We absolutely killed the game yesterday as we ran up an impressive 7-4 record, and for the 2nd time in 3 days, we nailed our all-totals 3-team parlay of the day play for a juicy $700 payout! The totals have been red-hot, and we connected again yesterday when UAB/Rice Over 148.5, Baylor/TCU over 139.5, and Georgia/Kentucky over 147 all came in. While the parlay hits are always the highlight of the day, if you straight bet our picks, which we always suggest that you do, you had a big day as well as we found money line winners on Notre Dame (-115) and Auburn (-350) as well as spread winners on Texas Tech (+4.5) and LSU (-1.5).
As strong as the day turned out to be, it very likely could have been much better, as when you look at the games that we lost, we easily could have won several of them. Both Missouri State (-200) and Iona (+155) lost on last-second buzzer-beaters after leading with just seconds left on the clock. The Missouri State loss was especially painful as that would have cashed us our money line ticket for another $361 bucks.
There's no place like home ? pic.twitter.com/MvRKSqchSx
— Texas Tech Basketball (@TexasTechMBB) January 8, 2022
Had Louisville (+4.5) managed to cover, we would have been in line for another $700 payout, but despite that game being a 2-point game with under 5 minutes left to play, the Cardinals stumbled to the finish line to cost us another big payday. It was a good day, but nearly was a great day, and it feels like we are heating up as we get deeper into conference play. We will look to stay hot today as we get right back to the grind, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Wisconsin Badgers (-120) at Maryland Terrapins
I absolutely love Big 10 basketball as the league consistently brings it each and every night. With so many teams and so many league games scheduled, the Big 10 has more conference games than any other conference. Today we have another solid matchup coming to us from the Big 10, as the Wisconsin Badgers look to continue their hot start as they head to College Park to play the Maryland Terrapins. The Badgers were expected to finish near the middle of the pack in the Big 10 this season, but after jumping out to a 12-2 record, with signature wins over Iowa, Purdue, Indiana, Marquette, Saint Mary’s, and Houston, the Badgers have gone from tournament hopeful to a Final Four threat in a hurry!
The Badgers will have their hands full today, though, as winning on the road in the Big 10 is never easy. New Maryland head coach Danny Manning was hopeful that this Terps team would contend for a spot in the NCAA tournament, but after starting out league play 0-3, losing to Iowa, Illinois, and Northwestern, Maryland is in desperation mode as they have to find a way to string together some wins, or this is going to be a long season for Manning and his Terrapins.
Taking on the Terrapins tonight pic.twitter.com/8iV6HPqMJS
— Wisconsin Basketball (@BadgerMBB) January 9, 2022
In most years, winning on the road in the Big 10 is mission impossible. If you ever found a home dog in Big 10 play, you always backed the home team and picked up the free cash. But that hasn’t been the case this season, as home teams are only winning at a 55% clip so far in Big 10 conference play. Now, it is fairly early, and we don’t know exactly who all of these teams are just yet, but there has never been a time to fade home teams in the Big 10 than right now.
And that is just what I will do in this one, as I see the Badgers as the far superior team. Maryland has yet to beat a team as good as this Wisconsin squad, and they already have home losses to George Mason, Virginia Tech, and Northwestern, and I see Wisconsin as better than all of those teams. It won’t be easy, and we are going to have to sweat this one down to the final few possessions, but I think Wisconsin is criminally underrated right now, and in a league that has so much talent, there are going to be strong teams that just can’t figure it out, and right now that team in Maryland. Give me the Badgers.
Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State Buckeyes (-330)
We won’t go far for our next play, as we will stay in the Big 10 for the game between the Buckeyes of Ohio State and the Northwestern Wildcats. There have been times where the Buckeyes have looked like one of the top teams in the nation, like when they beat Duke and Seton Hall in the non-conference or when they hammered the Wisconsin Badgers in league play, blowing them out by 18 points.
But other times, OSU hasn’t looked nearly as sharp as they lost to Indiana in their last game, and they have early-season losses to Florida and Xavier, that while not overly bad losses, are games that they were favored in and that they would love to have back. Life in the Big 10 is brutal, and the Buckeyes absolutely must win games like this one today if they want to hang with Illinois and Michigan State, who are both out to 4-0 starts.
Time to bounce back
— Ohio State Hoops (@OhioStateHoops) January 9, 2022
When I look at Northwestern, I see a team very similar to the Maryland team we just talked about. They have plenty of talent, and in most leagues, they would be in contention for a winning record and maybe even a league title. But in the Big 10, this is a bubble team at best, and the Wildcats are going to find themselves as underdogs in most games. After winning their league play opener, the Wildcats have dropped their last 2 conference games with losses to Penn State and Michigan State.
The only chance that a team like Northwestern has of staying in the hunt in the Big 10 is to win their home games, and with both of their recent losses coming at home, the Wildcats are digging themselves into a hole that I don’t think they are going to be able to get out of. The Wildcats are just 1-4 against the Kenpom top-100, and this game is going to be too much for them. The line opened up at Ohio State (-350), and with a little line shopping, I was able to get a 20-point discount, and while I generally don’t like laying this much wood in a game, Northwestern just isn’t going to be able to go into Columbus and come out with a win.
Washington Huskies at Colorado Buffaloes (-400)
The Washington Huskies might be the worst major conference team in the nation this year. If they aren’t the worst team in the power 5, they are at least in the conversation, as this program is in freefall. UW only won 5 games last season, as they completely bottomed out, and this year things aren’t looking much better, as despite already surpassing last year’s win total, they are actually ranked 20 spots lower on Kenpom, suggesting that this team might actually be worse than last year’s embarrassing effort.
Washington’s best win came over 87th ranked South Dakota State, and the losses to Utah Valley, Winthrop, Nevada, Wyoming, and Northern Illinois tell me that the Huskies can lose to any team in the nation. The Huskies did show some signs of life in their last game as they won at Utah, to pick up their first PAC-12 win of the year, but it is hard to get too excited about Washington, as they are currently projected to lose 15 of their last 17 games.
??????? ?? ???????
? 3pm MT
? KOA 850AM
? CU Events Center pic.twitter.com/qxWYl8FSUO
— Colorado Men's Basketball (@CUBuffsMBB) January 9, 2022
I don’t quite know what to make of Colorado at this point, as their strength of schedule has been so weak that we haven’t gotten many opportunities to see how this team plays against solid competition. Yeah, they did a respectable job of running up a winning record against teams ranked outside of the top-100, but they have only played a total of 4 games against the top-100, and they have a 2-2 record to show for it, with wins over Washington State and Stanford, and losses to Tennessee and UCLA.
While I haven’t seen enough of the Buffaloes to know if they are going to break through with an appearance in the NCAA tournament as of yet, I do know that they have more than enough talent to win this game against a putrid Huskies team. Colorado is 8-1 at home so far this season, with their only home loss coming to Tennessee. The Buffs are going to win today, and it likely won’t even be competitive as the Huskies haven’t shown me anything to make me believe they have a chance of pulling off the upset.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Wisconsin Badgers -120
- Ohio State Buckeyes -330
- Colorado Buffaloes -400
$100 Bet Pays $299
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Northeastern Huskies at Towson Tigers Over 132.5
If you haven’t heard anything about the Towson Tigers this year, remember their name, as they are looking like a team that could punch their dance cards in March, as they are the best team in the CAA. The Tigers are lurking just outside of the top-100 nationally, and after dropping their league opener to Drexel in their last game, I see them taking out those frustrations on Northeastern today at home. The Tigers play a slow pace, which can mask the fact that they actually have a very efficient offense, currently ranked 64th in the country.
Good to be ?.
?- 1/9, 4:30 p.m.
?️- SECU Arena
?- FloSports ($) – https://t.co/sxVIPmWUrx
?- https://t.co/DBg4EwzCJh#UnitedWeRoar | #CAAHoops pic.twitter.com/DpHmRZvodT
— Towson Men's Basketball (@Towson_MBB) January 9, 2022
We don’t see many teams playing out of leagues like the Colonial that can score the basketball as well as Towson can, and I see them running it up today against the Huskies. The line opened up at 134 points and has dropped down a point and a half, and when you see that Kenpom had this game at 135 points, that opens up some nice value on the over.
Montana Grizzlies at Montana State Bobcats Over 136.5
There is a log jam at the top of the Big Sky Conference as the league has 4 teams that all rate out very similarly. Montana, Montana State, Weber State, and Southern Utah will all compete for league supremacy, which makes this game between the Bobcats and the Grizzlies a big one. This bet is just another fade the public, line move, play.
Kenpom has this one coming in at 139 points, telling me that the opening line of 137.5 was already a bit low. And now that the public has shifted it another point in the wrong direction, we have a nice 2.5-point gap between what the data is telling us and what the public is betting. We have been crushing totals recently by fading these public line moves, and that is what I will do again in this one.
Milwaukee Panthers at Oakland Grizzlies Under 140.5
Did somebody say fade the public? It is almost unbelievable how many times that public will take a line and move it in the wrong direction. You hate to beat a dead horse with all of these line moves plays, but when the data tells us that the true total on this game is 137 points, and the line has swelled all of the way up to 140.5 points due to public action, I just can’t resist getting on the other side.
Getting even a point difference between Kenpom and the line on totals shows value, but when we see games like this one where we are getting more than a full possession’s worth of points more than we should, it is a high-value spot that you want to hammer. I am taking the under and will high five Joe Public for opening up so much value when I cash the ticket.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Northeastern Huskies at Towson Tigers Over 132.5 -110
- Montana Grizzlies at Montana State Bobcats Over 136.5 -110
- Milwaukee Panthers at Oakland Grizzlies Under 140.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Cincinnati Bearcats (+8) at Memphis Tigers
Coming into this season, there were a lot of people that felt Memphis could win a national title. Penny Hardway brought in an elite recruiting class, and on paper, the Tigers were a Final Four caliber team. Memphis looked the part of a national title contender when they won each of their first 5 games, including nice wins over Virginia Tech and Saint Louis, but then the wheels fell off for Penny and company, as they lost 4 games in a row, with bad losses to Georgia, Mississippi, and Murray State.
The Tigers then came out of nowhere to blow out a top-10 ranked Alabama team to snap that 4-game losing streak, and again it looked like Memphis was a dark horse title contender. But that sentiment was short-lived, as the Tigers followed up that breakthrough win with a loss to 137th ranked Tulane. It has been a roller coaster ride in Memphis this season, to say the least, and their lack of consistency has been head-scratching for a team that has so much talent.
It's GAME DAY, Cincinnati!
— Cincinnati Men’s Hoops (@GoBearcatsMBB) January 9, 2022
The Bearcats of Cincinnati are hoping to take full advantage of those struggles, as they would love to find a way to knock off Memphis on their own floor. The AAC is up this year, with Houston at the top of the league, but there are lots of quality teams in that second tier, including UCF, Wichita State, SMU, as well as both of these teams. This league is far too good to be a 1-bid league, and whichever team emerges from this 2nd tier as the best of the rest, is very likely going to end up dancing in March.
Cincinnati absolutely could pull off the outright upset today on the road, remember, they did beat a very good Illinois team earlier this season, so they have shown they can compete with elite teams. That being said, I will stop just short of calling an upset. I don’t think the Bearcats are going to leave FedExForum with a win today, but I do see this line as inflated. I will snatch up the points and hope that we see the Memphis team that I watched lose to 208th ranked Georgia, not the one that I watched blow out Alabama.
Hofstra Pride at James Madison Dukes (+2)
Home dogs in league play are always going to be my favorite type of picks, and that is especially true for small conferences. Today, I will again thank the public for opening up value for a play, as the Dukes of James Madison actually opened up this game as small (-1) home favorites, but the public has backed the road team, moving the line 3 full points towards the Pride.
I mean, I get it, Hofstra is probably the better overall team in a vacuum, but we aren’t playing this game in a vacuum, we are playing it on the Duke’s home floor, where they are a perfect 6-0, including a resume-boosting win over Tony Bennett’s Virginia Cavaliers. Hofstra went out and played a brutal schedule in the non-conference, and I hate to ever discount a team for actually playing somebody, but you can’t ignore the fact that the Pride is just 2-6 in true road games.
Finally back to…
? GAME DAY AT HOME
Cap a JMU doubleheader with the Dukes at 4pm!
— JMU Men's Basketball (@JMUMBasketball) January 9, 2022
Hofstra’s last road game came at 342nd ranked William and Mary, and the Pride shockingly lost to one of the worst teams in the country. If Hofstra can lose to William and Mary, they can absolutely lose to James Madison. But now that the public has moved this number, we won’t even need the Dukes to win outright, as we get to snatch up a +2-point insurance policy just in case the game doesn’t break our way late. Give me James Madison and the points.
Cleveland State Vikings (-2) at Youngstown State Penguins
Our final play of the day comes to us from the campus of the Youngstown State Penguins, as they welcome the Cleveland State Vikings to town for a Horizon League conference matchup. I think Cleveland State might actually be good this year, and not in the way that we typically look at small conference teams, but actually pretty good, no matter the level of competition. The Vikings went into Stillwater and gave the Oklahoma State Cowboys all they could handle, taking the game into overtime before losing, and their only other losses came to BYU and Ohio, both top-100 programs right now, in competitive games.
Since league play kicked off in the Horizon, Cleveland State has dominated, jumping out to a 5-0 record. The Vikings have won 9 of their last 10 games, and I see that hot streak continuing tonight against this limited Youngstown State team. Quality wins have been tough to come by for the Penguins as they don’t have a single win over teams ranked in the top-250. The Penguin’s resume is littered with bad losses, including ugly home court losses to Purdue Fort Wayne, Niagara, and SIU Edwardsville.
Game Day Info, presented by @ClevelandClinic Sports Medicine ⤵️
— @CSU_Basketball (@csu_basketball) January 9, 2022
In the 3 games that the Penguins have played against decent competition, they have not been competitive, as they lost to Oakland by 15, West Virginia by 30, and Penn State by 16. While Cleveland State might not be on the same level as Penn State and West Virginia, they are better than they are getting credit for right now, and even though laying wood on the road in conference play is one of my least favorite things to do, this feels like a mismatch. Expect Cleveland State to continue their domination of the Horizon League today with a win over Youngstown State, and we shouldn’t even have to sweat the 2-points as this game won’t be overly competitive.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Cincinnati Bearcats (+8) -110
- James Madison Dukes (+2) -110
- Cleveland State Vikings (-2) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have three different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!