The NASCAR schedule turns to Dover for a mile of racing in Delaware. We have the latest NASCAR Dover odds for the DuraMAX Drydene 400. It doesn’t feel like we’re going into the 11th event, but this season is flying on by as we enter May.
NASCAR is coming off a trip to Talladega in Alabama. The biggest track on the schedule provided an unlikely winner in Ross Chastain. Chastain is a quality driver and it’s his second win of the season. However, Chastain was not one of the favorites to win at Talladega.
Isn’t that what superspeedway races are all about, though? You can find good odds at Daytona and Talladega, but some luck does come with selecting the winner. There are no clear favorites at superspeedways. The NASCAR Dover odds get back to what you would expect.
For the best NASCAR Dover odds and NASCAR betting sites, TheSportsGeek has you covered for this weekend. Race time is scheduled for Sunday at 3:00 p.m. EST.
Dover NASCAR Race Odds
Most NASCAR handicappers are going to like that we’re away from the superspeedway at Talladega. As entertaining as superspeedway races can be sometimes, they are the biggest crapshoot in NASCAR betting. This isn’t to say you can’t find value, but a mile and short tracks are generally more predictable.
In the most recent trip to Dover Motor Speedway, Alex Bowman won last May. Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, and Kyle Larson won the three races prior to Bowman striking. Harvick has won two of the last seven events at Dover. Martin Truex Jr. has two wins at Dover Motor Speedway in 2016 and 2019.
Larson is the favorite at Dover Motor Speedway, though are his NASCAR Dover odds good value? He won back in 2019 at Dover and hasn’t been at his worst in Delaware. In my view, a better price than +450 is probably needed for a good value bet on Larson at Dover.
|+450||Kyle Larson||Hendrick Motorsports|
|+800||William Byron||Hendrick Motorsports|
|+800||Chase Elliott||Hendrick Motorsports|
|+1000||Martin Truex Jr.||Joe Gibbs Racing|
|+1200||Kyle Busch||Joe Gibbs Racing|
|+1200||Alex Bowman||Hendrick Motorsports|
|+1200||Joey Logano||Team Penske|
|+1200||Denny Hamlin||Joe Gibbs Racing|
|+1200||Ryan Blaney||Team Penske|
|+1400||Ross Chastain||Trackhouse Racing Team|
|+1600||Tyler Reddick||Richard Childress Racing|
|+2500||Christopher Bell||Joe Gibbs Racing|
NASCAR Dover Best Odds To Win
Chase Elliott (+800)
Chase Elliott is a consistent operator, though he is still looking for his first win of the season. Despite no win, Elliott is racking up the points and leads the Cup Series standings with 368 points.
He holds a decent advantage on Ryan Blaney, who is second with 347 points on the season. The thing with Elliott is that he’s only finished in the top-5 once.
Consistently finishing in the top-10 is better than being inconsistent when it comes to the standings in NASCAR. He has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six outings.
Elliott’s best performance this season was at COTA on the road course where he finished 4th. He’s fine with sitting atop the standings, but I’m sure a win would be nice soon.
In his current form, Elliott is going to get to the winner’s circle soon. Don’t be surprised if it’s on Sunday at Dover in the DuraMAX Drydyne 400. At +800, Elliott’s Dover NASCAR race odds look like a good deal.
Kevin Harvick (+1400)
How can you look past Kevin Harvick at Dover? This is one of his favorite tracks and the results have followed. Harvick has two wins at Dover since 2018 and always seems to be in the mix at the end of the race.
Harvick has finished in the top-6 in seven straight races at Delaware Motor Speedway. He’s 4th, 4th, 4th, 1st, 6th in his previous five attempts.
This hasn’t been a standout season for Harvick. He is 11th in the Cup Series standings with one top-5 finish. Harvick had a good run to finish 2nd at Richmond on April 3, so it hasn’t been all terrible for him.
His Dover NASCAR odds make Harvick a definite candidate for your betting card. It’s hard to ignore him at +1400 to win this race on Sunday.
NASCAR Dover Prediction
Joey Logano (+1200)
I’m high on all three of these drivers to win at Dover on Sunday. The best bet on my list has to be Joey Logano. Logano is another consistent driver that is likely going to find a checkered flag soon.
Logano goes into Dover sixth in the Cup Series standings with 308 points. He is a top-5 driver in three races this season.
Logano is fourth in Average Running Position at 11.5, second in Quality Passes with 827, and fifth in Average Driver Rating going into Sunday. It’s not easy to pass at Dover and his driving ability with 827 Quality Passes should help him here.
Also, note that Logano is the third-best driver on the Real Rating scale this season. He hasn’t made too much noise, but is running well in the background in 2022.
Better than 10-1 odds on Logano to win is going to be attractive. Consider betting his Dover NASCAR race odds to win at +1200.