2022 F1 Canadian GP Odds and Race Predictions

2022 F1 Canadian GP Odds and Race Predictions

Formula 1 is in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, for Round 9 of the 2022 season. The Canadian Grand Prix race weekend opened with storms and rain on Thursday, but it should be a sunny and beautiful day on Sunday for raceday. TheSportsGeek has the best Canadian GP odds for the race this weekend.

We’ve compiled a list of the top F1 betting sites for your Canadian GP betting odds experience. If you played our picks from Baku last weekend, it was a winning trip to Azerbaijan. Max Verstappen pulled ahead of teammate Sergio Perez and was the best for a 20.823-second win.

Ferrari Disaster
Ferrari collected no points, as Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz both received a DNF. First, it was Sainz, and then Leclerc’s engine went up in smoke.

Verstappen was most likely winning this one regardless, but Leclerc would have picked up some valuable points for Ferrari. This is the second straight week where Leclerc’s loss was not his fault.

His team made a strategic error at Monaco and then he had mechacnical problems last week.

Leclerc is a good driver, but he can’t do much with Ferrari if they’re going to tie his hands behind his back. Ferrari took a gamble and improved the performance of their cars in the offseason. However, they risked reliability problems with these upgrades, and it’s hitting them now.

Red Bull wasn’t running blemish-free early in the season, but the engineers have figured it and both Perez and Verstappen are flying. Verstappen leads the Drivers’ Championship standings with 150 points over Perez with 129 points.

The Constructors is all Red Bull, with 279 points over 199 points for Ferrari. Red Bull has six wins and 11 podiums to two wins and eight podiums for the Italian automaker. Leclerc and Ferrari are not Canadian GP odds favorites.

We’ll get into the best F1 Canadian GP odds below, but let’s check out the latest Canadian GP winners and the weather forecast for Montreal this weekend.

Previous Canadian GP Winners

F1 returns to Montreal for the first time since 2019. As a result of the pandemic and Covid-19 regulations in Canada, F1 had to pass on the Canadian Grand Prix

Circuit Gilles Villevenue is named after hometown legend Gilles Villeneuve. Villeneuve won the inaugural Canadian Grand Prix in 1978. The family has a rich racing history, and Gilles rightfully has a circuit named after him.

Mercedes Domination
In the most recent Canadian Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton won for Mercedes. Hamilton has won four of the previous Canadian Grand Prix. Since 2010, Hamilton has six Canadian GP titles.

Mercedes has dominated at Montreal for over a decade, but this likely won’t be their first win of 2022. They had a bumpy ride at Baku last weekend, and all things considered, finishing P4 and P3 was a good look for Hamilton and George Russell.

Year Driver Team
2019 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2018 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari
2017 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2016 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2015 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2014 Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull-Renault
2013 Sebastian Vettel Red Bull-Renault
2012 Lewis Hamilton McLaren-Mercedes
2011 Jenson Button McLaren-Meredes
2010 Lewis Hamilton McLaren-Mercedes
2009 Not Held Not Held
2008 Robert Kubica BMW Sauber
2007 Lewis Hamilton McLaren-Mercedes
2006 Fernando Alonso Renault

Canadian GP Weather Forecast

The weather forecast is not expected to be pretty for the beginning of race week in Montreal, but all should be fine for raceday on Sunday.

Practice sessions and qualifying could be interesting, though. Drivers arrived in Montreal on Thursday and were greeted with torrential downpours.

Severe weather went through the area, and the rain isn’t supposed to let up until some time on Saturday. Thursday is forecast to be the worst day, so fingers crossed that the rain isn’t too heavy on Friday and Saturday.

This will add another layer of tough preparations for race teams. They will likely need the rain tyres for practice and qualification, with Sunday looking sunny and clear.

Canadian GP Odds

Max Verstappen is in the pilot’s seat as the leading candidate to win the Canadian Grand Prix. Verstappen is the F1 Canadian GP odds favorite at -135 to win at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.

Another Red Bull Sunday?
According to the oddsmakers, Red Bull is expected to finish P1 and P2 again. Sergio Perez has the best 2022 Canadian GP Odds of winning. Red Bull has both of these cars humming, so the odds don’t come as a surprise.

Leclerc has the third-best odds of winning at +275, while the defending champ, Lewis Hamilton, is not expected to have a great performance at +3300. 2022 is not the year of Mercedes. That’s been well established this year.

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Canadian GP odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Odds Driver Team
-135 Max Verstappen Red Bull
+275 Sergio Perez Red Bull
+450 Charles Leclerc Ferrari
+1400 Carlos Sainz Jr. Ferrari
+3300 George Russell Mercedes
+3300 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
+10000 Lando Norris McLaren
+15000 Pierre Gasly AlphaTauri
+20000 Valtteri Bottas Alfa Romeo
+25000 Daniel Ricciardo McLaren
+25000 Fernando Alonso Alpine
+35000 Esteban Ocon Alpine
+50000 Sebastien Vettel Aston Martin
+50000 Tuki Tsunoda AlphaTauri

2022 Canadian GP Prediction

Charles Leclerc (+450)

Charles Leclerc was complaining about engine problems in practice, which translated to the race on Sunday. It may not have been related, as Leclerc appeared to be driving in the wrong mode, but it was a bad omen regardless.

Monaco Loss Beginning of the End?
It was clear that the moment Ferrari called Leclerc into the pits erroneously, this season would take on a new level of bad.

If Leclerc leaves Ferrari, we can return to this incident. Monaco is Leclerc’s home track and one he wanted badly.

Leclerc may put Ferrari into contention, but it will be because of his team. It will need to be a perfect run from Leclerc with a clean car for him to have a chance at the win.

However, Red Bull has the straight-line speed right now, and I don’t know if Leclerc has the right car for Montreal.

They will apply a quick fix to their issues from last week. That’s probably not enough for Montreal, though. This is likely all Red Bull again.

Max Verstappen (-135)

Red Bull has Max Verstappen’s car tuned to perfection right now. When Verstappen has a fast car doing everything right, there isn’t going to be another driver on the F1 gride that can touch him.

It’s not going to be the case in a race that favors straight-line speed.

Previously, Mercedes had the fastest straight-line car, but this car is running like a bumpy boat down the course. It was tough to beat Mercedes in a straight-line race.

Red Bull and Verstappen have the fastest car and it’s difficult to hold him back even if he’s not P1. Verstappen is already the best around corners and in a fast car he’s unstoppable.

The Montreal Grand Prix will be decided on whether Verstappen doesn’t retire from the race. His only loss this season that he’s stayed in a race was at Monaco.

After exiting the Australian GP on April 10, Verstappen’s car is running reliably. That’s what this race comes down to, and I’ll bet that Red Bull and Verstappen is the best in Montreal.

Verstappen Canadian GP Odds
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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