What a glorious day we have for you today on the college hoops hardwood as we have some power conference teams playing their regular season finales, whereas other smaller and mid-major leagues are already well into their respective conference tournaments. We have a day jam-packed with action with everyone fighting to hear their names called on Selection Sunday next weekend!
Highlights on the day include Texas at Kansas, Boise State at Colorado State, Texas Tech at Oklahoma State, Arkansas at Tennessee, and Alabama at LSU. We also have some stellar conference tournament action from leagues like the WCC, Missouri Valley, SOCON, Big South, Sun Belt, CAA, A-Sun, Northeast, and the Summit League. The Ohio Valley Conference will crown a champion later today, punching the first official ticket into the madness as Morehead State battles Murray State in the OVC tournament finals.
The first CBB Saturday of March ?
Which game are you most excited to watch today? pic.twitter.com/ioSiuoGxbV
— FOX College Hoops (@CBBonFOX) March 5, 2022
There is a little something for everyone today, so get your popcorn ready, as it is going to be a fantastic day of NCAA Men’s College Basketball action! As always, we will be right here with you today, helping you navigate all of the action while delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the college basketball parlay of the day! Let’s started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a college basketball parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-235)
For our first play, we will head out west to the PAC-12, where the streaking Arizona State Sun Devils welcome the Stanford Cardinal to town. It is surely too little too late for the Sun Devils to play themselves into an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament at this point, but that doesn’t mean that they aren’t playing some high quality basketball in the last month or so, as they have won 6 of their last 7 games.
ASU has played one of the toughest schedules in the country this year with an SOS of 11th, which makes their mediocre 13-16 record look quite a bit more impressive. And at home this season, they have actually been pretty tough to beat with 8 wins, with a couple of those wins coming over top teams in the PAC-12 like UCLA and Oregon. During this recent surge, the Sun Devils have managed to pick up wins over Washington State, Colorado, and Oregon, all teams that badly needed wins as they are all sitting right at the cut line for March Madness, as ASU has embraced the spoiler role here late in the season.
— Sun Devil MBB (@SunDevilHoops) March 5, 2022
For Stanford, the Cardinal came into this season with hopes of competing at the top of the league, but that just hasn’t been the case, as wins have been few and far between, and they are stumbling to the finish line of the regular season with a 1-6 record in their last 7 games. That lone victory? It came over Oregon State, against a Beaver’s team that is 1-18 in league play.
Late season college basketball is all about momentum. And in this game, the Sun Devils have it, and the Cardinal don’t. Technically neither of these teams are really playing for anything, as this win won’t help either team get into the NCAA tournament. But I have liked what I have seen from Arizona State recently, and they haven’t lost at home in nearly a month, and that loss came against Arizona, and the Wildcats just might be the best team in the country. This one feels like free money. Give me the home team Sun Devils as they stay hot and pick up the win over Stanford.
Texas Longhorns at Kansas Jayhawks (-270)
On a day where there are a ton of great games, this game sticks out to me as one of the best games on the board, as both of these teams are gearing up for deep runs in the tournament. It hasn’t taken former Texas Tech head coach Chris Beard very long to get things moving in the right direction in Austin, as he has the Longhorns playing well, and they have spent much of the season ranked in the top-25 nationally. UT will face one of their biggest tests of the season today, though, as they are in Lawrence to play the Kansas Jayhawks.
Texas hasn’t lost to a team that was ranked outside of the top-10 since mid-January, and they have beaten some really good teams, including Tennessee, TCU, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, and even these very same Kansas Jayhawks. In that first meeting of the season in Austin, the Longhorns snuck past the Jayhawks 79-76, and they are looking for the season sweep today in the rematch.
Senior day and a lot on the line
? Kansas vs Texas
? Allen Fieldhouse
⏰ 3 pm CT
? ESPN pic.twitter.com/rYyN5r16gT
— Kansas Men’s Basketball (@KUHoops) March 5, 2022
Kansas had a shot at locking up the outright Big 12 title last week when they went to Waco and played the Baylor Bears. They couldn’t beat Baylor, leaving the door open for the Bears to steal away the Big 12 regular season title at the last minute. All Kansas had to do, though, was sweep bubble team TCU in a home and home last week to secure at least a share of the Big 12 title. The Jayhawks couldn’t take care of business there either, as they split those games with the Horned Frogs, and a loss today at home against Texas, paired with a win for Baylor in their game with Iowa State, would mean that the Bears would win the Big 12 title, not the Jayhawks.
No power conference team in the nation has dominated their league more than the Jayhawks have dominated the Big 12 over the course of the last couple of decades. Kansas wins Big 12 titles more than some people change their underwear, as they nearly always finish at the top of the league. Kansas has been too good, for far too long, to not expect them to take care of business in this game and lock up yet another Big 12 regular season championship. It won’t be easy, but history is on our side, and I will back the home team in this one in what should be a thriller!
North Texas Mean Green (-250) at UTEP Miners
You aren’t hearing a lot about the North Texas Mean Green, and personally, I see that as a damn shame, as North Texas is a very good basketball team. The Mean Green are being completely ignored by the mainstream media and the polls, as they got a total of 3 votes in last week’s AP poll, despite wins in 21 of their last 22 games!
Yeah, Conference USA isn’t a good conference this year, as it is rated as only the 12th best league in the nation per Kenpom, sandwiched in between the SOCON and the WAC, but North Texas has still found a way to play a respectable schedule with an SOS 145th. The Mean Green have top-100 wins over UAB, Louisiana Tech, Wichita State, and Drake, and they played competitive games in losses to Kansas and Miami in the non-conference.
?G A M E D A Y?
— North Texas Basketball (@MeanGreenMBB) March 5, 2022
North Texas is looking to finish up their regular season with a win today at UTEP, which would be their 16th straight victory. On the road in league play, the Mean Green are a perfect 8-0, and I doubt they are going to have much trouble winning this one in hostile territory. No disrespect to UTEP, but there are levels to this game, and the Mean Green are simply on a much higher one than the Miners.
UTEP has home court losses this season to UAB, Marshall, Louisiana Tech, Bradley, New Mexico State, and UC Riverside. None of those teams are close to as talented as this North Texas squad is, and I don’t see many scenarios where the Miners win this game. It is senior night for UTEP, so emotions will be running high, and for that reason, I won’t lay the points, as this game could end up being fairly competitive. While this game might be competitive, there is a difference between hanging around with a team and actually beating them. Give me the Mean Green as they continue their tear and win again to finish off the regular season on one of the nation’s longest winning streaks!
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Arizona State Sun Devils -235
- Kansas Jayhawks -270
- North Texas Mean Green -250
$100 Bet Pays $273
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Marshall Thundering Herd at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Over 153
We will stay in Conference USA for our next play on the game between Marshall and Western Kentucky. These teams just matched up earlier this week, with the Hilltoppers beating the Thundering Herd on the road 86-72. It wasn’t surprising to see Western Kentucky threaten to drop triple digits as Marshall is awful on the defensive side of the floor, and when you toss in the fact that they play one of the fastest tempos in the country as well, that has led to some eyepopping point totals.
Kenpom has this game finishing at 85-73, which would be a near carbon copy of the game we saw on Wednesday night, with a final score of 158 points. These teams played a couple of days ago, and the game finished at 158 points. The data has this game finishing at 158 points. So, the betting line must be 158 points, right? Yeah, no. The books opened it up at 157, which was reasonable, but the public has been hammering on the under, driving this line down 4 points, which opens up tremendous value on a fade the public play on the over!
Cal Bears at Arizona Wildcats Over 141
If the Arizona Wildcats aren’t the most athletic team in the nation, they are close to it, as they have monsters all over the floor. The Wildcats use that physical dominance to run up the score in most games, and their 84 points per game is 3rd best in the nation, trailing only Gonzaga and South Dakota State. Arizona plays fast, and they score efficiently, and they threaten to cross the century mark nearly every time that they take the floor.
?????? ??? ‼️
— Arizona Basketball (@ArizonaMBB) March 5, 2022
The Wildcats are going to get their points in this game, the only question is, will Cal be able to keep it close enough for this total to go over? The first time these teams played, Arizona dropped 96 points and they blew the Bears out by 25 points. You may as well pencil them in for another 90+ point game tonight, as they have made far better teams than Cal look silly on defense.
If we give Arizona 90, that means Cal only has to score 52 points to get up paid, and as bad as the Bears have looked this season, it is hard to expect a team to lose by more than 40. I will jump on the over as the Wildcats run up the score again, and the Bears do just enough to get us paid.
DePaul Blue Demons at UCONN Huskies Under 144.5
DePaul has come out of nowhere in the last week to drop some gaudy point totals. The Blue Demons scored 91 in their win over Marquette and 99 against St. John’s. But I try to never overreact to a small sample size of data, and when I look at the full body of work for the Blue Demons, those games stand out as being very fluky.
DePaul scored just 47 against Creighton, 43 against Villanova, 53 against Providence, and 50 against these UCONN Huskies. They have had a hot hand in the last week, but that hasn’t been the case most of the season, and anytime you see fluky results, the next thing you should be looking for is a regression back to the mean. Sorry DePaul fans, but you didn’t magically turn into Gonzaga in the last week, and points are going to be hard to come by tonight against UCONN. Give me the under.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Marshall Thundering Herd at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Over 153 -110
- Cal Bears at Arizona Wildcats Over 141 -110
- DePaul Blue Demons at UCONN Huskies Under 144.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+125)
The Oklahoma State Cowboys won’t be playing in the NCAA tournament this year, but that isn’t because they don’t have a team that is good enough to get in, it is because they are on probation for recruiting violations, and they are barred from postseason play. If the Cowboys were eligible for the Big Dance, they would be right on the bubble, as they have some big wins, but they also have a lot of losses.
OSU has wins this season over Texas, Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma, and Iowa State. All of those teams are going to be dancing in March. And when you take a closer look at the Cowboy’s 14-15 record, a couple of things stick out. First, 3 of their recent losses have come in overtime, and 4 more of them came by 5 points or fewer. That tells me that had the ball bounced in the other direction in some of those games, they could have had a much better record.
One last time at our place.
— OSU Cowboy Basketball (@OSUMBB) March 5, 2022
Second, at home this season in Big 12 play, the Cowboys have been excellent, with a 5-3 record. 2 of those losses came in overtime to Iowa State and Baylor, and the other loss came in their conference play opener to Kansas. The Cowboys don’t take losing at home lightly, and they are going to give Texas Tech all that they can handle tonight in Stillwater.
Texas Tech is a very good basketball team. Like a trip to the Final Four good. But they do have a weakness, and that is road games in league play. The Red Raiders are just 3-5 in Big 12 road games this season. One of those losses was to Kansas, but the others were to Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, and TCU, teams that rate out very similarly to Oklahoma State. In a game where we have one team that rarely losses at home, playing against another team where all 7 of their losses have come away from home, I love a play on home dog Cowboys.
Loyola Chicago Ramblers at UNI Panthers (+155)
For those of you out there that don’t follow the smaller conferences, let me get you up to speed on this game. This is a blockbuster mid-major matchup today between Loyola Chicago and Northern Iowa in the semifinals of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. Most casual fans are aware of the Ramblers, as they have made some recent memorable runs in March, including a trip to the Final Four a couple of years back, but this year, it was actually the Panthers than won the Missouri Valley regular season league title with a 14-4 conference record.
Loyola Chicago finished just a game back on UNI, but they lost out on some tiebreakers and dropped down to the 4 seed in the MVC tournament, drawing the Panthers in the semis. These teams split the season series in the regular season, with the Panthers knocking off the Ramblers in the final game of the regular season to lock up the MVC title. While I can appreciate that the Ramblers are likely the better overall team in this matchup, this game is going to be tightly contested and is sure to come down to the wire.
???? ??? – ???? ???????
— UNI Basketball (@UNImbb) March 5, 2022
Beating Loyola Chicago late in the season is never easy to do, but the Panthers did just that in late February in a game that meant a lot to both teams, and I can’t resist being able to get them as such big underdogs in this game just a week later. You don’t know their names yet, but you will, as the Panthers have won 10 of their last 11 games, and they are going to shock the world tonight with an upset victory over Loyola Chicago to advance to the MVC tournament finals!
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Oklahoma State Cowboys +125
- UNI Panthers +155
$100 Bet Pays $574
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
VCU Rams (+2.5) at Saint Louis Billikens
Can the VCU Rams overcome their awful start to the season and sneak their way into the NCAA tournament? The Rams are the definition of a bubble team right now, but they have caught fire recently, as they have an 11-1 record in their last 12 games, and they will ride a season-long 8-game winning streak into play today against Saint Louis. VCU will have to play well to win this game, though, as Saint Louis has a solid squad as well, as Kenpom has the Billikens ranked just 2 spots behind the Rams.
GAMEDAY. Regular season final on the road.
— VCU Basketball (@VCU_Hoops) March 5, 2022
That being said, I think VCU has caught Saint Louis at just the right time for an upset. The Rams are red-hot, and Saint Louis has fallen apart down the stretch. The Billikens were making a case for an at-large bid as well until they hit the skids with a 3-4 record in the last month.
None of those losses have been bad ones, but if you want to get into the Big Dance, you have to be able to beat good teams, and the Billikens haven’t been able to do that with a 2-8 record against teams ranked in the top-90. My gut says VCU wins this game outright, but road games are always tricky, so I will snatch up the points as an insurance policy in what should be a highly entertaining affair.
Colorado Buffaloes (+2) at Utah Runnin Utes
This game feels a lot like the last game we looked at, as if I had to take a stand on an outright winner in this game, I would lean towards the Buffaloes of Colorado, but since the books are giving me a couple of points, I will take them instead for a lower variance approach. Colorado is doing everything that they can to get their resume boosted in the run-up to Selection Sunday, with wins in 6 of their last 7 games, including a massive win over Arizona in their last game.
??????? ?????? ?????? ?? ???
? 7:30pm MT
? KOA 850AM
? Jon M. Huntsman Center pic.twitter.com/kaZVBv1np1
— Colorado Men's Basketball (@CUBuffsMBB) March 5, 2022
Colorado can’t stop there, though, and they need to find a way to win this game today at Utah. A win over the Utes won’t do much to help their resume, but a loss would be devastating as the Buffs can ill afford another bad loss.
Wins haven’t been a major part of the equation for the Utes this season, as they are near the basement in the PAC-12 with a 4-15 league record. Even at home, the Utes haven’t been overly competitive, as their only home win in league play came over last place Oregon State. Colorado needs this one, and I think that they get it tonight on the road.
BYU Cougars (+3) at San Francisco Dons
If you want madness, look no further than this game between BYU and San Francisco in the WCC conference tournament quarterfinals. I think both of these teams should get into the NCAA tournament, but I am in the minority on that thinking, as just about all of the so-called experts see this as a loser goes home game. That is particularly true for BYU, as a loss would almost certainly end their chances of an at-large bid.
BYU spent part of the season ranked in the AP poll, but a late-season 4-game losing streak has seen them slide to the wrong side of the bubble. They do have a win on the road at San Francisco earlier this season, but they couldn’t make it back-to-back wins over the Dons, losing at home in the second meeting. The Cougars are playing better now, though, as they have won 5 of 6, with their last 3 wins coming by an average margin of victory of over 20 points per game.
BACK AT IT AGAIN❕❕ pic.twitter.com/u9FPzDIzLe
— BYU Men's Basketball (@BYUMBB) March 5, 2022
The Dons might be able to survive a loss tonight and still get their dancing shoes, as they have a healthy collection of wins over the national top-100. SF has beaten Davidson, Towson, UAB, UNLV, Fresno State, Arizona State, Santa Clara, and BYU. They weren’t able to beat St. Mary’s or Gonzaga in the WCC, but they beat everyone else, and if Kenpom is to be trusted, the Dons shouldn’t even be sweating right now, as he has them ranked 23rd in the country entering play tonight in Las Vegas.
I am going, to be honest here, I have no idea who is going to win this game. I have seen both teams look amazing at times this season, and I have seen both teams blow it against teams that they absolutely should have beaten. To me, this is a true coin flip game that could go either way, and I am shocked to see that I can get a full possession’s worth of points with a play on BYU.
If this game truly is a play-in game, and it just might be, we are going to see a war tonight as these teams know they are playing for their tournament lives. If the Dons were getting the points, I would be on them, but they aren’t, so give me BYU in a blockbuster game that will come down to the final few possessions to be decided!
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- VCU Rams (+2.5) -110
- Colorado Buffaloes (+2) -110
- BYU Cougars (+3) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Basketball parlays can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!