Yesterday there weren’t a ton of games on the schedule, but if you didn’t tune in, you missed out on some unbelievable action! A couple of top-10 teams lost yesterday when Duke lost to Virginia at home on a last-second buzzer-beater, and Kansas lost on the road at Texas, blowing a 4-point lead with less than a minute left in the game. Any time that a team in the top-10 losses, it makes headlines, but when we see multiple top teams lose on a random Monday night, it can change the entire landscape of the week ahead.
REECE BEEKMAN GAME-WINNING THREE WITH 0.7 LEFT ?
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) February 8, 2022
There are tons of ranked teams in action today, and after watching last night’s carnage, they are all going to be on upset alert tonight! We have ranked matchups between Illinois and Purdue, Marquette and UCONN, and Wisconsin and Michigan State on what is a schedule loaded with great games. Under the radar contests that you need to keep your eye on include Auburn at Arkansas, St Mary’s at Santa Clara, and Ohio at Toledo.
With so many games on the schedule, we have found value up and down the board! With that, let’s jump right into today’s bets, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Ohio Bobcats at Toledo Rockets (-140)
Casual college basketball fans likely won’t appreciate just how great of a game this is tonight between Ohio and Toledo, so let me set the scene for you. Ohio is 19-3 on the year, and they enter play tonight, having won 14 of their last 15 games. The Rockets are 18-5 and just saw their 9-game conference winning streak snapped in their last game. These teams are the class of the MAC, with just a half of a game separating them for 1st place in the league standings, making this game a huge one.
When you are winning games at the rate that Ohio is right now, you have to be at least a very good basketball team, if not a great one. But the one major knock on the Bobcats has been their weak strength of schedule. Teams playing in mid-major leagues like the MAC are never going to have the SOS of teams playing in the SEC, Big 12, or Big 10, but even for the MAC, the Bobcats schedule has been a joke. Ohio has played 4 teams ranked inside of the top-100 his year, and they are 1-3 in those games, with the lone win coming all of the way back on opening night against Belmont.
???? ?????? & ???? ????? ??? ??? ???-????? ??????!!#GoRockets ??
— Toledo Men's Basketball (@toledo_mbb) February 8, 2022
One of those top-100 losses for Ohio came at home against this very same Toledo team, and it is going to be a big ask for the Bobcats to avenge that loss on the road tonight. The Rockets have been unbeatable at home, literally, as they are 9-0 at Savage Arena. Had Toledo not played poorly in their last game, a loss on the road against Ball State, I would think that this line would be closer to -200.
This line opened up at Toledo -170, but the public has been on the Bobcats, driving the number down to a very reasonable -140. I will take advantage of that discount and back the home team. The Rockets know that they need this one, and I think that they get the job done and win the game. Give me Toledo as small home favorites tonight in what is sure to be an entertaining affair that has all kinds of NCAA tournament implications.
Rhode Island Rams at VCU Rams (-200)
The VCU Rams are riding the cut line right now for the NCAA tournament, and they need to find a way to win tonight at home against a talented, but struggling, Rhode Island. VCU has top-100 wins over Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Dayton, Davidson, and Richmond, which has kept their name in the at-large bid conversation. But losses to Wagner, St. Bonaventure, and Chattanooga have many wondering if the Rams should get their dancing shoes or not.
Personally, I like VCU, particularly their defense, which is ranked 4th in the nation in terms of efficiency, but that being said, this is a must-win for the Rams. No disrespect to Rhode Island, they are a solid team, but they have run out of gas here in the 2nd half of the season, with a 5-game losing streak after a hot start to the year. This is a strength-on-strength matchup as neither team scores the ball well, and both teams play lockdown D.
GAMEDAY! Tuesday night showdown at The Stu!
? Rhode Island
? Siegel Center
⏰ 7 p.m.
? https://t.co/QKSSaYGOM1#ThisIsRamNation #LetsGoVCU pic.twitter.com/Tzq70pwZNF
— VCU Basketball (@VCU_Hoops) February 8, 2022
This is going to be a lower scoring game where good looks are going to be hard to find for both teams. The fact that points are going to be so hard to come by will scare me away from laying the points on VCU. Instead, I will take the Rams on the money line as I wouldn’t want to be laying as many as -6 points in a game that will likely be played out in the 50’s. Give me the Rams as they pull away late for a win that they must have.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at TCU Horned Frogs (-150)
The Big 12 is stacked this year, and we saw last night with Texas beating Kansas that the league title is up for grabs. Neither of these teams are going to contend for the regular season Big 12 title, but both teams have their sites set on going dancing in March, and whichever team wins this game is going to have a nice win to add to their resume.
TCU got ignored early in the season, as they played a weak non-conference schedule, and then COVID-19 shut the program down for a couple of weeks at the end of the year. The Horned Frogs were 10-1 but getting zero attention. Well, people are taking notice now, as TCU has more than held their own in the Big 12, with wins over K State, Oklahoma (twice), and Iowa State. The Frogs also picked up a nice mid-season non-conference win over LSU in the Big 12/SEC challenge. None of TCU’s 5 losses are bad ones, and I see the Frogs as firmly an NCAA team, despite that being a controversial opinion at this time.
— TCU Basketball (@TCUBasketball) February 8, 2022
Oklahoma State is on the outside looking in right now for the Big Dance, as despite some signature wins, the losses are really starting to stack up for OSU. 3 weeks ago, I would have told you that the Cowboys were well worthy of an NCAA tournament at-large bid as they were coming off of wins over Baylor, Texas, and TCU, but they followed that up with a 4-game losing streak, which has really hurt their chances at hearing their names called on Selection Sunday.
I think TCU is amongst the most underrated teams in the nation. They nearly beat OK-State in Stillwater, losing by just a single point, and now that the series has shifted to Fort Worth, I see the Frogs winning this game. The Cowboys are 1-5 on the road in Big 12 play, and I just don’t think that they are going to have enough to win this game tonight in hostile territory. Give me TCU in a tight one.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Toledo Rockets -140
- VCU Rams -200
- TCU Horned Frogs -150
$100 Bet Pays $429
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks Under 145.5
It is full speed ahead on the hype train for the Kentucky Wildcats as they have quickly gone from a promising young team to a legit national title favorite. Coach Cal’s team is winning regularly despite playing a vicious schedule, and they are doing it by scoring the ball as well as any team in the nation. As great as the Wildcats have looked on offense, the fact that they are also elite of defense tends to get overshadowed.
The public hasn’t gotten the memo about the elite Kentucky D, as they have been hammering the over in this game. The line opened up at 141 points and has been on the move ever since. I mean, I get it, Kentucky can score the ball, but after watching them hold the very offensively skilled Alabama Crimson Tide to just 55 points in their last game, you have to wonder if the Cocks will be able to score enough to send this game to the over. Throw in the fact that South Carolina has a sneaky efficient defense as well, and a play on the under shows outrageous value.
Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals Over 145
The Cardinals of Ball State welcome the Chippewas of Central Michigan to town tonight for a MAC conference game between a couple of disappointing teams. This game holds the unique distinction of having 2 of the worst defensive teams in the entire nation, as Ball State is ranked 311th in defensive efficiency and the Chips are even worse, ranked 330th.
LET'S GO MUNCIE‼️IT'S GAME DAY‼️
BSU faces off with CMU tonight inside Worthen Arena sponsored by @IUHealthECR.
— Ball State Men's Basketball (@BallStateMBB) February 8, 2022
I guess the public doesn’t believe in bad D leading to high scoring games, as they have bet this number down from the opening line of 148 to where it stands now at 145. Kenpom has this one finishing at 151 points, suggesting that the opening line was already a bit low, and I love that I get to side with the analytics and not the betting public. Give me the over in a game where both teams are going to get a lot of good looks in one of the weakest defensive matchups of the season.
Western Michigan Broncos at Miami (Ohio) RedHawks Over 139.5
Our final totals play is another public line move fade. This line opened up at 143.5 points, which was on the low side, as Kenpom has the game coming in at 146 points. But the public did what they always seem to do, and they jumped on the wrong side of this game, opening up all kinds of value on the over.
We talked about how bad the D will be in the game between Central Michigan and Ball State, and shockingly, this will be an even uglier matchup on D. You could make a case that Western Michigan is the single worst defensive team in all of college basketball, as they are ranked 354th in defensive efficiency. Miami isn’t much better at 319th, and that tells me that the over is the side to be on in this game.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks Under 145.5 -110
- Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals Over 145 -110
- Western Michigan Broncos at Miami (Ohio) RedHawks Over 139.5 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Auburn Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks (+115)
You want a controversial pick? How about this? I am betting against the number 1 team in the nation tonight! The Auburn Tigers are deservingly the nation’s top team, but they are running on fumes right now, despite riding a 19-game winning streak. Particularly on the road, Bruce Pearl’s boys have been playing with fire a lot recently. The Tigers barely snuck past a downright bad Georgia team in their last game, winning 74-72. In their last road game before that close call, the Tigers beat Missouri by just 1-point, and if Auburn continues to play with fire tonight in Fayetteville, they are going to get burned.
The Razorbacks have been a very streaky team this year as they came out of the gates red-hot, winning their first 9 games. The Hogs hit a road bump at the end of non-conference play and the start of league play, as they lost 5 of 6 games. But Eric Musselman has things moving in the right direction again now, as the Razorbacks have won 8 in a row.
Last time the number 1 team played in Bud…it was us.
— 6pm ESPN2 ? (@RazorbackMBB) February 8, 2022
This game has all of the makings of an upset as Arkansas is playing their best basketball of the year right now, and Auburn hasn’t played well on the road in the last several weeks. Arkansas is 13-1 at home this season, and they can absolutely win this game. You hate to ever be on the other side of the best team in the country, but when Arkansas wins tonight at home, and the mainstream media is shocked, just remember, you heard it here first.
LSU Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (+110)
Home dogs in league play are always going to be my favorite type of plays, and after taking a home dog in the game between Arkansas and Auburn, I will make another home dog play in an SEC league game by backing the Aggies of Texas A&M against LSU. I honestly don’t fully understand what has caused the Tiger’s downfall in the last month, but they are undeniably in the tank right now. LSU was 15-1 a month ago, with massive wins over teams like Kentucky and Tennessee. But the wheels have fallen off since, as LSU is just 1-6 in their last 7 games.
The losing streak started out innocently enough, as the Tigers lost to Arkansas, Alabama, and Tennessee, all very good teams that are sure to be playing meaningful games in March. But the recent losses to TCU, Ole Miss, and Vanderbilt has the Tigers sliding down the SEC standings in a hurry. The Tigers have a shot to snap out of that funk in this game against an Aggies team that has also hit a wall recently.
See you at Reed Arena ?
? LSU | 6 p.m. | SEC Network
?️ https://t.co/7UEuhFdUcD pic.twitter.com/YOeBSkoMmj
— Texas A&M Basketball (@aggiembk) February 8, 2022
Buzz Williams had the Aggies feeling like a dark horse 2nd weekend team with a 15-2 record earlier this year. But life in the SEC is tough, and that nasty schedule has led to the Aggies losing 6 straight games. A&M has now slid to the wrong side of the bubble, as their resume is painfully light on quality wins.
A win tonight over LSU would be impossible to overreact to for Texas A&M, as the Aggies have to have this one, and I think that they get it. Neither of these teams were as good as they looked earlier in the year, and neither of them are as bad as they look now. This is going to be a tightly contested game, and in a game that could go either way, I will take the home team and the juice.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Arkansas Razorbacks +115
- Texas A&M Aggies +110
$100 Bet Pays $452
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers (-1)
The North Carolina Tar Heels are officially in trouble. A lot was made of the Tar Heels beatdown loss to Coach K and the Duke Blue Devils earlier this week, and while that was certainly a shocking final score for most casual fans, a closer look at North Carolina’s record shows me that they don’t have a single quad 1 win. I know it is hard to see a program as storied as North Carolina as a team that is going to miss out on the NCAA tournament, but with the ACC down this year, I don’t currently have the Tar Heels in my field of 68.
Not only does North Carolina not have a win over a team that is currently ranked in the top-25, they don’t have a win over a team that has been ranked at any point this season. The Heels biggest win this year came at home over Virginia Tech, and the Hokies aren’t a team that many people see playing in the NCAA tournament right now either. So, while on the surface, this feels like a game where North Carolina should be favored, they aren’t, as they have shown zero ability to win games against quality teams, especially on the road.
#ClemsonGRIT ? North Carolina
— Clemson Basketball (@ClemsonMBB) February 8, 2022
The Clemson Tigers aren’t going to be dancing in March either, but they have done an admirable job of protecting their home court, with an 8-1 record at Littlejohn Coliseum. Of the Tar Heel’s 16 wins, 12 of them have come in Chapel Hill, and I just don’t think that they are going to be able to pick themselves up off of the mat after the beating at the hands of Duke in their last outing and win tonight against Clemson. The money line didn’t pay out a price worth taking it, so instead, I will just lay a point and take the Tigers.
Syracuse Orange at Boston College Eagles (+4.5)
Home dog in league play? I am not sure there is a team that I am more personally disappointed in this season than Syracuse. I never saw the Orange as a Final Four threat, but with a trio of elite shooters in the Boeheim brothers and Joe Girard, I felt that this was a team that could upset some teams in the NCAA tournament. And while that could still happen, as Syracuse can shoot the ball at a high level, the Orange have some work to do to even get into the Big Dance, let alone win a game or 2 when they get there.
— BC Men's Basketball (@BCMBB) February 8, 2022
The Orange are painfully bad on D, and if they don’t score 90+ points, they can’t win a game. Boston College is certainly not an elite team, but this number feels too high when you take into account just how awful Syracuse has been on the road.
In neutral floor and true road games, Syracuse is 3-8, and while they are very likely going to win this game, as the Eagles aren’t very good, -4.5 points is just too much to ask. The Eagles are 8-3 on their home floor this season, and I see them keeping this game close enough to cover what I see as an inflated line.
Utah State Aggies at Wyoming Cowboys (-1.5)
Our final play of the day comes to us from Wyoming, where the Utah State Aggies will try and hand the Cowboys a rare loss. The Cowboys are starting to hear their name come up a lot recently, as they have dominated play in the Mountain West Conference, and their 19-3 record is finally getting some well-deserved attention. Wyoming has been particularly tough to beat at home, where they are a perfect 10-0. In a little over a week’s time, Wyoming has picked up wins over Colorado State, Boise State, and Fresno State, all strong wins that have helped bolster the Cowboy’s resume.
It’s the Best day of the week.
It’s a ?? GAMEDAY! pic.twitter.com/uJIC5ktZpH
— Wyoming Cowboy Basketball (@wyo_mbb) February 8, 2022
The Cowboys also have a recent win over Utah State, beating the Aggies in Logan last month. That game was highly competitive and was decided by just a bucket, and I expect another thriller tonight in Laramie.
I am having a hard time understanding this line, as I see the Cowboys as the class of the MWC, whereas Utah State is talented but clearly not on the same level as Wyoming. We are going to sweat this one out for sure, but when all of the smoked clears tonight at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, the Cowboys are going to win the game and cover the number.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Clemson Tigers (-1) -110
- Boston College Eagles (+4.5) -110
- Wyoming Cowboys (-1.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!