We got the money again yesterday, this time connecting on our all-money line 3-teamer for a juicy $416 payout! That play came in with winners on Iowa (-250), Arkansas (-110), and Miami (-180). The parlay hits are always the highlight of any day, but we had a pretty good day otherwise as well, with winners on Oklahoma/Texas Tech under 130, Nebraska/Northwestern Under 150, and Akron (-7.5). And the day could have been even better, as we were oh so close to winning in a couple of spots where we came up short.
IT'S GREAT. TO BEAT. THE FLORIDA GATORS. pic.twitter.com/4ekYKwd10N
— #18 Arkansas Razorback Men's Basketball ? (@RazorbackMBB) February 23, 2022
We had money line underdog plays on Villanova and Northern Illinois that both were looking good before taking brutal beats at the buzzer. The Villanova game was especially painful, as the Wildcats led by 4-points with just 21 seconds remaining in the game. The refs decided that we shouldn’t get paid, though, as they made an unbelievably bad call on a jump ball that gave the ball back to UCONN to take the lead and an indefensibly bad call on a block/charge with just a second left that would have given the Wildcats a chance to win the game at the line.
What can you do when you bet as much college basketball as I do, you are going to take some nasty beats from time to time. But at the end of the day, we made money, and that is all that matters. We will look to stay hot today, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Wake Forrest Demon Deacons (-150) at Clemson Tigers
The Demon Deacons of Wake Forrest take their show on the road tonight as they head to Clemson to play the Tigers in an ACC conference game. The Demon Deacons have surprised just about everybody this season, as they came into the year picked to finish dead last in the league but have played well, racking up 21 wins, and they now have their eyes set on a trip to the NCAA tournament. A win over Clemson wouldn’t be a great one, but a loss would be damning to their at-large bid chances, which makes this game huge for Wake Forrest.
Of Wake Forrest’s 6 ACC losses, 4 of them have come to Duke and Miami, and for the most part, the Demon Deacons have dominated the bottom half of the league standings. On the road, Wake has true road wins over Virginia Tech, Virginia, Georgia Tech, Florida State, and NC State in ACC play, making them one of the best road teams in the conference. They will try and add another road wins to their resume tonight against a Tiger’s team that just hasn’t been able to beat quality teams this season.
Last road battle of the regular season.
— Wake Basketball (@WakeMBB) February 23, 2022
Wins haven’t been a major part of the equation for Clemson this season, as they are just 12-15 overall and 4-12 in the ACC. Things have quickly gone from bad to worse for Clemson, as they ride a 6-game losing streak into play tonight. Even at home, the Tigers just don’t win very often. Against the national top-50 this season, the Tigers are a disappointing 0-3, and against the top-100, they haven’t been much better, with a 3-11 record.
Clemson doesn’t have a single win this season over a team that is currently projected to play in the NCAA tournament, and in this matchup against the upstart Demon Deacons, I don’t think they are going to be able to hang. I rarely get too far out of line taking road favorites in conference play, but Clemson has yet to beat a team as good as Wake Forrest this year, and with this game meaning so much to the Demon Deacons NCAA tournament hopes, I don’t think the Demon Deacons are going to blow it. Give me Wake laying a little wood tonight at Clemson.
West Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State Cyclones (-222)
It is strange to see a Bob Huggins coached team play so poorly, but the Mountaineers of West Virginia have completely fallen apart in the 2nd half of the season. After a 13-2 start to their season, West Virginia has now lost 11 of their last 12 games, and they went from a potential 2nd-weekend team to a team that would now need a miracle just to go dancing. None of those losses are bad ones, as they all came against good teams, but life in the Big 12 is tough, and the Mountaineers haven’t been able to play up to that level of competition in what has been a disappointing season in Morgantown.
That lone win for West Virginia in the last several weeks came at home, against his very same Iowa State squad, and the Cyclones are licking their chops now that the season series has shifted to Ames, and they get a chance for some revenge. Big 12 play has been tough for the Cyclones as well, as after rising all of the way into the top-10 nationally in the non-conference, Iowa State is just 5-9 in league play.
Cyclones ? Mountaineers
? 6 p.m. (CT)
? Hilton Coliseum
?️ https://t.co/dKkyXYB89v#Cyclones | #C5C pic.twitter.com/uIdTjI6vJE
— Iowa State Men’s Basketball (@CycloneMBB) February 23, 2022
This game is just a home/road split play. West Virginia has yet to win a single road game in conference play, and Iowa State has been solid at home all season long. The Cyclones have home wins over Iowa, Texas Tech, Texas, and Oklahoma, and I see them picking up another win tonight against West Virginia.
The last 2 weeks of the regular season are going to be huge for Iowa State, as they are firmly on the bubble, and with their next 3 games all coming against fellow bubble teams like West Virginia, Kansas State, and Oklahoma State, the Cyclones are going to either play their way into the Big Dance or play their way out of it. I won’t go too far down the rabbit hole of predicting how Iowa State will finish out the regular season, but I do like them today against a West Virginia team that has shown zero ability to win in hostile territory against a quality team.
Syracuse Orange at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-208)
It seems like every season, the Syracuse Orange follow a similar pattern of play. They come into the season hyped up as a potential ACC title contender, only to play poorly and fall off of most people’s radars. But then, somehow, someway, Jim Boeheim always has his guys playing well late in the season, and they always sneak into the NCAA tournament through the backdoor. This year is following that same script, as Syracuse was left for a dead a month ago, but with wins in 6 of their last 7 games, they are making a case for a bid into the NCAA tournament.
Back at it for ????? ???? ????? ?
— Notre Dame Basketball (@NDmbb) February 23, 2022
That being said, a closer look at the Orange’s recent run tells me that they have been mostly beating up on bad teams, as they have taken advantage of the down ACC this season with wins over teams like Georgia Tech, Boston College, NC State, Louisville, and Pittsburgh. In most years, a 9-7 record in the ACC would make you a lock for the tournament, but that just isn’t the case this year, and when I see that Syracuse has a 3-8 record against the top-100, I am not so sure that I can trust them to beat a quality team like Notre Dame.
The Irish have a shot at winning the ACC regular season title, but the loss to Wake Forrest in their last game was a devastating one, as they are now a game back of 1st place Duke, with just 4 games left to play. Prior to that loss to the Demon Deacons, Notre Dame had won 9 of 10 and 15 of 17 and the Irish were one of the hottest teams in the country. Notre Dame is 11-1 at home this season, and even with as well as Syracuse has played in the last couple of weeks, I don’t think the Orange have what it takes to win in South Bend. Give me the home team as Notre Dame wins this one going away.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Wake Forrest Demon Deacons -150
- Iowa State Cyclones -222
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish -208
$100 Bet Pays $358
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Davidson Wildcats at Duquesne Dukes Over 135
The Davidson Wildcats are very likely the best offensive team in the nation that nobody is talking about right now. Davidson is currently ranked 12th in offensive efficiency per Kenpom, and they do everything you would want out of a great offensive team. They shoot the ball efficiently both inside and outside, they pass well, and they rarely turn it over.
The Wildcats do tend to play at a slower pace, which sometimes masks just how great they are on offense, but I expect them to do more than enough to send this game sailing to the over tonight on the road against the bad defense of Duquesne. The Wildcats should threaten to score 80+ points in this one, and as long as the Dukes can hang around with them and keep the game competitive, this game goes over without much of a sweat.
The Citadel Bulldogs at Mercer Bears Over 146.5
This game is going to come down to 3-point shooting. Both of these teams live and die by the 3-ball, and if those shots are dropping tonight, this one could end up going WAY over the total. That is illustrated by this total, as it is one of the highest on the board today, but Kenpom has this game finishing at 149 points, suggesting there is still value on a play on the over.
???? ??? ? | Senior Night
?: Macon Ga. | Hawkins Arena
?: 7 P.M. | @CitadelHoops
?: ESPN+ | https://t.co/4x7aW8KA32
?: https://t.co/cDbsO7f2sP#LetsRoar x #BearNation pic.twitter.com/Nrbcu1aScm
— Mercer Men's Basketball (@MercerMBB) February 23, 2022
Both of these teams are ranked outside the top-250 in terms of defensive efficiency, and they both play at a fast pace. I will break it down for you like this. We have a game where both teams love to run and gun and jack up tons of 3 and play zero defense. If that isn’t a recipe for a high scoring game, I don’t know what is. We will need both teams to score for this play to come in, and after watching the first meeting between these teams end up being a very competitive game, I expect more of the same tonight in the rematch.
TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns Under 127
After taking a couple of overs, we will make our final totals play on the under in what should be a very low scoring game between TCU and Texas. The Longhorns play elite defense, and they make holding teams to under 60 points a regular occurrence. Texas has held teams to below 60 points 17 times already this season, and they have held teams to under 50 points 9 times! Chris Beard loves to play in the halfcourt and slow things down and when you couple that with his brand of white on rice defense, scoring on UT is hard to do.
Interestingly enough, TCU plays a very similar style of ball, as they too play slow and play hard on D. When these teams played in Fort Worth earlier this season, the Frogs scored just 50 points, and it is hard to expect them to be much better tonight in Austin. This game has first team to 60 points wins written all over it, and I don’t think we are going to have to sweat this total at all in what could be a game that plays out in the 40s.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Davidson Wildcats at Duquesne Dukes Over 135 -110
- The Citadel Bulldogs at Mercer Bears Over 146.5 -110
- TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns Under 127 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (+120)
Home dogs in league play are always my favorite plays when betting college hoops, and I will take another one today in this game between South Carolina and Mississippi State. There are teams that should be favored on the road in conference play, and there are teams that shouldn’t, and in my opinion, Mississippi State is firmly in the category of teams that shouldn’t, as they haven’t been able to beat quality teams away from home.
The analytics love the Bulldogs for some reason, as Mississippi State is currently ranked 38th on Kenpom, despite not being seen as a legit bubble team by the majority of the mainstream media. The Bulldogs like to lose close, which I feel is overrated by Kenpom, and when I see that Mississippi State is 1-7 in true road games, with their lone win on the road coming over Missouri in their last game, I almost can’t believe they are favored in this matchup.
???? ??? ??
? » ?
⏰ » 6:30 p.m. (ET)
? » Columbia, S.C.
? » SEC Network
? » https://t.co/hYbQ2ZUmDn
? » https://t.co/96GvB858zs
? » https://t.co/1WxwuGVcfU
? » https://t.co/Tjxpzel9ie
? » https://t.co/3tnq3zCHYK#Gamecocks?? // #ForeverToThee pic.twitter.com/J7ejUxIxVm
— Gamecock MBB (@GamecockMBB) February 23, 2022
The Gamecocks haven’t been a great team this year, but they protect their home floor with an 11-4 record. Of those 4 losses, 3 of them came to Auburn, Tennessee, and Kentucky, teams that are potential Final Four threats. So, in this game, we have a home team that rarely losses at home, playing a road team that never wins on the road, and I can get the home team as an underdog? Ummmm, yeah, sign me up for all of that.
Creighton Blue Jays (+180) at St. John’s Red Storm
Doug McDermott has rallied his troops at Creighton, and after looking like a team that had no shot at playing meaningful games in March at the start of the month, the Blue Jays have caught fire, and they are starting to hear their names come up in bubble conversations. Creighton is 6-1 this month, and they have shot up the standings in the Big East with the nice run of success. The Blue Jays need to stay hot, though, as they are likely still on the outside looking in for the NCAA tournament at this point, making this a must-win game for Crieghton.
— Creighton Men’s Basketball (@BluejayMBB) February 23, 2022
Normally I always lean on home teams in conference play, but St. John’s has done a lot of their winning away from home, and the Johnnies have home losses to Pittsburgh, Seton Hall, Providence, Villanova, and UCONN this season. When St. John’s played in Omaha earlier this season, the game wasn’t remotely competitive, as Crieghton blew St. John’s out by 23 points. This game is by no means a lock, as taking road teams in big spots like this one is always risky, but a bad line is a bad line, and I have no choice but to exploit it with a play on the Blue Jays.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- South Carolina Gamecocks +120
- Creighton Blue Jays +180
$100 Bet Pays $616
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
La Salle Explorers at Fordham Rams (-3)
Talk about bad lines, this is a laughably bad number, as La Salle stinks! This line opened up with Fordham as -4.5-point favorites, which was already far too low, as Kenpom has the Rams winning by 8 points. But the public loves to be on the wrong side of games, and they have been taking the road teams in droves, moving the line towards the Explorers, and opening up enormous value on the home team at what is now a very reasonable price.
— Fordham Men’s Basketball (@FordhamMBB) February 23, 2022
It is hard to understand what the public sees in La Salle in this matchup, as the Explorers have lost 13 of their last 15 games, and in true road games this season, they are 1-9. Some of those road losses have been in close games, so we may have to sweat the cover a little bit, but honestly, I am not overly worried about his one. In these team’s first meeting of the season, Fordham won at La Salle by 8-points, and if all they do is repeat that performance on their home floor, we will win and cover without a problem.
I love fading the public and taking advantage of bad lines, and I get to do both of those things in this game with a play on Fordham. Give me the Rams as they pull away late and coast in for what I see as a double-digit victory against a completely overmatched Explorers squad.
Xavier Musketeers at Providence Friars (-1)
Last night’s loss for Villanova all but handed at least a share of the Big East title to the Providence Friars. Shockingly, PC has never once won the Big East regular season title, and with a 2-game lead over the Wildcats with just 3 games left to play, it would take an implosion for the Friars not to at least share the title. Providence has split the public up between the data lovers and the eye test crew, as the analytics hate PC, and the poll voters love them.
While I am never one to deny the data, I tend to agree more with the poll voters, as the Friars have played a tough schedule, and they have beaten far too many quality teams for me not to think they are elite. Providence is 22-3 on the season, and they have wins over Wisconsin, Northwestern, Texas Tech, Vermont, UCONN, Seton Hall, St. John’s (twice), Xavier, and Marquette (twice). They beat the Musketeers in their house late last month, and I don’t see any compelling reason that they can’t do it again at home, where they have been nearly unbeatable.
— Providence MBB (@PCFriarsmbb) February 23, 2022
Xavier is stumbling to the finish line of the regular season, as after a 10-1 start in the non-conference, they have a losing record in Big East play at 7-8. The Musketeers have lost 4 of their last 5 games and 6 of 9. While Xavier is certainly capable of beating god teams, we saw that when they beat UCONN, Marquette, and Ohio State, nearly all of that success has come at home. On the road, their best win of the year was over Oklahoma State, and no matter what your opinion is on the Friars, I think we can all agree that a win over PC would be their biggest road win of the season.
You could make a play on Providence on the money line here as well, but with the public dropping the opening line down from Providence -2-points to just -1-point, I prefer to lay the point and get the better price. The Friars know a win would guarantee them a Big East title, and I expect to see the best version of this Friars team that we have seen all season long tonight as they win and cover against Xavier.
Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers (+5.5)
Can Tony Bennet get his Virginia Cavaliers into the NCAA tournament? The Cavs are used to dominating, as they have had several 1 seeds under Bennet’s leadership, but that hasn’t been the case this year, as Virginia hasn’t played very well. That being said, he has his team playing their best ball of the season at just the right time, as Virginia has a 5-1 record in their last 6 games, which includes big wins over Duke and Miami (twice).
— Virginia Men's Basketball (@UVAMensHoops) February 23, 2022
Winning in Charlottesville is one of the toughest things to do for opposing teams in the nation, and after a season-opening home loss to Navy that feels very fluky right now, the Cavs have won 10 of 13 at home. Virginia went into Cameron Indoor and handed the Blue Devils a rare loss last week, and a win today would go a long way into Virginia getting an at-large bid into the Big Dance. I will stop just short of calling the outright upset, but in Tony Bennet’s time at Virginia, if you had taken the Cavaliers as home underdogs every chance that you could get, you would be rich, as the Cavs just don’t lose at home very often.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Fordham Rams (-3) -110
- Providence Friars (-1) -110
- Virginia Cavaliers (+5.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!