We got right back on track yesterday, delivering yet another parlay of the day winner! This time the win came on our all-money line parlay, connecting on a 3-teamer that paid out a juicy $334! The bet came in with winners on St. John’s (-200), USC (-260), and Pacific (-165). The win was a nice one, but they certainly did make us sweat!
St. John’s took an early lead and coasted to a no sweat victory, but the other two legs of this bet were a lot tougher to cash. USC found themselves down with just a minute left to play, but the Trojans rallied and closed out the game on a 9-2 run to seal the deal and pick up the hard-fought road victory. And for Pacific, the Tigers overcame an awful first half, that saw them trailing by 15 at the break, with a huge second half, eventually winning the game 81-76.
— Pacific Men's Basketball (@PacificMensBB) February 4, 2022
It is never easy, but at the end of the day, we were on the right side of these plays and got rewarded with a winning ticket. Today we will jump right back into the mix on what is a bit of a slow day on the college hoops hardwood, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Richmond Spiders (-170)
How many bids will the A-10 get this year into the NCAA tournament? You could make a case for a few as 1, or as many as 3 or 4, in what I see as a very deep league. The A-10 doesn’t have the top line talent of some of the other mid-major conferences like the WCC or the AAC, but the league does have 9 teams ranked in the top-150, which makes this a very competitive conference night in and night out. A couple of those top-150 teams that are looking to play themselves onto the right side of the bubble square off tonight in Richmond, as the Spiders play host to the Bonnies of St. Bonaventure.
Richmond had a slow start to their season as they were just 3-4 in November, but since then, the Spiders have started to claw their way back into contention with wins in 11 of their last 15 games. For the Spiders to make a legit case to get an at-large bid, they are going to need to find a way to add more top-100 wins to their resume. The Spiders already have top-100 wins over Northern Iowa and Toledo, and a win tonight over the Bonnies would add another quality win to their resume.
— Richmond Basketball (@SpiderMBB) February 4, 2022
St. Bonaventure has had the exact opposite season, as they came out of the gates red hot with an 8-1 record that included signature wins over Boise State, Clemson, and Marquette in the non-conference, but the Bonnies seem to be running out of steam lately. St. Bonaventure is just 2-3 in their last 5 games, and they have to find a way to win tonight in hostile territory if they want to get things headed back in the right direction.
This is going to be a fantastic game. These teams are very evenly matched, and I would expect this game to come down to the final few possessions to be decided. While I think that the Bonnies have the better resume overall, they just haven’t played well lately, and that is going to hurt them tonight against a Richmond team that is seemingly getting better each time out. When all other things are equal, you always want to be on the home team, and that is where I will take my stand in this one with a play on Richmond.
Oakland Grizzlies (-160) at Northern Kentucky Norse
The Horizon League is never very good, but the Oakland Grizzlies are a solid basketball team. Oakland should end up as the champions of the Horizon League this year as their only real competition is Wright State, and I see the Grizzlies as a much more talented team when compared to the Raiders. Winning on the road in conference play is the hardest thing for any college basketball team to do, but Oakland should have little trouble winning tonight against a Northern Kentucky team that just hasn’t played many quality teams this year.
Northern Kentucky has an SOS of 345th! That means only a dozen or so teams in the entire country have played a softer schedule than the Norse, which makes their 11-9 record look even worse. The Norse have won 5 straight games, so they are playing a bit better as of late, but on the year, they have only played 2 games against teams inside of the top-150 nationally, and they promptly lost both games.
— Oakland Basketball (@OaklandMBB) February 4, 2022
Oakland is battle tested as they played in Morgantown against West Virginia, in Tuscaloosa against Alabama, and in Detroit against Michigan State. They didn’t win any of those games, but it showed me that they aren’t at all going to be intimated tonight in Highland Heights. We may have to sweat this one out, but Oakland is going to win this game.
Nevada Wolfpack at Fresno State Bulldogs (-410)
Things are about to get really tough for Fresno State, as their schedule is a brutal one down the stretch. The Bulldogs have themselves positioned within striking distance of the bubble, currently ranked 47th on Kenpom, but we are going to see just what this team is made of in the next month as they have games coming up against Wyoming (twice), Colorado State, and San Diego State (twice). That makes this game against the Wolfpack a must-win, as wins are going to be tough to come by for the Bulldogs.
Nevada isn’t a terrible team, but they don’t win on the road. Ever. The Wolfpack have played a total of 6 road games, and they are just 1-5, with their sole win coming over a bad Air Force team last month. While this line is certainly a steep one, and I normally don’t like to lay this much wood in a conference game, sometimes you just have to pick the low-hanging fruit and get paid.
Did someone say…GAME DAY⁉️
— Fresno State Men’s Basketball (@FresnoStateMBB) February 4, 2022
Nevada knocked off Fresno State at home late last month, and now that the Bulldogs get the rematch on their own floor, I see them getting their revenge and winning this game going away. It could end up being somewhat close, but I doubt it; as Nevada’s last 2 road games, coming at Colorado State and UNLV, teams that rate out as being not as good as Fresno State, both ended in double-digit losses for the Wolfpack. I will snatch up some free money in this one and back the Bulldogs.
Princeton Tigers at Cornell Big Red (+125)
Normally I dedicate a section of my parlay of the day picks to underdogs, but with the light schedule today, there weren’t enough dogs on the board that I felt showed value, so instead of having my daily dog parlay, I added this play to my money line parlay. Home underdogs in league play are always going to be my favorite plays, and, in this game, I get to back a Cornell team that opened as favorites, as underdogs.
It is almost like there are 2 different teams playing at Cornell this year. The team they are when they play at home, and the team they are when they play anywhere else. Big Red is a perfect 7-0 at home this season with a strong win over Colgate in the non-conference and conference wins over Dartmouth and Harvard. The road struggles have been concerning, but even with how bad they have been away from home, they went into Princeton and nearly knocked the Tigers off, losing by just a bucket, 72-70.
The Tigers take on the Big Red, live on ESPN+!
— Princeton Men’s Basketball (@PrincetonMBB) February 4, 2022
Princeton saw their 10-game winning streak snapped in their last game as they lost to Yale at home. That loss was tough to see coming as the Tigers had been great at home all year long. One place the Tigers haven’t been great, though, is on the road, as they have road losses to Minnesota, Monmouth, and Hofstra.
Kenpom has Cornell winning this game by a point, which explained the opening line, but the public hasn’t seen it that way, moving the line sharply towards the Tigers. I love to fade the public, and I love taking home dogs in league play, so a bet on Big Red is surely a play that I will love too! Go Big Red!
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Richmond Spiders -170
- Oakland Grizzlies -160
- Fresno State Bulldogs -410
- Cornell Big Red +125
$100 Bet Pays $723
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Dartmouth Big Green at Yale Bulldogs Under 137.5
We will stay right here in the Ivy League for our next play on the game between Yale and Dartmouth. Yale is playing well right now, with wins in 4 of their last 5 games, including the big win over Princeton in their last game. The Bulldogs are getting the job done by running up the score, surpassing the 80-point mark in 3 of their last 4 wins. But something tells me that all of that scoring is going to come to a screeching halt today, as Monmouth plays a painfully slow pace on both sides of the floor.
Big Green plays the 334th slowest pace in the country, and coupled with their inefficient offense, they can go long stretches without many points hitting the scoreboard. For a game to go over a total this high, both teams need to score the basketball, and with Dartmouth content with walking the ball up the floor and running clock on every possession, I just don’t see how this game goes over the total.
Western Carolina Catamounts at VMI Keydets Over 152.5
This is one of the highest totals on the board today, and for good reason, as this game features 2 of the worst defensive teams in the country. VMI is 314th in the land in defensive efficiency, and the Catamounts are even worse at 327th. We are going to see a lot of open looks tonight in this one, as neither of these teams play any D.
Throw in the fact that VMI is actually very good when it comes to scoring the basketball, ranked 42nd, and I could see this game sailing to the over with ease. The Keydets have scored 80 points or more 10 times already this season, and if they can stay hot tonight, we are going to win this bet. I’ll take the over in what is sure to be an exciting game with lots of scoring.
Rider Broncs at Sienna Saints Under 135.5
This final totals play is just a line move play, as the public did what they always tend to do and screwed this line up. This number opened at 131 points, which is right where Kenpom had it finishing. But since then, the public has been hammering on the over, driving the line up 4.5 points. I have no clue what the public sees in the over in this game as both of these teams are ranked outside of the top-300 nationally when it comes to scoring the basketball.
You could even make a case that Rider is the worst scoring team in the country, as they are 346th in effective field goal percentage at a dreadfully bad 43.5%. There is far too much bad offense being played in this game not to love the under on what is now an inflated line. Fade. The. Public. Take the under.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Dartmouth Big Green at Yale Bulldogs Under 137.5 -110
- Western Carolina Catamounts at VMI Keydets Over 152.5 -110
- Rider Broncs at Sienna Saints Under 135.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
San Diego State Aztecs (+3.5) at Colorado State Rams
This is a sneaky good matchup tonight from Colorado State between the Rams and the Aztecs of San Diego State. Both of these teams find themselves squarely on the bubble right now, and while it is still too early to call a game a must-win, whichever team wins this game is going to have a nice feather in their cap on Selection Sunday.
Colorado State has had a strange season, as they won their first 11 games of the season, and they were one of the final undefeated teams in the nation. But then the Rams got shut down for nearly a month due to a COVID-19 outbreak inside of the program. They returned and were smashed by San Diego State, losing by 30 points. But after that game, where they were clearly rusty due to the long layoff, they reeled off 5 straight wins and were again starting to get some national recognition. But that hype train was derailed last week when Colorado State lost to UNLV and Wyoming.
— San Diego State Men's Basketball (@Aztec_MBB) February 4, 2022
If the Rams don’t bring their best game tonight, they could get blown out again by a very talented Aztecs squad that would love to kick the Rams when they are down for a second time this season. San Diego State has looked elite at times this year, like when they beat Saint Mary’s by double digits and when they blew out the Rams by 30. But other times, they just haven’t played well, like when they managed just 37 points in the loss to Boise State.
Has San Diego State caught Colorado State at just the right time again? I think so. While I will stop just short of calling the outright upset, I am shocked that I can get more than a full possession’s worth of points in a rematch of a game that wasn’t remotely competitive the first time that they played. Give me the Aztecs and the points as they try and hand the Rams their 3rd consecutive loss.
Creighton Blue Jays (+6.5) at Seton Hall Pirates
Are the Crieghton Blue Jays an NCAA tournament-level team? I would say yes, as I tend to rate teams more by their ceiling than by their floor, and with wins over Villanova, BYU, Marquette, and UCONN, the Blue Jays have shown that they can beat elite teams. Sure, I would love to see some more consistency out of them, and the losses to Butler and Arizona State are ones that they wish they could have back, but this is a team that can play with some of the best teams in the country, and I feel that should be enough to get them their dancing shoes.
The Blue Jays will face another major test tonight, with a road game at Seton Hall, against a Pirates team that is seeing their once-promising season start to fall apart. Similar to Creighton, the Pirates have a nice resume dotted with quality wins. The victories over Texas and UCONN are holding up as good ones but wins over Michigan, Rutgers, and Butler looked better at the time than they do now. A win over Creighton wouldn’t be enough to put the Pirates back onto the right side of the cutline, but it sure would help.
— Creighton Men’s Basketball (@BluejayMBB) February 4, 2022
Interestingly enough, Seton Hall only has 1 home win so far in 2022. The Pirates have played 4 games at the Prudential Center since the New Year, and they are 1-3 with a win over UCONN in overtime and losses to Villanova, St. John’s, and Marquette. I do think that Seton Hall is going to win this game, but +6.5 points is too many to give a team that could absolutely win this game outright. I will take the Blue Jays and the points and expect a hard-fought game that isn’t decided until the final seconds.
Toledo Rockets (-7.5) at Ball State Cardinals
Our final play of the day comes to us from Muncie, Indiana, where the Ball State Cardinals play the Toledo Rockets. I am going to just get this out of the way right up front, I really like Toledo, and I see the Rockets as a team that could win a game in the NCAA tournament. Last year Toledo won the regular season MAC title before running into the buzz saw that was the Ohio Bobcats in the MAC tournament, costing them their spot in the NCAA tournament.
It's GAMEDAY!! #GoRockets ??
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— Toledo Men's Basketball (@toledo_mbb) February 4, 2022
This year, the Rockets are again ransacking the MAC, as they are 10-1 in league play, and they are quickly running away with the conference title. Toledo has never made the NCAA tournament under long-time head coach Tod Kowalczyk, and it is looking like they aren’t leaving anything to chance this season after last year’s disappointment. What has impressed me the most about Toledo is their ability to win on the road, as they have road wins at Valpo, Central Michigan, Miami (OH), Bowling Green, Ohio, and Eastern Michigan.
You may as well pencil in the Rockets for the win in this game right now. The real question is, will they cover the spread or not? Luckily for us, the public seems to think that they won’t, as they have been betting on Ball State, driving this line down from where it opened at -9 to where it stands now at -7.5. That’s not a huge discount, but when it comes to laying wood on the road, every point counts. Give me the Toledo Rockets to win and sneak in the cover tonight against an outmatched Ball State team.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- San Diego State Aztecs (+3.5) -110
- Creighton Blue Jays (+6.5) -110
- Toledo Rockets (-7.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have three different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!