While most of the eyes are going to be on the NFL today, as we have the divisional round of the playoffs with 2 big games on tap, you would be wise not to ignore college hoops, as we have over 100 games on the schedule and there is value up and down the board! I will be making plays on the NFL just like the rest of you, but I will also make sure that I am not letting value go to waste on the college hoops hardwood, either.
— Auburn Basketball ? (@AuburnMBB) January 22, 2022
Marquee games of the day include Kentucky at Auburn, LSU at Tennessee, Baylor at Oklahoma, and North Carolina at Wake Forrest. While the big boys always steal the headlines, there are also some sneaky great matchups between lower-level teams like the games between UAB and Louisiana Tech, Boise State and San Diego State, and Missouri State and Loyola Chicago. Today, there really is something for everybody, and without further delay, we will jump right into it today, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Baylor Bears (-155) at Oklahoma Sooners
The Baylor Bears will take their show on the road today as they head to Norman, Oklahoma, for a showdown with the Oklahoma Sooners. The Bears started the season by winning their first 15 games of the year and rising all of the way to number 1 in the nation in the AP Poll. But then the day-to-day life of playing in one of the toughest conferences in the country kicked in, and they lost back-to-back games to Texas Tech and Oklahoma State.
It would have been easy for Bears head coach Scott Drew to ring the alarm bells and panic, but he didn’t, instead, Baylor went on the road and knocked off West Virginia in Morgantown to remind everyone that they are still a threat to repeat as national champions. Baylor has another brutal test today against a very talented Sooner’s squad.
— Baylor Men’s Basketball (@BaylorMBB) January 22, 2022
Oklahoma hit league play sitting at 10-2 and feeling like they had a real shot at competing at the top of the Big 12 this season. Things started out well enough for the Sooners as they won 2 of their first 3 conference games, with wins over Kansas State and Iowa State, but the Sooners have fallen on hard times recently, as they have lost 3 games in a row.
The last 2 games that the Sooners lost were both very close games as they lost to TCU in overtime and Kansas by just a bucket, and that is what I see happening again today, as the Sooners are going to play hard and keep it close, but at the end of the day I don’t think they have the firepower to beat an elite team like Baylor. We are going to sweat this one out hard, but the Bears are going to find a way to leave Norman with the victory today.
Drake Bulldogs at Northern Iowa Panthers (-145)
With so many major conference games being played today, games like this one are going to be a bit overshadowed. But if you ask me, in terms of how much this game means to these team’s respective chances of making it into the NCAA tournament, there are no games more important than these mid-major matchups. It doesn’t really matter what happens in Norman between the Bears and the Sooners as both of these teams are still going dancing in March, but in the Missouri Valley Conference, teams very rarely ever get a look for an at-large bid, making these conference games big ones.
Today, we will check in on a couple of the best teams the Valley has to offer, as Northern Iowa hosts Drake. Loyola Chicago is undefeated in league play, with the Ramblers sitting all alone atop of the MVC standings, but these teams are both lurking just a couple of games back, making this an elimination game for the Panthers and Bulldogs, at least when you look at winning the regular season league title.
— UNI Basketball (@UNImbb) January 22, 2022
The Missouri Valley is one of the most home team-dominated leagues in the nation right now, as home teams are winning at nearly a 65% clip. The league also plays more close games than basically every other conference, as 45% of the conference games in the Valley are decided by 4 points or less. That tells me that we want to be on the home team, and we don’t want to be laying any points, as this game is sure to be competitive.
Northern Iowa is a perfect 3-0 at home in league play, and I expect them to win tonight over Drake, who is just 3-5 in neutral floor and road games this season. When the Bulldogs get to host the Panthers in early February, you can be sure I will be on the other side of this one, but home teams have been far too good in the MVC to ignore. I am taking the Panthers.
North Carolina Tar Heels at Wake Forrest Demon Deacons (-120)
For our next play, we head to the ACC, where North Carolina plays at Wake Forrest in a game where both teams are hoping to win and vault themselves into the top-25 nationally. Both of these teams have been sitting just outside of the top-25, and every time it looks like they are going to sneak into the rankings, they lose a game and drop back down. If the Demon Deacons can win today, it would give them a 2-0 week as they already beat Georgia Tech earlier this week, and it will run their record to 6-3 in the ACC, with wins in 5 of their last 6 games.
Most people never expected the Demon Deacons to compete for the regular season ACC title, but with perennial powers like Louisville, Virginia, and Syracuse all struggling, Wake is in the top half of the standings, and they are poised for an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament if they can play well down the stretch. The driver for all of this unexpected success for Wake Forrest has been their ability to win at home, as they are a very impressive 10-1 at home this year, with their only loss coming against an elite Duke Blue Devils team.
Back Home for a Big 4⃣ Showdown
— Wake Basketball (@WakeMBB) January 22, 2022
If the Tar Heels of North Carolina got to play all of their games in Chapel Hill, this would be a top-10 team, as they have been fantastic in the Dean Dome with a 9-0 record. But when they play anywhere else, they just aren’t very consistent with a 3-5 record, which includes losses to Notre Dame and Miami that they wish they could have back. You could make a case that Wake Forrest is amongst the most underrated teams in the nation, and I think that they will win this game today at home, and the win is going to inch them closer to finally getting the national attention that I feel they deserve.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Baylor Bears -155
- Northern Iowa Panthers -145
- Wake Forrest Demon Deacons -120
$100 Bet Pays $510
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
North Dakota State Bison at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles Under 158
If you haven’t gotten a chance to watch Oral Roberts play this year, you are missing out, as the Golden Eagles play an exciting brand of basketball at a fast pace, and they score the basketball efficiently. They have used that strong offensive attack to run up a 7-1 record in Summit League play, averaging over 80 points per game in league play. And while the Golden Eagles certainly pass the eye test for a team that should go over their posted totals with regularity, this line is just too high.
You aren’t ever going to go over a number like 158 unless both teams are playing fast and scoring efficiently. Oral Roberts Is sure to hold up their side of the bargain, but I don’t think that North Dakota State can say the same thing. The Bison play a slow plotting style of basketball, and they are going to try and drag Oral Roberts into the mud and make this an ugly contest. Neither of these teams force any turnovers, so we aren’t going to see a lot of fast-break transition buckets, and while this game is surely going to be higher scoring than most, I will jump on the under on what is an inflated line.
DePaul Blue Demons at Creighton Blue Jays Over 138
DePaul plays at Creighton today in a game between a couple of the more efficient offenses in the country. Both of these teams are ranked in the top-80 in offensive efficiency per Kenpom, and while the Blue Jays slower than average pace can, at times, mask just how well they score the basketball, we are going to see high quality offense tonight in Omaha.
— Creighton Men’s Basketball (@BluejayMBB) January 22, 2022
The line opened up at 142 points, and the public has been smashing the under, driving the line down 4 full points. But if you trust Kenpom, you will know that the opening line was already too low as Pomeroy has the game finishing at 146 points. An 8-point gap between what the analytics are telling us, and the betting line, opens up an absurd level of value on the over, and that is where I will take my stand in this one.
San Francisco Dons at Pepperdine Waves under 148.5
The San Francisco Dons need a big win today on the road at Pepperdine, as the Dons have lost back-to-back games, and they are quickly sliding to the wrong side of the bubble after a 13-1 start to their season. So, just how have the Dons managed to win so many games? They play lock-down defense. San Francisco is ranked 20th in the nation in defensive efficiency, and they even managed to hold the Gonzaga Bulldogs, the number 1 offense in the country, to just 78 points in their last game.
I see the Dons completely shutting down Pepperdine tonight, as the Waves are awful on offense, ranked 290th. Pepperdine plays fast and loose, and their tempo keeps their game somewhat higher scoring, but they settle for bad looks far too often, and against an elite defensive team like San Francisco, I doubt they score even 60 points. The Dons really need this win, and I think that they get it powered by their defensive front, keeping this game under the total.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- North Dakota State Bison at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles Under 158 -110
- DePaul Blue Demons at Creighton Blue Jays Over 138 -110
- San Francisco Dons at Pepperdine Waves under 148.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Grand Canyon Antelopes at Sam Houston State Bearkats (+105)
It is hard to look any worse than the Grand Canyon Antelopes did earlier this week when they completely no-showed in their road game at Stephen F. Austin. Grand Canyon scored just 46 points and got blown completely out in a game that they were favored to win, and with the loss, they dropped out of 1st place in the crowded WAC standings.
This is a brutal stretch of schedule for Grand Canyon as they played at SFA, now they play at Sam Houston State, and they play their next game at New Mexico State. And after watching them not even show up for their game at SFA, I wonder what they are going to look like today against the upstart Bearkats.
? GAME DAY
Another big one on tap today! See you there.#EatEmUpKats
? Grand Canyon
⏰ 2 PM
? Johnson Coliseum
? KSAM 101.7 FMhttps://t.co/FRwtBL8BR8
Program ? ?https://t.co/AmyeDcPa7D pic.twitter.com/uHYtjpnuJo
— Sam Houston Men's Basketball (@BearkatsMBB) January 22, 2022
No team has more league wins in the WAC than Sam Houston State does right now, as the Bearkats are playing well. SHS has played particularly well at home this season, where they have won their last 6 games, 4 of which have come in conference play.
In a vacuum, I see Grand Canyon as the more talented team, but they looked really bad their last time out, and with zero time to rest ad recover from that beating, I expect them to come out flat again today and lose a game that they probably shouldn’t. Home dogs in conference play are always my favorite bets, and that is what I will do in this one with a play on the Bearkats.
UAB Blazers at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (+105)
We just made a play on a home dog in league play, and we will follow it up with yet another home dog as we make a play on Louisiana Tech at home against the UAB Blazers in a Conference USA matchup. I want to get this out of the way right upfront, I am a big fan of the UAB Blazers.
They haven’t played a tough enough schedule to stack up enough quality victories to be considered for an at-large bid, but they play efficiently on both sides of the floor, and I do think this is a good basketball team. That being said, they are going to have their hands full today as they head to Ruston, LA, to play the Bulldogs of LA Tech.
The time has come. It’s Game Day!
— Bulldog Basketball ?? (@LATechHoops) January 22, 2022
Louisiana Tech is another team that doesn’t have the resume to stand out in CUSA, but the wins are starting to pile up for the Bulldogs, as they have won 11 of their last 12 games. Tech is a perfect 11-0 at home this season, and while a win over UAB would be their biggest win of the season so far, they have a lot of momentum going right now, and I see them winning this game.
With some of the major conferences struggling this year, smaller leagues like CUSA are going to have a shot at picking up more bids into the NCAA tournament, and with both of these teams already sitting on 15 wins, whichever team wins this game is going to have a real shot at hearing their name’s called on Selection Sunday. Give me the home team in a thriller.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Sam Houston State Bearkats +105
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +105
$100 Bet Pays $421
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Missouri State Bears (+8) at Loyola Chicago Ramblers
We head back to the Missouri Valley Conference for what I see as a blockbuster matchup between Missouri State and Loyola Chicago. The Ramblers have done a fantastic job of elevating their program to one of the best mid-major schools in the country, and they are building on that even more this year, as they are 14-2 and looking a lot like a team that could make another deep run in March. The Ramblers have done a really good job of winning close games, as 2 of their 5 league wins came in overtime, and they have single digit wins over DePaul and Indiana State as well.
I expect another tightly contested game tonight as Missouri State is hot on the Rambler’s heels in the MVC when it comes to building their program. Under head coach Dana Ford, the Tigers have improved their Kenpom ranking in each of his 4 years at the helm, and this year, he has the Bears getting some national attention, ranked 63rd right now.
— Missouri State Basketball (@MSUBearsHoops) January 22, 2022
The Bears are 32nd in offensive efficiency, and I see them giving the Ramblers all they can handle in this game. While I will stop just short of calling the outright upset, I do think that the Bears will stay very competitive in this game, and honestly, all we need for them to do to cash this bet is for them to not get blown out and I just don’t see that happening. Give me the Bears and the points.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+3) at Louisville Cardinals
This play is just a gut check play. My gut has been telling me all year long that Notre Dame is underrated, and that Louisville is overrated. I am in the minority on these opinions for sure, but I will trust my instincts and make my play on the Irish.
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— Notre Dame Basketball (@NDmbb) January 22, 2022
After a slow start to the season, Mike Brey has his boys playing quality basketball as they have won 8 of their last 10 games. They haven’t played great on the road, which does give me some concern, but they do have true road wins at Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech in ACC play, so they have shown that they can win in hostile territory.
Louisville hasn’t played well as of late as they had lost 3 straight prior to beating Boston College in their last game, and I am not sure if Louisville is even a team that is going to sweat the NCAA tournament this year, let alone get in and win any games. Louisville has played a very soft schedule, and losses to Furman, DePaul, Western Kentucky, NC State, and Pittsburgh all came to teams that, if the season were to end today, wouldn’t be playing in the NCAA tournament. It is gut-check time, and I am making my play on Notre Dame as Louisville is going to be on upset alert all night long.
Virginia Cavaliers (+3) at North Carolina State
For our final play of the day, we will stay in the ACC for the game between Virginia and NC State. Both of these teams are underperforming this year, but I want to make sure we aren’t using any false equivalency here, as there is bad, and then there is what NC State has been doing this season.
The Wolfpack have played a joke of a schedule, and even against weak competition, they haven’t been able to win many games. The Wolfpack have seemed lost in league play, as they are just 2-6 in the ACC, and I think they get upset tonight at home.
— Virginia Men's Basketball (@UVAMensHoops) January 22, 2022
I am always hesitant to take road teams in conference play, and even more so when it comes to Virginia, who hasn’t played up to their expectations this year. But the Cavs have surprisingly been very tough on the road, as they have true road wins against Clemson, Pittsburgh, and Syracuse. I think they add a win over NC State to their resume tonight, but I will snatch up the points just in case the ball doesn’t bounce our way late in the game.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Missouri State Bears (+8) -110
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+3) -110
- Virginia Cavaliers (+3) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!