Today is February 1st, and you know what that means? March is now just a month away! As we inch closer towards the madness, the action on the college hoops hardwood is heating up! Today we have a blockbuster slate of games for a weekday, as some of the top teams in the nation will take the floor tonight.
Headlining games for the day include Kansas at Iowa State, Texas at Texas Tech, and Alabama at Auburn. Any time that you have so many elite teams playing on a single day, the big boys are going to steal the spotlight, but if you look further down the board, we have some great action in store for you from some of the less marquee programs as well.
— Auburn Basketball ? (@AuburnMBB) February 1, 2022
Games between Providence and St. John’s, Davidson and St. Bonaventure, and Air Force and Utah State feature under the radar teams that I see making their mark in March. With that, let’s jump right into it, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Michigan State Spartans (-155) at Maryland Terrapins
You are very rarely ever going to see me backing a road team in the Big 10. Winning on the road in the Big 10 is consistently one of the toughest things to do in college basketball, and I nearly always side with the home team in B1G league play. But I will break my own rule tonight, as I think that Michigan State is going to go into College Park and knock off Danny Manning and his Terps on their own floor.
When you have a league that is as loaded as the Big 10 is right now, there are going to be good teams that just won’t be able to cut it. This year, Maryland is one of those teams. I could see this team competing if they were in the PAC-12 or the AAC, or even the ACC as that league is way down this year, but right now, the Terps just don’t have what it takes to win night in and night out in the Big 10. Of Maryland’s 10 losses, 6 of them have come at home, including conference home losses to Indiana, Rutgers, Wisconsin, and Northwestern.
It's GAMEDAY in College Park! ? pic.twitter.com/LzpnXKINTz
— Michigan State Men's Basketball (@MSU_Basketball) February 1, 2022
Those home court struggles don’t bode well for them tonight, as Tom Izzo has his Spartans playing at a very high level. The Spartans are a half of a game back of 1st place in the win column in the Big 10 standings, making this a game that they have to win. Sparty had made winning on the road in league play look easy, as they have true road wins over the likes of Wisconsin, Northwestern, and Minnesota. I expect Michigan State to add Maryland to their hit list with a win tonight in hostile territory.
North Carolina Tar Heels (-160) at Louisville Cardinals
Things are quickly going from bad to worse for the Louisville Cardinals as they recently fired their head coach Chris Mack, and a mid-season coaching search is never good for any program. Mack was at the helm for 4 mostly disappointing seasons and leaves the program in utter disarray, as the Cardinals are in freefall with losses in 6 of their last 7 games. Things don’t get any easier tonight as the Cardinals welcome the North Carolina Tar Heels to town for an ACC conference game.
First year head coach Hubert Davis has had his fair share of ups and downs in his first year in Chapel Hill after taking over for Hall of Fame head coach Roy Williams. The Heels ride a 3-game winning streak into this game, and that run has them on the brink of breaking into the top-25 nationally, hoping to join Duke as the only ranked team from the ACC. The biggest issue for North Carolina this year has been winning on the road, as they have lost each of their last 3 conference road games.
— Carolina Basketball (@UNC_Basketball) February 1, 2022
I see the Tar Heels snapping out of that road funk tonight, though, as they have caught the Cardinals at just the right time to beat them at the KFC Yum! Center. Coaching is so important in the college game, and without their leader on the sidelines with them, I don’t think the Cardinals are going to be able to win this game. Louisville has home losses this year to Furman, NC State, DePaul, Notre Dame, and Duke, and you might as well add North Carolina to that list now, as the Heels are going to leave Louisville with the win tonight.
Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-190)
What a great game we have in store for you tonight from Lubbock, as the Texas Longhorn head to Texas Tech for a Big 12 battle with the Red Raiders. This is always a fun matchup between in-state rivals, but it has even more meaning this year after Texas Tech had to watch their longtime head coach, Chris Beard, bolt Lubbock for the seemingly greener pastures of Austin, to lead the Longhorns as their new head coach. That adds even more bad blood to this already fierce rivalry, and I expect a barnburner of a game tonight between a couple of very talented teams.
?: No. 23 Texas Longhorns
⏰: 8 p.m., Tuesday
?: @espn 2️⃣
— #14 Texas Tech Basketball (@TexasTechMBB) January 31, 2022
So, who wins in this matchup for Texas supremacy? I like the Red Raiders. Texas Tech has an elite resume with wins over Tennessee, Kansas, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, West Virginia, and Mississippi State. Tech is unbeatable at home, literally, with a perfect 12-0 record, and as good as Chris Beard is as a head coach, he doesn’t quite have his brand of basketball instilled yet at Texas.
The Longhorns have true road losses at Gonzaga, Seton Hall, Oklahoma State, and Iowa State and their 2-4 record on the road leaves a lot to be desired. Texas does have road wins at Kansas State and TCU, but the Wildcats and Horned Frogs aren’t the Red Raiders. Expect a very physical and low scoring game, but when all of the smoke clears tonight in Lubbock, Texas Tech is going to have their hands raised with the win.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Michigan State Spartans -155
- North Carolina Tar Heels -160
- Texas Tech Red Raiders -190
$100 Bet Pays $404
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Tulsa Golden Hurricanes at Wichita State Shockers Over 133.5
Wichita State hosts Tulsa tonight in a matchup between disappointing teams in the AAC. Both of these teams were looking to compete at the top of the league this year but haven’t been able to stay competitive, as they are a combined 2-12 in league play. While I don’t have a strong opinion on the side in this game, I do feel that there is value on the over, as this number is too low.
This line opened up at 136 points, which is right where Kenpom has it finishing, but the public has disagreed, as they have been hammering the under, driving the line down 2.5 points, opening up value on a fade the public play on the other side. Fade. The. Public. I am taking the over.
Ole Miss Rebels at LSU Tigers Under 128
We all know how great LSU is on defense, and in fact, they might be the top defensive unit in the nation, as they are currently ranked 1st in terms of defensive efficiency per Kenpom. But Ole Miss is actually sneaky good on D as well, as they are ranked 70th, making this game an elite defensive matchup.
The Tigers are back at the PMAC on Tuesday, February 1st v. Ole Miss at 8:00 p.m. on SEC Network
— LSU Basketball (@LSUBasketball) January 31, 2022
I know it is hard to expect a game to be so low scoring, but Mississippi is known for their inability to score points, having scored in the 50’s or lower several times this year, and none of those games came against a defense as good as this LSU Tigers team. Don’t be shocked if the Rebels never hit the 50-point mark tonight. Ole Miss won’t score enough to push this game over the total, and with the Tiger’s recent struggles scoring the ball, this could be a very ugly game that stays well under the total.
Davidson Wildcats at St. Bonaventure Bonnies Over 135.5
I love nothing more than to take advantage of bad public action driven line moves, and that is what I am going to do in this one, as this number is laughably bad. Kenpom has this game coming in at 143 points, suggesting that the opening number of 140 points was already several points too low. But as usual, the public has gotten it wrong and has sent this number plummeting down to where it stands now at just 135.5 points.
To see a 7.5-point gap between what the data is telling us, and the betting line, is enormous, and I won’t just bet the over, I will hammer it. Most people out there probably haven’t watched Davidson play a game this year, but the Wildcats are the 11th best offense in the country, and the only reason they aren’t scoring 90+ a game is because they like to play a slower pace. The Bonnies are in the same boat, as they have a top-50 offense, making this game one that could turn into a very high scoring affair, despite both team’s desire to play slow.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Tulsa Golden Hurricanes at Wichita State Shockers Over 133.5 -110
- Ole Miss Rebels at LSU Tigers Under 128 -110
- Davidson Wildcats at St. Bonaventure Bonnies Over 135.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Davidson Wildcats (+130) at St. Bonaventure Bonnies
We won’t go far for our next play, as I smell upset tonight in New York. To me, this is going to be a coin flip type of game where either team could win. Both teams play efficient offense, and this game is going to come down to the final few possessions to be decided. If you lay me +130 odds on a coin flip, I am going to take it every time. The Bonnies have been very tough to beat at home, as they are 7-1 at home, but I think they are running into a buzz saw tonight against Davidson.
??????? in Olean
— Davidson Basketball (@DavidsonMBB) February 1, 2022
The Wildcats made a brief appeared in the top-25 2 weeks ago, before quickly losing a fluky home game to VCU and dropping right back out of the rankings this week, but don’t let that loss distract you from the fact that this team is very talented. The Wildcats have won 16 of their last 17 games, including signature wins over Rhode Island, Richmond, and VCU and a massive win over Alabama. I think Davidson is the class of the A-10, and they are going to show it tonight with an upset victory over the Bonnies.
Providence Friars (+150) at St. John’s Red Storm
I guess I just don’t understand the hate. What more can the Providence Friars do at this point? PC has wins over Wisconsin, Texas Tech, Northwestern, Rhode Island, Vermont, UCONN, Seton Hall, Xavier, and Marquette, yet some people will tell you that the 18-2 Friars are a bubble team? Get out of here with that savage hate, as I see PC as a potential dark horse Final Four threat.
— Providence MBB (@PCFriarsmbb) February 1, 2022
The only knock of Providence seems to be that they tend to win close, suggesting that they may be getting “lucky” to win these games. Well, I don’t believe in luck, and well coached teams tend to win close games, and this is absolutely a well-coached team. PC just went into X and knocked off the ranked Musketeers on the road, and they have true road wins at Wisconsin, UCONN, and DePaul as well.
Even with all of that, the Friars are big road underdogs to St. John’s? St. John’s? I mean, come on, guys; this is a joke. The Johnnies have lost 6 of 9, and they are an abysmal 1-7 against the national top-100 this season. This might be the worst line of the year. I am taking PC to win outright tonight in Jamaica.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Davidson Wildcats +130
- Providence Friars +150
$100 Bet Pays $575
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+5.5) at Northwestern Wildcats
The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are sitting on the wrong side of the bubble right now and are in need of some wins if they want a realistic shot of hearing their names called on Selection Sunday. Winning in the Big 10 on the road is never easy, but if you are going to win on the road in B1G play, it is usually going to be at Northwestern. The Wildcats have yet to win a league game on their own floor this year, with a disappointing 0-5 record. Northwestern is 1-8 in their last 9 games, and 7 of their 9 wins on the year have come against teams ranked outside of the top-200.
Rutgers is no world beater by any means, but they do have road wins over Nebraska and Maryland in the last couple of weeks, and they are going to have the Wildcats on upset alert all night long. I will stop just short of calling the outright upset, but I do think that this is far too many points. Northwestern just hasn’t shown me that they can cover a number like this against a legit team, so I will snatch up all of those points and back Rutgers in what should be a highly competitive game.
Kansas Jayhawks at Iowa State Cyclones (+4.5)
The last time these teams hooked up, it was a classic contest, where Kansas found a way to gut out a 1-point victory at home. Now that the season series has shifted to Ames, I can only expect an even better performance from the Cyclones, and I am shocked that I can get this many points in what is sure to be a battle. Kansas is really good, like national title good, but they are coming off of their worst performance of the season, a home floor drubbing by the Kentucky Wildcats, and if they come out flat tonight with a hangover from that beatdown, they are going to lose again.
Iowa State came completely out of nowhere this year as they were picked to finish dead last in the Big 12 and, with a hot start, they found themselves in the top-10! Most expected the Cyclones to struggle once Big 12 play started, and that has been the case, as they have come back to earth, but they have done a very admirable job of hanging around in the toughest league in the nation, with wins over Texas Tech, Texas, and Oklahoma State despite their losing league record.
No. 20 Cyclones ? No. 10 Kansas
? 6 p.m. (CT)
? Hilton Coliseum
?️https://t.co/BHFcvIxN2i#Cyclones | #C5C pic.twitter.com/aJBpOFWrgd
— Iowa State Men’s Basketball (@CycloneMBB) February 1, 2022
I don’t know if Iowa State is going to win this game or not, but I do know that they have been the Jayhawk’s punching bag for decades, and now that they have a real shot at competing with them, I don’t see them letting it pass them by. I will snatch up the points in this one as I almost can’t believe I can get more than a full possession’s worth of points in what should be a tightly contested affair.
Cal Bears at Standford Cardinal (-4)
For our final play, we will head out west for the game between Stanford and Cal. Neither of these teams are elite, but I do feel that Stanford is better than they are getting credit for. The Cardinal have played a savage schedule, 13th toughest in the country, and when you view their results through that lens, this is a team that could end up playing meaningful games in March.
Stanford has wins over USC (twice), Washington State, Oregon, and Wyoming, with all of those teams currently ranked in the top-50 nationally. Last year, the PAC-12 shocked the world when the league ransacked the NCAA tournament, sending 5 teams to the Sweet 16, and the league is being disrespected again this year, with the exception of the top of the conference with Arizona, UCLA, and USC getting some love.
What better way to start February than with your rival?
— Stanford Men's Basketball (@StanfordMBB) February 1, 2022
Cal just doesn’t win on the road in league play, like ever. They have yet to win a road game this year in the PAC-12 and going back to 2018, they have averaged just 1 road win per season. That is far too much consistent losing to not want to be on the other side in this one. I don’t love laying a bunch of points in a conference game, but this one could end in a blowout, and I doubt we will end up sweating it too hard. Give me Stanford tonight from Maples Pavilion.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+5.5) -110
- Iowa State Cyclones (+4.5) -110
- Standford Cardinal (-4) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!