Deuces are wild today on 2-22-22, and while that date is a fun one to say out loud, what excites me the most about it, is that we are a day closer to the greatest month of the year, March! The madness is now just weeks away, and after watching the NCAA Selection Committee preview their top-16 seeds for the Big Dance earlier this week, I am getting hyped up! With only a handful of games left in the regular season, good teams are jockeying for positioning, while bubble teams are fighting for their lives, hoping to hear their names called on Selection Sunday.
2022 NCAA Tournament Bracketology https://t.co/NKCYctvU9F. ?? Getting tight…
— Joe Lunardi (@ESPNLunardi) February 22, 2022
Today, we have a nice mid-week slate of games, with some of the top teams in the nation set to be in action. The headlining games on the day include Villanova at UCONN, Arkansas at Florida, Alabama at Vanderbilt, and Michigan State at Iowa. While the big boys understandably steal much of the spotlight, the mid-major leagues have some great matchups today as well, with games between Boise State and San Diego State, Rhode Island and St. Bonaventure, and New Mexica and Utah State. With that, let’s jump right into today’s edition of everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Michigan State Spartans at Iowa Hawkeyes (-250)
The game tonight between Michigan State and Iowa features teams heading in completely opposite directions. Michigan State spent much of the season ranked in the top-25 nationally, with their eyes set on a potential Big 10 regular season title and a deep run in the NCAA tournament. But the Spartans have run out of gas recently, as they have lost 4 out of their last 5 games, and while their dance card to the NCAA tournament likely isn’t in any real danger, they are struggling at the wrong time, and Sparty is no longer being seen as a team that can do any real damage in March.
The Hawkeyes, on the other hand, have caught fire, and they made their debut in the top-25 of the AP poll this week after winning 4 of their last 5 games, including a huge road win in Columbus over the Buckeyes of Ohio State in their last game. A lot has been made of the fact that the Hawkeyes haven’t played well against quad 1 teams, but they are playing their best basketball of the season right now, and they have caught the Spartans at the perfect time to hand them yet another loss.
Hawkeyes x Spartans | 6 pm | ESPN | Jersey Retirement Game pic.twitter.com/f166jNWNm7
— Iowa Men’s Basketball (@IowaHoops) February 22, 2022
Nearly all of the early morning and overnight action has come in on Michigan State in this game, moving the line towards the Spartans. I mean, I get it, the Spartans are certainly a talented team, and to see them as fairly big underdogs against Iowa might have seemed like a great opportunity for those that aren’t paying close attention in the last couple of weeks. But for those of us that sweat all of the games, I love that I can back the Hawkeyes at home, where they have been very tough to beat this season, at such a reasonable price.
The Hawkeyes are 14-3 at home this season, and I expect them to handle their business tonight and pick up another win at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Michigan State’s recent losses to Illinois, Wisconsin, and Rutgers were certainly understandable as those are all good teams, but the losses to Northwestern and Penn State have me selling all of my Spartans stock this year. It will be tightly contested, as most games in the Big 10 tend to be, but when all is said and done tonight in Iowa City, the Hawkeyes are winning this game.
Arkansas Razorbacks (-110) at Florida Gators
Is there a team in the nation that is playing better than the Arkansas Razorbacks are right now? I have been high on the Hogs all season long, so I am not shocked that they are going on a run here late in the year, but many people have been surprised to see Arkansas beats teams like Auburn, Tennessee, and LSU. The only loss for the ‘Backs in their last 12 games came against an Alabama team that seemingly has beaten every elite team in the nation this year.
Life in the SEC is tough, and the Razorbacks have another tough game on their schedule today as they head to Gainesville for a showdown with the Florida Gators. The Gators were firmly on the bubble with a 4-4 record in their last 8 games before they broke through for their biggest win of the season, knocking off the Auburn Tigers on Saturday. A win tonight over Arkansas would all but lock the Gators in as an NCAA tournament-level team, making this a huge game for Florida.
— 6pm ESPN2 ? (@RazorbackMBB) February 22, 2022
A quick glance at Florida’s resume shows me that the Gators are shockingly light on quality victories. The win over Auburn was great, but I think that one said more about the Tiger’s struggles on the road than anything else, and looking ahead of that, the previous 4 wins for Florida came over Oklahoma State, Georgia, Mississippi, and Missouri, and none of those teams are going to be playing meaningful games in March. All told, Florida has just 2 wins over teams that are currently projected to be playing in the NCAA tournament, with the win over Auburn and a non-conference win over Ohio State months ago.
Against the national top-100, Florida has a disappointing 6-9 record, and that tells me that they aren’t going to be able to hang with an Arkansas team that could play themselves into the top-10 nationally with how they are playing to close out the regular season. Florida has been solid at home, but they do have home losses to Texas Southern, LSU, and Alabama, and my gut tells me that Arkansas is head and shoulders above each of those teams. This one is priced right at even money, making a play on Arkansas a high value position.
Miami Hurricanes (-180) at Pitt Panthers
If the Miami Hurricanes have a strong finish to the regular season, they could potentially catch the Duke Blue Devils for a share of the ACC title, as they are just 2 games back of the Blue Devils for 1st place. If they struggle down the stretch, they could fall to the wrong side of the bubble ad miss out on the madness altogether. With only 4 games left, there is a lot riding on how the Hurricanes finish in the last 2 weeks of the regular season.
On the surface, this game shouldn’t be a major obstacle for Miami, as the Pitt Panthers aren’t a very good team, and they have no realistic path to the Big Dance outside of improbably winning the ACC conference tournament. But late in the season, we see teams take their best shot with nothing to lose, and we have seen that from Pitt, as they have won 3 of their last 4 games, with wins over North Carolina, NC State, and Florida State. The Panthers have played that spoiler role to the T, and they are going to try and do that again tonight against a Miami squad that is badly in need of a victory.
Gameday in PA!
Canes vs. Panthers
8 PM on ACCN pic.twitter.com/CU2wplLkxE
— Canes Hoops (@CanesHoops) February 22, 2022
Normally, I lean towards the home team in league matchups. Home teams are always going to play better than expected, but in this game, my gut has me liking the road team. The Hurricanes have been road warriors all season long, with an 8-2 record in road games this season.
Miami beat Duke, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Wake Forrest, and Louisville on the road in ACC play, and even with Pitt playing better recently, I don’t see the Hurricanes giving away a game that they need to win so badly. Miami has managed to win a lot of close games on the road, and while we are certain to sweat this out tonight, my money is on the Hurricanes.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Iowa Hawkeyes -250
- Arkansas Razorbacks -110
- Miami Hurricanes -180
$100 Bet Pays $416
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech Red Raiders Under 130
We talked about Arkansas being the hottest team in the nation, but another team that deserves a mention as a red-hot team, are the Red Raiders of Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 6-1 in their last 7 games, and these haven’t been gimme games, as they have wins over Texas (twice), Baylor, and West Virginia.
Texas Tech played a soft schedule to start the season, but they have more than made up for that in the last couple of months, as the Red Raider resume is loaded with quality wins, with wins over Kansas, Tennessee, Baylor (twice), Texas (twice), Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Mississippi State, West Virginia, and TCU. At home, Texas Tech has been unbeatable, literally, with a 16-0 record, and they are getting the job done by shutting teams down on defense.
Game day at our place pic.twitter.com/EuY44texAy
— Texas Tech Basketball (@TexasTechMBB) February 22, 2022
The Red Raiders are number 2 in the nation in defensive efficiency and top-50 in basically every major team defensive stat. They have held teams like Texas, West Virginia, Mississippi State, and Tennessee to under 60 points, and that is just what I see happening again tonight against Oklahoma.
In the Sooner’s last game, they managed just 54 points against a stout Iowa State defense, and with Texas Tech being even tougher on D, I don’t see how the Sooners are going to be able to score the ball effectively. OU beat Texas Tech in Norman a couple of weeks back, and the Red Raiders are going to get their revenge tonight as they lock the Sooners down and keep this game well under the total in what could end up being a lopsided affair.
Nebraska Cornhuskers at Northwestern Wildcats Under 150
The Nebraska Cornhuskers like to play at a fast tempo, which at times has led to high scoring games. Nearly all of them have been losses, though, as Nebraska rarely hangs around with their opponents, and while they give up a lot of points, they don’t score nearly enough to hang around and be competitive.
As much as Nebraska likes to run and gun, the Wildcats prefer a slower brand of basketball, and with this game coming on their own floor, I expect them to dictate the pace in this one and keep the game under the total. When these teams met the first time this season, the game was a blowout and landed right at 150 points, so this line makes sense on the surface. But with Northwestern hosting the rematch, I expect an even bigger blowout, where the Wildcats win by double digits, making this game hard to be high scoring, as both teams need to score for this game to go over the total.
St. Joe’s Hawks at Saint Louis Billikens Over 140.5
The Billikens of Saint Louis were a sexy pick for an at-large bid a couple of weeks ago, but the Billikens haven’t played well recently, with losses in 3 of their last 4 games. The Billikens are known for their ability to run up the score in games, as they have scored 80+ points 10 times already this season, and they are going to threaten to do it again tonight against a bad St. Joe’s squad.
This line opened up 144 points, which was already a bit low as Kenpom as the game finished at 145 points. But the public hasn’t seen it that way, as they have been all over the under, driving the total down several points. I will fade the public and jump on the other side and hammer the over tonight in St. Louis.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech Red Raiders Under 130 -110
- Nebraska Cornhuskers at Northwestern Wildcats Under 150 -110
- St. Joe’s Hawks at Saint Louis Billikens Over 140.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Northern Illinois Huskies (+140) at Eastern Michigan Eagles
We will head to the MAC for our next play on the game between Eastern Michigan and Northern Illinois. The MAC has a lot of very solid teams, but none of them are playing in this game, as these teams both stink. While both of these teams are bad, what we see a lot of in college basketball is false equivalency. People see a couple of bad teams and think that they are equally bad. But that just isn’t the case most of the time, and it is certainly not the case in this matchup.
Northern Illinois is bad, but Eastern Michigan is really, really bad. The Eagles played decent early in the season, but the wheels have fallen off recently, with a 2-11 record in their last 13 games. Even at home, they haven’t been able to stay competitive in most games, with a 1-5 home court record during that span.
It's number 2 & 22, at 2:22 on 2/22/22 ?!
Happy TWOsday pic.twitter.com/rlabsxilP8
— NIU Men's Basketball (@GoHuskiesMBB) February 22, 2022
Northern Illinois is actually playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they are 3-4 in their last 7 games, which might not seem like much, but when you are barely in the top-300 nationally, any wins are good wins. The Huskies have somehow found a way to be better on the road than they are at home, as they have a winning record in league road games at 4-3, with wins over Kent State, Western Michigan, Ball State, and Akron.
On the year, 6 of Northern Illinois 8 wins have come in true road games, and they absolutely shouldn’t be getting this much juice in a game that they can, and likely will, win. Give me the bad Northern Illinois Huskies to beat the awful Eastern Michigan Eagles tonight on the road as dogs.
Villanova Wildcats (+115) at UCONN Huskies
If you are a regular reader of my daily parlay of the day betting picks, you will know that I rarely pass up on the opportunity to back what I see as elite teams, as betting underdogs. There just aren’t very many times that you get to back a team like Villanova, that could make the Final Four and potentially even cut down the nets and win it all this season, as underdogs. These types of plays are rare, and I won’t pass up on this one as I make a play on Villanova in their game against UCONN.
— Villanova MBB (@NovaMBB) February 22, 2022
The Wildcats are surging towards March, with wins in 14 of their last 16 games, and a Big East title is basically a foregone conclusion for Villanova, as they are just a game back of Providence for 1st place, but they get to play host to the Friars next week, with a share of the league title hanging in the balance. ‘Nova beat UCONN by double digits at home, and I am not remotely worried about them winning on the road, as they have been fantastic on the road this season, with true road wins over Providence, St. John’s, Xavier, Seton Hall, and DePaul.
The Big East is weird this year, as the analytics love the Huskies but hate on the Friars. I am a disciple of Kenpom, but I think his algorithm has gotten this league wrong. PC is a legit team, and UCONN is painfully overrated. Of UCONN’s 19 wins, 10 of them have come against teams ranked outside of the top-100 nationally, and only 5 of them have come against teams in the top-50. The Huskies can beat decent teams, not great ones, and against Villanova, they are playing a great team. Give me the Wildcats as road dogs as they go into Storrs and leave with another big victory.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Northern Illinois Huskies +140
- Villanova Wildcats +115
$100 Bet Pays $516
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Richmond Spiders at George Washington Colonials (+7.5)
I am no hater of Richmond, but I just don’t see the Spiders as a team worthy of an at-large bid this year. They have played well at home, but in road and neutral floor games, they just haven’t been able to be consistent enough to put them over the top. 7 of the Spider’s 10 losses have come in neutral/road games, and I don’t trust them tonight against Geroge Washington.
The Colonials don’t win all that often, but at home, they are serviceable, with a 4-2 record in league play. Those home losses came to Davidson and Dayton, the top teams in the A-10 this season, and the game against Davidson was tightly contested, with the Colonials nearly pulling off the big upset.
George's Birthday GAMEDAY!
?: 7 p.m.
?: Smith Center
?: Free shirts for first 300 fans
?: Free party hats for first 1,000 fans#RaiseHigh pic.twitter.com/mBGQHCyXyB
— GW Men's Basketball (@GW_MBB) February 22, 2022
While I do think that Richmond is going to win this game, this line is a bad one. Kenpom has the Spiders winning by 4 points, and that is right about where I see this game landing as I expect GW to have Richmond on upset alert all night long. Give me the home team and the points in what should be a close game that comes down to the final few possessions to be decided.
Bowling Green Falcons at Akron Zips (-7.5)
The Akron Zips have not played very well in the last several weeks, as they have picked up recent losses to Western Michigan, Northern Illinois, and Kent State, after jumping out to a 16-6 record and making a case for an at-large bid into the Big Dance. Those dreams are now dashed, but the Zips got just what the Dr. ordered tonight, as they welcome Bowling Green to town.
?| Bowling Green
? | Tues. Feb. 22
⏰ | 7 pm
?️ | The JAR
Preview ? https://t.co/KmT2kUlScU#GoZips ? #1Akron | #FindAWay pic.twitter.com/hvW0Vh28xb
— Akron Zips MBB (@ZipsMBB) February 22, 2022
In the first meeting between these teams at Bowling Green the Zips smashed the Falcons, running them off of their own floor with a 91-66 drubbing. I almost can’t believe the line is so tight in the rematch, as the Falcons have lost 6 of 8, and in their last road game, they got pounded by Miami (OH), losing by 16 points to the RedHawks. This game has blowout written all over it. Give me the Zips laying some wood as they get back on track tonight with a beatdown of Bowling Green.
Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri Tigers (+11)
Are the Missouri Tigers a good basketball team? No, they are not. But I am sure they are a lot better than most people seem to think, particularly at home, where they have mostly played well. When you play in a league that is as great as the SEC is this season, you can play quality basketball and still lose games, and that is what has been happening for the Tigers at home in league play. They lost to Mississippi State by 2, Florida by 1, Auburn by 1, and Texas A&M by 3.
— Mizzou Hoops (@MizzouHoops) February 22, 2022
It hasn’t been all close losses at home for Missouri as they also have wins over Alabama, Utah, and Ole Miss at Mizzou Arena. I expect another strong performance, albeit in a loss, from the Tigers, as they don’t have what it takes to beat Tennessee, but we don’t need them to win to cash our ticket, as all we need them to do is to not get blown out to get paid.
And when you see that every single one of the Vol’s losses have come away from Knoxville, you know that catching Tennessee away from home is when they are the most vulnerable. I am on the home team and the points as I see the Vols pulling away late for a hard-fought victory in a much closer game than expected.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- George Washington Colonials (+7.5) -110
- Akron Zips (-7.5) -110
- Missouri Tigers (+11) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!