There are hot streaks, and then there is what we have been doing for the last couple of weeks. We have been blistering hot, delivering parlay winners on a daily basis, as well as connecting on over 70% of our outright picks. Yesterday we stayed hot as we connected on yet another parlay of the day winner, this time hitting our all-money line parlay for a juicy $520 payout! That play came in when we found winners on Iona (-145), Kansas (-155), and Ohio (-115).
#GAELSWIN!!!@IonaGaelsMBB prevails in overtime to stay perfect in #MAACHoops play. Elijah Joiner pours in 24 points, adding five rebounds and four assists.#ICMBB | #GaelNation pic.twitter.com/Z0U6KV6Pla
— Iona Athletics (@ICGaels) January 19, 2022
The parlay winners are always the highlight of the day, but we also found straight bet winners on North Alabama/Bellarmine Under 141.5, Loyola-Chicago/Evansville Over 123, Miami Hurricanes (+2.5), and Wisconsin Badgers (-2) on what was a killer day betting college hoops. And to be honest, while our 7-4 record was solid, it could have been even better, as we missed hitting our totals parlay by just a point and a half when Iowa State scored a meaningless bucket at the buzzer, and our underdog play on Stetson (+135) came up just short with the Hatters losing in overtime. We have set the bar of excellence high and will get right back to the grind today, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Northern Iowa Panthers (-185) at Valparaiso
The Missouri Valley has always been one of my favorite mid-major conferences. Year after year, we see teams from the Valley playing against and beating, some of the top teams in the nation, and nobody wants to have to play a team from the MVC in the NCAA tournament, as this league plays quality basketball. Today we will check in on the action in the Valley as Northern Iowa heads to Valparaiso for a league game.
Northern Iowa has had a great start to their conference play season as they are 5-1 in the MVC, trailing only the first place Loyola-Chicago Ramblers. The Panthers struggled in the non-conference, and not many people believed that they could compete at the top of this league this year, but after dropping their league opener to Bradley, they have won 5 straight games, including huge road wins at Missouri State and Southern Illinois. If the Panthers want to hang with the Ramblers, they must take care of business today on the road against Valpo.
— UNI Basketball (@UNImbb) January 19, 2022
It has been a rough year for Valpo so far, as they have not been able to stay overly competitive in conference play, and the losses are really starting to stack up. Valpo is riding a 4-game losing streak entering play tonight, which includes a road loss at Northern Iowa 2 weeks ago, where they got demolished by the Panthers, losing by 27 points.
Home teams are always going to play better than on the road, but after watching the Panthers crush Valpo a couple of weeks ago, I can’ imagine that the change of venue is going to be enough for a 28-point swing in the other direction. Road teams in league play are always a bit scary, so I will stay away from laying any points in this one. Instead, I’ll be taking my stand on the Panthers on the money line as small road favorites.
Wake Forrest Demon Deacons (-145) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
The ACC is an absolute mess right now, as the conference is way down, with only the Duke Blue Devils ranked in the latest AP Poll, and now that Duke has lost back-to-back games, the Blue Devils are only going to slide further down the rankings, leaving the once-mighty ACC without an elite team. But I do think the ACC is better than it is getting credit for as teams like Florida State, Miami, and North Carolina are solid squads. Another team that I feel is better than advertised are the Demon Deacons of Wake Forrest.
The Demon Deacons are playing the best basketball we have seen out of them in years, and they are coming off their biggest win of the season, a road win in Charlottesville, against the Virginia Cavaliers. That win was their 3rd in their last 4 games, and they are now above .500 in league play at 4-3. All of Wake’s losses are to quality teams, and their resume includes signature wins over Northwestern, Virginia Tech, Florida State, Syracuse, and Virginia. If the Demon Deacons want to contend for an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament this year, they are going to have to find ways to win on the road in games like this one today, against what should be an outmatched Georgia Tech team.
— Wake Basketball (@WakeMBB) January 19, 2022
You have to commend Georgia Tech head coach Josh Pastner as he put together a savage schedule, with non-conference games against Wisconsin, LSU, and USC, but the Yellow Jackets weren’t able to win any of those games, and their record is a bad one at 7-9. G-Tech doesn’t have a single win over the national top-100, and only 2 wins over the national top-200.
Georgia Tech just hasn’t shown me that they can beat a team that is playing as good as Wake Forrest is right now, so I will look to fade them and back the Demon Deacons. Home teams in league play are always a tough fade, but Georgia Tech’s home losses to Miami, Ohio, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Louisville, and Notre Dame tells me that Wake is the side to be on tonight in Atlanta.
Bradley Braves at Drake Bulldogs (-300)
For our final money line play, we will head back to the Missouri Valley Conference for a game between Drake and Bradley. After a 3-3 start to the season, Drake has really picked it up recently, with wins in 10 of their last 12 games. One of those losses came in overtime against a good Clemson team, and the other came on the road in a competitive game to Missouri State. Road and neutral floor wins have been somewhat hard to come by for the Bulldogs, but at home, they are a perfect 10-0, and I see them running that running to 11-0 tonight with a win over Bradley.
We are Des Moines' ???????? ????
— Drake Basketball (@DrakeBulldogsMB) January 19, 2022
No disrespect to Bradley, they are decent, but they just aren’t on the same level as some of these other contenders in the MVC like Loyola-Chicago, Missouri State, Northern Iowa, and Drake. The Braves are just 1-5 in true road games, with the only win coming over UTEP, and if you throw in their neutral floor games, they are a disappointing 2-8 away from home. Expect the Bulldogs to win this game without much of a sweat, and while I am never a huge fan of laying this much wood, sometimes you just have to pick the low-hanging fruit and get paid.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Northern Iowa Panthers -185
- Wake Forrest Demon Deacons -145
- Drake Bulldogs -300
$100 Bet Pays $348
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
George Washington Colonials at St Joseph’s Hawks Under 147
The St. Joe’s Hawks host the GW Colonials tonight in an A-10 conference game. This line opened up at 143 points, which, based on Kenpom, was probably a little on the low side as Pomeroy has the game coming in at 144 points. The early betting sharps quickly took the over, driving the line higher, and while initially that was the play, once the public got ahold of this line, they have taken things a bit too far, as the line now sits at 147 points, opening up a ton of value on the under. George Washington has one of the worst offensive attacks in the nation, ranked 303rd, and I just don’t see them scoring enough points to push this game to the over.
TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys Under 135.5
The TCU Horned Frogs are a lot better than people are giving them credit for. The Frogs lost a big chunk of their season due to COVID-19 related delays, so they haven’t played as many games as most teams, but this team is the real deal. TCU has picked up wins over Kansas State, Texas A&M, and Oklahoma, and they are doing it by focusing on defense. TCU can play D at a high level, but they won’t have the best defensive unit on the floor tonight, as the Cowboys are even better, with the 7th ranked defense in terms of efficiency. This feels like a low scoring game where the first team to 60 points wins, and I will make my play on the under.
Illinois State Redbirds at Missouri State Bears Over 145.5
This line just doesn’t make any sense. Kenpom has the game finishing at 153 points, based on the Bear’s efficient scoring and the Redbird’s putrid defense. But the public hasn’t seen it that way, as the books opened this line at 148.5 points, and it has quickly been bet down all of the way to 145.5 points. That is an enormous gap between the data and the line, and I absolutely love a play on the over. Missouri State is likely going to run up the score, and we need the Redbirds to hang around close enough for this game to go over, but at the end of the day, that is just what I see happening. I am going over.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- George Washington Colonials at St Joseph’s Hawks Under 147 -110
- TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys Under 135.5 -110
- Illinois State Redbirds at Missouri State Bears Over 145.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Virginia Tech Hokies at NC State Wolfpack (+110)
We head back to the ACC for our next play to break down the action between the visiting Virginia Tech Hokies and the home team NC State Wolfpack. My gut says that neither of these teams are good enough to make the NCAA tournament, but that being said, whichever team manages to win this game is going to have a major step up on the losing team, as the middle of the pack in the ACC is very competitive. In a vacuum, I would say that Virginia Tech is the more talented team in this matchup, but we aren’t playing this game in a vacuum, we are playing it on the Wolfpack’s home floor, and that gives NC State an edge.
Virginia Tech has struggled on the road with losses to Dayton, Duke, and Virginia in true road games and neutral floor losses to Memphis and Xavier. They have been mostly great at home, but they did lose to this very same NC State team in Blacksburg a couple of weeks ago, and I smell upset again tonight in Raleigh.
— NC State Men's Bball (@PackMensBball) January 19, 2022
NC State hasn’t been very good this season, but they are 2-2 in their last 4 games with the win over Virginia Tech and a win over Louisville, so they are trending in the right direction in the last couple of weeks. Home dogs in conference play are always my favorite plays, and I like NC State to pull off a minor upset tonight at home against a talented yet inconsistent Virginia Tech.
Iowa Hawkeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+145)
I will dip back into that honey hole of home dogs in league play again and back the Scarlet Knights of Rutgers in their game with the Iowa Hawkeyes. More than any other conference in the nation, the Big 10 is home team-dominated.
You very rarely ever want to see yourself backing a road team laying wood in the Big 10, and if you can ever find home dogs, you can blind bet them, as they always show value. Rutgers is down this year, but the RAC is one of the toughest places to play in the nation for opposing teams, and the Scarlet Knights have been fantastic at home this season with wins over Clemson, Purdue, Michigan, and Nebraska.
Gameday tonight back in Piscataway for a B1G showdown against the Iowa Hawkeyes at 8:30 PM on BTN. #GardenStatement ? ⚔️
— Rutgers Basketball ? (@RutgersMBB) January 19, 2022
Rutgers will be put to the test tonight, as the Iowa Hawkeyes have one of the best players in the country in Keegan Murray, and they are playing their best basketball of the season right now, with wins in 6 of their last 7 games. The run has been an impressive one for the Hawkeyes, but most of their best wins have come at home, and on the road, they are just 2-3 on the year. Iowa is a very good team, but this is a trap game, and I like Rutgers to find a way to scratch out a hard-fought victory in what should be a very competitive game.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- NC State Wolfpack +110
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights +145
$100 Bet Pays $515
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
LSU Tigers (+4.5) at Alabama Crimson Tide
We have a blockbuster game in store for you tonight from Tuscaloosa, as the Crimson Tide of Alabama welcome the LSU Tigers to town for an SEC showdown. The Tigers were shocked in their last game, as they led by 8 points late against Arkansas, only to finish the game on a 6-minute scoring drought to come up short and lose a game that they should have won.
The loss snapped a 3-game winning streak for the Tigers as they had knocked off Florida, Tennessee, and Kentucky to move towards the top of the SEC standings. Tonight, the Tigers have another tough game, as they play an Alabama team, that while they can be inconsistent, are capable of beating the best teams in the nation.
it's a great day to #BootUp
? Coleman Coliseum
⏰ 6:00 p.m.
? 98.1 FM pic.twitter.com/rfwcFFiSY8
— LSU Basketball (@LSUBasketball) January 19, 2022
Alabama has looked like the best team in the country at times, like when they beat Gonzaga, Houston, and Tennessee, but they live and die by the 3 ball, and the shots have gone cold recently, and Alabama has lost 3 consecutive games. There isn’t a higher variance team in the country right now than Alabama, and while they absolutely could blow this game out, they could lose outright as well. This line seems inflated when you take into account the fact that LSU has managed to beat so many quality teams. I will snatch up the points and expect an all-out war tonight in Tuscaloosa.
Boston College Eagles (+7.5) at Louisville Cardinals
My regular readers know that I love taking home teams, especially in league play, but for this play, I will switch things up and back the road team as this line feels inflated. Boston College is by no means a great basketball team, I am not even sure you could call them a good basketball team. But their 7-8 record doesn’t reflect just how competitive this team has been most nights. The Eagles lost to Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh, Albany, Rhode Island (twice), and Utah, all came by single digits. The only time that BC has actually played poorly was against North Carolina, as the Eagles have done an admirable job of keeping games close.
— BC Men's Basketball (@BCMBB) January 19, 2022
That is what I see happening tonight, as Louisville just might stink this year. The Cardinals have lost 3 straight games, which has seen them drop out of the top-100 nationally. That is unheard of at Louisville as the Cardinals are used to competing for league titles, not fighting for a spot on the bubble. You hate to ever expect a team to play poorly on their own floor, but Louisville has home losses to NC State, DePaul, and Furman, and none of those teams are ranked inside of the top-100.
All told, 5 of Louisville’s 7 losses have come to teams outside of the top-100, which tells me that this game is going to be closer than most people seem to expect and that the Cardinals are going to be on upset alert tonight. I won’t go as far to call the outright upset, but this game should come down to the final few possessions, and I am taking the Eagles and the points.
Kentucky Wildcats at Texas A&M Aggies (+7.5)
Our final play of the day comes to us from the SEC, as the Kentucky Wildcats attempt to add another signature victory to their resume, with a road game against Texas A&M. Buzz Williams has the Aggies playing really well right now, as they are undefeated in the SEC, and they have won 8 games in a row. The strength of schedule has been light for A&M, but when you are 15-2, you know how to win basketball games, and I love what is going on right now at College Station.
The Aggies play a Kentucky squad that has similarly played a softer schedule, but as we get deeper into league play, both of these teams are going to have plenty of opportunities to play good teams. Kentucky has played a total of 3 road games this year, and they have a 1-2 record to show for it.
Prepare accordingly. Get to Reed.
? Kentucky – 7:30 p.m.
?️ https://t.co/MvvtV2EFh6@OpportuneLLP x #GigEm pic.twitter.com/7Z9hDBSlxT
— Texas A&M Basketball (@aggiembk) January 19, 2022
Winning on the road is the toughest thing to do in college hoops, and so far, the Wildcats haven’t been able to do much of it. All we need to do to cover this line is for the Aggies not to get blown out, and I just don’t see that happening. Give me the home team and the points as I expect the Aggies to put up the fight of their lives tonight against Kentucky.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- LSU Tigers (+4.5) -110
- Boston College Eagles (+7.5) -110
- Texas A&M Aggies (+7.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!