Our blistering hot start to the New Year continued yesterday as we again got the money, this time connecting on our 3-team all money line parlay for a hefty $299 payout. The play came in when we found outright winners on Wisconsin (-120), Ohio State (-330), and Colorado (-400). It was a limited schedule yesterday, but that didn’t stop us from finding the value and getting paid.
Never easy on the road in the B1G
Grinded it out! Got it done! W!! pic.twitter.com/3wq8C0TFFJ
— Wisconsin Basketball (@BadgerMBB) January 10, 2022
In addition to the money line winners, we also found outright winners on Northeastern/Towson over 132.5, Cincinnati (+8), and Cleveland State (-2). Had we connected on James Madison (+2) as home dogs, we would have cashed in another $700 parlay winner, but the Dukes faded late and just missed covering the number on their own floor. Today, we have another smaller slate of games, but that didn’t stop us yesterday, and it won’t stop us today, as we search for max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Oregon Ducks (-200) at Oregon State Beavers
On a day filled with small conference games, we get a power conference matchup tonight from Corvallis as the Oregon State Beavers host their in-state rivals, the Oregon Ducks in PAC-12 play. Both of these teams had plenty of reasons to be optimistic about this season, as they both made the NCAA tournament last year, and both teams won games in the Big Dance, with the Beavers shocking the nation with a run all of the way to the Elite Eight.
But neither team has been able to recreate that level of success this season, as both programs are struggling. The Ducks came into the year ranked 13th in the first AP Poll of the year, but quickly fell from the rankings after a 3-3 start. Losses to Baylor and Houston are certainly nothing to be ashamed of, and even the losses to BYU and Saint Mary’s aren’t awful, but losses to Arizona State and Stanford have the Ducks looking like a team on the outside looking in for this year’s NCAA tournament. It is early in the year to start calling games must-win, but this really is a must-win for the Ducks, as they can ill afford any more slip-ups against bad teams.
Headed up to Corvallis to face OSU at 7 p.m.
— Oregon Men's Basketball (@OregonMBB) January 10, 2022
For Oregon State, the Beavers were expected to be down after last year’s historic run in the NCAA tournament, but I am not sure that anybody saw them playing this poorly. The Beavers are an embarrassing 3-10 this year, and they don’t have a single win over the national top-100. Wayne Tinkle’s boys suffered through a brutal 10-game losing streak earlier this season, including home losses to Samford, Princeton, UC Davis, and Texas A&M.
If you are a regular reader of my parlay of the day picks, you know that I love me some home underdogs. But after watching the Beavers fail to protect their home floor against bad teams all season long, I just don’t see how they can beat Oregon tonight. Yeah, the Ducks have underachieved as well, but I still think that they will get things turned around and make a case for an at-large bid by the end of the year.
— Oregon Men's Basketball (@OregonMBB) January 8, 2022
They played a tough schedule, and it cost them, but that doesn’t mean this isn’t still a very talented team. Oregon has won 3 of their last 4 games, with the only loss coming to undefeated and number 1 ranked Baylor in a tightly contested game, so maybe that turnaround has already started for the Ducks. I expect Orgon to continue their recent surge and knock off their rivals tonight on the road. My gut says that the Beavers will put up a fight, so I don’t want to lay any points. Instead, I will back the Ducks on the money line and expect a hard-fought Oregon victory.
San Diego Toreros at Pepperdine Waves (-175)
For our next play, we will stay out west, this time for a WCC game between Pepperdine and San Diego. There has been a lot of talk that the WCC is the best it has ever been this year, and I tend to agree as the league is loaded, with teams like Gonzaga, St. Mary’s, BYU, and San Francisco all looking like NCAA tournament level teams. And while I think the WCC is very good this year, that sentiment doesn’t really apply to the bottom half of the league, as the WCC is very top-heavy.
The Toreros and Waves are both ranked outside of the top-200 nationally, and neither team has managed to win a league game as of yet. Now, to be fair, the WCC was delayed for a couple of weeks due to COVID-19 related issues in the league, so we haven’t gotten to see much of these guys in conference play, but mark my words, it ain’t going to be pretty.
Back at home in Firestone.
— Pepperdine Men’s Basketball (@PeppBasketball) January 10, 2022
Both of these teams play poorly on the road, and that is especially true for Pepperdine, as the Waves are 0-6 in true road games this season. But luckily for them, they get this one at home, where they are a very respectable 6-2 on the year. If this game were being played in San Diego, I would back the Toreros, but it’s not, it’s being played in Malibu, and that alone is enough to sway my action towards the Waves. Pepperdine has won their last 4 home games, and I expect them to run that streak to 5 in a row tonight with a win over San Diego to pick up their first WCC win of the season.
Campbell Camels at Winthrop Eagles (-200)
The Winthrop Eagles have emerged as the class of the Big South Conference in the last 2 years, as they have won both the regular season and conference tournament titles in each of the last 2 years. They were robbed of their dancing shoes in 2020 when the Big Dance got canceled, and last year they had a nice showing in March, pushing the Villanova Wildcats to the limit before losing late in the game in the round of 64. The Eagles are a combined 22-4 in Big South play during that span, and they have to be excited to kick off their conference play schedule tonight against visiting Campbell.
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— Winthrop Basketball (@Winthrop_MBB) January 10, 2022
Campbell is a program on the rise under longtime head coach Kevin McGeehan as they have gone from a team that was consistently ranked outside of the top-300, to a team with a winning record in league play in 3 out of the last 4 years. But after a 6-1 start to their year, the Camels have fallen on hard times recently, dropping 4 of their last 5 games, including 3 straight. That 3-game losing streak has been particularly ugly as they have lost to Georgia Southern, UNC-Wilmington, and UNC-Ashville, all games that they probably should have won.
I think that Winthrop has caught Campbell at just the right time. The Camels are playing their worst basketball of the year right now, and when you take a closer look at the Eagles record, it really isn’t all that bad. All of the Eagle’s losses have come on the road, including losses to power conference teams like Washington State, Vanderbilt, and Mississippi State. At home, Winthrop is a perfect 6-0, and I see them coasting to the win tonight over what I see as an overmatched Campbell squad.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Oregon Ducks -200
- Pepperdine Waves -175
- Winthrop Eagles -200
$100 Bet Pays $354
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Illinois-Chicago Flames at Indiana-Purdue Jaguars Over 122
Sometimes when you bet on college basketball, you get to bet elite matchups between great teams where the game is as fun to watch, as it is to sweat out your action. And then other times, you get to bet games like this one, between a couple of the worst teams in the nation. While this game might be ugly to watch, I suggest you don’t even try to find a local TV feed for this one, that doesn’t mean we can’t make money betting on it.
This is one of the lowest totals I have seen all season long, which on the surface makes sense as IUPUI has the worst offense in the nation in terms of efficiency, and Illinois-Chicago isn’t much better at 261st. But you also have to take into account that neither of these teams play any defense either! This line opened up at 125 points and has been steadily on the move downwards ever since. But when you see that Kenpom has this game at 125 points, it looks like that line move was an error, and it opens up a ton of value on the over. I will fade the public and jump on the over in what is sure to be an ugly one tonight from Indianapolis.
Alcorn State Braves at Alabama State Hornets Over 135
Speaking of ugly games, our next play comes to us from Montgomery, Alabama, where the Alabama State Hornets play host to the Alcorn State Braves in a SWAC conference game. This play is strictly a reaction to what I see as a bad line. This line opened at 141.5 points, and you could argue that it was a bit low, as Kenpom has this one finishing up at 143 points. But the public hasn’t seen it that way, as they have hammered the under driving this line all of the way down to 135 points. An 8-point gap between the data and the line is nearly unheard of, and I will gladly position myself on the other side and fire hard on the over.
Boston University Terriers at American Eagles Over 129.5
Our final totals play feels a lot like our first couple of over/under bets, as we are again going to fade what I see as a bad line move. The public has never seen a line that they don’t want to ruin, and that is what happened in this one, as the public action has moved this line from 134.5 all of the way down to 129.5. That is an enormous line move, and the analytics would suggest that it was a bad one, as Kenpom has this game at 135 points. Fade. The. Public. Give me the over.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Illinois-Chicago Flames at Indiana-Purdue Jaguars Over 122 -110
- Alcorn State Braves at Alabama State Hornets Over 135 -110
- Boston University Terriers at American Eagles Over 129.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Wofford Terriers at UNC-Greensboro Spartans (+135)
It is looking increasingly likely that Chattanooga is going to run away with the SOCON regular season title, as the Mocs are 3-0 in league play and are currently starting to hear their name come up in the at-large bid conversation, as they are ranked 60th on Kenpom with a 13-3 overall record. But if any team is going to give Chattanooga a run for their money in the SOCON, I think it could be one of these teams, as both UNC-Greensboro and Wofford have the talent to hang with the Mocs.
That makes this game a big one, as whichever team can separate themselves from the rest of the pack will have a shot at competing with Chattanooga for the league title. Wofford looked great this weekend when they went into East Tennessee State and picked up a win, but that win came on the heels of back-to-back losses to open up conference play, and I see the Terriers having a lot of trouble tonight against the Spartans.
Back home tonight to host Wofford at 6 p.m.
Plenty of tickets are available. Time to come out and have some fun with the Spartans. pic.twitter.com/qoIFfQ1jAr
— UNCG Basketball (@UNCGBasketball) January 10, 2022
I smell upset tonight in Greensboro as I think the Spartans are probably better than their record might lead you to believe. The Spartans have 2 overtime losses on their resume, and they nearly knocked off Furman in their league play home opener last week. The Spartans are just a couple of bounces in their direction away from having an elite record and that has me thinking that they can upset the Terriers tonight on their home floor.
Home dogs in conference play are always going to be my favorite plays, and I will take a stand on UNC-Greensboro in what I see as a coin-flip type of game. If you are going to give me this much juice on a coin flip, I am liable to take it every time. Give me the Spartans, and let’s hope that the variance breaks our way in what should be a highly competitive game.
Jackson State Tigers at Alabama A&M Bulldogs (+110)
The SWAC is a league filled with tiny schools that tend to play the majority of their non-conference games on the road. The only way for these small programs to make money is to be professional punching bags for the bigger conferences to beat up on. That leads to a lot of ugly records for teams playing in the SWAC once they eventually reach conference play.
That trend is reflected in the Jackson State Tiger’s record as they have played all but one of their 13 games as true road games. That includes their entire non-conference schedule. It is hard to tell just how good or bad a small conference team like the Tigers are when all they do is get beaten up by power programs, and I am shocked that a team that just lost to 323rd ranked Alabama State by 15 points in their last game, is a road favorite, no matter who they are playing.
It is yet another road game for Jackson State as they play at Alabama A&M, hoping to win just their 3rd game of the year. The Bulldogs have had a similar start to their season, as they have played 11 of their 13 games on the road. The Bulldogs will appreciate that home cooking tonight, and their 2-1 record in SWAC play has me liking them as an upset special. I am betting against Jackson State more than I am betting on Alabama A&M, give me the Bulldogs as home dogs.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- UNC-Greensboro Spartans +135
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs +110
$100 Bet Pays $494
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Alcorn State Braves (-1) at Alabama State Hornets
It is a SWAC attack today as we will stay in the conference for our next play on the game between the visiting Alcorn State Braves and the home team Alabama State Hornets. Like most of the rest of this league, the Braves have yet to play a single home game, but unlike most of the other teams in the SWAC, the Braves have actually found a way to win some of these games on other team’s floors. Alcorn State has road wins over Milwaukee, Jackson State, and Alabama A&M, and they are true road warriors as they hold the distinction of being the only team in the country to have played 3 of last year’s 4 Final Four teams, with games against Baylor, Gonzaga, and Houston.
Alabama State has managed to schedule a couple of home games this year, and they have played well with a 3-2 record. The win over Jackson State at home in their last game was a nice one for the Hornets but wins over North Carolina Central and D2 Tuskegee doesn’t give me too much confidence that the Hornets are going to be able to beat an Alcorn State team that is ranked nearly 50 spots higher on Kenpom. The Braves will play any team, on any court, and that road warrior mentality is going to help them tonight as they find a way to win on the road at Alabama State.
North Dakota State Bison (-4.5) at Denver Pioneers
Dave Richman has taken his Bison to the Summit League conference tournament finals in each of the last 3 seasons, as the Bison have consistently been one of the best teams in the league. North Dakota State won the tournament title in 2019 and 2020 before coming up short in the finals to Oral Roberts last season, and the Bison are again expected to compete at the top of the league this year, along with Oral Roberts and South Dakota State. But in order to do that, the Bison have to take care of business tonight on the road at Denver against the Pioneers.
It is rebuild time in Denver, as the Pioneers finally decided to move on from head coach Rodney Billups after going just 17-55 in the previous 3 seasons combined. New head coach Jeff Wulbrun hasn’t had much more success than Billups was having, though, as the Pioneers are 6-11 on the year. Denver did find a way to win 2 of their first 3 league games this season, but I see them losing tonight at home.
— Bison1660 (@Bison1660) January 10, 2022
Of Denver’s 6 wins, 4 of them have come against teams ranked 350th or worse, and none of them have come against the top-200. The Bison are currently ranked 180th, which leads me to believe that this is a mismatch tonight in Denver. It is always risky to lay wood on conference road teams, but the public did me a huge favor, betting down the opening line of (-7.5) down to the much more reasonable number of (-4.5). I will lay the points and back the Bison.
Bucknell Bison at Loyola MD Greyhounds (-5.5)
What is going on at Bucknell? It wasn’t all that long ago that the Bison were regularly winning 20+ games each season, and they even made back-to-back trips to the NCAA tournament back in 2017-18. But Bucknell hasn’t played well in the last 3 years with a combined record of 22-39, and it feels like it might be time for a change in Lewisburg. This year, Bucknell seems to have completely bottomed out, as they have slipped all of the way down to 314th in the nation with a 3-12 record.
Unlike these SWAC teams that have awful records because they have played a who’s who of college basketball programs, the Bison have one of the worst records in the country despite playing only 1 team ranked in the top-100, 98th ranked Richmond. Bucknell is 0-9 away from home this season with bad losses to Penn, Illinois State, Mercer, Rider, and St. Francis.
Get fired up, it's gameday!
? 7:00 p.m.
? Reitz Arena
? ESPN+ (https://t.co/MfyxlNiA6M)
?https://t.co/3N62BDRJdz#gohounds | #patriotmbb | @Patriot_Gameday | @LoyolaHounds pic.twitter.com/ftHANgyUr5
— Loyola Men's BKB (@LoyolaMBB) January 10, 2022
I am not going to try and sit here and convince you that Loyola MD is a great team. In fact, they aren’t even a good team, but they are solid at home, and they should have more than enough gas in their tanks to beat this putrid Bucknell team. The Greyhounds are 6-0 at home this year, and they are coming off of their biggest win of the season over Boston University in their last game. Bucknell struggles to even stay competitive most nights, and while I would always prefer to get points, rather than lay them, I doubt we are going to sweat this one that much tonight as Loyola is a much better basketball team.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Alcorn State Braves (-1) -110
- North Dakota State Bison (-4.5) -110
- Loyola MD Greyhounds (-5.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!