It feels good to run good! We have been on absolute fire for the entire month of January, and yesterday we again killed the game, running up an elite 8-3 record and smashing our all-underdog money line parlay for a juicy $494 payout! We saw the power of parlaying dogs, as the play was only a 2-teamer, with UNC-Greensboro Spartans (+135) and Alabama A&M Bulldogs (+110) both winning as home dogs, yet it still paid out big!
While it was an awesome day, we just missed scooping the entire board, as we missed 3 of our parlay of the day plays but just 1 game each! We found money line winners on Oregon (-200) and Winthrop (-200), spread winners on Alcorn State (-1) and North Dakota State (-4.5), and totals wins on Illinois-Chicago/Indiana-Purdue Over 122 and Boston University/American Over 129.5.
WHAT A COMEBACK!!!!!!
UNCG erases its 3rd double-digit deficit this season to win.
4th straight opponent held below 60 points. pic.twitter.com/tcd9a6bMnT
— UNCG Basketball (@UNCGBasketball) January 11, 2022
For the last couple of weeks, we have been hitting a high percentage of our plays, and it is only a matter of time until we pull off the full scoop and get ALL of the money! As always, we are right back at the grind today, in search of max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
DePaul Blue Demons at Marquette Golden Eagles (-260)
Shaka Smart has had a roller coaster of a season in his first year at the helm at Marquette. The Golden Eagles started out the season by winning 8 of their first 10 games, including signature wins over Illinois, West Virginia, and Kansas State. But then a rough patch of scheduling led to a 4-game losing streak, and it was looking like this once-promising season was going to end in disappointment.
But in the last week, Marquette has looked like a completely different team, as they dominated both Providence and Georgetown to pick up their first 2 Big East wins of the season. The Golden Eagles welcome DePaul to town tonight, looking to make it 3 straight Big East wins.
Back at home 🏠
— Marquette Basketball (@MarquetteMBB) January 11, 2022
DePaul has had a similar season as Marquette, as they came out of the gates hot, but league play in the Big East has proven difficult, as they are 0-4 in conference play. I don’t see the Blue Demons as the doormat in the Big East that they usually are, as they actually have some talent this season. That being said, I don’t think they are capable of going on the road and beating a quality team like Marquette. The Blue Demons are likely going to put up a fight, but when all of the smoke clears tonight at Fiserv Forum, the Golden Eagles are going to win this game.
Ole Miss Rebels at Texas A&M Aggies (-190)
I love Texas A&M head coach Buzz Williams. The longtime former head coach at Marquette and Virginia Tech appears to be finally seeing the fruits of his labors in College Station, in his 3rd year running the program, as he has his Aggies poised to break through with a trip to the NCAA tournament with an impressive 13-2 record. The only thing missing from the Aggie’s resume are top-100 victories, as they only have 2 of them, with wins coming over Notre Dame and Arkansas, and Williams and company will have a shot at picking up another one tonight at home against Ole Miss.
Locked in. 🔒
🆚 Ole Miss on @SECNetwork
🏡 Reed Arena | 7:30 p.m.
🎟️ https://t.co/O1AXrX4TEV@Traditionsgolf x #GigEm pic.twitter.com/tWDdRCMa16
— Texas A&M Basketball (@aggiembk) January 11, 2022
When you look closely at the Rebels’ record, you see that they have 9 wins, with nice wins over the likes of Memphis, Mississippi State, and Dayton. But the one thing that sticks out to me the most about the Rebel’s resume is that 8 of their 9 wins have come at home. Away from home, Mississippi is just 1-4. The Rebels showed that they are going to be able to compete in the SEC this year with a close loss in Knoxville, to the Tennessee Volunteers, and a home win over Mississippi State in their last game, but there are no moral victories in the SEC. Expect the Rebels to play hard but ultimately come up short as the Aggies take this one in a tightly contested affair.
USC Trojans (-250) at Stanford Cardinal
The USC Trojans are finally starting to get some national attention as they jumped into the top-5 this week with their undefeated 13-0 record. The Trojans have played a lot of solid teams, but not many good teams, and no great teams, which has kept the media a bit reluctant to include them in the conversation of elite teams despite their stellar record. The Trojans face a similar test today as they head out on the road to play a solid, but not spectacular, Stanford Cardinal squad.
The top of the PAC-12 is really good, with Arizona and UCLA joining USC as potential Final Four level teams. But after that top tier of teams, the league is wide open, making room for the Stanford’s of the world to step up and make a run to the NCAA tournament if they play well. After a long COVID-19 related delay, Stanford will play tonight for the first time in almost 3 weeks and having to play USC in their first game back seems like a really unlucky draw.
Work ends at 2pm for you today. 📺
Work begins at 2pm for us. 🏀
Everyone have a great day at work! pic.twitter.com/LZkUc4HNVC
— USC Men's Basketball (@USC_Hoops) January 11, 2022
Only time will tell if the Trojans are truly a national title contender, but we have seen USC beat up on lots of teams that rate out in the same ballpark as the Cardinal, and I would expect a fairly easy win for the Trojans tonight on the road. It is a conference road game, so I don’t want to play a bunch of points, so I will take my stand on USC on the money line in a high-value spot.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Marquette Golden Eagles -260
- Texas A&M Aggies -190
- USC Trojans -250
$100 Bet Pays $296
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions Under 133.5
Rutgers and Penn State clash today in a Big 10 conference game from University Park. While I don’t have a strong opinion on the side in this one, I do see some nice value on the total of 133.5 points. After opening up at 131 points, the line has been steadily on the move upwards ever since, and right now, it sits at 133.5 points. Kenpom has this one finishing at 128 points, suggesting that the line move was a bad one, and that is a very nice gap between what the data is telling us and where this line sits.
— Penn State Men’s Basketball (@PennStateMBB) January 11, 2022
Penn State might be the slowest paced team of any power conference program, as they are currently the 348th slowest team in the nation. They love to play slow and look for halfcourt sets, and when you throw in the fact that both of these teams play strong defense, this feels like a very low scoring game. You hate to ever expect an ugly game, but that is what this one is going to be, and the play is the under on what is an inflated line.
South Carolina Gamecocks at Tennessee Volunteers Under 142.5
For our next totals play, we will head to Knoxville for an SEC conference game between the Tennessee Volunteers and the South Carolina Gamecocks. Just like our first totals play, we have seen a hard to understand line move in this one, as the number opened up at 139.5 and quickly jumped up 3 full points.
Kenpom will tell you that the original line was already on the high side as Pomeroy has this game ending at 138 points, and I absolutely love a play on the under in what is sure to be a physical and hard-fought game. The Vols are 3rd best in the country in defensive efficiency, and the Cocks aren’t much worse, as they are 40th. This is an elite defensive matchup, and you can book my action on the under.
DePaul Blue Demons at Marquette Golden Eagles Over 146.5
We already touched on this game a bit above, and you know that I expect Marquette to handle their business at home and knock off DePaul. This is an interesting stylistic matchup as we all know that Marquette head coach Shaka Smart made a name for himself as a defensive guru, and this Golden Eagles team does play nasty D, but when it comes to offense, the Golden Eagles play one of the fastest paces in the nation. DePaul likes to play fast as well, and I see this game being one where we see a lot of quick shots go up by both sides. All of those extra shot attempts and possessions should be more than enough to push this game to the over, and that is where I will make my play.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions Under 133.5 -110
- South Carolina Gamecocks at Tennessee Volunteers Under 142.5 -110
- DePaul Blue Demons at Marquette Golden Eagles Over 146.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Auburn Tigers (+130) at Alabama Crimson Tide
Yesterday we saw how profitable it can be when you parlay underdogs, and we will try and go back-to-back today with another hit on our daily dog parlay, this time, making our play on the Auburn Tigers as road underdogs. It is exceedingly rare that you are ever going to get a team as talented as this Auburn Tigers team is as betting underdogs. I think this is the best team that Bruce Pearl has ever had at Auburn, and that is saying a lot, as this is one of the top programs around.
The Tigers have one of the most impressive collections of wins of any team, as they have top-100 wins over Loyola-Chicago, Syracuse, UCF, Saint Louis, Murray State, LSU, and Florida. The Tiger’s only loss came way back in November, in a double-overtime thriller to UCONN. Auburn came in at number 4 in the most recent AP Poll, but the Tigers will face what is their biggest test of the season so far tonight, as they head to Alabama, to play the Crimson Tide.
— Auburn Basketball (@AuburnMBB) January 11, 2022
Alabama fans are probably still licking their wounds after watching their football team lose in the national championship game last night, and I have a feeling that heartbreak will continue tonight, as I see ‘Bama losing this game. No disrespect to Alabama at all, they are a very talented team that can beat any team in the nation, but I like the Tigers.
The biggest problem with Alabama is consistency. They showed that they can beat elite teams with wins over Gonzaga, Houston, and Tennessee, but they also showed that they can lose to lower-caliber teams as well, with losses to Missouri, Davidson, Iona, and Memphis. This is the game of the day today in college hoops, and I see the Auburn Tigers sneaking out of Tuscaloosa tonight with the win in a thriller.
Toledo Rockets (+100) at Miami Ohio RedHawks
The Toledo Rockets dominated league play in the MAC last season, running up a 15-4 conference play record. The Rockets ran into the buzzsaw that was the Ohio Bobcats last year in the MAC tournament, so they didn’t get to go dancing in the NCAA tournament, but they return this year ready to avenge that loss and pick up another regular season MAC title. The Rockets are off to a hot start in league play with a 3-1 record, and a win over Miami-Ohio would go a long way into cementing Toledo as the team to beat in the MAC.
The analytics like the RedHawks more than I do, as I see a team that has a mediocre at best record, despite shamelessly weak scheduling. Miami has played 7 teams that are ranked outside of the national top-200, and they managed to lose to both Western Illinois and Bellarmine. They did pick up a nice win over Buffalo in their league play opener, but they followed it up with a bad loss to Bowling Green in their last game. The RedHawks haven’t beaten a single team ranked in the top-100 yet this season, and I don’t see them starting tonight against an underrated Toledo team. Give me the Rockets as road dogs.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Auburn Tigers +130
- Toledo Rockets +100
$100 Bet Pays $460
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Kentucky Wildcats at Vanderbilt Commodores (+8.5)
Home dog in league play? Sign me up! The Vanderbilt Commodores host the Kentucky Wildcats tonight, looking for their biggest win of the season. Vanderbilt is coming off of a heartbreaking loss to South Carolina in their last game, a loss that snapped a 4-game winning streak for the Commodores. Jerry Stackhouse hasn’t had a ton of success in his time at Vanderbilt, but he has his team playing well right now, with a winning record, as they get deeper into conference play, and I see this program as one on the rise in the SEC.
Let's do this.
— Vanderbilt Men's Basketball (@VandyMBB) January 11, 2022
John Calipari has his normal mix of veteran transfers and elite recruits this year at Kentucky, and while their record and national ranking has them as one of the top teams in the country, I am not completely sold on the Wildcats just yet. Kentucky has played just 4 top-100 teams this year, and they are 1-3 against them.
All but one of their wins have come on their home floor, and they are just 1-3 in games away from Rupp Arena. I would be surprised if they didn’t win tonight at Vanderbilt, but I wouldn’t be shocked, and spotting the Commodore’s (+8.5) points feels far too high. I am taking the home team and the points, as the Wildcats are going to be on upset alert tonight in Nashville.
Iowa State Cyclones (+13) at Kansas Jayhawks
Nobody, and I mean nobody, could have seen this breakout season coming for the Iowa State Cyclones. Iowa State has been the laughingstock of the Big 12 for the last several seasons, rarely ever winning a league game and finishing with one of the worst overall records in the nation. The Cyclones were 5-31 in conference play the last 2 years combined, and when they started out this year by winning their first 12 games, and making into the top-10 nationally, jaws collectively dropped everywhere.
No. 15 Cyclones 🆚 No. 9 Kansas
🕔 7 p.m. (CT)
📍 Allen Fieldhouse (Lawrence, Kan.)
📺 Big 12 Now on ESPN+
🖥️ https://t.co/zP0eS38AfP#Cyclones | #C5C pic.twitter.com/2zgGJ3mKmz
— Iowa State Men’s Basketball (@CycloneMBB) January 11, 2022
Big 12 play has again proven tough for Iowa State, but they gave Baylor a great game, and they beat Texas Tech, before losing on the road to the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. That brutal schedule continues tonight as they are forced to play in Lawrence, against the Kansas Jayhawks. The Jayhawks felt the sting of life in the Big 12 in their last game as well, as they got pounded by the Red Raiders of Texas Tech for their first conference loss of the season.
Opposing teams just don’t win at Phog Allen Fieldhouse. It just doesn’t happen very often. But to see the Cyclones, the 15th ranked team in the nation in the latest AP Poll, getting +13 points is shocking. All we need for Iowa State to do to cover this number is keep the game at least somewhat competitive and not get blown out. That is what I see happening tonight as Kansas is going to win this game, but they aren’t going to run the Cyclones off of the court. I know it is hard to see a game between Kansas and Iowa State as a competitive one, but that is absolutely the case tonight in Lawrence.
Miami Hurricanes (+7) at Florida State Seminoles
I normally don’t put too much emphasis on the AP Poll this early in the season, but I almost can’t believe that the Miami Hurricanes weren’t ranked when the new rankings came out on Monday morning. I mean, what more do you want from Miami?
They are riding a 9-game winning streak, they are undefeated in ACC play at 5-0, and in their last game, they went into Cameron Indoor Stadium and beat the 2nd ranked Duke Blue Devils. Not only aren’t the Hurricanes ranked, but they aren’t even the top team in the also receiving votes category, as they came in behind both Oklahoma and Loyola-Chicago.
Canes vs Noles 😤
Tonight in Tallahassee at 8 PM.
Watch on ACCN. pic.twitter.com/QW0YpV9Tkc
— Canes Hoops (@CanesHoops) January 11, 2022
That utter disrespect seems to have influenced this line, as there is no way that you can convince me that Florida State is 7-points better than Miami is right now. Florida State is a nice team, and when all is said and done on the year, I would expect them to be playing in the NCAA tournament, but they are very flawed this year, and I see them as trading on their reputation more than anything else. The Seminoles are 8-5 on the year, and they didn’t have a single win over the top-100 until they beat Louisville in their last game.
None of their losses are terrible ones, although the loss to South Carolina is going to look worse at the end of the year than it did at the time, but I just haven’t seen anything from Florida State to lead me to believe they are going to blow out this very talented Miami team. And with this inflated line, that is just what they are going to have to do to cover the spread.
Not only am I going to hammer on Miami in this one, but I will also make a money line play as I think the Hurricanes can win this game outright as well. You could argue that this is the single worst line of the season, and I will snatch up the points in what I see as an outrageously high-value spot.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Vanderbilt Commodores (+8.5) -110
- Iowa State Cyclones (+13) -110
- Miami Hurricanes (+7) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!