AFC 2025 Championship Odds: The Chiefs Return to the Super Bowl?

AFC 2025 Championship Odds: The Chiefs Return to the Super Bowl?

The 2025 AFC Championship odds are now available for wagering at the best NFL betting sites! We won’t know the winner until January, but it’s never too early to analyze the latest prices for the No. 1 seed and champion.

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC for a chance at a Super Bowl three-peat? Below, check out the latest odds, a complete analysis, and my 2025 AFC Championship predictions!

AFC 2024-25 Champion Odds

The following odds to win AFC are courtesy of BetUS:

Kansas City Chiefs+325
Baltimore Ravens+450
Cincinnati Bengals+700
Buffalo Bills+700
Houston Texans+750
Miami Dolphins+1200
New York Jets+1200
Los Angeles Chargers+1800
Jacksonville Jaguars+2000
Cleveland Browns+2000

The Kansas City Chiefs (+325) are favored to win their fifth AFC title in six years. As a +325 favorite, the reigning champs have an implied chance to win the AFC Championship of 23.5%.

After dropping a 17-10 defeat to the Chiefs in the 2024 AFC Championship, the Baltimore Ravens (+450) have the second-best odds to win this year. At +450, the Ravens have an 18.2% chance to win.

The Cincinnati Bengals (+700) and Buffalo Bills (+700) share the same AFC Champion odds, with a much lower implied probability of 12.5%.

You can find up-to-date odds for the 2025 AFC Championship at BetUS by navigating to Sportsbook > Football > NFL Conferences Futures > 2024-25 AFC Conference Winner > Display Selected.

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AFC 2024-25 Top Seed Betting Odds

The following AFC No. 1 seed odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Kansas City Chiefs+325
Baltimore Ravens+500
Cincinnati Bengals+600
Houston Texans+700
Buffalo Bills+800
New York Jets+900
Miami Dolphins+1100
Los Angeles Chargers+1500
Cleveland Browns+1600
Pittsburgh Steelers+2000

Along with being favored to win the AFC Championship, the Kansas City Chiefs (+325) have the best odds for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. With a record of 11-6 last season, they finished two games behind the Baltimore Ravens for the top spot.

Currently, the Ravens (+500) have the second-best price to repeat with the best record in the AFC in the regular season. As the +325 favorite, the Chiefs have a 23.5% implied probability, while the Ravens own a 16.7% chance for the top seed, according to Bovada.

You can find up-to-date odds on the AFC top seed at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Football > NFL Futures > AFC Championship.

Bovada Sportsbook
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AFC Favorites in 2024-25

Before finalizing my AFC Championship predictions, let’s evaluate the top favorites at sports betting sites. According to BetUS, these teams have the best chance of winning the AFC for the 2024-25 season!

Kansas City Chiefs (+325)

    • AFC Position in 2023-24: Champions
    • Key Players: Patrick Mahomes (QB), Travis Kelce (TE), Marquise Brown (WR), Chris Jones (DT), L’Jarius Sneed (CB)
    • Total AFC Championships: 4 (2020, 2021, 2023, 2024)
    • Head Coach: Andy Reid

The Kansas City Chiefs are expected to challenge for their fifth AFC title since 2020. Also, they are currently the favorites to win Super Bowl LIX and three-peat at Super Bowl betting sites.

Until the Chiefs give us a reason to not favor them, they remain the team to beat. You could argue that the Chiefs improved from last season, too.

The Achilles heel, if you want to look for one, was the offense didn’t fire on all cylinders at times. Aside from Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes often struggled to find a reliable target. However, that should change this season, with the acquisition of Marquise Brown.

He provides the Chiefs’ offense with their speediest option since Tyreek Hill, something they missed dearly last season. Mahomes and the offense should be more dangerous than we saw a season ago.

The team shouldn’t witness much regression defensively either after re-signing defensive tackle Chris Jones. In 2023-24, the Chiefs ranked second in the NFL, with an average of 289.8 yards allowed per game.

With an improved offense and a stout defense returning for the Chiefs, expect them to be the team to beat in the AFC. As much as many people would like to see a new champ, the Chiefs are the clear favorite.

Baltimore Ravens (+450)

    • AFC Position in 2023-24: Loss in AFC Championship
    • Key Players: Lamar Jackson (QB), Derrick Henry (RB), Zay Flowers (WR), Kyle Hamilton (S), Roquan Smith (LB)
    • Total AFC Championships: 2 (2000, 2012)
    • Head Coach: John Harbaugh

Is this the year John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens put it all together? Last season, they couldn’t generate enough offense to overcome the Chiefs’ defense in the AFC Championship in a 17-10 loss.

To bolster the offense and an additional weapon for Lamar Jackson, the Ravens signed running back Derrick Henry to a two-year, $20 million deal. The QB option with Jackson and Henry should prove to be tough for the defense to contain.

Henry, 30, is getting older, but putting a battering ram on the field combined with Jackson’s elusiveness is a huge threat. Now, if Jackson can open up the passing game with Zay Flowers, the Ravens have a case for being the most dangerous offense in the NFL.

Still, the Ravens would benefit from a star receiver opposite Flowers. Nelson Agholor and Rashod Bateman are fine weapons, but the wide receiver room doesn’t have the best depth.

The defense should continue to be amongst the best in the league despite losing talent. Safety Geno Stone and linebacker Patrick Queen’s departures hurt. However, 23-year-old safety Kyle Hamilton is entering his third season and will continue to grow.

For the Ravens to get past the Chiefs in the postseason, the offense must avoid a one-dimensional attack, which remains to be seen. With this in mind, the Ravens’ 2025 AFC Champion odds are within reason behind Kansas City.

Cincinnati Bengals (+700)

    • AFC Position in 2023-24: Did Not Qualify for Playoffs
    • Key Players: Joe Burrow (QB), Ja’Marr Chase (WR), Tee Higgins (WR), Trey Hendrickson (DE)
    • Total AFC Championships: 3 (1982, 1989, 2022)
    • Head Coach: Zac Taylor

The Cincinnati Bengals seek much better results with a healthy Joe Burrow in 2024-25. Last season, the quarterback played 10 games before exiting due to a torn ligament in his throwing wrist.

He passed for 2,309 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions on 66.8% passing before going down against the Ravens in November. The Bengals went 5-5 in games that Burrow started. It was a mediocre, up-and-down season in Cincinnati after going to the Super Bowl a year earlier.

They finished last in the AFC North at 9-8. A healthy Burrow likely gives the Bengals two more wins, so the Bengals still would have come short of the Ravens’ 13-4 record.

What changes with the Bengals in 2024-25? With a healthy Burrow, the Bengals should be an 11-win team. Like I said, Burrow gives them two or three more wins than a season ago. My concern here isn’t with the offense, though!

The team didn’t make huge waves in free agency to improve their defense. It’s adequate, but not strong enough to compete with the Chiefs and Ravens. After requesting a trade in April, pass rusher Trey Hendrickson will be back, but depth is a concern.

The Bengals’ AFC Championship 2025 odds are about accurate at +700.

Buffalo Bills (+700)

    • AFC Position in 2023-24: Loss in Divisional Round
    • Key Players: Josh Allen (QB), Dalton Kincaid (TE), Keon Coleman (WR), Matt Milano (LB), Taylor Rapp (S)
    • Total AFC Championships: 4 (1991, 1992, 1993, 1994)
    • Head Coach: Sean McDermott

Patience is wearing thin in Orchard Park. The Buffalo Bills have had the talent over the last several years to win championships. However, the drought continues, with the Bills consistently failing to win the AFC title since 1994.

They will look slightly different this season. The team will be without star No. 1 wide receiver Stefon Diggs for the first time since 2019. Although Diggs didn’t record his best numbers in 2023-24, he still had 1,183 yards receiving with eight touchdowns.

The organization is anticipating rookie Keon Coleman to step in and develop into the new No. 1. However, quarterback Josh Allen’s favorite target will likely be tight end Dalton Kincaid. Expect big things out of Kincaid in his sophomore campaign.

There should be some initial growing pains for Allen, but the offense should sharpen up later in the year. In addition to a new-look offense without Diggs, the Bills said goodbye to safety Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde. The secondary will look different, though this unit has dealt with constant injuries over the last few years.

I don’t oppose the Bills reaching the AFC Championship Game. They’ll be better than anticipated without Diggs when it matters the most in December. However, Coleman or another receiver must step up to push the Ravens and Chiefs’ defense!

Best Sleepers for the AFC Title in 2024-25

The AFC 2025 Champion odds at Bovada reveal a few sleepers that have a chance to upset the league in 2024-25. Let’s check out the best dark horse picks for my AFC Championship predictions:

  1. How quickly will Jim Harbaugh’s system come together in Los Angeles? The new head coach wants to bring his smash-mouth Big Ten offense to the West Coast. Anything that gives quarterback Justin Herbert an upper hand should be well-received.

    Herbert should flourish with Harbaugh prioritizing a more balanced offense. Although I am confident that the head coach needs another year to really get the most out of this team, there is a chance he hits it big right out of the gate.

  2. Is this a redemption season for Trevor Lawrence? It’s a make-or-break year for the QB, as he has to prove that he belongs in the conversation with other elite quarterbacks. After a breakout year in 2022-23, Lawrence and the Jaguars fluttered to a record of 9-8.

    There is a reasonable chance that the Jaguars return to form in 2024-25. The talent is present for the Jaguars to make a big push, so there is certainly betting value on Jacksonville’s AFC Champion odds at +3000.

  3. Colts’ quarterback Anthony Richardson will make his long-awaited return to the field after his rookie campaign was cut short. He played four games before exiting with an AC Joint sprain that needed surgery. When Richardson was active, he looked like one of the most exciting young QBs in the NFL.

    Despite rolling with Gardner Minshew under center, the Colts still managed to win nine games and be competitive for the AFC South title. If Richardson comes back from his injury and picks up where he left off, there is a solid opportunity for the Colts to play spoiler in the AFC!

AFC No. 1 Seed 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick

Before revealing my top pick to win the AFC Championship, let’s assess the AFC No. 1 seed odds at Bovada! In 2023-24, the Ravens won the No. 1 seed with a regular season record of 13-4.

If everything goes accordingly, they are looking at returning to the playoffs as the top seed in the AFC. I question John Harbaugh’s ability to out-coach Andy Reid in the playoffs, but Jackson and Henry will be a lot for teams to handle in the regular season.

Flowers’ development is key to a strong run for the Ravens. If Flowers opens up the passing game downfield, which I believe he will, the Ravens’ offense will be difficult for defenses to prepare for this season.

At +500, for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, the Ravens are a strong value play.

The Bet
Baltimore Ravens #1 AFC Seed

AFC Championship 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick

Much to the disappointment of the rest of the NFL, the back-to-back Super Bowl champs didn’t get worse in the offseason. The Kansas City Chiefs are well-equipped to become the first squad to three-peat in the Super Bowl era.

The offense was inconsistent at times last year, so the front office signed Brown and drafted Xavier Worthy to give Mahomes more weapons. Even if Rashee Rice is suspended, the Chiefs will be in fine shape before he is back.

Additionally, defensively the Chiefs aren’t expected to regress significantly. Most of the key pieces from last season’s stout unit are returning for the 2024-25 campaign.

Expect to find the Chiefs back in the Super Bowl for the third consecutive season! Currently, BetUS is offering a generous price on the Chiefs to win the AFC title at +325, so consider backing this bet!

The Bet
Kansas City Chiefs AFC Champions
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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