The PGA Tour’s west coast swing continues this week with the Pebble Beach Pro/Am from the breathtaking Monterey Peninsula on California’s central coast.
It’s no secret the Tour makes several stops at some of the most beautiful places in the world, and Pebble Beach is one of them.
Last week, golf fans were entertained by a Caddyshack-esque marmot buzzing the Waste Management speedboat around the waters of the Phoenix Open.
This week on the California coastline, the experience is a bit more organic.
Rain on Friday and Sunday with the potential for gusts north of 30 MPH is the forecast for the weekend.
Seemingly 90% of the entire field saw their play heavily affected by rainy weather last week in Phoenix. There were a few golfers, though, that saw the inclement weather as an opportunity to climb the leaderboard. That says something about not only their ability to adjust their game to the elements, but more so their adjustment of the sails without ego or emotion involved.
Maybe a couple of the golfers that excelled in the “suck” in Phoenix, to borrow from the military, will be rain ready at Pebble Beach this weekend.
The Pebble Beach National Pro/Am is made of three courses played over four days with the cut coming on Saturday after 54 holes.
Some of the celebrities in attendance include the great Wayne Gretzky as well as top NFL quarterbacks Aaron “Don’t call me A-A-Ron” Rodgers and “Matty Ice” Matt Ryan.
Apparently, Rodgers is a heck of a player with only a four handicap. It’s been a few years, but I hope it’s not too late to see some discount double check action from the champ.
I’m sorry, Packer fans. I know it’s been a while since you’ve seen this as well.
Oh yeah, there are some of the world’s best golfers in the field this week too.
Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, and the red-hot Matt Kuchar are the favorites at Pebble Beach. Let’s break down their odds along with a few loud sleepers that could make some serious noise this weekend.
Our friends at BetOnline have provided the betting odds. Now let’s sort through them for the best value.
Odds to Win the Pebble Beach National Pro/Am
Dustin Johnson just keeps getting top bill in nearly every tournament he plays, even though his dominant play has lessened significantly over the past six months. His last victory came in July at the Canadian Open which included one of the weaker fields of the year.
It’s not like he has fallen off the map completely. He came back to finish 4th among some excellent competition when he defended his Tournament of Champions crown last month.
He was even 3rd at the 2018 Tour Championship, so even though the level of his play has slid, he is still one of the best in the world and placing as such.
With that being said, it doesn’t make much sense betting him to win here.
That is unless he has a celebrity partner that isn’t afraid to turn up the Tom Jones in his head and quickly jump into a little good luck dance.
Yes, the great Alfonso Ribeiro will be a part of the Pebble Beach field, and I’m certainly rooting for him to make an eagle solely in hopes he busts out that timeless two-step.
Looking at last year’s final leaderboard, I see the unknown Ted Potter Jr. came away with the win. He’s in the field this week at an astounding (+12500).
Eight doll hairs on the defending champion can net you 1,000 bucks!
Although, I like Ted’s value to finish in the top twenty (+500) much better.
Finishing last year’s event tied for runner-up was a very strong group of four golfers; Jason Day, Dustin Johnson, Chez Reavie, and Phil Mickelson.
This score of 68 is quite impressive and could be very telling ahead of his performance at Pebble Beach this weekend. The final round scores all around him were above par including a 75 from Kuchar and a 74 from tournament winner Rickie Fowler.
The 5’9″ Reavie turned 37 last November and seems to be playing some of the best golf of his career as of late.
With just one win coming over a decade ago, it’s hard to pick Chez as an outright victor. I love him, though, as a top twenty bet as he is a steal at plus money (+125).
Another golfer who excelled in the bad weather last week and has consistently done so in his career is the South African, Branden Grace.
With eight European Tour victories and one PGA Tour win under his belt, Branden finished a respectable eight under par on these links a year ago, good for 20th place.
I like him to repeat that top twenty performance this week (+150), especially considering the potential for rain and wind on an already soggy course.
So, Phil Mickelson crushes Pebble Beach!
He has even outdueled Tiger here!
With four wins and numerous top ten finishes as well as a one-stroke runner-up performance two weeks ago at the Desert Classic.
Along with Phil to finish top 20 (+105) and sticking with the “long hair don’t care” guys, European star Tommy Fleetwood is accustomed to playing in adverse conditions as well.
Throw Fleetwood (-105) in your top twenty betting pool.
“Kuch” has been lights out even going back to last year. Matt has won two of his last four starts, finishing 4th and 19th in the other two.
My pick to win the Pebble Beach Pro/Am is the veteran Matt Kuchar (+2000).
This weekend’s tournament at Pebble Beach should be a lot of fun! Whether you enjoy celebrity watching, you’re a big fan of the PGA Tour, and/or you want to make some money off these guys, Pebble Beach has you covered.
Picking a winner will be tough with talented golfers in the field like Dustin Johnson, Aussie Jason Day, and Tour veterans Phil Mickelson and Matt Kuchar.
I have been going with more top twenty bets this year as opposed to trying to pick an outright winner.
I couldn’t find odds on the top celebrity performer, but if you get the opportunity, put in all on Larry the Cable Guy.
The word in the golf underground is Larry has been mentored closely by the most dominant celebrity golfer of all-time, Sir Charles Barkley.
It doesn’t get much better than that folks.
Don’t forget: Kuch to win!