2022 Grammy Awards Betting Odds and Predictions

2022 The Grammys Odds Sun Apr 3 Background

The Academy Awards are officially in the rearview mirror. And what a memorable show it was!

Of course, the end of the Oscars doesn’t mark the end of the 2022 awards season. The Grammy Awards, which were originally slated to go down on January 31st, will instead take place on Sunday, April 3rd. Those in charge of such things decided to postpone the show amid the Omicron wave that swept through the US around the holidays. Instead of happening at the Crypto.com Arena in Downtown Los Angeles, the 2022 Grammys were also moved to the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas.

So, we still have the Grammys to which to look forward. As always, the top entertainment betting sites in the industry are on top of the biggest night in music. The show may not be happening as originally scheduled, but you can still find quality Grammy Awards betting odds at various stops around the internet.

Which Grammys are worth betting on this year?

Grammy Awards 2022 Odds for Song of the Year

Drivers License (Olivia Rodrigo):
-200
Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish):
+400
Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic):
+450
Montero – Call Me By Your Name (Lil Nas X):
+1000
Kiss Me More (Doja Cat):
+1600
Fight For You (H.E.R.):
+2000
Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran):
+3300
Peaches (Justin Bieber):
+3300
A Beautiful Noise (Alicia Keys & Brandi Carlile):
+4000
Right On Time (Brandi Carlile):
+4000

No newcomer stormed the music scene quite like Olivia Rodrigo did in 2021. The former High School Musical star released her first-ever single, Drivers License, last January. It was an instant success as the lead single from her soon-to-follow debut album, Sour. Drivers License instantly rushed to the top of the Apple Music, Amazon Music, and Spotify charts, and racked up over 21 million streams within three days of its release.

Not too shabby!

Rodrigo earned seven nominations as a result of her first foray into the music scene as an individual artist. If you’re reading this, there’s a pretty good chance you’ve heard of her. So, it should come as little surprise to see Rodrigo’s debut hit, Drivers License, listed as a -200 favorite in Grammy Awards betting odds for Song of the Year.

Not to be outdone, Billie Eilish is back again. Happier Than Ever, the follow-up to her own massively successful debut endeavor, was released last year. The lead single, featuring the same title as the record, received four nominations, and checks in as a +400 underdog in Grammy Awards odds for Song of the Year.

Please Note:
Lil Nas X (+1000), Doja Cat (+2000), Justin Bieber (+3300), and Alicia Keys (+4000) are among the other big names vying for Song of the Year.

Frankly, this award is Rodrigo’s to lose. She’ll enter the night without a single Grammy Award in her trophy case at home. Something tells me she won’t be going home empty-handed. Take Rodrigo’s Drivers License to grab Song of the Year honors at -200.

Best Bet:
Drivers License !

Record of the Year Grammy Awards Odds

I Get A Kick Out Of You (Lady Gaga and Tony Bennett):
+200
Drivers License (Olivia Rodrigo)<:
+200
Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish):
+400
Leave The Door Open (Silk Sonic):
+400
Montero – Call Me By Your Name (Lil Nas X):
+1000
Kiss Me More (Doja Cat):
+1400
Freedom (Jon Batiste):
+2000
I Still Have Faith in You (ABBA):
+3300
Peaches (Justin Bieber):
+4000
Right On Time (Brandi Carlisle):
+4000

The Grammys say Record of the Year is handed out to “honor artistic achievement, technical proficiency and overall excellence in the recording industry, without regard to sales or chart position.”

It sounds awfully similar to Song of the Year, of course, but there are differences.

Song of the Year is awarded to the person or people that composed the lyrics and melody of the song itself. Record of the Year is literally defined as rewarding the actual recording of a song, meaning the performing artist, producers, song mixers, and engineers will earn recognition. Get it? Good.
 

Of course, many of the same tunes nominated for Song of the Year are also among the nominees for Record of the Year. Much like Song of the Year, this may well come down to Olivia Rodrigo vs. Billie Eilish, who are both listed among the favorites in the aforementioned Grammy Awards 2022 odds. However, they’re not alone. Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga are +200 co-favorites with Rodrigo for their rendition of I Get A Kick Out Of You, which appears on their second collaborative album, Love for Sale.

The two performed and recorded the track live at the Radio City Music Hall in New York City last August in the final performances of Bennett’s career. The legendary 95-year-old, who suffers from Alzheimer’s, was still able to perform remarkably well.

Bennett and Lady Gaga are up for five Grammys this year, also including Album of the Year. Some of the voters may not let feelings get involved in their decision-making process when it comes to voting on these awards, but I do think this performance will earn the unlikely duo some recognition on Sunday night.

Would anybody be surprised if Rodrigo (+200) or Eilish (+400) won Record of the Year?

Absolutely not. However, Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga are +200 co-favorites for a reason.

Best Bet:
I Get a Kick Out Of You!

Grammy Awards 2022 Odds for Best New Artist 

Olivia Rodrigo:
-1000
The Kid LAROI:
+800
Arlo Parks:
+1200
FINNEAS:
+1400
Glass Animals:
+2000
Saweetie:
+2500
Baby Keem:
+3300
Arooj Aftab:
+4000
Jimmie Allen:
+4000
Japanese Breakfast:
+4000

First of all, Japanese Breakfast (+4000) has been around since 2013. Just because you never heard of this band until 2021 doesn’t mean they’re a new artist! Glass Animals (+2000) have existed since 2010. Get outta here with this!

If we’re talking about actual new artists, it’s easy to see why the heavily-recognized Rodrigo is a -1000 favorite in this category, per the latest Grammy Awards odds. She actually released her first album in 2021. Rodrigo also wasted almost no time in taking over the world after she made her debut.

I can’t really fathom another candidate as worthy of winning this award this year.

FINNEAS, Billie Eilish’s brother and co-songwriter, already has eight Grammys at home. He’s not new, either! You aren’t getting a whole lot of bang for your buck in Rodrigo’s -1000 Best New Artist Grammy Awards odds, but I see no other viable candidates, either. Her odds should probably be even shorter, so there is still value to be had here.

Best Bet:
Olivia Rodrigo!

Album of the Year Grammy Awards Odds

Sour (Olivia Rodrigo):
+125
Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish):
+300
Love for Sale (Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga):
+300
Evermore (Taylor Swift):
+900
Montero (Lil Nas X):
+900
Planet Her (Doja Cat):
+1200
Donda (Kanye West):
+2500
Back of My Mind (H.E.R.):
+2800
Justice (Justin Bieber):
+3300
We Are (Jon Batiste):
+3300

How much overlap have we seen at the Grammys in recent years?

You’re probably getting a little tired of seeing the same names in every category.

Once again, the Grammy Awards odds have Rodrigo as a +125 favorite to win Album of the Year, followed by Eilish (+300) and the Lady Gaga/Tony Bennett duo (+300).

Here is every Album of the Year winner since 2014:

2021:
Folklore (Taylor Swift)
2020:
When We Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? (Billie Eilish)
2019:
Golden Hour (Kacey Musgraves)
2018:
24K Magic (Bruno Mars)
2017:
25 (Adele)
2016:
1989 (Taylor Swift)
2015:
Morning Phase (Beck)
2014:
Random Access Memories (Daft Punk)

Of the Album of the Year winners, we saw only Billie Eilish, Bruno Mars, Adele double up with a win in Song of the Year, too. So, if Rodrigo takes home Song of the Year for Drivers License, she isn’t an automatic bet to win Album of the Year for Sour. 

As evidenced by the name, Album of the Year recognizes an entire album of work, not just a song. So, I think Billie Eilish looks a little undervalued in her Album of the Year Grammy Awards odds at +300. I suppose there’s an outside chance Kanye West adds to his 22 Grammy victories, but he feels like an also-ran in this year’s field.

You probably won’t feel bad about yourself if you ride the Rodrigo wave with Sour at +125, but the extra value on Eilish at +300 really stands out.

Best Bet:
Happier Than Ever!
Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.

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