College Hoops Parlay Of The Day 2-3-22

The last couple of days have been a great example of the highs and lows of betting college hoops. Two days ago, we scooped the world with an 8-3 overall record and multiple parlay winners totaling nearly a thousand bucks in payouts. But then yesterday, it was like we couldn’t do anything right as we ran bad late in nearly every game we played. It wasn’t a complete bust of a day as we did find winners on Clemson (-160), Hartford/New Hampshire over 130, and Marquette (+4.5), but the way that we lost several of our plays was certainly frustrating.

Our underdog parlay went 0-2 yesterday, but it was oh so close to a scoop. George Mason lost at home in double overtime to Saint Louis in a game where they had several chances to win it late. In overtime games, the home team has a heavy advantage, but the ball didn’t bounce our way late, and we picked up the loss.

On our other underdog play, we were on Oklahoma State on the road against Kansas State, and things were looking great as the Cowboys led with under a minute left to play. But the Wildcats went on a 5-0 run in the game’s final minute, including a game winning 3-pointer at the buzzer, to hand us another hard-luck loss on a frustrating day.

When you bet as much college basketball as I do, you are going to have your ups and downs, and anyone out there that claims to never lose is just lying. You always want to be transparent with yourself on results, and as long as you are consistently doing your homework and making sure that you are on the value side of your plays, the variance is going to even itself out in the long run. Today, we will look to shake off yesterday’s run bad as we get right back to the grind, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Magic Parlay

Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.

Pepperdine Waves at Pacific Tigers (-165)

Our first play of the day comes to us from Stockton, California, where the Pacific Tigers host the Pepperdine Waves in WCC action. The WCC is better this year than any other year in recent memory, and while the mid-major league is having a come up this year, Pacific and Pepperdine aren’t part of that success story. These teams are a combined 1-13 in league play as both squads have really struggled to stay competitive.

One thing we see a lot of in sports betting is false equivalency. It is easy to look at this game and see two bad teams and chalk this up as an evenly matched game between a couple of teams that stink. Do not fall into that trap! There is bad, and then there is what Pepperdine has been this year. The Waves are 0-8 in the WCC, and on the year, none of their wins have come over teams ranked inside of the top-200 nationally, and 6 of those wins have come against teams ranked outside of the top-300! It is a moral victory if the Waves can just manage to not get blown out in a game.

And while wins haven’t been a major part of the equation for Pacific, they have been decent at home, with a 5-4 record that includes big wins over UC Santa Barbara and BYU. This is sure to be an ugly game, and even if you can find it somewhere on TV, I wouldn’t suggest wasting your time and watching it play out. But even with as bad as both of these teams are, there is value to be found on the Tigers.

Still hesitant about this play? Let me put it to you this way. You get to fade Pepperdine and their 0-11 record away from home, and you only have to lay -165 to do it! That is a high value play no matter who is on the other side. Give me Pacific as they win this one going away against a Pepperdine team that isn’t even trying to win games right now.

USC Trojans (-260) at Arizona State Sun Devils

Are the USC Trojans as good as they looked when they started the season out 13-0 and rose to as high as the top-5 nationally? I highly doubt it. But that doesn’t mean this isn’t a very talented team that has a real shot at the PAC-12 regular season title. I don’t see USC as being on the same level as Arizona or UCLA, but most teams aren’t on that level, so I won’t hold it against them too much. Against any team not named Stanford, the Trojans have been very good, and even on the road, they have shown the ability to play quality basketball and win games.

USC is 8-1 in road or neutral floor games, and I expect them to stay hot away from home tonight against a down Arizona State team. When superstar Remy Martin decided to hit the transfer portal and move to Kansas in the offseason, we knew he would be hard to replace in Tempe, but I am not sure that anybody expected the Sun Devils to completely bottom out like they have recently.

Arizona State has played a nasty schedule, and their record reflects that, as they are just 6-12 this year and 2-6 in the PAC-12. ASU is mired in a savage stretch of scheduling where they are coming off of back-to-back-to-back road games. The Sun Devils lost each of those games, and they head home today for game 1 of a 3-game homestand, but when you see who is coming to town, it is hard to expect anything besides more heartbreak. ASU plays USC tonight, followed by home games against UCLA and Arizona.

I don’t see ASU winning any of those games, and that starts tonight with a loss to the Trojans. I am never a huge fan of taking road teams in league play, but ASU has to feel like they are being punished right now. They say that you should never kick a team when they are down, and while I would agree with that in theory, if I think I can make money taking advantage of a team that is in the tank, I am going to do it each and every time! Give me USC on the road tonight in Tempe.

St. John’s Red Storm (-200) at Georgetown Hoyas

Patrick Ewing shocked the nation last year when he took his Hoyas on a wild run to the Big East tournament title despite having a losing record for the year. Ewing hasn’t had a lot of success in his return to his alma mater, but some people felt that the late season run would provide a spark and get this program moving in the right direction. But that just hasn’t been the case as Georgetown is in free fall, with an 0-8 record in Big East play entering play tonight.

If the Hoyas are ever going to win a game in league play, this seems like their best shot, as St. John’s hasn’t been very good this year either. The Red Storm seem to always start out hot before fading in conference play, and this year has followed a similar path, as, after a 9-3 start to their season, they have dropped 6 of their last 8. Losses are losses, and there are no moral victories in the Big East, but St. John’s has had some close calls.

The Red Storm lost to Providence by just 4 points in their last game, and they have single-digit losses to Seton Hall, Indiana, and Pittsburgh, and an overtime loss to UCONN. The Johnnies aren’t beating many teams, but they are staying competitive, which is more than we can say about Georgetown right now. When these teams played at St. John’s, the game wasn’t close, as the Johnnies blew them out by 19-points.

With this game being played at Georgetown, you can expect a closer game, but the outcome won’t change as St. John’s is going to find a way to win this one and cash our ticket. This play is much more a fade of Georgetown than it is a backing of St. John’s, but either way, give me the Red Storm.

Money Line Magic Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Pacific Tigers -165
  • USC Trojans -260
  • St. John’s Red Storm -200

$100 Bet Pays $334

Game Total Parlay

Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.

Drexel Dragons at Delaware Blue Hens Over 141

Delaware welcomes Drexel to town tonight for a CAA game between a couple of teams desperate for a win. Are the Blue Hens an elite team? Absolutely not. But they are probably much better than you might think, particularly when it comes to scoring the basketball. The Hens are 65th in the nation in offensive efficiency, and they are top-50 in effective field goal percentage, 2-point percentage, and free throw shooting.

The last time these teams matched up, Delaware dropped 81 points, and the game was high scoring, and I can only expect a similar performance now that the series has shifted to Delaware. Delaware regularly eclipses the 80-point mark, and as long as the Dragons do their part and keep this game somewhat close, we won’t even have to sweat this total at all. I am taking the over.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Charlotte 49ers Over 139.5

The public loves to think that they are smarter than the analytics. But, spoiler alert, they aren’t. This line opened at 144 points, and the public has been all over the under, driving the line down several points. If you look at the data, Kenpom has this one finishing at 147 points, and that is an enormous gap that opens up a ton of value on a fade the public play on the over.

So, where did the public miss on this one? Tempo. The Hilltoppers play one of the fastest paces in the nation, on both sides of the floor, and all of that running and gunning creates a lot of extra possessions for both teams. Throw in the fact that this is going to be a close game that could end with a bunch of fouling and free throws, which can add 10+ points to the final score in less than a minute of actual game time, and a play on the over feels like a layup.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at FIU Panthers Under 136.5

Our final totals play comes on another line move play, as this number opened up at 130 points and immediately shot up to where it stands now at 136.5. Usually, I can at least understand the reasoning behind how the public was fooled into taking a bad number. But in this one, I just don’t get it at all, as Southern Miss might have the worst offense in the nation, currently ranked 335th in offensive efficiency per Kenpom. If you pull out the Golden Eagles game against D2 Southeastern Baptist, Southern Miss is averaging 58 points per game in their last 6 games.

If the Golden Eagles can’t find a way to be much better tonight, this game has no realistic shot of hitting the over. The Panthers are going to win this game, and in what could end up being a blowout, they aren’t going to need to score many points to seal the deal. I’ll call this one at a 62-52 final score with the Panthers winning and the game staying well under the total.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Drexel Dragons at Delaware Blue Hens Over 141 -110
  • Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Charlotte 49ers Over 139.5 -110
  • Southern Miss Golden Eagles at FIU Panthers Under 136.5 -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

The Daily Dog

The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!

Boise State Broncos (+105) at Wyoming Cowboys

On a day where there are some really fun matchups on the board, there might not be a game that means more to both team’s NCAA tournament hopes than this one between Wyoming and Boise State. The Mountain West Conference is very good this year, as the league has 6 teams that have legit chances of picking up at-large bids into the NCAA tournament. Whichever team wins this game is going to have a big feather in their cap on Selection Sunday, and that makes this game must-see TV.

After starting out their season a disappointing 3-4, the Broncos of Boise State have caught fire, as they have won a whopping 14 straight games! And this hasn’t been a decent team beating up on bad teams, as the Broncos have wins over quality teams like Ole Miss, Santa Clara, Washington State, Fresno State (twice), Utah State, San Diego State, and this very same Wyoming team. Boise State is lurking just outside of the top-25 nationally right now, falling into the also receiving votes category, and a 2-0 week this week would almost for sure be enough to get the Broncos some well-deserved national attention.

Wyoming has been very strong this season as well, with a 17-3 overall record, and they are a perfect 9-0 at home. That being said, the Cowboys have yet to face a team as good as Boise State is playing right now, with the exception of a neutral floor game against Arizona, where Wyoming got blown out by 29 points. Is Boise State as good as Arizona? No. But they are very good, and I feel that they are being criminally underrated this year. This is going to be an all-out war, but my money is on Boise State.

Oregon Ducks at Colorado Buffaloes (+125)

Will the real Oregon Ducks team please stand up? Oregon came into the season feeling like they had a shot at winning the PAC-12, but after a 6-6 start to the season, they went from Final Four hopeful to bubble team in a hurry. The Ducks have figured things out recently, though, and they are starting to look a lot more like the team we all thought they would be back in November.

Oregon has won 7 of their last 8 games, and the wins over UCLA and USC showed me that they are indeed going to be a team that is tough to beat if they find their way into the NCAA tournament in March. But that one loss? It came at home to Colorado, and I am shocked that the Ducks are now favored in the rematch with this game being played in Boulder.

Colorado has been slumping as of late, as the win over Oregon is their only win in their last 5 games, but their last 2 losses have come on the road, and losses to Arizona, UCLA, and USC are certainly understandable. The Buffs are 9-3 at home, and all 3 of those losses have come to ranked teams.

If you are going to go into Boulder and leave with a win, you have to be a very good team. And while I do see the Ducks as a good team, I don’t think they are a very good team, and I like Colorado to win tonight as home dogs. Home underdogs in conference play are my favorite plays, and this just feels like a bad matchup for the Ducks as their strong offense is being canceled out by the Buffaloes strong D. I will take Colorado as they protect their home floor against a good, but not great, Oregon Ducks team.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Boise State Broncos +105
  • Colorado Buffaloes +125

$100 Bet Pays $462

Point Spread Plays

In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.

UCLA Bruins (+7) at Arizona Wildcats

The headlining game of the day comes to us from Tucson, in a PAC-12 clash between Arizona and UCLA. Both of these teams have spent time ranked in the top-5 nationally, and both of these teams feel like they can win a national title this year. There won’t be a game in the PAC-12 this year that features more NBA-level talent than this one, and if you haven’t gotten a chance to see these teams play a game yet this year, I suggest you tune in tonight.

UCLA is a really good basketball team. They went to the Final Four last year, and they brought back their entire roster this year. Their only losses came to Gonzaga and Oregon in overtime. They have wins over Villanova and Marquette, and they hammered Arizona in Pauly Pavilion 2 weeks ago, beating the Wildcats by 16 points. I understand that this game is going to be at Arizona, so we are going to see a much more competitive game than the last times these teams played in Westwood, but man, this line seems mighty inflated if you ask me.

Arizona might have a similar talent level as UCLA, but the Wildcats don’t have as strong of an overall team, as this team is still trying to gel under first-year head coach Tommy Lloyd. It wouldn’t shock me at all if, by the end of the year, Arizona is playing in the Final Four, but in order to get there, this team still has work to do.

If I had to take a stand on a side, I would lean ever so slightly towards the Wildcats, as they are undefeated at home. But 7 points is just far too many in a game that is nearly certain to be decided in the game’s final few possessions. Give me the points as the Bruins are far too talented not to want 3-possesions worth of points, no matter who they are playing against.

San Francisco Dons at BYU Cougars (-1.5)

We talked about how the winner of Wyoming and Boise State was going to be in a much better position to snag an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament, and this game tonight in Provo is very similar, as both of these teams are in need of a signature victory. BYU was ranked earlier this year when they were 14-3 with wins over Saint Mary’s, San Diego State, Oregon, Missouri State, and Utah State. The Cougars even went into San Francisco and beat the Dons on their own floor. But something has gone wrong for the Cougars in the last week, as they have dropped each of their last 2 games, with terrible losses to Santa Clara and Pacific.

Those losses certainly give me pause, but they were both on the road in conference games, and we have talked at length about how hard it is to win on another team’s floor in league play. I won’t give BYU a pass for the bad losses, but I also won’t ignore the fact that they are 10-0 at home.

My gut tells me that while the WCC is very good this year, the league just isn’t going to get 4 bids into the NCAA tournament. I see the WCC as a 3-bid league, meaning that out of Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s, BYU, and San Francisco, somebody isn’t going to get their dancing shoes on Selection Sunday. It is razor-thin, but I think the Dons are the odd man out in the WCC. They have already played the Zags, Gaels, and Cougars, and they have an 0-3 record to show for it.

If San Fran wants to go dancing, those are teams that they are going to have to beat, and I don’t think that they are quite there yet. The first game between these teams was fantastic and came down to the wire, and I see a similar game being played out tonight. The Cougars will win this game and sneak in a late cover to get us paid in what should be a highly entertaining game.

Washington State Cougars at Stanford Cardinal (+3.5)

Home dog in league play? Yeah, I’ll bite. The analytics love the Cougars and hate the Cardinal, but the eye test says that Stanford is the better team in this matchup. WAZZU is 12-7 on the year, but the data has them ranked as a bubble tea, sitting at 35th on Kenpom. I love me some Kenpom, but where I think that Pomeroy’s algorithm comes up short is that they value close losses a little bit too much. Of Washington State’s 7 losses, 6 of them came to top-100 teams, and all of them came by 5 points or fewer.

Those near-misses have overrated the Cougars in my eyes, and I think that they are in for a long night tonight against Stanford. The Cardinal are ranked 88th on Kenpom, but what I see is a team that scheduled tough and lost some games against good teams, and a team that does a great job of protecting their home floor. Stanford is 9-1 at home, with the lone loss coming to Arizona.

I almost can’t believe I can get a team that has been so great at home getting more than a full possession’s worth of points. I see a play on Stanford on the money line as home dogs as a high value play as well, but the ability to snatch up this many points is too good to pass up on. Give me the Cardinal as they likely win, and surely cover, tonight at home against an overrated Washington State team.

Point Spread Plays Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • UCLA Bruins (+7) -110
  • BYU Cougars (-1.5) -110
  • Stanford Cardinal (+3.5) -110

$100 Bet Pays $700

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!

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Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL

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