Crazy ‘What Will Trump/Biden Say During the Debate’ Prop Bets

We are less than a week away from catching our first glimpse of Joe Biden and Donald Trump going head-to-head on live television, and I’ve got presidential debate prop bets on my mind! Never in the history of US politics have two more unpredictable personalities headlined such a contest.

Anything could happen!

That’s why I’ve done some digging and discovered even more creative political betting lines covering the candidates’ September 29 meeting, moderated by Fox News’ Chris Wallace.

While the article published yesterday covered topics such as the number of debates that will occur and whether Joe Rogan may be involved, the wagers shared on this page deal with words and phrases that may be said on stage next Tuesday.

What Will Donald Trump Say?

Since 2016, the conventional wisdom around Donald Trump’s debate skills has done a full 180. After each meeting with Hillary Clinton, the media would crown the former Secretary of State the clear winner and paint her unlikely rival’s style and rhetorical tactics as buffoonish.

But the election validated his professional wrestling approach to presidential debates. The difference now is that Trump is coming into the showdown with Joe Biden expected to get the better of his opponent whose cognitive health has been in question.

Will Biden be the beneficiary of low expectations? Will the incumbent’s status as the “favorite” in the debates backfire, especially after months of attacks on the former Vice President’s mental health?

The bar is set higher for Donald Trump on September 29 than any other point during his two candidacies. Which makes betting on the crazy things he could say a uniquely entertaining experience.

Will Donald Trump Say “Qanon”?

Will Trump Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes +300
  • No -500
MyBookie’s oddsmakers are starting us off hot with this one!

There are few subjects more controversial than Qanon this election year.

Qanon Basics

If you’re not familiar, Qanon is a conspiracy theory that started on 4chan. It claims the world is run by a global cabal of elites who operate a massive pedophile and human trafficking ring.

Most celebrities and political leaders participate in Satanic rituals mostly centered around harvesting adrenochrome, a chemical compound produced by the oxidation of adrenaline, that Qanon contends is used by the global elites as a drug.

The posts’ anonymous source claims to be a government insider with a “Q” level security clearance. Their coded messages generally promise followers that Trump is the good guy, carefully plotting behind the scenes to take down the cabal.

At times, the President has repeated phrases in speeches or tweets that allude to hints left in Qanon posts. These instances validate the followers’ beliefs and keep a mostly working-class group trusting in Trump, even when he governs against their best interests.

Whether the entire Qanon phenomenon is a brilliant psychological operation being run by someone in the Trump administration, or the President merely makes subtle inferences to benefit from the conspiracy is unknown.

Either way, I don’t anticipate him addressing the Qanon ordeal by name. Trump has metaphorically winked at the conspiracy’s followers here and there but has never endorsed their claims.

Will Donald Trump Say “Sleepy Joe”?

Will Trump Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes +150
  • No -200

Historically, Donald Trump has relished the opportunity to tag his debate opponents with his favorite nicknames for them on stage. However, that’s always happened with an audience present. Like the WWE Hall-of-Famer he is, the President thrives off generating a reaction.

Going one-on-one in a closed environment is different. Plus, if Biden is shown to be ailing from cognitive decline, petty nicknames could come across as mean-spirited.

Remember, people don’t hate Joe Biden personally the way they did Hillary Clinton.

It was fun watching her flustered and humiliated; the same won’t be true for “Sleepy” Joe.

That said, based on the betting odds, I’d wager on President Trump using the nickname at least once.

If Biden is more lucid and performing better than he expected, “The Donald” from 2016 may reemerge, flustered, and slinging insults like old times.

Will Donald Trump Mention Joe Biden’s Basement?

Will Trump Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes -160
  • No +120

Bringing up Joe Biden’s insistence on staying in his basement instead of hitting the campaign trail is different than calling him “Sleepy Joe.”

There’s not a doubt in my mind that Trump will mention what’s been his biggest frustration this election cycle: facing an invisible opponent.

Whether he brings up the basement to question the Democratic challenger’s fitness for the presidency or to lament his hiding as a strategy to avoid addressing the longtime Senator’s record remains to be seen.

How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “China”?

Over/Under Trump Says “China”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 6.5 -500
  • Under 6.5 +300

This is a fun line to bet because you’ll be excitedly counting every utterance of “China” throughout the broadcast. I’d expect it to be said a lot.

One of Trump’s most substantive arguments against the former VP is on foreign policy. Biden has an abysmal record of supporting every piece of legislature responsible for moving manufacturing jobs overseas at US workers’ expense. The President would be crazy not to hammer home points about China every chance he gets.

I’m picking the over, even though at –500, it won’t offer much of a return.

Will Donald Trump Say “Anarchists”?

Will Trump Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes -700
  • No +400
I like “No” at +400 here.

The President will definitely spend tons of time trying to connect Joe Biden and Kamala Harris to this vague “radical left,” causing all the violence in liberal cities hosting demonstrations over racial issues.

At the same time, I’m not sure “anarchists” are who he’s worried about. He’ll talk about “rioters,” “looters,” and “Antifa” ad nauseum, but at +400, I’m willing to bet “anarchists” don’t get any play.

How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Antifa”?

Over/Under Trump Says “Antifa”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 4.5 +155
  • Under 4.5 -220

This totals line seems ridiculously low. I would have taken the over if they set it at 7.5 Trump mentions of the word “Antifa.”

Beyond foreign policy and trade, the President’s campaign primary point-of-attack against the Democrats is over the violence that’s erupted around the country.

He’s hoping to own the “law and order” messaging in hopes of scaring some of the incumbent’s lost suburban support back to Donald Trump’s GOP.

How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Portland”?

Over/Under Trump Says “Portland”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 2.5 -280
  • Under 2.5 +190

This is a tricky one.

On the one hand, Donald Trump will talk about the many-months-long demonstrations that have erupted in downtown Portland. On the other hand, he may not focus on the infamously liberal city specifically – at least not enough to say its name three times.

I suspect the President would prefer to avoid Biden using the topic of Portland to highlight Trump’s deployment of federal troops in the area, which were snatching protesters off the streets in unmarked vans.

He’s better off focusing on the riots in battleground states like Minnesota and Wisconsin. Only bringing up Portland as an example of liberalism run amuck in his ongoing fearmongering over the left.

I’m betting that Trump says “Portland” under 2.5 times.

How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Seattle”?

Over/Under Trump Says “Seattle”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 1.5 +150
  • Under 1.5 -200

Seattle’s in a similar boat, only more useful as right-wing campaign fodder. That’s where demonstrators took over several square blocks of the city’s downtown area and renamed it “CHAZ” (Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone) or “CHOP” (Capitol Hill Occupied Protest).

The experiment ended quickly when the autonomous zone’s security team shot two teens, killing one. Not a good look for a group protesting instances of excessive force by police officers. That’s the kind of story a good campaign manager would implore Trump to acknowledge early and often during the debate.

I’ll take the over at +150.

Will Donald Trump Mention Ted Wheeler by Name?

Will Trump Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes +425
  • No -800

Ted Wheeler is Portland’s Mayor.

He’s been stuck between the protesters, whose political ideologies he must support publicly, and his police department, which is hugely critical of Wheeler. So has Donald Trump, who believes the Mayor’s weakness is allowing the city to be destroyed.

The Mayor has repeatedly declined the President’s offers to send federal officers to his city and asked Trump not to come to Portland either.

I don’t know how his name might come up, but I’m leaning towards “Yes” at +425 here.

It’s a longshot, but Trump may use Wheeler as an example of poor Democratic leadership, which he’d then try to connect to Biden.

Will Donald Trump Say “Law and Order”?

Will Trump Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes -1100
  • No +550

I can see these two old codgers bickering over who’s the bigger “law and order” candidate all night long.

Unfortunately, at –1100, wagering on the obvious “Yes” doesn’t offer much value.

How Many Times Will Donald Trump Say “Law and Order”?

Over/Under Trump Says “Law and Order”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 3.5 +100
  • Under 3.5 -140

The term “law and order” will surely be used, and the general issue of race, policing, and violence in major cities will be a major topic of debate.

However, I’m not confident that the President will say the exact phrase four or more times. That seems like a lot unless Biden and Trump really do get in a fight over who deserves the “law and order” mantel.

I’ve gotta go with under 3.5 instances of “law and order” at –140.

What Will Joe Biden Say?

For all the embarrassing and concerning moments in which Joe Biden has been featured throughout this election cycle – starting in the Democratic primaries – he’s kept it together and exceeding expectations when it’s mattered most.

The former Vice President is often recorded seemingly struggling to complete thoughts or answer questions without notes or teleprompters. Yet, when he last participated in a debate against Bernie Sanders in April, Joe was sharper and more eloquent than he’d looked in months.

When betting on what Biden will say in the upcoming presidential debate, we must keep his ability to rise to the occasion thus far in mind.

How Many Times Will Joe Biden Say “Q” or “Qanon”?

Over/Under Biden Says “Q Anon”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 1.5+300
  • Under 1.5 -500

Trump may want to stay away from Q anon, but Joe Biden would be insane not to broach the subject. Democrats have become experts in weaponizing guilt by association.

For Example:

Let’s say you want to criticize Hunter Biden’s undeniably sketchy business dealings overseas.

Chances are, shortly after such an inconvenient story is made public, anonymous intelligence sources will tell the NY Times and Washington Post that Russian operatives are pushing the stories about Biden’s son to sow division.

Suddenly, you can’t inquire about the scandal’s details or investigate further, or you’re repeating Russian narratives. They do this all the time with a wide variety of topics.

So, it wouldn’t surprise me if Joe Biden responded to tough questions about his long history of harmful legislative decisions by lumping the accusations in with Qanon, as baseless conspiracies. He’s had zero issues blatantly lying in almost every other debate so far.

I think we’ll see Trump ask about something like:

  • Hunter’s enormous loans and payouts from foreign actors,
  • the 1994 Crime Bill,
  • Anita Hill,
  • the Obama administration spying on the President in 2015-16, or
  • the former Delaware Senator’s reputation of being in the credit card companies’ pockets

— only for Biden to dismiss them all as “Qanon conspiracy stuff; come on, man!”

I’m willing to take a shot at over 1.5 at +300.

Will Joe Biden Say “Very Fine People”?

Will Biden Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes +120
  • No -160

Joe Biden has several rhetorical crutches he uses repeatedly. “Very fine people” is one of them he says frequently.

The candidates will be discussing everything from protesters in Portland, Seattle, Minneapolis, and Kenosha to the miners in Minnesota’s Iron Range and factory workers in Michigan who lost their jobs to NAFTA.

I cannot imagine Biden addressing that many groups of people without saying “Very fine people” at least once.

I’m picking “Yes” at +120.

Will Joe Biden Call Donald Trump a “Racist”?

Will Biden Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes +170
  • No -250

Here’s another instance of something more comfortably said in interviews, on the campaign trail, or before a live audience. It’s not as easy to sit across from someone face-to-face, and straight-up call them a “racist.”

I think there will be many inferences to racist things President Trump has said and done, but Biden will stop shy of name-calling.

I have to go with “No” at –250 here. For all his faults, Joe Biden is a charming, affable man (at least in public).

How Many Times Will Joe Biden Say “Antifa”?

Over/Under Biden Says “Antifa”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 1.5 +300
  • Under 1.5 -500

Obviously, Donald Trump will be the one ramming Antifa down everyone’s throat on Tuesday night, but how will Joe Biden respond?

He only needs to repeat the name twice in response to the President’s arguments for this bet to cover the over.

The protests and the presence of Antifa are a challenging topic for Biden. He’s spent his entire career being tough on crime, and his campaign is tailored around the sensibilities of centrist Democrats and moderate Republicans.

At the same time, going too hard on his conservative approach to crime threatens the former VP’s support among left-wing and minority voters. For that reason, Biden may want to avoid either being critical of or supporting Antifa.

Nevertheless, I’m willing to take a flier on the over based on the +300 payout.

If you bet this one with me, you’re hoping Biden repeats a couple of Trump’s statements or comes prepared with a line like “It’s not about Anitfa; come on man” that he can say multiple times.

Will Joe Biden Say “Fact Check”?

Will Biden Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes -160
  • No +120

I have been studying everything both sides have said about debating one another for months now.

I’m confident that “fact checks” are a crucial piece of the Democrats’ game plan after this debate.

Fact-checkers at sympathetic, liberal institutions like the NY Times and WaPo will be deployed to label any unflattering information or accusations levied at Joe Biden “untrue.”

Biden has repeatedly suggested using fact-checkers to vet what’s said during the debate in real-time, displaying what’s accurate and what’s not on the screen throughout the broadcast.

Much like bringing up Qanon, I think Biden will refuse to engage with Trump on the details of his record. Instead, he’ll tell viewers at home to “fact check” for themselves, knowing they almost certainly will do no such thing. The suggestion will be enough to sow doubt in their minds.

I’m confidently picking “Yes” at –160.

Will Joe Biden Call Donald Trump a “Liar”?

Will Biden Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes -300
  • No +200

Yes, without a doubt.

It’s not as abrasive and uncomfortable to say as “racist.” Plus, Donald Trump does lie a lot; both of these men do. So, not only will Biden want to call out his Republican opponent’s legitimate lies, but he must also diffuse the numerous inconvenient facts regarding the former Senator’s record.

Call him a “liar” and cast doubt over everything he says!

Will Joe Biden Mention “Bob Woodward”?

Will Biden Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes +100
  • No -140
I’m all over “Yes” at even money.

The Democrats’ most robust case against President Trump is his handling of the pandemic.

Joe Biden will want to remind viewers of Trump’s comments to Woodward about downplaying the severity of COVID-19, to better assign blame to the incumbent for the 200,000 deaths.

Will Joe Biden Mention Number of USA COVID-19 Deaths?

Will Biden Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes -1100
  • No +550

Of course, he will. Biden always does, and he’d be stupid not to. That’s why the line is too lopsided to warrant a bet.

Will Biden Misquote Number of USA COVID Deaths by Over 100k?

Will Biden Misquote COVID Death Total?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes +350
  • No -600

Now, this betting line is pretty funny.

Just last week, Joe Biden mistakenly said 200 million Americans had died from the coronavirus. So, more than half of the entire population of the country.

I can assure you, if that’s what the death totals looked like, this race would be nowhere near this tight.

Still, I think that recent error lessens the likelihood of Joe repeating a wildly inflated number again. He got the root number correct, just said “million” instead of “thousand.”

He won’t try to quote a BS number like 350,000; if “Yes” wins this bet, it’ll be because Biden says “200 million” again. I think his campaign staff will train the “million” out of Joe before Tuesday.

Will Joe Biden Say “Russia”?

Will Biden Say It?

  • BetOdds
  • Yes -700
  • No +400

One of the primary themes on display this presidential election is both sides undermining the legitimacy of the other’s potential victory.

Democrats have been playing out a bizarre neo-McCarthyist “red scare” ever since Donald Trump entered office. The President believes his opponents plan to use mail-in ballot harvesting to rig the vote and remove him from office.

Part of Joe Biden’s sales pitch to America is that Trump is a corrupt Putin puppet that never rightfully deserved to occupy the White House in the first place. For that reason, he will undoubtedly mention Russia.

How Many Times Will Joe Biden Say “China”?

Over/Under Biden Says “China”

  • BetOdds
  • Over 2.5 -120
  • Under 2.5 -1200

The odds tell you everything you need to know about this one. China isn’t an advantageous issue for Joe Biden, so he’ll avoid talking about the country like the plague.

Will Cormier / Author

Will Cormier is a sports and political betting writer living in downtown Las Vegas, Nevada. When he’s not wandering around the streets of the Arts District aimlessly, a lifetime of pessimism and paranoia has made Will perfectly suited for handicapping politics. Cormier tries to analyze current events as objectively as possible – a strategy that often enrages loyalists on both the right and the left. When he’s not covering major upcoming elections, Will enjoys writing about basketball, football, and MMA from a betting perspective. He also loves dogs, ice cream sundaes, the movie “Stomp the Yard,” and long walks on the beach.