NFL MVP 2024-25 Betting Odds, Predictions, And Picks

In terms of overall value, there isn’t a more valuable quarterback in the NFL than Patrick Mahomes. The three-time Super Bowl champion is the No. 1 player in this position, and he’s been that for the last five seasons.

Mahomes didn’t post huge passing numbers in 2023 and the Chiefs were “just” the No. 3 seed in the AFC. But with the potential of better weapons around him in 2024, Mahomes could see a huge boost in passing production.

Given that he is the NFL’s top quarterback, it only makes sense that he is the current favorite. He’s going to win another MVP award at some point. The only question is if it’s this year or later down the road.

You can make a strong case that Allen should have won the award last season after scoring 46 touchdowns and leading the Bills to the No. 2 seed in the AFC. Allen had an incredible late-season surge and found himself in the MVP conversation. I expect more of the same, because he is one of the NFL’s most dynamic quarterbacks and should have no problem posting gaudy numbers again.

Another reason why Allen is a good bet this year is due to the fact that voters might feel like it’s time to reward him for so many great seasons. It’s unclear why Allen didn’t get more votes last season for the MVP award (only one of 50 votes), but now he’s established himself as the second-best quarterback in the NFL behind only Patrick Mahomes. If Allen can post a similar season and if the Bills can win 11+ games, look for him to finally take home the MVP honors.

Burrow is widely regarded as one of the NFL’s top quarterbacks, but injuries have caused him to miss out on the MVP discussions. He was never fully healthy in 2023, dealing with a severe calf strain and then injuring his hand midway through the season, which required surgery.

When Burrow is healthy, he is one of the best pocket passers in the league. I expect him to return with vengeance this season as the Bengals have one of the better overall rosters in the AFC. Can Burrow stay healthy long enough to make a push for the award? That is a real question that bettors will need to keep in mind. But in terms of ability, Burrow is as good as it gets at the QB position.

Jackson took home his second MVP award in 2023 after leading the Ravens to the No. 1 seed in the AFC. His overall stats were unspectacular, but voters are starting to shy away from yardage totals alone when it comes to the MVP award. It also didn’t hurt that his best performance of the season came late in the year against the 49ers on a primetime stage. Those types of games carry a lot of weight for MVP voters and that is something that should be kept in mind when betting on the award.

Jackson will have a hard time winning the award again in 2024 because of voter fatigue and the fact the Ravens likely won’t be as good this season. However, Baltimore should still be among the best teams in the AFC and Jackson has firmly established himself as an elite QB. For that reason alone, he will get some consideration for the award.

And yet, his reputation took a strong hit during the postseason, so he must be exceptional to win again.

The second year of Trevor Lawrence in Doug Pederson’s offense didn’t go as planned as he dealt with several injuries that caused him to regress as a passer. But there is no doubting Lawrence’s talent and the Jaguars look ready to get back into the playoff hunt in 2024. Lawrence is as talented as any other QB in the NFL and it’s only a matter of time before he wins an MVP award.

Keep an eye on what the Jaguars do this offseason as they need to improve the weapons and the offensive line around Lawrence. If they can accomplish that, expect to see a huge jump in the MVP odds for the former No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

One of the trends that we’ve seen in the NFL over the last few seasons is that MVP voters reward quarterbacks on great teams. It’s pretty rare for an MVP winner to be on a team that isn’t the No. 1 or No. 2 seed. And that’s what Jared Goff has going for him entering the 2024 season. The Lions could be the top team in the NFC and are only improving under Dan Campbell.

Goff posted great numbers during the 2023 season, but the development of Sam LaPorta, Jameson Williams, and Jahymr Gibbs should make the offense even more dynamic this year. Goff should post big numbers again, especially with Ben Johnson returning as the offensive coordinator. Betting on Goff at +4000 seems like a big value considering just how good the Lions should be this season.

Richardson is coming off a shoulder injury that caused him to miss most of his rookie season. However, in his small sample size from 2023, it’s clear that Richardson’s ceiling is endless. He is the most physically gifted quarterback in the league and his rushing ability should allow him to have success right away.

The Colts were nearly a playoff team last season with Gardner Minshew starting the majority of the games at QB. With the roster expected to be even better in 2024, Richardson could have a ton of success in Year 2. It’s still a bit of a reach to expect him to win an MVP, but we’ve seen Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson both make big leaps in Year 2 and go on to win the MVP award.