the two best golfers in the world today.
His tee-to-green game, as well as his putting, are both #1 on the Tour in the past two months.
What about course history?
Koepka has played here four times registering a 4th, a missed cut, a 2nd, and another missed cut in that order.
Gary woodland has been good with an 18th and a 10th place finish in the last two years.
Surprisingly, though, this is Adam Scott’s first appearance at the course.
Hey, everybody loves Vegas and I’m sure the man has spent a few extended weekends in town getting some playing time in at the course.
Several debutants with lesser skill and form than Scott have won here before, so I don’t expect him to falter.
Maybe Brooks catches up, but I like the nearly 2 to 1 odds we are getting here with the Aussie.
Punt Returner of the Week
- To Win: +8000
- Top 5: +1400
- Top 10: +700
- Top 20: +325
- First Round: +6600
The old man got tired at the end of the year but he had a great start.
He finished 6th, 14th, 9th, 2nd, 18, and 23rd from November to March putting in a solid performance in about one out of every two tourneys.
The man is 49. I think he just got worn down.
It’s early, though. The weather is looking to be boring and beautiful in typical Vegas standards with mild temperatures as well.
I mentioned earlier that the Colonial is a good performance predictor for TPC Summerlin and he finished 17th there last season.
He also has had a nice warm-up already finishing adjacent to the aforementioned Adam Scott at 17th on the leaderboard in Napa Valley last week.
What about course history here in Vegas?
7 starts and only one finish outside of the top 16, albeit a missed cut last year.
He has the #1 scoring average of any golfer in this week’s field.
Yes, he’s old and unpredictable but the odds still hold value.
I think he hangs around the top twenty and if he can crack it by the end of Sunday, we’ll have a 3 to 1 payout.
The boys are back!
While the European Tour had some of their biggest tournaments in the past few weeks, the PGA Tour had some of their smallest.
This week marks the first big one where giants Brooks Koepka, Webb Simpson, defending Shriners champ “Slo-mo Dechambeau, and US Open winner Gary Woodland all return to action.
I expect a bit of rust for each but these guys are at the highest level of their sport, so it might not even take a full round of golf for them to return to a championship level.
Sunny Las Vegas is the site and the weather is forecasted to be near perfect for golf. We have seen some fairly high scores for a resort course especially in 2017 when Patrick Cantlay took home the trophy.
I believe the top five will be back up in the 20s again, though, by close of business on Sunday.
Jimmy Furyk is a stretch as he doesn’t string together solid performances in back-to-back weeks very often anymore at nearly 50 years of age but he has the best scoring average all-time at TPC Summerlin amongst his peers this week.
As far as Adam Scott out playing Koepka and Woodland in the first round, the latter two 2019 major winners will probably have just enough dust to knock off on Thursday to stay back of the Summerlin rookie Scott.
Hopefully, Tony Finau isn’t too lagged from the trip from England but his performances his form has been significantly better than Kevin Na.
Get your bets in as soon as you can, team.
DVR the football games so you can FF through the commercials, and enjoy a couple of rounds of the gentleman’s game.