College Hoops Parlay Of The Day 2-11-22

When you have been crushing like we have this season betting on NCAA Men’s Basketball, you almost expect things to break your way. This week alone, we have nailed multiple parlay of the day plays, racking up payouts of over $2,000 bucks in what has been a big week. But yesterday, we ran bad in a couple of key spots, and it cost us. The day wasn’t a complete fail as we did find winners on Troy (-145), Washington (-125), Hofstra (+105), and Illinois Chicago/Cleveland State over 144.5, but we came up a game short on two different tickets.

We have been on the right side of some big upsets this week, including fading Auburn and Houston, who both lost, but yesterday we were on the wrong side of a major upset when the Michigan Wolverines inexplicitly decided to show up for the first time in forever, knocking off the Purdue Boilermakers to cost us a parlay winner. We also took a rather brutal loss on our play on Indiana State/Evansville under 130, as the game finished regulation a full 10 points under the total, but we eventually lost the bet when the game went into double overtime.

What can you do, sometimes you run bad and lose plays where you were likely on the right side of the action. Today, the schedule is light, with only a handful of games set to be played as most teams ramp up for games this weekend. But even with few games on the board, we managed to find plenty of value to exploit. With that, let’s jump right into it, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Magic Parlay

Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.

Monmouth Hawks (-210) at Manhattan Jaspers

For our first play of the day, we will head to the Metro Atlantic Athletic Association for a game between the Jaspers of Manhattan and the Monmouth Hawks. The Iona Gaels are running away with the MAAC title, and in what is always a low-level conference, there aren’t many teams that have the talent to hang with Iona, but Monmouth is one of those teams. The Hawks haven’t played up to their potential at times, and that has cost them, but when it comes to raw talent, Monmouth has dudes.

Interestingly enough, the majority of the Hawks’s struggles this year have been at home, as they haven’t done a very good job of protecting their own floor. But on the road, Monmouth has impressed, with true road wins over the likes of Towson, St. Joe’s, Cincinnati, Yale, Pittsburgh, and a host of other wins in hostile territory. All told, 9 of the Hawks’ 15 wins have come in true road games, giving them one of the highest road win totals in the nation.

Manhattan got thumped by Monmouth earlier this season, losing by 16 points in a game that wasn’t overly competitive. The Jaspers are looking for their revenge tonight at home, but I am not sure that they are going to get it. The Jaspers played a big chunk of their non-conference schedule either on the road or on neutral floors, and this will be just their 9th home game of the year.

They have been solid at Draddy Gymnasium with a 6-2 record, but none of those wins came against quality teams, and home losses to Quinnipiac and Niagara, teams that are both ranked outside of the top-200 nationally, has me thinking that the Jaspers won’t be able to hang with a better than most people seem to think Hawks team. Normally home dogs are my jam, but I will switch gears in this game, lay a little wood, and back Monmouth.

Detroit Mercy Titans at Youngstown State Penguins (-115)

Mike Davis has made a name for himself as a coach that isn’t afraid to schedule tough in the non-conference. Davis has had tenures at Indiana, UAB, and Texas Southern, and particularly in his time at Texas Southern, where the Tigers would play literally their entire non-conference schedule on the road, Davis has shown that he is happy to play against some of the top teams in the country in their own buildings. I have to commend Davis on his courage to play any team anywhere, but that strategy hasn’t been working at Detroit Mercy very well, as all of those road games have led to a lot of losses.

The Titans have played 16 road games this season, but they have managed to win just 5 of those contests. Losses to Wyoming, Toledo, and Mississippi State are certainly nothing to be ashamed of, but losses to Northeastern, Purdue Fort Wayne and a really ugly loss against 337th ranked Green Bay has me doubting that this team can win tonight against a respectable Youngstown State.

The Penguins are certainly no world beaters, and it would take a miracle finish for them to go dancing in March, but they are in the top half of the Horizon League standings, and they are ranked 240th in the nation right now, which isn’t bad for a team playing in the Horizon. Detroit Mercy has 10 wins this season, and only their win over 233rd ranked Northern Kentucky came against a team ranked inside the top-250.

I love what Mike Davis is doing at Detroit Mercy, but it just hasn’t led to many wins, and I see more heartbreak coming for the Titans tonight as they just haven’t shown me that they can beat even remotely talented teams. Home teams in league play are always going to play better than expected, and while we may end up sweating this one out a bit, when all is said and done tonight at the Beeghly Center, the Penguins are going to run their current winning streak to 6 straight.

Northern Kentucky Norse (-290) at Green Bay Phoenix

Cleveland State and Wright State are battling it out for the Horizon League regular season title right now, but the Norse of Northern Kentucky are lurking within striking distance as we hit the final stretch of the season. The Norse came out of the gates slow in conference play, losing 4 of their first 6 games, but they have things moving in the right direction now as they are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Northern Kentucky has recent wins over Wright State, Cleveland State, and Oakland, and they are quickly becoming a force to be reckoned with in the Horizon League, as they have caught fire.

Northern Kentucky will look to stay hot tonight with a road trip to Green Bay to play the Phoenix. Green Bay has one of the worst resumes in the nation, with a 4-19 record overall, and even at home, they just aren’t able to hang around with most teams. In conference play, Green Bay has home losses to Youngstown State by 24, Milwaukee by 14, Illinois Chicago by 17, and Wright State by 17. It would be a moral victory for Green Bay if they can find a way to just not get blown out tonight at home.

The first time that these teams played the game was actually fairly tightly contested. But that came right before the Norse started this recent hot streak, and even with the change of venue, I think that Northern Kentucky is going to run up the score in this one. They force turnovers, crash the offensive boards, and more importantly, they have all kinds of momentum, and I expect them to ride that to a fairly easy victory tonight. You are always playing with fire when taking road favorites in league play, but I am not sure we are going to sweat this one out at all, as the Norse are playing far too well right now to be denied in a must-win spot.

Money Line Magic Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Monmouth Hawks -210
  • Youngstown State Penguins -115
  • Northern Kentucky Norse -290

$100 Bet Pays $422

Game Total Parlay

Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Akron Zips Under 130.5

One thing that I love about conference play is that in most leagues, we get to see teams play each other multiple times. We can crunch the numbers and data all day long, but actually getting to see these matchups play out and then getting a chance to use that information in the rematch is an invaluable tool. That is not to say that both games are going to play out exactly the same, but it gives us the highest value data point we are ever going to get when handicapping that second game.

When these teams played earlier this year, the game was low scoring, finishing at 122 points. That was understandable as Kent State plays solid defense, and the Zips play an extremely slow tempo, 344th in the nation. The books expected another low scoring game as they opened this number up at 126 points, but the public hasn’t seen it that way, as they have been hammering the over.

I don’t see any compelling reason to believe that this game is going to be fundamentally different than the first matchup in terms of pace and points scored, and I love that the public has opened up so much value for me on a play on the under, on what is now an inflated total. More to come on this game in a minute as I have an opinion on the side as well, but for now, I will lock in my action on the under before the sharps bet this one back down.

Iona Gaels at Sienna Saints Over 137.5

College basketball is just better when Rick Pitino is coaching. I am a huge Pitino fan going all of the way back to his time at Providence, and he is the only coach in men’s college basketball history to take 3 different schools to the Final four. When Pitino took his talents to Iona last year, many wondered if he would be able to win at a small school after spending much of his career coaching at college basketball powerhouse programs.

Those questions were quickly answered when Pitino took the Gaels to the NCAA tournament last year, and this year, he has turned Iona into a juggernaut in the MAAC, with an 11-1 league record. That was an 11-0 record until the Gaels dropped their last game at Niagara, and Pitino knows that if his team wants any realistic shot at getting an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament, that they can ill afford another slip-up.

Last year, it was actually Sienna that won the regular season MAAC title, but due to COVID-19 related scheduling, they never had to play Iona in the regular season. The Gaels played spoiler when they knocked the Saints out in the MAAC conference tournament, and this year the roles are reversed as it will be Sienna trying to play spoiler. Not only do the Saints not have a single win over the national top-100 this year, they have only played 1 game against the top-100, an early season loss to this very same Iona squad, where they lost by 17 points.

Iona blew that game out by playing fast and scoring a bunch of points. That game ended up not being very high scoring, as Siena wasn’t able to keep it close enough to push the total to the over, but now that the Saints get this rematch at home, I expect a much closer game. Pitino and the Gaels are going to get their points, and as long as we get a better showing out of the Saints, and with this game being played in Albany, that is surely going to be the case, we should have little trouble cashing our ticket on the over in what should be a higher scoring affair.

UNLV Rebels at Boise State Broncos Under 130.5

The Mountain West Conference is as deep as it has ever been this year, as there are 6 teams that have real hopes of hearing their names called on Selection Sunday. Unfortunately for UNLV Fans, the Rebels aren’t one of them, as they haven’t been able to break through with strong performances against the top of the league. I expect another lackluster effort out of the Rebels tonight, as they play against Boise State, a team I see as a potential Sweet 16 Cinderella.

The Broncos have recovered from a rough start to the year and have now won 15 of their last 16 games. Boise State is getting the job done by playing lockdown defense, currently ranked 7th in the nation in defensive efficiency per Kenpom. Combine that nasty D with a slow tempo, and it has led to a lot of very low scoring games for the Broncos.

During this recent winning streak, Boise State has only allowed 70 points or more just once, and they have held teams to 60 points or fewer 11 times, including holding a very good San Diego State team to only 37 points late last month. It wouldn’t shock me at all if the Broncos hold the Rebels to less than 50 points, and if that ends up being the case, this game can’t go over the total. Boise State loves to slow things down and grind teams away, and that is what I see happening tonight as Boise State dominates on defense, and this game stays under the total.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Kent State Golden Flashes at Akron Zips Under 130.5 -110
  • Iona Gaels at Sienna Saints Over 137.5 -110
  • UNLV Rebels at Boise State Broncos Under 130.5 -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!

UCONN Huskies (+105) at Xavier Musketeers

I am not sure why, but you just aren’t hearing a lot about the Big East this year. There is a lot of national attention on the Big 12, Big 10, and SEC but it’s almost like people forgot that the Big East is loaded with really good basketball teams. The league could get as many as 8 teams into the NCAA tournament, yet it has been radio silence for the most part. This almost feels like last year when everyone was sleeping on the PAC-12 only to see the league ransack the NCAA tournament, sending 5 teams to the second weekend of the madness.

When everyone else is shocked that the Big East performs well in the Big Dance this year, just remember that you heard it here first! A couple of those NCAA tournament-level teams square off tonight as Xavier welcomes UCONN to town. The Musketeers had an awesome start to their season, running up a 10-1 record in the non-conference with wins over Ohio State, Virginia Tech, Oklahoma State, and Cincinnati. But the Big East is tough, and league play hasn’t gone as well as Xavier head coach Travis Steele had hoped, as the Musketeers are 6-6 in Big East action.

On the surface, a 6-6 record in a conference as good as the Big East is more than respectable, but a closer look shows me that X has wins over Butler (twice), Creighton (twice), and DePaul, all teams that if the season were to end today, wouldn’t be playing in the NCAA tournament. When Xavier has played the best teams that the Big East has to offer, they haven’t played well, with a 1-5 record against the top of the league. That doesn’t bode well for them in this game, as UCONN is playing quality basketball.

I am not sure I am buying the Huskies as the 19th best team in the country, where they are currently ranked on Kenpom, but they are a talented team, and they are building a nice resume. UCONN has wins over Auburn, VCU, and St. Bonaventure, and they have been strong on the road in the Big East with true road wins over Marquette, Butler, and DePaul.

This game is going to come down to the wire, as UCONN has 6 losses on the year, and 5 of those have come by 4 points or less. In what is going to be a coin flip game, that either team could win, I always want to be on the side getting the juice, not laying it. I will back the Huskies and hope that the variance breaks my way in what should be a thriller.

Fresno State Bulldogs (+230) at Colorado State Rams

I am always a guy that trusts the data more than my gut, but this play is a straight gut shot. There isn’t a lot that separates these teams, as there is only 1 team in between them in terms of their Kenpom rankings. I can certainly appreciate why the Rams are the favorites with this game being played in Fort Collins, but that being said, this is a bad number.

Fresno State has road wins in the MWC at UNLV, New Mexico, and San Jose State, and all of their losses have been very competitive games. Of the Bulldog’s 7 losses, none of them have come by more than 10 points, and 4 of them have come by 5 points or less. This game is going to come down to the final few possessions to be decided, and I am shocked that we can get Fresno State at such an attractive price. When you are taking big dogs like this, it is less about whether or not they will win and more about can they win. And Fresno State can absolutely win this game, which makes a play on the Bulldogs high value at a jumbo price.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • UCONN Huskies +105
  • Fresno State Bulldogs +230

$100 Bet Pays $677

Point Spread Plays

In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Akron Zips (-3)

When Akron lost to Kent State just under a month ago, things weren’t looking great for the Zips. They were 9-5 on the year, and it was looking like they weren’t going to have a realistic chance at competing at the top of the MAC this season. But that loss seems to have been a turning point for Akron, as they have reeled off wins in 7 of their last 8 games, and they now find themselves just a game back in the loss column for first place in the MAC standings.

That game was also big for Kent State, as they too have played well since, with a 6-1 record. This is an underrated matchup that will serve as somewhat of an elimination game for the loser, and I like the home team. Kent State has played 4 road games against teams ranked inside of the top-150, and they are 0-4 in those games. All of those losses have come by at least 13 points, which tells me that when Kent State is pushed on the road, they don’t push back. I will lay a bucket’s worth of points on the Zips and expect them to pull away late for the win and cover.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Saint Louis Billikens (-4.5)

The Saint Louis Billikens will put their undefeated home conference record on the line tonight against the Bonnies of St. Bonaventure. Saint Louis has played their best basketball of the season in the last month, with a 9-2 record that includes signature wins over Iona, Richmond, and Dayton, and they would love to add another top-100 win to their hitlist tonight over the Bonnies.

That is exactly what I see happening as the Bonnies are running out of gas here in the second half of the season. St. Bonaventure played well early in the year with big wins over Boise State, Clemson, and Marquette, but league play has been a struggle, and they are just 5-6 in their last 11 games overall. Somehow this is only the 6th true road game of the year for the Bonnies, and their 2-3 record leaves something to be desired for sure.

Those 3 road losses came at Richmond, George Mason, and Dayton, and they all came by double digits. You can make a case that Saint Louis is better than all of those teams, and that makes me feel better when I see that I have to lay -4.5 points to back the Billikens. When the Bonnies lose, they tend to give up and get blown out, and that is what I see happening tonight at Chaifetz Arena. Give me Saint Louis laying the points in a game that could end up getting out of hand.

Nevada Wolfpack at Utah State Aggies (-11)

Our last play came in a game that could end up being a blowout and our final play of the day is a game that I am certain will get ugly, as Utah State is going to beat up on overmatched Nevada. The Wolfpack are way down this year, with a 9-13 record, and they will be looking to snap their 6-game losing streak tonight on the road. You hate to ever kick a team while they are down, but this isn’t a game where I see Nevada being remotely competitive.

When Nevada played Utah State at home a couple of weeks ago, they got run off of their own floor, getting smashed 78-49. You can never expect a team to lose by 30 points again, but there is a lot of room between how that game ended up and what we will need tonight to cover this number. Nevada is 1-8 on the road this year, with 6 of those 8 losses coming by double digits, so they are used to playing poorly away from home.

On the flip side, Utah State has won their last 4 conference home games, with an average margin of victory of 22 points. There is far too much data that tells me this game is going to be a blowout not to love a play on the home team, despite the fact that I very rarely like to lay double-digit points in a game. The Aggies win this one, and it won’t be close.

Point Spread Plays Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Akron Zips (-3) -110
  • Saint Louis Billikens (-4.5) -110
  • Utah State Aggies (-11) -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!

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Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL

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