What is sweeter than a close to half court buzzer-beater in March to send a team to the NCAA tournament? Having that shot make you money, of course! That is what happened last night when the Chattanooga Mocs found themselves down 2 points with just 4 seconds remaining in their game with Furman in the SOCON tournament finals. Chattanooga senior leader David Jean-Baptiste took the inbounds pass up the floor, pulled up from about 35 feet, and drilled the game winner as time expired to send the Mocs to the Big Dance.
CHATTANOOGA WINS IT AT THE BUZZER TO BOOK ITS SPOT IN THE NCAA TOURNAMENT! pic.twitter.com/z8DzPE810G
— FOX College Hoops (@CBBonFOX) March 8, 2022
The heroic shot ended the Paladin’s season in heartbreak and cashed our ticket on them on the money line at (-140). You have to love when you find yourself on the right side of the madness, and it was a great way to kick off championship week with a dramatic victory. While that win was an awesome one, it wasn’t our biggest win of the day, as we connected on our 2-team all-underdog money line parlay yesterday for a juicy $410 payout. That play came in with winners on Wright State (+100) and UNC Wilmington (+105).
That wasn’t the end of the winning yesterday, as we also found winners on South Dakota State (-385), Santa Clara/St. Mary’s over 137.5, San Francisco (+15.5), and North Dakota State (+1) on what was a great day on the college hoops hardwood. Today we get right back on the grind, looking to stay hot, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic college basketball parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
NC State Wolfpack at Clemson Tigers (-225)
The ACC tournament kicks off today with a trio of games, all featuring teams that badly need wins if they want to hear their names called on Selection Sunday. With the ACC down this season, in reality, all 6 of the teams in action today in the ACC would need to win this tournament to go dancing, but with how unpredictable the league has been all season, that could absolutely happen! The first game today features the 10/15 matchup between NC State and Clemson.
When you have a league that is struggling like the ACC has this season, many people just write off the entire league all at once. But that isn’t fair to some of these decent teams that call the Atlantic Coast Conference home, as there is bad, and then there is really bad. Don’t get it twisted, hoops fans, Clemson isn’t a great team, but they are significantly more talented than NC State.
#ClemsonGRIT ? NC State
— Clemson Basketball (@ClemsonMBB) March 8, 2022
The Tigers have some nice momentum entering play tonight, as they won their final 4 games of the regular season, including big wins over Wake Forrest and Virginia Tech. Both the Demon Deacons and Hokies are going to be playing in the NCAA tournament, so those wins were quality ones no matter how you look at it. The Tigers played the Wolfpack once during the regular season, beating them on the road, and I expect them to win this game today as well over an awful NC State squad.
Wins just haven’t been part of the equation for NC State this season, as they have an 11-20 record overall, with a 4-16 record in league play. And if you look at how they have played recently, they are getting worse by the day. NC State has lost 10 of their last 11 and 18 of their last 22 after a 7-2 start to the year. Against the national top-100, the Wolfpack have a 2-14 record, and at this point, I don’t think that they are capable of beating a decent team like Clemson. The Tigers win this one going away, and it might not even be competitive as NC State makes getting blown out a regular occurrence.
Wright State Raiders at Northern Kentucky Norse (-125)
Well, this wasn’t the matchup that most people expected in the Horizon League finals, as both Wright State and Northern Kentucky picked up underdog wins last night in the semifinals to advance to today’s title game. But that doesn’t make this game any less exciting, as one of these teams will get their dancing shoes tonight with a win.
You could make a fairly compelling case that Northern Kentucky has actually been the best team in the Horizon League for weeks, as they had a slow start to league play, losing 4 of their first 6 games, but since then, the Norse have been tough to beat, with a 14-2 record. Both of those losses came to Detroit Mercy, as the Norse have dominated the rest of the conference. Northern Kentucky beat Wright State in both of their meetings in the regular season, and I like them again tonight in this one for all of the marbles.
Here. We. Go.
— NKU Men's Basketball (@NKUNorseMBB) March 8, 2022
I can absolutely appreciate how tough it is to beat a team 3 times in one season. But when I look at the full body of work for Wright State, I am not sure that they are going to be able to hang tonight against Northern Kentucky. The Raiders actually had a shot at taking home a share of the league title in the regular season but went 3-3 in their last 6 games, and their loss to 336th ranked Milwaukee was unforgivably bad. The Norse feel like a steal at this price, and I will back them as they coast to a win over Wright State to punch their ticket to the NCAA tournament.
North Dakota State Bison at South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-225)
Yesterday I mentioned that South Dakota State isn’t going to lose a game in this tournament, as I see them as head and shoulders above the rest of the Summit League. The Jackrabbits made me look good yesterday, as they thrashed South Dakota, running the Coyotes off of the floor in a blowout victory. The win puts SD State just a game away from making the tournament, and when I see that they are now 20-0 against conference opponents on the season, I am a bit surprised at how reasonable this price is right now.
? North Dakota State
⏰ 8 p.m.
? Sioux Falls, S.D.
?️ Denny Sanford PREMIER Center
? https://t.co/uvuUzkuSUu (ESPN2)
? https://t.co/42JjDDKzWy#GoJacks? pic.twitter.com/fezmeZSh7S
— Jackrabbit Basketball (@GoJacksMBB) March 8, 2022
North Dakota State is a solid squad, but they aren’t going to be able to win this game. The Bison played the Jackrabbits tough in both of their games this season, but with so much on the line tonight, I can’t even dream up a scenario where South Dakota State doesn’t win this game. It is March, and the madness is real, so I don’t want to be in a spot where I am laying a bunch of points in this one, but when all of the smoke clears tonight in Sioux Falls, South Dakota State is winning this game and heading to the NCAA tournament.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Clemson Tigers -225
- Northern Kentucky Norse -125
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits -225
$100 Bet Pays $376
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Rider Broncos at Manhattan Jaspers Over 137.5
This is a sketchy line, if you ask me. Rider and Manhattan have played twice this season. The first game finished up at 143 points. The second game finished at 162 points. Kenpom has this third game projected to finish at 141 points, which, based on the previous games, seems to be a fairly sharp number. But the books are sitting at 137.5? Yeah, I don’t get it.
Sometimes you don’t have to fully understand how a line ended up where it is to take advantage of it, and I won’t go too far down the rabbit hole trying to figure this one out. I will jump on the over and feel like I am in a high value spot in what should be a fairly high scoring contest.
Wagner Seahawks at Bryant Bulldogs Over 148
This is another questionable number in a matchup that we have already seen play out for 80 minutes this season. Wagner and Bryant have played twice this season, and the games averaged 156.5 points per game. Kenpom has this one at 151 points, which is already on the low side considering what we have already seen from these teams this season.
Yet, once again, the books come in well under all of those numbers, posting this one at 148 points. As a general rule, postseason games are going to skew slightly lower scoring, as both teams are going to be playing hard with their seasons on the line, but even then, this line feels too low. We might have to sweat this one out, as 148 points is a high total, but the value side of this play is on the over.
Quinnipiac Bobcats at Marist Red Foxes Over 140
Our final totals play of the day is what I see as another bad number, but at least this one makes a little bit of sense. This line stinks because the books posted a sharp number, and the public hammered it down a whopping 5 points since opening. The public loves to pretend that their eyes are better than the analytics, and we saw that in this one, as this total is significantly too low after the move.
Kenpom has this game at 145 points, and it is rare that we get that big of a gap between the data and the line. I love nothing more than to fade the public on my bets, and that is what I will do here, as I will jump on the over and feel like I am stealing!
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Rider Broncos at Manhattan Jaspers Over 137.5 -110
- Wagner Seahawks at Bryant Bulldogs Over 148 -110
- Quinnipiac Bobcats at Marist Red Foxes Over 140 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a college basketball parlay play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Boston College Eagles at Pitt Panthers (+110)
You can file this game under somebody has to win it, right? Both of these teams have not played well this season, and they have combined to lose 16 of their last 21 games. If there were a way for both of these teams to lose, I would bet it, as neither of these teams are beating anybody as of late. These teams split the season series, with the home team winning each game, and I don’t know how you can make either of these teams a favorite to win.
Tourney time in Brooklyn.
— Pitt Basketball (@Pitt_MBB) March 8, 2022
This is a coin flip game. Either team could win it, and nobody would be surprised at the outcome. In spots such as these, you always want to be on the side getting juice rather than laying it. If I offered you a heads versus tails coin flip and told you that you had to lay (-125) on tails, you are taking heads, right? That is how I see this matchup, and with the Panthers getting (+110), they show all of the value. Boston College shouldn’t be favored against anybody right now. Give me the Panthers and the juice, and let’s hope the variance breaks our way.
Jacksonville Dolphins (+125) at Bellarmine Knights
When the A-Sun bracket came out late last week, my jaw dropped when I saw how big of underdogs the Jacksonville Dolphins were to win the tournament title. While the Liberty Flames were understandably the favorites in the A-Sun, I felt that the Dolphins were just as good as the rest of the contenders in the league, like Jacksonville State and Bellarmine. I fired on the Dolphins in their semifinals game against Jacksonville State and cashed a ticket, and when I see that I can get the Dolphins, again as underdogs, against Bellarmine, I will back them yet again.
Jacksonville is rated over 40 spots higher on Kenpom than Bellarmine, and the Knights did the Dolphins a huge favor by upsetting Liberty in their last game. The Knights did manage to beat the Dolphins in overtime in their lone meeting in the regular season, but that was a home game for Bellarmine, and they needed overtime to get the job done.
— Jacksonville Men’s Basketball ? (@JAX_MBB) March 8, 2022
While this will be another “home” game for the Knights, it won’t be their normal crowd, as we are going to see a lot of Dolphin supporters in the stands in this tournament game. Jacksonville has been my pick from the start in the A-Sun tournament, and I won’t change my mind now that they are so close to getting the job done!
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Pitt Panthers +110
- Jacksonville Dolphins +125
$100 Bet Pays $473
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+1.5) at Louisville Cardinals
Man, some of these early ACC tournament matchups certainly are ugly! We already talked about the game between Boston College and Pitt being a matchup between teams that never win, and those teams look like those early 90’s UNLV teams compared to these scrubs! Since Louisville fired head coach Chris Mack midseason, the Cardinals have been an embarrassment. Louisville has lost 14 of their last 16 games, and I almost can’t believe that they are favored in this game.
ACC Tournament time!!
?: Barclays Center
?: ACC Network
?: 680/93.7 The Fan pic.twitter.com/uPgxJHuug7
— Georgia Tech Men’s Basketball (@GTMBB) March 8, 2022
Georgia Tech hasn’t been much better, but they have been somewhat better, as they found wins over Pittsburgh, Clemson, Florida State, and Boston College in the 2nd half of the season. Louisville did beat Georgia Tech at home earlier in the year, but that game came before Mack was fired and the Cardinals bottomed out. You hate to ever have to back a team as bad as Georgia Tech, but I can’t pass up on the opportunity to get points fading a team that is as awful as Louisville. Somebody has to win, right? Give me the Yellow Jackets and the points.
Delaware Fighting Blue Hens at UNC Wilmington Seahawks (+2.5)
If you read my conference tournament preview article, you will know that I am a big supporter of UNC Wilmington. The Seahawks won a share of the CAA league title in the regular season with a 15-3 record in conference play, yet despite all of that winning, the books had them as the 5th favorites to win this tournament at absurd 12-1 odds. That made zero sense then and even less sense now that Wilmington has made it all of the way to the CAA finals.
It's not just any GAME DAY.
— UNCW Basketball (@uncwmenshoops) March 8, 2022
Delaware did Wilmington a solid by knocking out fellow regular season champion Towson last night, and it feels like the Seahawks are the team of destiny in the CAA. The books are still hating on the Seahawks, though, as they have them as fairly large underdogs in this game against the Blue Hens. Did I mention that the Seahawks have already beaten the Hens twice this season?
This is a bad line, end of story. The analytics hate Wilmington, but as much as I love Kenpom, sometimes his algorithm misses on certain teams. The Seahawks are one of those teams this season, as they are far better than the 175th team in the nation. I always love backing the nobody believes in us teams in March, and that is what I will do with this one as UNC Wilmington wins and advances tonight!
Marshall Thundering Herd (+3.5) at FIU Golden Panthers
Our final play of the day comes to us from Conference USA, where Marshall plays FIU. If you have been riding with me during championship week, you know how I feel about teams that are very evenly matched, that have seen one side win both regular season games. It is very hard for a team to beat another team 3 times in one year if they are remotely evenly matched. In this game, I don’t see much that separates these teams, and with FIU sweeping Marshall during the regular season, I expect a better performance out of the Thundering Herd tonight.
— Marshall Men’s Basketball (@HerdMBB) March 8, 2022
Kenpom actually has Marshall winning this game outright, and I can’t remember the last time that I could get a team with this many points that Kenpom has as the favorites. I will be honest with you here, I haven’t watched Marshall play a game all season, and I don’t know much about them. But the data says they are going to win this game, and I love that I can get them with more than a full possession’s worth of points. Give me the Herd and the points tonight against FIU!
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+1.5) -110
- UNC Wilmington Seahawks (+2.5) -110
- Marshall Thundering Herd (+3.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the college basketball parlay action for today! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! While parlays are the name of the game, we also encourage you to make any of these plays as straight bets as well, as all of these college basketball parlay picks are high value. Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball page, betting page, where our team of expert handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!