RBC Heritage from Harbour Town Betting Preview

Golf Player Hideki Matsuyama - PGA Tour RBC Heritage Flag

Harbour Town is truly one of the favorite courses to visit from many of golf’s top stars.

It’s small but far from simple and those players who thrive in breezy conditions love a place like Hilton Head Island that sits in a wind pocket on the South Carolina coast.

Not a lot of wind is forecasted for this weekend but just like this past Sunday at Colonial, that could change at any moment.

I don’t think we will see as many lip outs as we cringely had to endure at the Charles Schwab Challenge, particularly late on Sunday.

While proper strategy was pertinent last week at Colonial, decision making will likely prove to be even more crucial to one’s success this week at Harbour Town.

It’s kind of like a mix between your classical tree-lined course like we saw last week at the CSC and a coastal course where wind and water replace the heavily wooded areas as obstacles.

The play this week at the RBC Heritage will be quite calculated and there simply aren’t going to be many opportunities at all to bomb the golf ball down the fairway like “Slo-Mo” DeChambeau and his brand new set of guns were doing at Colonial.

The argument for approach is two-sided

One side says that the greens are nearly impossible to reach in regulation so why try?

The other side says: if a golfer can consistently reach said greens in reg, they have a leg up on the competition.

The greens are going to be very difficult to reach in regulation already so if you’re consistently behind going into your second or third shots, you’re gonna have a bad time.

I really think accurate drivers who are putting the ball quite well at the moment should be our plays for this weekend’s RBC Heritage from Harbour Town.

BetOnline.AG has the betting odds for us. Let’s pick some golfers to play well down in Hilton Head Island.

RBC Heritage Top Twenty

Joel Dahmen: +300

This guy is really playing some tremendous golf in 2020 and completely under most fans and bettors’ radars.

The 32-year-old Washington State native is coming into his prime and has been playing some of the best golf of his career lately.

Before the break:
He was 14th at Pebble Beach and followed that up with back-to-back 5th place finishes at the Genesis Invitational and the Arnold Palmer. He followed that up with a top twenty finish this past week at Colonial including a 65 on Friday.

Over the lockdown, he made sure he now holds the record at all of his home courses when he shot a 58 at Mesa Country Club in Arizona.

Joel has struggled with his putter this year but the rest of his game has been so good, he has still been quite successful.

In the 2019-2020 season on the PGA Tour, Joel is 24th in shots gained off the tee, 15th in approach, 10th tee-to-green, and 23rd in shots gained total.

His putter has been catching up with the rest of his game over the past few tournaments and it shows. His game fit well at Colonial and even more perfectly this week at Harbour Town.

Do we have any course history, though? Last year was his one and only start at the RBC and he finished a rather respectable 16th.

I like his value at 3 to 1!


Branden Grace: +225

The South African absolutely adores Harbour Town for many reasons including the wind element, bending tee-shots both directions, as well as the opportunity to scramble effectively for those who make the right decisions.

Branden is a former winner here back in 2016.

He has had quite the up and down season thus far, though, so I am a bit hesitant to back him.

Harbour Town does seem to bring the best out him. Finishes of 7th, 1st, and 11th in a 3-year span are pretty awesome but after taking 2018 off, he came back with a 61st place finish last year.

No more of those bad performances, Branden. Let’s hope the wind kicks up and the feisty talent from Pretoria, South Africa makes his way into the top 20.

The Bets
JOEL DAHMEN TOP 10
+300
BRANDEN GRACE TOP 10
+225

Gut Feeling – RBC Heritage Top 10

Hideki Matsuyama: +300

Alright, hear me out.

I know he is expected to be somewhat rusty but this course rewards elite ball striking as much as any other, and Hideki may be the best ball striker on the PGA Tour.

Maybe the Japanese superstar knew that he had a better chance to win this week than last. It was pretty darn hot down there in Texas as temps reached triple digits a few times.

It’s been nice and cool here on the east coast. Matsuyama has probably been at Harbour Town practicing ahead of this week’s RBC Heritage. Even if he wasn’t, you know that’s where his focus has been for at least a month.

The majority of the rest of the field, meanwhile, had their sights set on Colonial. He has missed the cut here in his only tournament start but it has been several years and I have a good feeling Matsuyama is going to finish pretty high.

He did have two top 6 finishes in his previous three starts before the break.

I think Matsuyama surprises a lot of people at Harbour this week.

The Bet
HIDEKI MATSUYAMA TOP 10
+300

In Conclusion

Hideki Matsuyama has joined the field this week for his return to the PGA Tour. Three months off was unprecedented. Then, in the first tourney back, the temps got really high as the sun cooked guys…

I can see Hideki coming in here and playing the course he’s been focusing on very well. Will he win? That’s still quite a reach even though I have seen his betting odds fall from 40 to 22-1.

So, there are others on this train as well.

If the 40 to 1 was still there, I might bite but we will switch to a top ten play.

  • Branden Grace loves playing here and I think that is a big part of his success. This is a very tricky course and if you have some anger and frustration built up in your head, it can literally block you from making a good decision.
  • Joel Dahmen isn’t a big name and I think that’s why we got him at such good value.

Get your bets in now, team, and check out a few minutes of the RBC Heritage from gorgeous Hilton Head Island.

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Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.