Some days you just get ALL of the money! That was the case yesterday as we finished the day with a smoking hot 8-3 overall record and hit not 1, but 2, of or our parlay of the day plays for a payout of nearly a thousand bucks! The first play that came in was our all-money line play with winners on Michigan State (-155), North Carolina (-160), and Texas Tech (-190) and paid out a juicy $404.
It is one thing to pick winners when you are taking all favorites, but we here at TheSportsGeek pride ourselves on finding the real value on outright underdog winners. We connected on our all-dog parlay last night with plays on Providence (+150) and Davidson (+130) and got to see the power of parlaying dogs as the 2-teamer paid out a heft $575!
Four Friars finish in double figures: Bynum (19), Watson (16), Horchler (14), Durham (14) pic.twitter.com/cZwM6aqpAO
— Providence MBB (@PCFriarsmbb) February 2, 2022
I mentioned yesterday that Providence being significant underdogs against St. John’s was possibly the worst line of the year, and I was proven right as the Friars led most of the night and coasted to the outright victory. Today, we will get right back to the grind, looking to stay red-hot, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers (-160)
The ACC takes center stage today as we have a bunch of conference games coming to us from the once-mighty league. A lot has been made of the league’s struggles this season, but I think the conference is likely quite a bit better than it is getting credit for right now. And even with as much hate as we are hearing about the ACC, this is still going to be a 4 or 5 bid conference come March. In this game between Clemson and Florida State, we have a matchup where both teams are hoping to play themselves onto the right side of the bubble.
I see the Seminoles as solidly a tournament-worthy team, but I am in the minority on that, as most people have Florida State on the outside looking in right now for the NCAA tournament. If there has been an Achilles Heel for the ‘Noles, it has been their inability to win on the road. Florida State has road losses at Florida, Purdue, South Carolina, Wake Forrest, and Georgia Tech. The Seminoles are coming off of what was their worst week of the season, going 0-2 against Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech, where they were favored in both games.
#ClemsonGRIT ? Florida State
— Clemson Basketball (@ClemsonMBB) February 2, 2022
If you believe Kenpom, the Tigers are actually the better team in this matchup, despite their weaker overall record. That being said, if the Tigers can’t figure out how to win in the ACC, they have no shot of hearing their names called on Selection Sunday. It has been an up and down season for longtime Tiger’s head coach Brad Brownell, but Clemson has done a decent job of protecting their home floor with a 7-2 record at Littlejohn Coliseum.
This game boils down to a home/road split game. The Seminoles struggle to win on the road, and Clemson does all of their winning at home. When this series shifts to Tallahassee in a couple of weeks, I will likely take Florida State, but tonight, I am riding with the home team, Tigers. I am sure we are going to have to sweat this one out, but Clemson is the side to be on in this one.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Miami Hurricanes (-190)
We will stay in the ACC for our next play, for a game between Miami and Notre Dame. I really like both of these teams and feel that both of them should be dancing in March. The fact that the Hurricanes haven’t been ranked at any point this season seems silly to me, as this is a very talented team that has a nice resume with wins over top-100 teams Duke, North Texas, Penn State, Clemson, Wake Forrest, Syracuse, North Carolina, and Virginia Tech.
There aren’t many teams in the nation that wouldn’t trade resumes with the ‘Canes, and while Duke is the only team getting much love in the ACC, Miami is tied with the Blue Devils for 1st place, and they beat them head-to-head, which tells me that they are being criminally underrated. Miami will welcome Notre Dame to town tonight, hoping to hand the Irish just their 3rd conference loss of the season.
TOP-3 ACC MATCHUP TONIGHT ‼
? The Watsco Center
⏰ 7 PM
? Notre Dame
? Bally Sports Sun
— Canes Hoops (@CanesHoops) February 2, 2022
Notre Dame had won 10 of 11 prior to losing to Duke in their last game, quickly making up for what was a disappointing non-conference season. At home, the Irish have shown that they can beat elite teams with victories over Kentucky and North Carolina, but when they aren’t playing in South Bend, things can get a little sketchy for the Irish.
The overall road/neutral floor record for Notre Dame isn’t awful at 5-6, but the wins have come over Chaminade, Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech, Howard, and Louisville, and none of those teams are going to even sniff the NCAA tournament. Losses to Saint Mary’s, Texas A&M, Illinois, Boston College, Indiana, and Virginia Tech tells me that when the competition goes up, the Irish go down. This is an underrated matchup, but at the end of the day, I just can’t see Notre Dame going into Coral Gables and walking out with a win.
Dayton Flyers at VCU Rams (-170)
The Dayton Flyers take their show on the road to VCU tonight, for a showdown with the Rams. VCU has always been known for their ferocious defense, and this squad might be the best they have ever had on the defensive side of the ball, as they are ranked 2nd in the nation in defensive efficiency, and they are top-10 in the country in 3-point field goal defense, turnover percentage, effective field goal percentage, and steals. The Rams can absolutely lock a team down.
They are going to need a big performance out of their defense again tonight if they want to beat a Dayton team that is playing their best basketball of the season right now, with wins in 6 of their last 7 games. The A-10 is strong this year, with 8 teams in the top-100, but none of those teams are locks to be playing in the NCAA tournament, making games between teams at the top of the standings like this one huge.
GAMEDAY. Another big one tonight at The Stu!
? Siegel Center
⏰ 9 p.m.
? https://t.co/aKUkoP4ZEE#ThisIsRamNation #LetsGoVCU pic.twitter.com/owaxtQwUU1
— VCU Basketball (@VCU_Hoops) February 2, 2022
These teams played earlier this season at Dayton, and the Rams held the Flyers to just 52 points and stole the game at the buzzer with a 1-point victory. I see a similar outcome tonight, as the Rams are just too strong on D to expect the Flyers to go into hostile territory and leave with the win. We have seen a lot of low scoring games from the Rams this year, and this feels like one of those first team to 60 points wins types of games. Give me the home team tonight. I’ll call it a 57-52 final score from the Siegel Center.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Clemson Tigers -160
- Miami Hurricanes -190
- VCU Rams -170
$100 Bet Pays $398
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Hartford Hawks at New Hampshire Wildcats Over 130
The Hartford Hawks square off against the New Hampshire Wildcats tonight in America East Conference action. On the surface, I can certainly understand why this is a low total. Neither of these teams are any good at scoring the basketball, and they both play at a slow pace. But where I see the value in the over, is the utter lack of defense we are going to see tonight between a couple of the worst defensive teams in the nation.
These teams are ranked 313th and 329th, respectively, in defensive efficiency, and even with as weak as the offenses are going to be in this game, a good high school team could drop 70+ points on these embarrassingly bad D’s. It will be a slow and plodding game but expect a lot of good looks and made shots, which should be plenty to send this game sailing to the over.
USC Upstate Spartans at Hampton Pirates Under 139.5
For our next play, we head to the SOCON for the game between Hampton and USC Upstate. This game is the exact opposite of our last play, as, in this game, we have what might be the single worst offensive team in the nation in Hampton. The Pirates are 353rd in the nation in terms of offensive efficiency, and many of their games play out in the ’50s.
I was shocked to see such a high total for this game before I realized that it is only this high because the public bet it up 4 points from where it opened at 135.5. I will make my standard fade the public play and take the under in what could end up being an ugly affair.
NJIT Highlanders at Vermont Catamounts Under 137
For a game to go over the posted total, both teams have to score points. And I am not so sure that the Highlanders are going to keep up with their end of that bargain tonight, as they are 343rd in scoring, and they love to play a slow pace. Looking back at their current 6 game losing streak, the Highlanders have scored 57 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 games.
Vermont is going to run this score up tonight. In their first meeting, they blew them out by 26 points, and I see the game playing out in a similar fashion. If NJIT can’t score more than 50, this game can’t go over, so I will jump on the under in what is sure to be a blowout for Vermont.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Hartford Hawks at New Hampshire Wildcats Over 130 -110
- USC Upstate Spartans at Hampton Pirates Under 139.5 -110
- NJIT Highlanders at Vermont Catamounts Under 137 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Saint Louis Billikens at George Mason Patriots (+100)
The Patriots of George Mason didn’t look a lot like an NCAA tournament team at the start of the season, as they did not play well in the non-conference and hit league play in the A-10, looking like a team that would finish in the bottom half of the standings. But that hasn’t happened, as the Patriots are 7-2 in their last 9 games, including winning 4 of 5 in conference play. At home this year, George Mason is an impressive 9-1, and home wins over Dayton and Saint Bonaventure has the Patriots feeling like they could go on a run in the A-10.
Back in EBA tonight! #RockWithUs
— George Mason Men's Basketball (@MasonMBB) February 2, 2022
The Pats will face one of their biggest tests of the season tonight, as they play host to a Saint Louis squad that is making a compelling case for an at-large bid. The record isn’t that great at first glance, but the schedule has been a tough one for the Billikens, and wins over Boise State, Richmond, and Iona are all good ones. This game is going to be a thriller that will almost certainly come down to the final few possessions to be decided. In a close game, I always want to be on the home team, and that is where I will take my stand in this one, with a play on the Patriots as home dogs.
Oklahoma State Cowboys (+115) at Kansas State Wildcats
This is just a gut check play. All of the data tells me that Kansas State is going to win this game, but deep down, I feel like the Wildcats are frauds and that they are going to blow it tonight at home. K-State played a very weak non-conference schedule, with 7 of their 8 non-conference wins coming against teams ranked outside of the top-100. As soon as the real competition kicked in, the winning mostly stopped for the Wildcats, as they are just 2-7 in their last 9 games. They did manage to pick up fluky wins over Texas and Texas Tech, but I just don’t trust this team.
Cowboys v. Wildcats ?
— OSU Cowboy Basketball (@OSUMBB) February 2, 2022
That being said, I am not a huge fan of the Cowboys either, as they have lost 5 of their last 7 games as well. But a closer look shows me that OK State has been competitive in nearly all of those games. The Cowboys lost in overtime to Iowa State, and the losses to Texas and Florida both came by single digits. The Cowboys are just a couple of bounces in their direction away from having a very different record. We will need those breaks to go our way to cash this ticket, but that is just what I see going down tonight in Manhattan. Give me Oklahoma State as they pick up a big road win over Kansas State.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- George Mason Patriots +100
- Oklahoma State Cowboys +115
$100 Bet Pays $500
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Butler Bulldogs at Xavier Musketeers (-11.5)
If you are a regular reader of my daily picks, you will know that I almost never take huge favorites, expecting them to cover large numbers. That is especially true when I am evaluating power conference games, as there is rarely a big gap in talent between teams playing in leagues like the Big East or Big 10. Every once in a while, I will lay a bunch of wood in a small or mid-major conference game, like when Gonzaga plays Pacific or San Diego, but as far as the big boys go, I generally just stay away or take the dogs.
— Xavier Basketball (@XavierMBB) February 2, 2022
But rules are made to be broken, and that is what I am going to do today because, to put it kindly, Butler stinks. At home, the Bulldogs are capable of playing decent, but on the road, they just aren’t able to hang with good teams. Butler lost to Houston by 18, Purdue by 29, Villanova by 40, and UCONN by 17. Even at home, they got blown out by Xavier by 15 points, and I am sure that it is going to be an even bigger margin of victory tonight now that they are playing at X. Take the favorite, lay the wood, and get paid.
Wisconsin Badgers (+7) at Illinois Fighting Illini
If I had to proclaim a single team as the most underrated right now, it would be the Wisconsin Badgers. The Badgers have a great resume with wins over elite teams like Houston and Purdue, and they have top-100 wins over Texas A&M, Saint Mary’s, Marquette, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Ohio State, Northwestern, and Minnesota. The Badgers have a top-10 SOS this year, making their 17-3 record look even better. Wisconsin will have their hands full tonight, again, as they head to Illinois to play the Illini.
Top-20 showdown atop the Big Ten pic.twitter.com/jOCVz3N6K1
— Wisconsin Basketball (@BadgerMBB) February 2, 2022
Illinois is very good, and they have what might be the nation’s best player in big man Kofi Cockburn. But the Illini haven’t always played very well against strong competition. They do have wins over Michigan State and Iowa, but losses to Arizona, Purdue, and Marquette have me doubting that the Illini are a truly elite team.
This line is draw-droppingly bad, as Wisconsin could go in and win this game outright. No disrespect at all to the Illini, but Wisconsin is a team I see heading to the Final Four, and they shouldn’t be getting this many points no matter who they are playing. Give me the Badgers and the points in a barnburner tonight from Champaign.
Villanova Wildcats at Marquette Golden Eagles (+4.5)
Our final play of the day comes to us from the Big East, where Marquette hosts Villanova. Shaka Smart has done a great job of getting things turned around quickly at Marquette, and the Golden Eagles have a beautiful collection of top-50 wins. I always grade teams on their upside, and when you see that Marquette has wins over Illinois, West Virginia, Providence, Seton Hall, Xavier, and this very same Villanova team, you know that they are ready for this big test tonight at home.
Time to defend home court ?
— Marquette Basketball (@MarquetteMBB) February 2, 2022
I actually really like Villanova too, and I think that they probably win this game outright tonight and avenge their early season loss to Marquette. But this is just too many points to spot a team that is playing as well as Marquette has been in the Big East. If I had to call this game exactly, I would have the Wildcats sneaking out of the Fiserv Forum with a 62-60 win, where the Golden Eagles lose the game, but still get us paid with the cover in a tightly contested affair.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Xavier Musketeers (-11.5) -110
- Wisconsin Badgers (+7) -110
- Marquette Golden Eagles (+4.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!