It is never easy to predict that the number 1 team in the nation, who just happened to be riding a 19-game winning streak, will lose. But yesterday, when I backed Arkansas as home dogs against Auburn, all I asked in return for the high value play was to remember who told you first! The game was tightly contested as expected, but when all was said and done in Fayetteville, Razorback’s head coach Eric Musselman was shirtless in the stands celebrating with the students as the Hogs pulled off the big time upset.
You know you had a great day betting college hoops when your successful fade of the nation’s top team isn’t even your best win of the day! That was the case yesterday as we connected on a 3-team all money line parlay that paid out a juicy $429 bucks! That play came in with winners on Toledo (-140), VCU (-200), and TCU (-150). But that wasn’t all on the day, as we also found straight bet winners on Central Michigan/Ball State over 145 and Wyoming (-1.5) on what was a very profitable day betting NCAA Men’s Basketball.
Home court advantage is DIFFERENT at Arkansas pic.twitter.com/AtsMYHHm60
— HAWWWWWWWWWGS ? (@RazorbackMBB) February 9, 2022
Even with as great as the day turned out, things could have been even better as we just missed our bet on Clemson (-1) as they lost on a last-second buzzer-beater, and our bet on Texas A&M came up short despite the Aggies furious second half rally against LSU. Today we will look to ride this momentum to another big day, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Magic Parlay
Our money line magic parlay is a parlay that is made up of exclusively money line bets. Unlike point spread plays where a team has to win by a certain amount of points to win your bet, on a money line play, all your team has to do is win the game to get you paid. To make up for the fact that some teams are favorites and others are underdogs, you are going to either lay odds when betting on favorites or be paid out at odds for your bet if you take the underdog.
Louisville Cardinals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-310)
You can file this one under free money, as the Louisville Cardinals stink right now. Louisville parted ways with head coach Chris Mack a couple of weeks back, and as is usually the case with mid-season coaching changes, things haven’t gone very well since. The Cardinals aren’t expected to hire a new head coach until the offseason, so it is hard to expect these struggles to end any time soon. Louisville was playing poorly with Mack at the helm, but since his abrupt departure, things have gotten particularly ugly, and entering play tonight, the Cardinals have lost 8 of their last 9 games.
The Cardinals won’t catch any breaks tonight as they travel to South Bend to play what I see as a criminally underrated Notre Dame squad. The Irish are dominating league play in the ACC, with a 9-3 league record, tied with the Duke Blue Devils for 1st place in the conference standings. After a rough start to their season, Notre Dame has caught fire as of late, and they have a 12-2 record in their last 14 games. That run includes signature wins over Kentucky, North Carolina, Clemson, Virginia, and Miami.
???? ?? ???? ? ?? ????!
— Notre Dame Basketball (@NDmbb) February 9, 2022
Notre Dame is 9-1 at home this season, with their only loss coming against a very talented Duke team. They beat up on the Cardinals in Louisville a couple of weeks back, knocking off the Cardinals by double digits on their own floor, and I just don’t see any way that they don’t coast to a no sweat victory tonight. Louisville hasn’t won on the road in over a month, and they have bad road losses to Western Kentucky, Pittsburgh, Virginia, and Syracuse.
If the season were to end today, none of those teams would be playing in the NCAA tournament, and at this point, I don’t think I can trust the Cardinals to play well against any team that is remotely talented. Things are going from bad to worse in a hurry at Louisville, and I will take advantage of that with a free money play on Notre Dame.
Wake Forrest Demon Deacons (-155) at NC State Wolfpack
We will stay right here in the ACC for our next play in the game between Wake Forrest and NC State. A lot has been made about how down the ACC is this season, but I am not sure I am buying that, as there are indeed some quality teams in the conference right now. We just talked about Notre Dame, a team that I can see winning a game in the NCAA tournament, and now we will look at Wake Forrest, another team that I feel isn’t getting nearly as much love as they deserve.
Steve Forbes made a name for himself by turning East Tennessee State into a powerhouse in the SOCON, and after a tough first year at Wake Forrest, he has the Demon Deacons competing for the regular season conference title with a 9-4 record, just a half of a game back of Notre Dame and Duke for 1st place. The Deacons played a weak non-conference schedule, which kept them off of many people’s radars despite an 11-1 start, but the quality wins have really started to stack up lately, as Wake has wins over top-100 teams Northwestern, Virginia Tech, Florida State (twice), Syracuse, Virginia, and North Carolina.
Big Four Road Battle.
— Wake Basketball (@WakeMBB) February 9, 2022
What has impressed me the most about Wake Forrest has been their ability to win on the road. In league play, the Demon Deacons have true road wins at Virginia Tech, Virginia, Georgia Tech, and Florida State. Winning on the road in league play is always hard to do, no matter which conference you are playing in, and that is what sets this team apart for me, as a team that I absolutely believe should be getting their dancing shoes in March.
You never want to call a road game in league play an easy win, and Wake Forrest is going to have to play well tonight to win, but NC State is in a bad way right now, and even at home, they struggle to stay competitive most nights. NC State is just 1-6 at home in the ACC, and they even had a terrible non-conference home loss to Wright State earlier in the year. Kevin Keatts has a lot of work to do in Raliegh, as it is looking like the Wolf Pack are going to bottom all of the way out. If Wake Forrest wants to be an NCAA tournament team, these are the types of games that they have to be able to win, and that is just what I see happening tonight from PNC Arena.
Texas Tech Red Raiders (-140) at Oklahoma Sooners
In my estimation, there are about a dozen teams that could win the national title this season. We all know about teams like Gonzaga, Auburn, Purdue, and Kentucky, but one team that I feel is being dismissed that could cut down the nets this year in New Orleans is the Red Raiders of Texas Tech. Many people felt that when head coach Chris Beard bolted Lubbock for the greener pastures of Austin, that the Red Raiders would take a big step back.
But that just hasn’t been the case as former Beard assistant Mark Adams has done an amazing job of keeping the Red Raiders playing at an elite level, and he even picked up some Lonestar State bragging rights when his Red Raiders defeated Beard’s Texas Longhorns a couple of weeks back. Texas Tech has 5 losses on the year, and when you see who they have lost to, you know that it takes a very good team to defeat the Red Raiders.
? GAME DAY ⚫️ pic.twitter.com/ggwYbN1GQg
— Texas Tech Basketball (@TexasTechMBB) February 9, 2022
Tech lost to Gonzaga against a Bulldogs team that will likely be number 1 in the country in next week’s AP poll. They lost to Kansas, who leads the Big 12, Providence, who leads the Big East, and Iowa State, who was ranked in the top-10 at the time. The only fluky loss came to Kansas State, and even that one isn’t a terrible loss as the Wildcats are well within the top-100, currently ranked 56th. We know what kind of team it takes to beat Texas Tech. The question now is, are the Sooners that kind of team?
When you have a conference as great as the Big 12 is this year, even good teams are going to struggle to win games. The Sooners would be competing for the league title in less talented leagues, but in the Big 12, they are near the bottom of the standings. I do think that Porter Moser is the right guy to turn this program around, but the results haven’t been great here in the early goings of his tenure in Norman, as the Sooners are just 13-10 overall and 3-7 in the Big 12.
I am sure that the Sooners aren’t going to lay down on their home floor, but they just don’t have the guys to hang with Texas Tech right now. Give me the Red Raiders as they sneak out of Norman with what will be their 10th win over the top-100.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish -310
- Wake Forrest Demon Deacons -155
- Texas Tech Red Raiders -140
$100 Bet Pays $373
Game Total Parlay
Game total plays are commonly referred to as over/under bets because you are betting over or under the posted point total for a game. The game total is calculated by adding up the final scores of both teams. If that total score adds up to more than the total, the over bets win. If the total score adds up to under that total, bets on the under win. If the total score lands exactly on the posted total, all bets push.
Tennessee Volunteers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Over 133.5
Most of you out there likely know how strong the Tennessee Volunteers are on defense, as they are currently 5th in the nation in terms of defensive efficiency. The Vols pride themselves on the defensive side of the floor, but their elite D has somewhat masked the fact that they are actually really good on offense as well, ranked 35th in the country. Mississippi State has a similarly strong offensive attack, as they are 28th in the nation in offensive efficiency, making this a sneaky good scoring matchup.
This line opened up at 136 points and quickly dropped down to 133 points in the early morning betting market. That line was clearly on the low side, and this number is heading back up as we speak. I locked in my action at 133.5, and you are going to want to pounce on this now, as I could see this number climbing back to 134 or higher. Kenpom has this one finishing at 137 points, so as long as you are under that total, the over is the play.
Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls Under 125
The South Florida Bulls play host to the Cincinnati Bearcats tonight in a game that could very well play out in the ’50s. This is one of the lowest totals on the board today, and rightfully so, as the Bearcats are very stingy on defense. As strong as the Cincy defense is, they might not need to be all that great tonight to shut down the Bulls, as South Florida is embarrassingly bad when it comes to scoring the basketball.
— Cincinnati Men’s Hoops (@GoBearcatsMBB) February 9, 2022
The Bulls are dead last in the country shooting the 3-ball and second to last in effective field goal percentage. If you called the Bulls the worst offensive team in the nation, you wouldn’t be far off. In South Florida’s last 5 games, they have failed to eclipse the 50-point mark 3 times, and they are averaging just 50.4 points per game. Even with a total as low as this one is, if the Bulls can’t score at least 50 points, this game can’t go over. Expect a lot of bricks from the Bulls tonight as this game stays under the total.
Western Carolina Catamounts at Chattanooga Mocs Over 142
If you are a fan of small conference college basketball like I am, you know that the Mocs of Chattanooga are a very good basketball team. The Mocs have one of the highest win totals in the nation with 20 wins on the year, and while teams playing out of the SOCON are never going to get a look for an at-large bid, if and when the Mocs win the SOCON conference tournament, they are going to be a team that nobody wants to see in their bracket in March.
Chattanooga has been getting the job done by scoring the basketball efficiently. The Mocs play at a very slow pace, which might lead some of you to believe that they don’t score the ball well, but even with one of the slowest tempos in the nation, the Mocs still regularly score 70+ points in most games. Chattanooga picked up a rare loss to Western Carolina on the road earlier this season, and I see the Mocs getting their revenge tonight at home.
Western Carolina is 311th in the nation on defense, and I see the Mocs dropping 80+ points tonight as they avenge their early season loss with an offensive explosion. As long as Western Carolina can keep it close enough to not get completely blown out, this game will sail to the over.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Tennessee Volunteers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Over 133.5 -110
- Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls Under 125 -110
- Western Carolina Catamounts at Chattanooga Mocs Over 142 -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
The daily dog parlay is a play where all we take are money line underdogs. Parlaying underdogs is the best way to rack up jumbo payouts on small upfront investments. Want to win a jackpot payout? Then parlaying underdogs is for you!
Richmond Spiders at George Mason Patriots (+100)
Home underdogs in league play are my favorite picks, and we saw yesterday when Arkansas beat Auburn that home teams always need to be feared. In this game, I get to back George Mason as underdogs, despite the fact that they opened up as betting favorites. The Patriots opened up as -1.5-point home court favorites, but the public has backed the Spiders, shifting this line towards Richmond.
Come grab your hat and pack the Bank!
— George Mason Men's Basketball (@MasonMBB) February 8, 2022
I mean, I get it, the Spiders just beat the Patriots on Monday night, but that game was in Richmond, and this game is in Fairfax, and that makes all of the difference. George Mason has just 1 home loss in the last 2 months, and that came in a double-overtime thriller to Saint Louis against a Billikens team that is in the at-large bid conversation. The Patriot’s poor play on the road has them out of contention right now in the A-10, but at home, George Mason has been solid. Expect another very tightly contested game tonight, but I see the Patriots evening up this season series with a win over Richmond.
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Nebraska Cornhuskers (+105)
If all you have done is blind bet home underdogs in the Big 10 the last several years, you are getting rich, as the Big 10 is one of the most home team dominated leagues in the country. I will follow that trend tonight and make my play on Nebraska in their home game against Minnesota. This is one of those games where someone has to win, as the teams are a combined 2-21 in Big 10 play.
Game Day ? the Gophers.
— Nebraska Basketball (@HuskerHoops) February 9, 2022
Minnesota did win at Michigan in December, but since then, the Gophers have lost 8 of their 9 conference games, with an 0-4 road record. Nebraska will be looking for their first league win tonight, and after watching them come oh so close to winning several different games in Lincoln, I think that the Huskers breakthrough tonight with the victory.
The Cornhuskers lost to Ohio State in overtime, and losses to Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, and Rutgers all came by 10 points or less. Nebraska is bad, but not go winless in league play bad, and I see them finding a way to gut out a win tonight against a Minnesota team that just hasn’t shown me that they can win in hostile territory.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- George Mason Patriots +100
- Nebraska Cornhuskers +105
$100 Bet Pays $410
Point Spread Plays
In this final section, we are making plays on the point spread. A point spread bet is the most basic of all college hoops bets. In order to cash a bet on the point spread, your team must cover the number. Like a team as a big favorite? You might have to lay a bunch of points in order to win your bet. Think the underdog will lose, but keep the game close? Then snatching up the points is the side you’ll want to be on.
Ohio State Buckeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+3.5)
Did somebody say home dog in Big 10 play? I will dip into that honey hole again with this play in the game between Rutgers and Ohio State. You aren’t hearing a lot about Rutgers right now, but the Scarlet Knights have a winning record in the Big 10 at 7-5, and with how strong the league has been, that alone should at least get them a mention in the at-large bid discussion. If Rutgers got to play all of their games in New Jersey, they would be a lock to be dancing in March, as they are an impressive 11-2 at home with signature wins over Michigan State, Iowa, and Purdue.
When you look at the Buckeye’s resume, they too are elite at home, but on the road, they haven’t been nearly as good. All 5 of the Buckeyes losses have come away from home, and while all of those losses have come to top-50 teams, road wins over Minnesota, Penn State, and Nebraska haven’t been enough to make me a believer in the Buckeyes on the road in league play.
Rutgers Nation, we need you‼️
— Rutgers Basketball ? (@RutgersMBB) February 9, 2022
Looking ahead on Ohio State’s schedule shows me that the Buckeyes have road games left at Michigan, Illinois, and Maryland as well as tough home games against Indiana and Michigan State, and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they stumble to the finish line of the regular season. This game is sure to come down to the final few possessions to be decided, and I love that I can take Rutgers and get more than a full possession’s worth of points. Give me the Scarlet Knights, as they are going to have the Buckeyes on upset alert all night long tonight from the RAC!
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami Hurricanes (-8)
I am not sure what has gotten into the Miami Hurricanes in the last couple of weeks, as after a 5-0 start to ACC play, the Hurricanes are just 3-4 in their last 7 games. But what I am sure of is that a home game against Georgia Tech is just what the Dr. ordered when it comes to turning things back around. Miami won on the road at Georgia Tech 2 weeks ago, and I see them running up the score tonight at home, in what I see as a mismatch.
Gameday in the 3️⃣0️⃣5️⃣
? Georgia Tech
7 PM at the Watsco Center
— Canes Hoops (@CanesHoops) February 9, 2022
Georgia Tech is 1-3 in league play with a win over a bad Boston College team and blow out losses to Duke, North Carolina, and Virginia Tech. The Yellow Jackets lost each of those games by double digits, with an average margin of loss of nearly 17 points per game. I rarely lay this many points in a game, but this one feels like another blowout as Miami needs a good showing, and they are going to get it tonight against an overmatched Yellow Jackets squad.
Houston Cougars at SMU Mustangs (+7.5)
It took a lot of guts to bet against Auburn yesterday, but when you are betting college basketball, it is all about the price, and if the price is right, you need to pull the trigger. Today, we will again position ourselves on the other side of one of the nation’s top teams, this time with a fade of Houston. The Cougars are a very good basketball team. They went to the Final Four last year, and this year they are back in the top-10, and they ride a 12-game winning streak into play tonight, on the road, against SMU.
That being said, this line feels inflated. SMU has yet to lose at home this year, with an 11-0 record, and while Houston will be the toughest team that they have played this season, it is hard to argue with undefeated. The Mustangs are quietly moving up the rankings, and after a rough start to the year, they are making a legitimate case for NCAA tournament consideration with wins in 13 of their last 15 games.
? SMU ? #6 Houston
? Moody Coliseum
— SMU Basketball (@SMUBasketball) February 9, 2022
I would think that Houston will win this game, as they truly are an elite team, but I can’t pass up on being able to get a team that has been so great at home, getting this many points. Give me SMU and a boatload of points, and in reality, all we need is for the Mustangs to not get blown out at home, and I just don’t see that happening.
Point Spread Plays Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+3.5) -110
- Miami Hurricanes (-8) -110
- SMU Mustangs (+7.5) -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on NCAA Men’s College Hoops can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s NCAA Men’s Basketball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free college hoops picks each and every day!