Week 7 of the 2021 LEC Summer Split is right around the corner and, needless to say, there’s quite a lot on the line.
Teams can no longer afford to experiment and drop games to their direct competitors, as just a single win or loss can end up being the difference between reaching the playoffs or watching it all unfold from the sidelines.
Moreover, with six weeks’ worth of games, we finally have a concrete enough sample size to be able to judge and assess the ten teams competing. No one’s all too consistent at this point in time, but we’ve witnessed fewer and fewer upsets lately which means that things have, in fact, started to stabilize.
The #LEC Summer Season standings after Week 6!
🔒 = locked for playoffs
— LEC (@LEC) July 17, 2021
Surprises can still happen, but we pretty much know how things will unfold going forward.
The Playoff Picture
Two teams have secured their spots in the playoffs (Fnatic and Rogue, who also happen to be tied for first place), with Misfits, MAD Lions, and G2 Esports all being on the cusp of securing their spot in the Top 6.
Four teams are currently playing their hearts out in an attempt to secure it and, frankly, it’s nigh impossible to predict who’ll eventually succeed. They’re all so painfully inconsistent, at times so out of sync, egregious in their play and decision-making. There’s just no way to tell at this point in time.
One week they’ll look like world-beaters and then implode beyond measure. Another time they’ll upset one of the biggest favorites and then fumble and fail in every which way just a day later. They’re the de facto LEC gatekeepers/bottom-dwellers — at times great but far too inconsistent and unrefined to truly leave a mark.
We thought Astralis and Vitality were two of the biggest front-runners but they both failed to get a win on the board last week. The EXCEL bunch also played some mighty good League of Legends back in Week 4 before once again imploding and losing four games in a row.
2021 LEC Summer Split Week 7 Betting | Day 1
Schalke 04 vs. EXCEL
It’s impossible to give Schalke even the slightest chance in this one seeing how they’re on a five-game losing streak and have done next to nothing to warrant our benefit of the doubt. They’re the de facto worst team in Europe and while they can, in fact, upset from time to time, they’re nowhere near capable enough to make a run for the playoffs.
With just three wins on the board, they’ve pretty much been the punching bag of the LEC — and no one’s all too happy to see it.
This will be Schalke’s last split in the LEC, and needless to say, they’re not going to go out with a bang — more of a whimper, if even that much. EXCEL are by no means a competitive LoL behemoth, but they’re head and shoulders above Schalke and should be able to prove it with ease, too.
Team Vitality vs. Misfits Gaming
This particular clash would’ve been endlessly more alluring had Vitality not squandered their potential. Now, this might be an overly harsh way of phrasing things, but it’s nonetheless an appropriate assessment. What once seemed like a potent, unyielding competitor has since been reduced to a feisty but inherently flawed challenger incapable of truly competing at the highest of levels.
Our fears were not unfounded — this Vitality line-up is failing in much the same fashion as the ones that came before it, and it’s a disheartening thing to witness, no doubt. We’ve seen their highs and had gotten a glimpse of their potential, but none of it matters as there’s simply not enough time for them to mount an offensive and make it all count. They’ve lost five of their last six games. Let that sink in. Their sole win came at the expense of SK Gaming which, in all fairness, doesn’t go for much these days. They had lost to Astralis, EXCEL, Fnatic, G2 Esports, and the MAD Lions — both titans and bottom-dwellers alike.
And capable though they are, there’s just no way we could ever believe in their potential after seeing them fumble and fail in so many different ways throughout the last three weeks. Misfits are by no means infallible, but they’re a lot more consistent and are better in nearly every way (on a good day, at least), so we’ll go with them on this one.
MAD Lions vs. Astralis
Astralis, surprisingly capable though they are, simply cannot compete with a team of MAD Lions’ caliber. The defending LEC champions might not be as good as they were back in Spring, but they’re still head and shoulders above the vast majority of their peers. Moreover, they’ve won four of their last six games so they’re obviously improving at a steady pace.
Once the playoffs come around, they’ll no doubt be able to leave a mark, much like they did a couple of months ago.
Astralis will surely give them a run for their money, but it shouldn’t matter much in the grand scheme of things. The Lions know what needs to be done (and in which fashion) to get the win, and they’ll surely deliver now that they’ve had enough time to acclimate and get on the same page.
SK Gaming vs. G2 Esports
Yet another one-sided match-up, although we’d be remiss if we didn’t say that SK have been playing some mighty good League of Legends lately. They are by no means going to upend the status quo, but they’ve beaten both MAD Lions and EXCEL last week which, in all fairness, is quite a surprise.
The fact that they did so with an “autofilled” jungler (who’s been playing out of his mind) makes their surge all the more impressive. And so now we are left to wonder: was it just a one-off thing, a short burst of brilliance or a sign that they’ve somehow (and against the grimmest of odds) been able to lock down an identity for themselves and are currently on the up and up?
Regardless of what the answer may be, they’re up against a very game G2 Esports which means they’re all but guaranteed to lose. G2 are still struggling (by G2’s standards), but have shown marked improvement over the last couple of weeks and will no doubt wreck house once the playoffs come around — in true G2 fashion.
Rogue vs. Fnatic
Last but certainly not least, we have a clash between two top-tier teams, both of which are currently tied for first. What a truly sublime match-up, one that will undoubtedly deliver in all the right ways!
This is also a clash of two distinct styles: Rogue are sort of emulating the Origen of old, but they’re also much more flexible and willing to engage should the need arise. This incarnation of Fnatic, however, is arguably the most aggressive line-up in the history of the LEC — and that’s really saying something. They’re always looking to skirmish, to impose their will, to dominate and accrue any sort of lead they possibly can, regardless of whom they’re up against.E
And, well, it’s been an absolute pleasure watching them flex over their opposition!
They’ve also been a lot more dominant than Rogue, even though their highs haven’t been all that easy to predict. Everyone on this Fnatic line-up wants to play the game out in exactly the same way, and that’s undeniably their biggest strength — they compliment each other in the most important of ways, and success, therefore, is nothing but a natural by-product.
For some odd reason, Fnatic are the underdogs in this one — despite having a metric ton of hype behind their backs and the fact that they are currently 1-0 over Rogue. Strange stuff, to say the least.
2021 LEC Summer Split Week 7 Betting | Day 2
Schalke 04 vs. Astralis
The Schalke 04 bunch has very little to fight for at this point in time. Once 2022 comes around, they’ll no longer be a part of the LEC, and given their dreadful record, a spot in the playoffs is so remote that we might as well consider it science fiction.
Astralis, on the other hand, have a much better shot. They’re already tied for sixth place, so all they need to do to secure a spot in the playoffs is get a few more wins on the board and not drop the ball over the next two weeks. They’re all but guaranteed to lose to MAD Lions on Friday, so getting a win over Schalke will be of the utmost importance.
Team Vitality vs. EXCEL
If you’re looking to put your money on the line, perhaps it’d be wise to skip this particular match as there’s no way to predict who’ll emerge on top. Both teams are equal in terms of potential and talent and have had huge dips in performance — both spectacular highs and woeful lows. Vitality seems better on paper, but they’re a lot more volatile and prone to imploding.
They’ll make a series of exceptional plays, execute their ideas and dives to a tee, and then throw it all away on a whim, on a play they had no business going for; they’re greedy and often bite off more than they can chew.
We’ll go with EXCEL on this one. Even though they’re far from a top-tier behemoth, they’ve improved quite a bit and should, with the right kind of prep, be able to handle Vitality’s early onslaught.
Rogue vs. MAD Lions
Rogue will not have it easy this week. First they’ll have to face Fnatic, before matching themselves up against MAD Lions. Be that as it may, this is undoubtedly a vital moment for the boys in blue. After getting humiliated by G2 Esports, no one’s all too sure whether they have what it takes to truly compete at the highest of levels and, more importantly, lock down a ticket to Worlds.
Being a Top 4 team is commendable, but there’s nothing tangible or concrete to be gained — the real fun starts when you’re in the Top 3. That’s everyone’s goal and, frankly, Rogue are no longer favored to attain it. They did, however, beat MAD Lions a couple of weeks ago and have looked fairly good doing it. Whether they’ll be able to win again is up for debate (the Lions are no longer slumping quite as much), but they definitely have a shot.
Still, they’ve earned our trust. With just three losses and a whopping ten wins to their name, they’re undoubtedly one of the best teams in Europe, so we’ll give them the nod on this one and hope that history will, indeed, repeat itself.
SK Gaming vs. Fnatic
A fairly interesting palate cleanser, if you will. Fnatic are all but guaranteed to get their hands raised, but we’d be remiss if we didn’t sing SK’s praises at least for a little bit; they are obviously no slouch, and have earned our respect with their wins over MAD and EXCEL last week.
They were by no means perfect in execution, but they still got the job done against two teams everyone deemed superior. How in the world they’ve been able to mount an offensive will probably remain a mystery. They’re driven and ambitious and will not go down without a fight.
Unfortunately for SK, Fnatic are a cut above so there’s really no reason to bet against them. In fact, it’d be absolute lunacy! The former “King of Europe” have their sights set on the LEC throne, and will try their hardest to reclaim it as soon as they possibly can. SK will no doubt challenge them, but it’s only a matter of time before they, too, will succumb to Fnatic’s might.
Misfits Gaming vs. G2 Esports
What a truly phenomenal way to close out the week — Misfits vs. G2 is not only replete with excitement, but it’s also fairly important for the standings and the overall playoff picture. Misfits are currently ranked third, but they’re only two wins above G2.
Moreover, they have MAD Lions to worry about as they’re hot on their heels and will, at worst, tie their record should they take down Astralis on Friday.
Misfits still haven’t locked in their playoff spot but have very little to be worried about. They don’t have as much hype and momentum as was the case just a couple of weeks ago, but they’re playing really good League of Legends and have no doubt earned their spot near the very top of the standings. G2, on the other hand, have obviously regained a bit of their old (and much revered) form. They’re still not the G2 of old, but they’re improving with each passing week and have truly given Fnatic a run for their money last Saturday.
They still need a bit of time to truly get on the same page and make a run for the title, but are nonetheless exceptionally dangerous right now and should, by all means, be able to beat Misfits and close out the week with a clean 2-0.