Are the Miami Dolphins a Smart Super Bowl Bet?

Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Potential

The Miami Dolphins sit at 30/1 odds to win Super Bowl LVI, and you may consider wagering on one of the dark horses to take the big game for the first time in 50 seasons.

But are the Dolphins worth the somewhat risky bet?

Hey, they started this long rebuild 2 seasons ago, got throttled a few times, and ended last season with a 10-6 record with a potential franchise quarterback for the first time since Dan Marino graced the field.

Ryan Tannehill held the fort down for a while, but can you really call him the team’s first franchise quarterback since Marino? Barely.

So let’s decide whether the Miami Dolphins are worth the bet at the online sportsbooks as the Tua Era enters its second season overall and first full season.

Ready for more information?

Miami Dolphins Offseason

Sure, Tua may have looked horrendous in some mini camp sessions, which will cause you to turn away quickly. But hey, this is why teams hold mini camps – to diagnose and correct mistakes. One way Tua will fix his downfield throwing issues comes from the addition of Jaylon Waddle.

And in case you did not make the connection, the two players were teammates at the University of Alabama.

Yeah, so with previous chemistry alone, you already got the arrow pointing north for Tua.

They also added Malcolm Brown to a backfield that already includes Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed. Brown, underused during his previous stop in LA, could carve a finer niche in South Beach.

They also added Will Fuller V to go with incumbent pass catchers Devante Parker, Preston Williams, and Mike Gesicki.

And remember, Waddle has also come to town. This supporting cast alone will raise Tua’s level of play, if he does not accomplish the opposite.

So we have a lot of talent on the Miami offense from both old faces and new signees and draftees alone. They also added key signees in quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who perhaps had the best quarterback sneak in NFL history in 2020, and center Matt Skura.

Flip over to defense and the team added defensive tackle Adam Butler from…the New England Patriots.

Remember, the Dolphins love to raid their rival up north and they do so annually.

But who wouldn’t want to take their talents to South Beach after freezing for a few years in New England? Hey, it’s a selling point that their AFC East rivals don’t have.

Defensive tackle John Jenkins returns to provide depth.

Ditto for Jason McCourty from…the New England Patriots. The Dolphins also raided the Texans with signing key depth players in Brennan Scarlett and Benardrick McKinney.

Miami Dolphins Offense

We touched a little on the team’s offense above, and many of you are skeptics regarding Tua Tagovailoa. On one side of the equation, pundits criticize him for his 181 passing yards per game, which ranked 33rd in the NFL. On the other side, supporters point out his 6-3 record as a starting quarterback.

Justin Herbert, our Offensive Rookie of the Year who the LA Chargers drafted behind Tua recorded a 6-9 record. And top pick Joe Burrow floundered with a 2-7-1 outing in Cincinnati.

If you think the NFL Universe is unfair to Tua, you’re on the right track. The kid also tossed for 11 touchdown passes as opposed to just 5 picks, and he completed 64 percent of his passes. When he takes more shots downfield to his ultra-talented pass catching unit, he will make The Leap.

And it will happen as early as 2021.

Also as mentioned, Devante Parker, Mike Gesicki, Will Fuller, Jaylon Waddle, and Preston Williams provide one of the league’s best supporting casts. Oh, and if you’re a Tua doubter, it’s important to remember both Parker and Gesicki weren’t that good during their rookie campaigns.

In fact, we all had the Bust Label on Parker until 2019.

Myles Gaskin is another player who can catch, but by coming out of the backfield. Salvon Ahmed proved his worth last season, despite his status as an undrafted rookie free agent. And we also cannot forget about Malcolm Brown, the latter of whom has the size Gaskin and Ahmed lack.

Please Note:
The offensive line is also one of the league’s best, having allowed just 34 sacks which ranked 15th in the league. However, Austin Jackson must get better as a tackle. The Dolphins were so unimpressed; they drafted Liam Eichenberg to potentially protect Tua’s blindside (right tackle, as opposed to left tackle).

Last season, Robert Hunt protected Tua’s blindside, but it’s possible they kick him inside to guard, which is a better fit for him at the NFL level. Center Matt Skura is among the best in the NFL, and Solomon Kindley is ready to take over at one of the guard positions.

Miami Dolphins Defense and Special Teams

Don’t let the team’s low rankings on defense fool you – 20th in total defense and 23rd in passing defense. They ranked third in turnover differential, fifth in points allowed, 10th in sacks, and first in interceptions. They’re a big-play defense that often makes them.

  • And they were a major reason the Dolphins won so many games in 2020.
  • Plus, they play a major factor why the team may become a smart Super Bowl bet in 2021.

If Xavien Howard can get his contract situation under control, the Dolphins have the best ballhawk in football. Their CB2, Byron Jones, won’t often show on the stat sheet. However, he’s often one of the league’s best shutdown corners, even if he had a down year in 2020.

Expect him to bounce back.

Look for Noah Igbinoghene to step up. He played in all 16 games as a rookie and could take over the nickel role in 2021. Safety Brandon Jones is another second-year player to look out for, having carved a fine niche last season in 4 starts and 16 appearances.

Finally, Eric Rowe is one of the most reliable safeties in the league in both stopping the run and locking down tight ends.

Only Travis Kelce and Darren Waller gained over 55 yards against Rowe in 2020. Linebacker Jerome Baker again eclipsed the 100-tackle mark.

And if Vince Biegel bounces back after missing 2020 with a knee injury, the Dolphins will have a dangerous tandem at inside linebacker.

They also have Benardrick McKinney as an insurance policy.

Oh, and Andrew Van Ginkel flashed with 5.5 sacks in 11 starts last season. He too is one to watch. If Sam Eguavoen makes a successful transition from the CFL to the NFL in Year 3 of his NFL journey, the Dolphins have a solid set of linebackers.

End Emmanuel Ogbah had a breakout season with 9 sacks in 2020. He leads the unit that also includes former first-round pick Christian Wilkins, but the latter must get more consistent in all facets of the game.

Adam Butler is one of the best pass rushing defensive tackles in football, with 17 sacks and 105 pressures since his rookie season in 2017. The former undrafted free agent finds a new home in Miami, and will fill a role that was borderline vacant in 2020.

The Dolphins have one of the league’s best kickers in Jason Sanders, who converted 36 of 39 field goal attempts in 2020.

However, Michael Palardy has his work cut out for him at punter. A journeyman, he has spent time with 9 different professional sports teams, including a stop in the CFL.

Are the Miami Dolphins a Smart Super Bowl Bet?

The Miami Dolphins are a riskier Super Bowl bet because despite their talent, they remain an unproven franchise. Plus, the AFC contains contenders all over the place.

Another downside for the Miami Dolphins is that, on paper, they don’t look as talented as the Buffalo Bills or New England Patriots.

Let alone winning the Super Bowl, it will be a chore for this team to make the playoffs. But even then, expect them to do so as a Wildcard, meaning they must become road warriors to stand any chance at winning the Super Bowl.

Can they win it?

Hey, teams have done it the hard way in the past. Just look at the 1997 Denver Broncos, 2005 Pittsburgh Steelers, 2010 Green Bay Packers, and even the 2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

However, it’s rare.
So unless you believe the Dolphins are the breakout team in 2021, they’re hard to bet on winning this thing with teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills, among others, atop the league’s power structure.

If you’re looking to bet on a proven team, steer clear of the Dolphins. However, if intuition tells you the Miami Dolphins are this year’s version of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they may reward you.


The Miami Dolphins are no longer light years away from Super Bowl contention. But they’re still the third best team in their division on paper.

That said:
They face an uphill climb to even get into the playoffs, let alone win the Super Bowl. But they have the talent to win the big game. It’s all there on paper, especially with a big play defense and an offense loaded with stars in each unit. It should come as no surprise if the Dolphins end up winning this thing. However, they still don’t boast the most favorable odds, considering the fact they’re still one of the league’s most unproven teams.

Do you think the Miami Dolphins are a good wager at the NFL betting sites to win the Super Bowl? Let us know your opinion in the comments.


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Rex Hoffman / Author

Rex Hoffman is a passionate sports writer, with over five years of experience covering sports journalism in line with the Vegas betting landscape. His favorite subjects include football, basketball, and baseball. As a Las Vegas resident, he enjoys finding an edge against the local sportsbooks and aims to share his extensive knowledge with both beginners and experienced bettors. Rex also dabbles in horse racing wagering and enjoys typical casino fare like blackjack and poker in his spare time.

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