The Best College Football Over/Under Wagers for Week 7

Florida Gators vs LSU Tigers - Over-Under Bets

  • Gators March into Baton Rouge where an upset could be brewing
  • Can Stout Cowboys defense keep match with Longhorns UNDER the points total?
  • Would you dare go UNDER on the high-flying Pitt offense at Virginia Tech?
  • BYU will need points to subdue cresting Baylor
  • Aggies running game will shred defenseless Missouri

For help on bettering the over/unders, you can check our totals betting guide here.

Florida (4-2, 2-2) at LSU (3-3, 1-2)

  • Time: 9:00AM PST – 11:00AM CST – 12:00PM EST
  • Place: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
  • TV: ESPN

The Series:

Over the years, this is one of the SEC’s most competitive series as the Gators hold a 33-31-3 margin over LSU and they lead the Tigers, 12-8, since 1981. The two teams are deadlocked 17-17 in Baton Rouge, but Dan Mullen is 3-9 against the Tigers and 1-2 as the head coach at Florida. The Tigers upset the Gators, 37-34, in overtime last season in The Swamp when Cade York nailed a 57-yard field goal.

Last Week:

Gators quarterback Emory Jones threw four touchdown passes as he completed 14 of 22 passes for 273 yards as Florida toyed with outmanned Vanderbilt, 42-0, on homecoming in Gainesville. Jones had a 61 yard TD pass to Dameon Pierce and a 24 yarder to Jacob Copeland in the third quarter as Copeland led the receivers with five catches for 79 yards. The vaunted Gators rush offense quietly complemented Jones in the passing game as Florida ran for 181 yards on 34 carries.

One commonality that these two teams have is that they both were clawed and scratched by the Kentucky Wildcats in Lexington in each of the last two weeks. Kentucky QB Will Levis ran for two touchdowns and threw for three as the Wildcats broke on top of LSU, 21-0, early in the second quarter and were never seriously threatened. Kentucky rushed for 330 yards while LSU running back Tyrion Davis-Price had 22 carries for 147 yards and two last touchdowns.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
LSU Tigers +12 (-105) +320 O 58.5 (-110)
Florida Gators -12 (-115) -425 U 58.5 (-110)

When the Gators Have the Ball:

Florida Gators LogoFlorida’s running game has been destructive to opposing defenses and after LSU gave up 330 to Kentucky last week, this could be another travesty in for a Tigers rush defense that gives up 230.8 yards on the ground (72nd/CFB). Florida’s Emory Jones is the catalyst he leads the rushing attack through the zone read where he has rushed for 6.4 yards per carry out of the quarterback position. With the problems that LSU had with Will Levis and how he operated with Chris Rodriguez and Kavosiey Smoke, Florida’s No. 3 rush offense (273.7 ypg) looks like it is in for a strong Saturday afternoon.

When the Tigers Have the Ball:

LSU Tigers LogoMax Johnson is putting up numbers in the LSU passing game this season as he has completed 61.6 percent of his throws for 1,729 yards with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions. How much that changes with leading receiver Kayshon Boutte (38-508-9) out for the season now with a leg injury is anyone’s guess. Tyrion Davis-Price needs to be a factor in the running game to help balance the injury status of a superstar in Boutte. Last week was the first 100-plus yards game since last Nov. 21 when he went for 104 vs. Arkansas. Florida rush specialist Zachary Carter could have a big day as he has five sacks and 8.5 tackles for loss.

Why Bet the UNDER 58.5:

An early game in Baton Rouge where they love these types of matchups at night could be a mental thing early for LSU as an 11 am local start doesn’t do anything for packing the Tigers’ crib for a huge matchup. The Gators will be able to control the clock with the run and go up top off of the rushing game.

The key is how much can LSU score with Boutte out and no receivers have stepped up beside of him. Overall, Florida has been much better defensively this season as it allows only 318 yards per game (28th/CFB) despite only four interceptions so far.

No. 12 Oklahoma State (5-0, 2-0) at No. 25 Texas (4-2, 2-1)

  • Time: 9:00AM PST – 11:00AM CST – 12:00PM EST
  • Place: Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, TX
  • TV: ESPN

The Series:

Texas posts a 26-9 margin over the Cowboys in the series and a 15-6 ledger in Austin. Cowboys coach Mike Gundy is 7-9 vs. the Longhorns, who defeated Oklahoma State, 41-34, in overtime in Stillwater last season. Oklahoma State has won seven of the last 11 matchups with the Longhorns as well as five of the last six in Austin. The Pokes won five straight times in Austin between 2010 and 2017 and that is the only time in history that an opponent won in five straight trips to battle the Longhorns.

Last Week:

Jaylen Warren rushed for a pair of touchdowns as Oklahoma State knocked off Baylor, 24-14, in Stillwater. Warren rushed for 125 yards on 36 carries while Tay Martin caught six balls for 110 yards. The Cowboys led 14-0 at half-time before Baylor rallied to within 17-14 with 12:04 left in the game. Warren camped an 8-play, 56-yard drive with a four-yard TD run with 2:04 remaining.

Texas led Oklahoma, 28-7, at the end of the first quarter, but when the Sooners rallied, they ran by the Longhorns, 55-48, to deal Texas its second loss of the season. The Longhorns still led 41-23 with 2:45 left in the third quarter before the Sooners scored 32 points in the next 17 minutes. QB Casey Thompson tossed a pair of TD passes each to Xavier Worthy and Joshua Moore. Kennedy Brooks’ 33-yard run with three seconds on the clock was the difference in the game for the Sooners.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Texas Longhorns -5 (-110) -200 O 60.5 (-110)
Oklahoma State Cowboys +5 (-110) +175 U 60.5 (-110)

When the Cowboys Have the Ball:

Oklahoma State Cowboys LogoOklahoma State posts 378.4 yards per game (82nd/CFB) as they have balance on both side of the ball as coach Mike Gundy has a steady dual-threat QB in Spencer Sanders who averages 8.1 yards per pass attempt while rushing for 196 yards on 46 carries. Sanders has several fleet receivers, led by Tay Martin’s 317 on 21 catches. The Cowboys’ running game is solid as Jaylen Warren has rolled up 512 yards and six TDs.

Texas has struggled against the run, so Warren could be in for a breakout day as the ‘Horns have given up 196.2 yards per game (110th/CFB) while opponents have rolled up 437 yards per night (106th.CFB). Linebacker DeMarvion Overshown leads the ‘Horns in tackles with 52.

When the Longhorns Have the Ball:

Texas Longhorns LogoGetting used to calling the Cowboys a defensive football team is not easy as they are allowing only 305.2 yards (18th/CFB) and then the rushing defense only allows 91 yards per game (13th/CFB). The balance on this Longhorns’ offense is incredible as they rush for 244 and pass for 234 and distribute the points and yardage. QB Casey Thompson has won the job outright as he threw five touchdown passes and threw for 388 yards against Oklahoma.

Xavier Worthy and Joshua Moore are two highlight-reel wide receivers, who have proven to have stellar speed in navigating through opposing secondaries. Bijan Robinson has been a major presence as the sophomore has racked up yards with 789 yards on 125 carries in six games while catching 11 balls for 169 yards. The Pokes only have two interceptions this season, both by safety Kolby Harvel-Peel.

Why Bet the OVER 60.5:

The Cowboys are going to be able to score points on this Texas defense which means we could be looking at a shootout. The Longhorns’ offense is a different animal than either Kansas State or Baylor as there is skill and weapons in every position. Steve Sarkisian is one of the best play-callers in the game as is Mike Gundy.

Pittsburgh (4-1, 1-0) at Virginia Tech (3-2, 1-0)

  • Time: 12:30PM PST – 2:30PM CST – 3:30PM EST
  • Place: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA
  • TV: ESPN

The Series:

The Hokies sport an 11-9 mark against the Panthers, but Pittsburgh owns a 5-4 advantage since the Panthers joined the ACC in 2012. The last three meetings in the series have been terribly one-side as Pittsburgh man-handled the Hokies, 47-14, at Heinz Field last season and 52-22 in 2018.

In the last meeting at Lane Stadium, Virginia Tech shut out the Panthers, 28-0. Panthers coach Pat Narduzzi and Tech’s Justin Fuentes have matched up five times and Fuentes holds the 3-2 advantage.

Last Week:

Pitt enjoyed an open date after the Panthers blasted Georgia Tech, 52-21, on Oct. 2 in Atlanta. Panthers QB Kenny Pickett went 23 of 36 for 389 yards and four TDs as Taysir Mack caught five of those passes for 121 yards. Pickett threw three of those TD passes before halftime as the Panthers led 41-14 at the break.

Jonathan Doerer kicked a 48-yard field goal with 17 seconds remaining to lift Notre Dame over the Hokies, 32-29. Virginia Tech led for much of the game and took a 22-21 lead on Jermaine Waller’s 26-yard interception return to end the third quarter. Notre Dame outgained the Hokies, 401-321.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Virginia Tech Hokies +5 (-110) +175 O 58 (-110)
Pittsburgh Panthers -5 (-110) -210 U 58 (-110)

When the Panthers Have the Ball:

Pittsburgh Panthers LogoQuarterback Kenny Pickett is playing his way up to the top of NFL Draft boards as he has completed 72 percent of his passes with 19 touchdowns and only one interception. He quarterbacks this Pitt offense which is third in the nation in rolling up 554 yards per game and they lead the nation averaging 52.4 points per game. Jordan Addison (29-524-9) and Taysir Mack (16-304-2) are his two favorite targets and Addison’s nine TD catches currently lead the nation.

Tech has allowed on 196 yards passing per game (35th/CFB) while giving up 18.6 points per game (24th/CFB). Jermaine Waller has four interceptions to lead the Hokies, who have seven picks, but only one fumble recovery. The Hokies are 15-3 under Fuente when they force two or more turnovers and have a 9-1 mark at Lane Stadium under that category.

When the Hokies Have the Ball:

Virginia Tech Hokies LogoQuarterback Braxton Burmeister is 5-1 in six starts at Lane Stadium and 6-3 overall as the Hokies’ signal-caller. He has accounted for 60.2 percent of his passes with six touchdowns – four through the air and two on the ground. Tech’s offense has been an enigma as it has only yielded 327 yards per game (116th/CFB).

Burmeister actually leads the moribund VT rushing attack with 189 yards on 56 carries. His favorite receiver, Tre Turner. Has caught 22 balls for 330 yards. Burmeister has to throw the ball and do exceedingly well for Virginia Tech to have a shot. Pitt’s defense is a run-stop outfit as opponents only gather 102.2 yards per game (20th/CFZB).

Why Bet the OVER 58:

The question is whether Pitt can go into Lane Stadium and accentuate its offensive averages vs. the Hokies, who have historically had a major home-field advantage, but this year with an average team, the Panthers could exploit the Tech defense. Virginia Tech has very little of a rushing attack, so Pitt’s pass defense is going to be on notice. Pickett and company have had little trouble all season in finding ways to win.

In the Panthers’ loss to Western Michigan, the Panthers turned the ball over three times and the Broncos scored two of their TDs as a result of two of those turnovers.

No. 19 BYU (5-1) at Baylor (5-1, 3-1)

  • Time: 12:30PM PST – 2:30PM CST – 3:30PM EST
  • Place: McLane Stadium, Waco, Tx
  • TV: ESPN

The Series:

This is only the third meeting between the Bears and Cougars as they split two games in 1983 and 1984. Following that loss to the Bears, BYU went on its 25-game winning streak that led to the 1984 national championship. The Cougars come into this game with three Pac-12 wins to start the season, including an impressive 27-17 win over Arizona State. The Bears garnered notice when they defeated No. 14 Iowa State, 31-29, on Sept. 25.

Last Week:

The Cougars suffered their first loss of the season when they turned the ball over four times in a 26-17 loss to Boise State. Jaren Hall threw for a career-high 302 yards while Tyler Allgeier rushed for 73 yards on 19 carries. BYU outgained Boise State, 413-312.

Gerry Bohanon had a career-high 336 passing yards and four TDs as he threw a 75-yard strike to Tyquan Thornton in the Bears’ 45-20 rout of West Virginia. Thornton had eight catches for 187 yards and two TDs while the Bears’ defense sacked West Virginia QBs six times. The Bears took a 28-7 lead early in the second period on Bohanon’s 11-yard TD pass to Thornton.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Baylor Bears -6.5 (+100) -235 O 50.5 (-110)
BYU Cougars +6.5 (-120) +190 U 50.5 (-110)

When the Cougars Have the Ball:

BYU Cougars LogoOffensively, the Cougars have been better than average all season as they balance offense and defense so well that the numbers sometimes don’t tell the story of their efficiency in games. Tyler Allgeier is the impetus of the offense as he has 642 yards on 121 carries and eight rushing touchdowns.

Hall has completed 59.8 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns with three picks. He had his best game in the Cougars’ win over Utah State with his first 300-yard passing game and he had three TD passes in the win over Utah. Baylor’s rushing defense gives up 167 yards per game (67th/CFB), but it allows only 176 through the air (15th/CFB).

When the Bears Have the Ball:

Baylor Bears LogoBohanon is coming on the scene as a force as he has yet to throw an interception in 145 passes while posting 11 TDs and a 66.2 completion rate. He has a deep and talented group of wide receivers, led by Thornton who has caught 27 balls for 463 yards and five TDs. The Cougars’ pass defense has been susceptible as it has allowed 238 yards per game (82nd/CFB).

Why Bet the UNDER 50.5:

Baylor is at home and should be able to use its depth and athleticism to get the passing game going behind Bohanon. The BYU running attack will try to emphasize ball control vs. the Bears’ active front. Allgeier will look for a bounce-back game after last week while Hall will need to use his athleticism on passing downs.

Texas A&M (4-2, 1-2) at Missouri (3-3, 0-2)

  • Time: 9:00AM PST – 11:00AM CST – 12:00PM EST
  • Place: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
  • TV: SEC Network

The Series:

This is the first meeting between the former Big 12 opponents since 2014 where the Aggies took a 34-27 win. Texas A&M leads the series, 8-7, and is 4-1 in the last five meetings. This is a matchup of two of the best play-calling coaches in college football in the Aggies’ Jimbo Fisher and Eli Drinkwitz of Missouri.

Last Week:

Texas A&M ended Alabama’s 19-game winning streak with a 41-38 win in Aggieland. Aggies quarterback Zach Calzada had a career night as he completed 21 of 31 passes for 285 yards with three TDs and an interception. The Aggies led 24-10 at halftime and fell behind 38-31 with five minutes to play. Calzada drove A&M 65 yards in six plays and threw a 25-yard TD pass to Ainias Smith to tie the game at 38-38. Seth Smith kicked the game-winner from 28 yards out after Alabama went 3-and-out and had to punt.

Tyler Badie had 17 rushes for 209 yards and two TDs as Missouri handed North Texas a 48-35 defeat in Columbia. Badie had three first-half touchdowns as the Tigers led 31-7 at the break and never looked back. The Mean Green put up 493 yards total offense on Mizzou, but the Tigers accrued for North Texas turnovers to take the win.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Missouri Tigers +8.5 (-105) +260 O 60.5 (-110)
Texas A&M Aggies -8.5 (-115) -335 U 60.5 (-110)

When the Aggies Have the Ball:

Texas A&M Aggies LogoGetting Zach Calzada indoctrinated into the QB position after Haynes King’s injury has been one reason why A&M has had problems offensively at times although the Alabama win was the best continuity of the year for that unit. The Aggies have a tremendous skill package to go around Calzada as junior wide receiver Ainias Smith and RB Isaiah Spiller team with sophomore RB Devin Achane to produce 11 of the Aggies 16 touchdowns.

Tight end Jalen Wydermeyer has turned into a one of the most productive receivers in the history of the Aggies’ program as he has 14 receiving TDs and the next one will tie him for eighth place. He also only needs 44 yards to break Martellus Bennett’s receiving yardage for a tight end which stands at 1,246 yards. Missouri’s rushing defense is last in D-1 college football as it gives up 287 yards per game while the Tigers’ total defense is 129th (497 ypg).

When the Tigers Have the Ball:

Missouri Tigers LogoMissouri wants a shootout – potentially both teams in the 40s – as this is the way they have to win with such a floundering defense. Badie’s matchup vs. a so-so Aggies rushing defense that gives up 145 yards per game (63rd/CFB) will be a key storyline for Mizzou. Connor Bazelak has passed for 1,690 yards with 12 TDs and five interceptions and will see a ball-hawking defense that has 28 deflected passes, but only five interceptions.

Why Bet the OVER 60.5:

The playmakers on the offenses of these teams all have a shot to have huge games. Texas A&M needs a solid day from Calzada, who should be in his best possible mindset after last week’s performance vs. Alabama, but the key for the team is to put that one behind and look at Missouri as another team that can be a fly in the ointment at home. Spiller and Achane on the ground vs. the Mizzou defense is too much of a chore for the Tigers, who have no room for turnovers inside of their offense.

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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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