As of April, the New York Giants Over/Under sits at 7 games. And they have potential to overcome their projected Over/Under with a lot of ‘Ifs.’
The Giants also have a lot of potential on offense, especially with Evan Engram, Sterling Shepherd, Darious Slayton, and Kadarius Toney rounding up the pass-catching unit. You won’t find a dull spot on this offense, minus Jones.
State of the New York Giants
The New York Giants can win the game on offense, especially after those 2 ‘Ifs’ mentioned in the intro. Give this team a good quarterback play in Jones and keep Barkley healthy.
With their talent at the pass-catching unit, they can move the ball downfield with ease. The Giants are also deep, whether it’s at the defensive line, linebacker, receiver, anywhere on the field.
However, it’s important to remember a few weaknesses, which we will outline in later sections along with their strengths. The Giants have a head coach from Bill Belichick’s coaching tree, and they barely work out. Matt Patricia learned that when he was fired from the Detroit Lions in mid-season.
This is also a team that has yet to prove itself, despite their surrounding talent. The Giants have won little over the last decade, and it’s seeping into the 2020s. Therefore, expectations are so low that you may hesitate to bet the Over.
Strengths of the New York Giants
Saquon Barkley remains the face of the franchise as he heads into his fourth season. Barkley missed most of Year 3 with a torn ACL, and he found himself banged up often in Year 2, despite putting up stellar production. However, expect him to start strong in Year 4.
Offensive line remained a weak unit in 2020, but former first-round pick Andrew Thomas improved as the season wore on. Look for him to turn the position into a strength in 2021. If Will Hernandez and Nate Solder return to form, the Giants can run all day and if Jones is alright, will pass on anyone.
In the defensive backfield, Logan Ryan, Adoree Jackson, and James Bradberry lead a strong defensive backs unit. Overall, the Giants look much better than what their 2020 record showed on paper. And now, in Year 2 of this regime, they appear to have filled the remaining gaps.
Weaknesses of the New York Giants
Let’s be honest: Daniel Jones has the talent to be an NFL quarterback. However, he showed little growth in 2020, and perhaps he took a step back.
After tossing 24 touchdowns in 2019, he threw just 11 in 2020. His quarterback rating dropped from 87.7 to 80.4, and through 14 games, threw for fewer than 3,000 yards. Jones is out of excuses with the surrounding talent.
- He has 2 bookend tackles.
- An outstanding running back.
- An outstanding tight end.
- And a plethora of phenomenal receivers.
If you believe the Giants can encroach the Over, remember that Jones remains your best bet. Mike Glennon, Joe Webb, and Clayton Thorson won’t give this team a chance to win. It’s Jones or bust for the Giants, and we’re looking at a quarterback who may find himself on his last chance to be a starter.
Also, the coaching staff from the Belichick tree is never a basket to place your eggs, regardless of how successful they were in New England. And Judge is one of those coaches. When you look at previous Belichick disciples, how many succeeded as head coaches? Few, if any.
In today’s league, a good coach/quarterback combo will drive a team to succeed. However, this combo can also become a liability on what otherwise looks like a talented team. And as you can see from the Strengths section above, the Giants boast perhaps more talent than their NFC East rivals.
Yeah, if the Giants actually pulled it off, you can place a futures wager tomorrow at the top NFL betting sites that this team will contend for the Lombardi Trophy. And it matters not on who’s coaching. But until they do so, the Giants remain an ultra-high risk even for an Over/Under.
However, let’s study their schedule before we base things on their strengths and weaknesses alone.
New York Giants Schedule
The New York Giants play the NFC East, and historically, they play well against the Washington Football Team. At least with recent history.
However, Washington and Dallas both improved, and the only team they match well with on paper are the Philadelphia Eagles. Expect a floor of 1-5, however, as the Eagles have the potential to build a lethal offense stemming from the strengths of quarterback, Jalen Hurts.
The Giants finished 2nd in the NFC East, and they will play the Los Angeles Rams, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Chicago Bears. The Bears are the only team they match up well against here. Maybe the Steelers if they play them late in the season. Expect 0-3 at the worst, and 2-1 tops. They aren’t ready to contend with LA.
They also don’t match well with the Las Vegas Raiders or the Los Angeles Chargers. But they match really well with the Denver Broncos, Atlanta Falcons, and Carolina Panthers. You can expect a floor of 3-5 against common opponents, and a ceiling of 5-3.
Are the New York Giants a Better Bet for the Over?
The Giants can encroach their Over, but they must win games against teams they match well with, that being the Falcons, Broncos, Eagles, and Panthers. It will give them 5 wins, so they must also have a repeat regarding their success in the NFC East, which brings them to 7 wins (finished 4-2 in 2020).
The Giants must win at least 1 game against their uncommon opponents to reach the 8-9 mark and encroach their Over/Under, or defeat either the Raiders or Chargers. However, as mentioned in the previous section, the Giants, talent-wise, don’t stack up well.
If you bet conservatively, expect 2 wins in the division, perhaps 3 wins against the common opponents that they match well with, and 1 win against the non-common opponents. It still doesn’t even give you a push.
However, if you’re aggressive, or if you believe the Giants are better than their projected win total, they can once again win 4 games in the NFC East, and perhaps upset a team or 2 that matches up better than they do on paper.
The Giants have the talent. But do they have the correct coach slash quarterback combo in place to pull off the shocker?
The New York Giants have a lot of talent, but their coach and quarterback remain inferior to the bulk of the NFL’s coach slash quarterback combos. In today’s league, you need both to see your team overachieve and encroach on the Over.
However, if Jones and Judge get it together, along with the team remaining healthy, you can expect them to at least contend to grace the Over/Under in 2021. Every bet in this game is high risk, but the Giants may just be among the highest risk slash reward bets in the league.
What are your thoughts on the New York Giants? Are they a good bet for the Over in 2021 at the online sportsbooks? Or will we see the same old Giants from recent memory take the field? Let us know your thoughts in the comments and we look forward to reading your opinion.