2020 Nobel Peace Prize Prediction and Betting Odds

2020 Nobel Peace Prize Prediction and Betting Odds

The Nobel Peace Prize announcement is scheduled for October 9, 2020 at the Nobel Institute in Oslo, Norway. A panel of five are responsible for deciding on a winner for the prestigious award. There are a total of five Noble prizes, which consists of physiology or medicine, physics, chemistry, literature, peace, and economic science. A vaccine for COVID-19 likely isn’t in the works before October.

However, if there is an effective vaccine for next year, you can guarantee the company or institute that develops the vaccine will win an award in medicine, chemistry, or even the peace category would work. That might be a lock of the century. Anything to do with the fight on coronavirus, including doctors, researchers, and nurses, will likely be front and centre for several awards in 2021.

The World Health Organization is in the discussion for the Nobel Peace Prize in 2020. I must point that out, but I’m speaking more along the lines of front line workers noted above. The WHO does engage in research and contributes in that sense, though their primarily responsibility is to act to be a leader and advocate for international health efforts on the world stage.

The WHO has been criticized widely for their response to COVID-19, and even resulted in the United States pulling funding. In any event, they are major players to win this award. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern of New Zealand, a country that has effectively eradicated the virus, is also involved in the Nobel Peace Prize discussion.

Some of the odds up for the Nobel Peace Prize are there is a novelty item only. There is no way Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, Julian Assange, ANTIFA, Edward Snowden, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, or Bill Gates are winning. You can bet them to show your friends the ticket, but don’t expect a profit. Head below for our free Nobel Peace Prize prediction and betting odds for the top contenders.

Nobel Peace Prize Betting Odds

Greta Thunberg
+200
World Health Organization
+300
Jacinda Ardern
+500
United Nations Human Rights Council
+1200
David Attenborough
+1200
The Arctic Council
+1200
Committee to Protect Journalists
+1200
Black Lives Matter
+1200
European Union
+1200
Bill Gates
+1200

Greta Thunberg – Environmental Activist

Unless you have been living under a rock for the last two years, you are well aware of who Greta Thunberg is. As a 17-year-old, Thunberg has been one of the most vocal advocates for awareness regarding the threat that climate change poses to the world. Her argument is that emissions caused by human activity are contributing to an environmental crisis.

She has been putting pressure on world leaders to do their part in cleaning up the earth and preventing further damage from being done through policies. This of course turns into a political point between liberals and conservatives. I’m not going down that rabbit hole, but the left loves her, while the right hears nails on a chalkboard when she talks.

The young Swede is well-known for her speech at the United Nations, aiming it directly at world leaders in 2019. Putin, Trump, and others all got their word in regarding Thunberg. Her most recent message was urging European leaders to take emergency action on climate change.

Thunberg has numerous awards in her portfolio and three published books. Some of her awards include the Human Act Award 2020, Swedish Woman of the Year 2019, International Children’s Peace Prize 2019, Time Person of the Year Award 2019, and many others. She was also nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize in 2019. Many expected her to grab that award as well, but Abiy Ahmed won. A year later, it may very well be her time. She would tie with 2014 winner, Malala Yousafazai, as the youngest recipient of the award.

The Bet
GRETA THUNBERG

World Health Organization – International Public Health Agency

You will be hard pressed to go a day without hearing Dr. Tedros Adhanom of the WHO speaking. Dr. Tedros, a native of Ethiopia, is the figurehead of the WHO as their current director-general. He’s the first individual to have the position without being a medical physician. That in itself has been the subject of controversy among some people, but there’s been several during the COVID-19 pandemic. In any case, the WHO has been responsible for the national directive of this ongoing problem.

Early on during the pandemic, it appears that the WHO took whatever China was feeding them at face value. The WHO stated on Twitter that there was no evidence that the virus was transmitted between people. Now, who do you think was giving them that information? The only country at the time who thought they were dealing with the novel coronavirus at the time was China. I’m confident the virus was elsewhere already, but the only country actively investigating was China. Taiwan was sending out warnings to other countries that something was off on the mainland. The WHO ignored Taiwan and went along with China’s word.

The next criticism was that the WHO stated in their guidelines that countries shouldn’t close their doors to international travel. And then many medical professions believed that they waited to long to deem it a pandemic. They’ve also flip flopped on mask use, along with whether the virus is airborne or not. People really don’t know what to believe when the WHO speaks. A firm directive from the WHO with a clear voice, and they would have the inside track to the Nobel Peace Prize. Keep in mind, though, that a panel of five are responsible for issuing the award, so they may think differently than you or I.

The Odds
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION

Jacinda Ardern – Prime Minister of New Zealand

Jacinda Ardern was a candidate to win the Nobel Peace Prize alongside Greta Thunberg last year. They both missed out, but are back as favourites to win in 2020. Ardern was up for consideration in 2019 because of her response to the Christchurch mosque shooting. She immediately went to the community and talked with first responders, members of the Muslim community, and put into action new legislation to ban semiautomatic and assault weapons. Alongside President of France, Emmanuel Macron, she organized the Christchurch Call, which aims to bring a halt to terrorists communicating and planning attacks on social media.

As far as 2020 is concerned, the recently turned 40-year-old, has been in the spotlight again for her country’s response to the virus. Sports are being played with thousands packed tightly in stadiums, and no this isn’t because she’s reckless. Ardern spearheaded a successful national response which saw New Zealand have one of the best responses in the world to the virus.

As of yesterday, July 19, there was only one new positive case of coronavirus in the entire country. They must be prepared for a future outbreak, but their initial response has been fantastic. When you flatten the curve that well, it’s possible to pack stadiums with people, and that’s what they’ve been doing with their rugby league. She is one to watch here, and I believe she carries much better value than the WHO.

The Odds
JACINDA ARDERN

The Verdict and Prediction

If the World Health Organization had an organized response to the pandemic and clearer with their guidelines, then I’d be inclined to select them or Dr. Tedros to win the 2020 Nobel Peace Prize. However, the way I see it, they dropped the ball and they lost confidence in the public. There are several instances of them getting it wrong, and not reacting in a timely manner to the data and evidence. PM Jacinda Ardern, on the other hand, should be applauded for her response to curtailing the spread of the virus in New Zealand. Instead of confusing guidelines and recommendations, she was very clear with what had to be done.

I think the 2020 Nobel Peace Prize is Greta Thunberg’s to lose, though. Many people were confident that she was destined to win the award last year, but it obviously didn’t happen. I think it’s going to be hard for the committee to ignore her for a second straight year. Whether you like her, believe in her beliefs or not, for a 17-year-old she should be recognized and awarded for her dedication to attempting to make the world a better place to live in for humans and animals. She is putting in a lot of work towards her cause, and her hard work likely pays off as only the second 17-year-old to win a Nobel Peace Prize.

The Odds
GRETA THUNBERG
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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