2022 F1 French GP Odds and Predictions

2022 F1 French GP Odds and Predictions

Round 12 of the 2022 Formula 1 schedule is at Circuit Paul Ricard for the French Grand Prix. TheSportsGeek has the latest French GP odds for the big event this weekend in Le Castelle, Var.

The French Grand Prix is one of the oldest races in the world, with F1 racing dating back to a Ferenc Szisz win at Le Mans in 1906. Michael Schumacher has a record of eight wins at the French GP.

A week after Carlos Sainz won at Silverstone for the British Grand Prix, teammate Charles Leclerc won a thrilling race over Max Verstappen at the Austrian GP. This wasn’t a win because Verstappen’s equipment had problems after sustaining damage.

Verstappen likely wins at Silverstone if he doesn’t have damage to his car. However, Leclerc was simply the better driver at the Austrian GP. Verstappen had huge support, but his fans went home back to the Netherlands sad.

The Dutch star had the better car through practice and qualifying, but Ferrari worked hard on Leclerc’s machine for the race.

As much as his team gets criticized, they get a big A+ for their performance on Sunday in Austra. When Ferrari isn’t sabotaging Leclerc with gaffes, he can win any race.

Leclerc continues to trail Verstappen in the Drivers’ Championship by 170 to 208 points. Verstappen has been more consistent with six wins and eight podiums this season. Red Bull is up in the Constructors with 7 wins and 14 podiums and 359 points.

Ferrari is hanging around in P2 with 303 points, securing four wins in 14 podiums. Can they beat the French GP odds at Circuit Paul Ricard? Leclerc or Sainz could make it three straight wins for Ferrari.

Are you looking for the best French GP betting odds? Ensure you do line shopping at the top F1 betting sites.

Verstappen is looking to defend his French Grand Prix title from last year after Lewis Hamilton won the event in two straight years. Head below for the best French GP odds and predictions at TheSportsGeek.

French GP Betting Odds

Max Verstappen is the French GP odds favorite, according to the motorsports oddsmakers at Bovada. He isn’t an overwhelming favorite, though.

Verstappen is at +105 as the favorite while Charles Leclerc isn’t too far behind at +145. The odds will likely shift following practice sessions in France.

Carlos Sainz has indicated that Ferrari is contemplating changing his engine for the French GP. If this were to occur, Sainz would have to accept a penalty on the grid.

Sainz is +2000 to win behind George Russell, Sergio Perez, and Lewis Hamilton. Hamilton and Mercedes are coming along nicely. If they don’t have better success next year I’d be surprised.

French GP Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Odds Driver Team
+105 Max Verstappen Red Bull
+145 Charles Leclrec Ferrari
+850 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
+1400 Sergio Perez Red Bull
+1600 George Russell Mercedes
+2000 Carlos Sainz Jr. Ferrari
+17500 Fernando Alonso Alpine
+17500 Lando Norris McLaren
+20000 Esteban Ocon Alpine
+25000 Valtteri Bottas Alfa Romeo
+40000 Daniel Ricciardo McLaren
+40000 Kevin Magnussen Haas
+40000 Mick Schumacher Haas
+50000 Pierre Gasly AlphaTauri

French GP Prediction

Charles Leclerc (+145)

Charles Leclerc is looking for his first back-to-back wins of the season in France. He won Round 1 and 3, but hasn’t been a back-to-back winner. If it weren’t for his team strategically failing him at the Monaco GP, he’d probably have one more win this season.

If Leclerc just misses out on beating Verstappen for the Drivers’ Championship, the pit gaffe at the Monaco GP will come back as a big missed opportunity. Leclerc, who likely cruises to a win, finished P4 after his team called him into the pits prematurely.

He’s capable of hanging around and dueling with Verstappen when his team isn’t making mental mistakes. On a track with as much straight-line speed as France, does Ferrari have enough to beat Red Bull regardless of strategic mistakes, though?

The French GP is one of the most balanced tracks on the F1 schedule, with 15 corners evenly distributed between high, medium, and low-speed turns.

Leclerc finished a lap down last year for P16. He started P7 and never had a good run. Leclerc
was the first driver to hit the pits and fell off from that point.

Ferrari has a much better car in 2022 than they did then, though. Leclerc rates a threat to go back-to-back in Austria and France.

Max Verstappen (+105)

Max Verstappen had a tough assignment at the French Grand Prix last year. Lewis Hamilton was coming off two wins in France and he was having a good season.

Despite straight-line speed working well for Mercedes in 2021, Red Bull countered and made up for it with Verstappen’s ability in the corners and a faster setup.

Verstappen won by 2.904 seconds over Hamilton at the checkered flag. Note that he also had the fastest lap of the race, with a time of 96.404 seconds and an average speed of 218 km per hr.

Hamilton didn’t have any tyres left by the time the race was done. He admitted that Red Bull had the superior strategy and deserved the win.

Mercedes believed that they had the faster car in the 2021 French Grand Prix. However, they believed that Red Bull had the better strategy. Toto Wolff was right about one thing, but Verstappen was also faster than Hamilton.

Leclerc may have a strong car again this week, but if we’re talking about a race that is going to require a good strategy again, the advantage has to go to Red Bull. Verstappen couldn’t hold on last week. That said, at plus money on a track where Red Bull had a good formula, Verstappen is good value to win.

Verstappen French GP Odds
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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