College Hoops Parlay Of The Day 1-12-22

We have been ramping up for a huge day all week as we have been rolling up elite records while smashing a parlay winner in four out of the last five days, and yesterday all that hard work paid off in a big way, as we broke through for a monster day betting NCAA Men’s Basketball! Not only did we hit a parlay yesterday, we hit two of them, for a combined total payout of $1,160!

For the second consecutive day, we delivered an all-underdog money line parlay winner, with the bet coming in when both Auburn (+130) and Toledo (+100) won in hostile territory as road underdogs. That ticket paid out a juicy $460 bucks, and we ran our record to 5-1 in the last 3 days on underdog plays. Anybody can pick favorites to win, but the real money comes when you are taking dogs and stacking juice.

For my regular readers, you will know that we have been steaming hot on totals recently, and that trend continued yesterday when we again connected on our all-totals parlay for a hefty $700. That bet came in with winners on Rutgers/Penn State under 133.5, South Carolina/Tennessee under 142.5, and DePaul/Marquette over 146.5. The parlays are always the centerpiece of my daily action, but we also found straight bet winners on Texas A&M (-190) and Marquette (-260) and spread winners Miami (+7) and Iowa State (+13).

On the day, we finished up with a 9-2 overall record, and if this were a game of NBA Jam, our character would be on fire right now, as we literally can’t miss! When you are on a hot streak like this, you want to keep pushing, and today, we will get right back at the grind, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Magic Parlay

Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.

Memphis Tigers (-115) at Central Florida Knights

Are the Memphis Tigers an elite team? Or are they overrated trash destined for a disappointing season? I think the answer, like it usually tends to be, is somewhere in the middle. The Tigers came into the season hyped up to be a national title contender with one of the top recruiting classes in the country. But after a 5-0 start to their season, the Tigers lost 5 of 6 and quickly went from contender to pretender. But in the last several weeks, it is looking like Penny Hardaway’s squad of young guns is finally starting to mature, and they have gotten their act together with 4 wins in their last 5 games.

Wins over Alabama, Wichita State, and Cincinnati have gone a long way into turning the Tiger’s season around, and as we get deeper into conference play, it is starting to look like Memphis just might be the team we all thought they would be in the preseason. The Tigers face a tough challenge today as they head to Orlando, Florida, for an AAC showdown with the UCF Knights.

I am a bit higher on UCF than most people are, as I see this team as solidly an NCAA tournament-level team, whereas most people have the Knights squarely on the bubble. That being said, their home court loss to Temple in their last game was a bad one, and if the Knights can’t find a way to win tonight at home, they are going to extend their losing streak to 3 straight games.

I am never a huge fan of taking road teams in conference play, but something tells me that the Tigers aren’t the same team that they were earlier this year when they were losing a lot of games. Often times we see this mid-season transformation from young teams, as these kids are starting to learn what it takes to win games at a high level. This one might make me look silly, but I am backing the road team Tigers. Remember this game a month from now when Memphis continues to improve and breaks back into the top-25 nationally, as I see them finding their groove and getting hot down the stretch.

Clemson Tigers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-145)

I have been hammering on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish for the last month, as I have felt that they have been criminally underrated, and they haven’t let me down, as they have won 6 of their last 7 games, including 5 in a row. I again see the Irish as being undervalued today in this home game with the Clemson Tigers.

Clemson has played good basketball as of late as well, with wins in 5 of their last 6 games, but I don’t think they are going to be able to go into South Bend and leave with an outright victory tonight. The Tigers have won their last 2 ACC road games, with wins over Virginia and NC State, but prior to those wins, they were just 2-4 in road/neutral floor games. Notre Dame is a perfect 6-0 this year on their home floor, and I see them running that record to 7-0 with a tightly contested victory over Clemson.

Cal Bears at Washington Huskies (-120)

I almost can’t believe I am writing this right now, but I actually like the Washington Huskies to win a game. I have been a very vocal hater of the Huskies this year, even going as far as saying that they are the worst power conference team in the nation. I will have to put away the Hatorade tonight, though, as the Huskies find themselves in a high-value spot, with a home game against the Cal Bears.

The Cal Bears have managed to win 9 games, which on the surface is pretty good for the rebuilding program, but when you see that Cal has yet to win a single game on the road or even on a neutral floor, you have to wonder if they are capable of winning a game on another team’s floor. Last year Cal finished their season with a total of 1 true road game victory. The year before that? Cal was 1-10 on the road. In 2019 the Bears were 1-11 in opposing team’s buildings.

You have to go all the way back to 2018 to find a season where Cal won more than a single road game, and in that year, they weren’t much better, finishing with a 3-9 road record. Sensing a trend here? The Bears just don’t win on the road, ever.

I guess the books failed to realize that, as they opened this game up with the Bears as road favorites! The early betting sharps quickly pounced on it, moving the number towards the Huskies, and I will follow their lead and take a stand on the UDUB. This is far more a fade of the Bears than it is any show of support for Washington, but at the end of the day, I just don’t see Cal winning in Seattle.

Money Line Magic Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Memphis Tigers -115
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish -145
  • Washington Huskies -120

$100 Bet Pays $580

Game Total Parlay

Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Michigan State Spartans Over 138.5

Our formula for success has been a simple one when betting totals this year. Check the opening overnight lines, watch for the ignorant public action driven line moves, and bet the other way. Many of the times, the early line moves start out innocently enough, with the sharps taking advantage of square lines, but by the time Joe Public gets around to betting the number, they never seem to understand that too much of a good thing is never a good thing and take things much too far.

That is the case in this game as the books opened the line up at 140.5, which seemed fairly sharp as kenpom had the game finishing at 141 points. But the public quickly fell in love with the under, driving the number down a couple of points and opening up some nice value on a play on the over. I get what the public was seeing, as the Spartans play elite defense, but the part that the public missed is that the Spartans also play a fast pace, and with this game being played in East Lansing, I expect Sparty to control the pace of the game and send this game sailing to the over. Fade. The Public.

Clemson Tigers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Over 137.5

This game is nearly a carbon copy of the one above, as the line opened at 140 points and was quickly bet down to where it stands now at 137.5 points. Kenpom has this one at 143 points, suggesting the opener was already on the low side, and to see a 5.5-point gap between the analytics and the betting line shows outrageous value. Both of these teams play a slower pace which has masked the fact that they both play very efficient offenses. These teams are 30th and 39th, respectively, in offense efficiency, and that tells me that we are going to see a lot of good looks and high shooting percentages tonight in South Bend. I won’t bet the over in this one, I will hammer it.

TCU Horned Frogs at Kansas State Wildcats Under 136

The Kansas State Wildcats welcome the TCU Horned Frogs to town tonight for a Big 12 conference game. We haven’t gotten to see a lot of the Frogs, as they suffered through a long COVID-19 related delay that cost them nearly 3 weeks of their season, but they finally returned to action earlier this week, and they played well in a losing effort to Baylor. Jaime Dixon has always prided himself on the defensive side of the ball, and this year he might have his best defensive unit yet, as the Horned Frogs are 53rd in defensive efficiency, and they are forcing some of the longest possessions in the nation on D.

Kansas State might have an even better defensive unit, as they are ranked 42nd in the nation, but they are the exact opposite of the Frogs, as they tend to allow teams to take quick shots against them as long as they contest the shots. Initially, that scared me a little bit on this play, until I realized that TCU is insanely slow on offense, 311th slowest in the country and that even if the Wildcats allow them to take quick looks, they are likely not going to take advantage of it. I know this is a lot of technical talk, but pacing and efficiency are very important concepts that the public doesn’t seem to understand, and the data says a play on the under is a slam dunk tonight in Manhattan.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Minnesota Golden Gophers at Michigan State Spartans Over 138.5 -110
  • Clemson Tigers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Over 137.5 -110
  • TCU Horned Frogs at Kansas State Wildcats Under 136 -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!

Villanova Wildcats (+100) at Xavier Musketeers

Yesterday when we took the Auburn Tigers as road underdogs, I said that it was exceedingly rare that you are ever going to be able to back a team as talented as the Tigers as underdogs, no matter the circumstances, and fired hard on Auburn. I cashed that play when Auburn won the game outright against Alabama, and I will take advantage of a similar play today, as I see Villanova as a legit Final Four threat, and I just can’t resist being able to back one of the top teams in the country as underdogs.

The Wildcats have a couple of losses on their record, but losses to UCLA, Purdue, and Baylor in the non-conference says a lot more about Jay Wright’s aggressive scheduling than it does about how talented this Villanova team really is. ‘Nova has an impressive collection of top-100 victories, including wins over Tennessee, Syracuse, Seton Hall, Creighton, and this Xavier team, knocking off the Musketeers at home 3 weeks ago.

Xavier has a very nice resume as well, as their only losses came to Villanova and Iowa State, and the Musketeers have wins over Ohio State, Virginia Tech, Oklahoma State, Cincinnati, and Marquette. If you spend too much time taking road teams in the Big East, you are going to go broke quickly, but the Wildcats have owned Big East play for much of the last decade, and while the fact that this game will be played in Cincinnati does scare me a little bit, I won’t let it talk me out of backing what I see as the far superior squad at a great price. We are going to sweat this one out hard, but at the end of the day, I see the Wildcats leaving the Cintas Center with a win tonight.

LSU Tigers (+125) at Florida Gators

Most people would agree that the Florida Gators are a good basketball team. And while I don’t disagree that the Gators are talented, I am not so sure that this Gator’s team has what it takes to compete in the SEC night in and night out. After a 6-0 start that included victories over Ohio State and Florida State, the Gators have since lost 5 of their last 8 games. Those 3 wins came over North Florida, South Florida, and Stoney Brook, meaning that Florida hasn’t beaten a team ranked inside the top-200 nationally since beating 189th ranked Troy all the way back in November!

The Gators started out conference play by losing their first 2 games, and on the year, they are just 2-4 against the national top-100. Florida is going to have to play much better tonight if they want to defend their floor against a very good LSU Tigers squad. LSU might be the most underrated team in America right now, as they are 14-1, with their only loss coming to the Auburn Tigers, who I think might be the best team in the nation.

LSU showed that they can hang with the best the SEC has to offer with recent wins over Tennessee and Kentucky, and while their lack of true road victories gives me a little bit on concern, I think LSU is just a much better overall basketball team when compared to Florida. The Tigers have finally started to get some national recognition, as they jumped 9 spots in the most recent AP Poll, which tells me that we aren’t going to get too many more opportunities to back the Tigers as underdogs against inferior teams, so I will take advantage of it tonight and make my play on the Tigers.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Villanova Wildcats +100
  • LSU Tigers +125

$100 Bet Pays $450

Point Spread Plays

In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.

Duquesne Dukes at Fordham Rams (+3)

The Fordham Rams play host to the Dukes of Duquesne in an A-10 conference game tonight from Rose Hill Gym in New York City. The Rams kicked off conference play with a win over La Salle, but tonight will be their first game of the new year as they haven’t played since late December, and this game will mark just the 2nd game the Rams have played in a month. It is always hard to know how teams are going to react to these long delays, but on paper, I like the Rams as home underdogs as I just don’t think Duquesne is any good.

The Dukes have struggled this season, with a losing record on the year at 6-7. They have managed to string together 3 straight wins, though, so they will be headed into NYC with some momentum, but assuming the Rams are able to play well after their COVID-19 related delay, I see the Rams winning this game. Had Fordham not missed a big chunk of their season, they would absolutely be favored in this game. And after watching Missouri come back from their long delay and look amazing against Alabama earlier this week, there is a precedent for teams playing well with fresh legs after these long layoffs. I always love home underdogs, and I am backing the Rams in this one.

Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forrest Demon Deacons (+6)

For our next pick, we will take yet another home underdog and back the Wake Forrest Demon Deacons with the points in their game against the Duke Blue Devils. Wake Forrest has done a great job so far this season, as they are exceeding just about everybody’s expectations with a 13-3 record. The Demon Deacons have been excellent at home this year with a perfect 10-0 record, including home wins over conference foes Florida State and Syracuse in their last 2 games. Wake will have their biggest test of the season so far, tonight, with Duke coming to town.

The Blue Devils are famously the only ranked team in the ACC right now, but Coach K’s boys are coming off of a stunning home floor loss to Miami in their last game, and they will need to play well tonight if they want to leave with a victory. Duke has neutral floor wins over Gonzaga and Kentucky, but they have only played 1 true game this season, a loss at Ohio State. Winning on the road in conference play is the toughest thing to do in college basketball, and the Dukies are going to be on upset alert tonight against the upstart Demon Deacons. I’m not ready to call the outright upset, but I love being able to back the home team getting this many points, give me the Demon Deacons and the points.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Boston College Eagles (-1.5)

Our final play of the day comes to us from the ACC as the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets take their show on the road to Boston College to play the Eagles. We all know that the ACC is down this season, and this game features a couple of the lowest-ranked teams in the league. Wins haven’t been a major part of the equation for Georgia Tech this season, as they are a very disappointing 6-8 on the year. When you dig a little deeper into the Yellow Jacket’s resume, things get even uglier, as you see a team that has lost 7 of their last 8 games, and they don’t have a single win over the top-100 and only one win over the top-200!

Sometimes you bet on a team, and other times you bet against a team. In this game, I am betting against Georgia Tech. Boston College stinks, but they are respectable at home with a 6-2 record, and I love being able to fade a dreadfully bad Georgia Tech team without having to lay a bunch of points. I won’t waste my time actually watching this game as it is sure to be an ugly affair, and neither of these teams are going anywhere this year, but a bad line is a bad line, and value is value, so give me the BC Eagles tonight at home as somebody has to win this game!

Point Spread Plays Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Fordham Rams (+3) -110
  • Wake Forrest Demon Deacons (+6) -110
  • Boston College Eagles (-1.5) -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!

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Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL

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