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FanDuel PGA Picks – The Players Championship

FanDuel Golf Picks - PGA Tour Logo

The signature event of the early part of the PGA Tour season takes place this week. The Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Florida will be the site of The Players Championship. The tournament starts bright and early on Thursday morning at 7 PM EST. Standard cut rules are in effect with cuts taking place after round two and the top 70 plus ties moving on to what should be an exceptional weekend of golf.

For perspective on how loaded the field will be this weekend, each and every golfer in the Top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings are scheduled to compete. For your reference, here are the current Top 5 according to the rankings.

  • 1: Dustin Johnson
  • 2: Justin Rose
  • 3: Brooks Koepka
  • 4: Justin Thomas
  • 5: Bryson DeChambeau

The starpower doesn’t end there. Among the other golfers in the field, this week will be Rory McIlroy, Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Jordan Spieth, and Sergio Garcia. As you would expect from such a jam-packed field, the odds chart is pretty tight this week. Here are the top five choices to win this event outright as far as the oddsmakers are concerned.

  • Dustin Johnson +1200
  • Rory McIlroy +1200
  • Justin Thomas +1600
  • Justin Rose +2000
  • Rickie Fowler +2000

Behind Rose and Fowler, there are seven golfers with odds ranging from +2200 to +2800. The odds drop off a bit from that point, but there are 16 golfers who fall within the range of +3300 to +6600 on the chart. As you would expect, many of those who have had success at this event in the past are given a favorable shot to make it happen again. Here are the last five winners of The Players Championship for your reference.

  • 2018: Webb Simpson
  • 2017: Si Woo Kim
  • 2016: Jason Day
  • 2015: Rickie Fowler
  • 2014: Martin Kaymer

You can expect to see some names with solid odds and good past success at this event in our below choices. Beyond those two key components, we’re big fans of solid recent form and games which seem to agree with the course at hand.

Without further adieu, we have chopped the field down and come up with 15 solid selections for you to consider as you build out your lineups this week on FanDuel, broken down by where they fall on the salary scale. Let’s get started by taking a look at our favorite selections from this week’s most expensive golfers.

Cream of the Crop

Dustin Johnson – $12,300

  • Odds to win: +1200
  • Odds to Top 10: +137
  • FPPG: 92.46
  • Cuts made: 6/6

This will be Johnson’s first tour event since he took down the WGC-Mexico Championship last month. He was a stellar 21-Under for that tournament, which translated into 151.2 fantasy points. Johnson has participated in six tournaments this season and finished in the Top 10 four times. He has finished in the Top 20 here for the last two years, but we like him to better it this time around and be in contention.

Brooks Koepka – $11,500

  • Odds to win: +2200
  • Odds to Top 10: +250
  • FPPG: 74.61
  • Cuts made: 5/6

Koepka was in fine form for his first five tour events of the season. That run included a 1st place finish at The CJ Cup at Nine Bridges and a tie for 2nd at The Honda Classic. The good times stopped rolling at the Arnold Palmer Invitational as he failed to make the cut. We’re willing to give him a mulligan and call it a bad week. We’ll take Koepka for a bounce back at lower than normal ownership levels.

Tiger Woods – $11,100

  • Odds to win: +2800
  • Odds to Top 10: +275
  • FPPG: 81.92
  • Cuts made: 4/4

It’s not officially a party unless Tiger Woods is involved, right? For many golf fans, that sentiment holds true. Fear not, Woods will be in the field this week after skipping his last scheduled event with a neck issue. His last time out was at the WGC-Mexico, where he finished up in a tie for 10th with 85.2 fantasy points. He took down 11th place here last year, and we’re looking for a repeat or better.

Adam Scott – $10,700

  • Odds to win: +3500
  • Odds to Top 10: +350
  • FPPG: 67.68
  • Cuts made: 5/7

Scott has missed the cut in two of his last three events, so we’re taking some risk here by including him in our selections. Despite that, we’re willing to take a chance on a bounce back based on his exceptional history at this event. Scott has finished in 12th or better for the last three years of this event, including an 11th place finish last year. When Scott is on, he’s on, so we’ll see if we can hit paydirt this week.

Webb Simpson – $10,300

  • Odds to win: +5000
  • Odds to Top 10: +450
  • FPPG: 83.61
  • Cuts made: 6/6

Simpson has been in solid form this season while making the cut in all six of his tour appearances. He finished in the Top 20 or better for the first four, but he slipped to the 30s for his last two outings. All that said, Simpson is also the defending champion for The Players Championship. While we can’t promise he’ll be among the leaders this weekend, we’re expecting an inspired effort.

Mid-Range Noisemakers

Rafael Cabrera-Bello – $9,800

  • Odds to win: +5500
  • Odds to Top 10: +500
  • FPPG: 86.35
  • Cuts made: 7/7

Cabrera-Bello has been playing exceptionally well this season. For his last six events, he has finished in the Top 25 or better. That includes two ties for 3rd place, including at last week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational. That was his best fantasy outing of the season as well with 101.4 points. He has also shot well here his last two times out with a 17th and a 4th place finish.

Henrik Stenson – $9,600

  • Odds to win: +5500
  • Odds to Top 10: +500
  • FPPG: 71.93
  • Cuts made: 3/3

Stenson was in the field at last week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational. After a rough 5-Over in round one, Stenson put it together with a 10-Under for the next three rounds to finish in a tie for 17th place with 74.4 fantasy points. Good recent form and three Top 25 finishes in his last four tries at this event places him on our radar as a mid-tier player to keep in mind.

Alexander Noren – $9,300

  • Odds to win: +11000
  • Odds to Top 10: +900
  • FPPG: 54.54
  • Cuts made: 5/7

Noren’s last event was The Honda Classic. Let’s just say it was one to forget. He missed the cut entirely with a 9-Over through two rounds. That marked the second time ha has failed to make it to the weekend in his last four events. In between were ties for 62nd and 44th, so his recent form hasn’t exactly been lights out. We’ll look for him to get it together at an event he has fared well at for the last two years.

Byeong-Hun An – $8,700

  • Odds to win: +10000
  • Odds to Top 10: +800
  • FPPG: 75.45
  • Cuts made: 7/7

If you need an affordable golfer who has been on a great run of making the cut, then you need to look in An’s direction. He’s seven for seven this season, and he had his finest showing to date last time out to boot. An finished in a tie for 10th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and delivered a cool 77.7 fantasy points. No promises he can do that again, but we do like him to make it to the weekend.

Jimmy Walker – $8,600

  • Odds to win: +17500
  • Odds to Top 10: +1400
  • FPPG: 50.44
  • Cuts made: 6/9

Walker’s form hasn’t been great this tour season, but he has some relatively attractive odds in comparison to those surrounding him on the salary chart. He’s also coming off of a 2nd place finish here last year, so perhaps he’ll step his game up this weekend. If he can make it to the weekend and get to his season-long high fantasy output of 84 points, we’ll take it.

Value Plays to Consider

Matt Wallace – $8,500

  • Odds to win: +9000
  • Odds to Top 10: +750
  • FPPG: 66.65
  • Cuts made: 4/4

Wallace has some solid odds for this price point, and we can point to his recent form as the catalyst for that. He has finished in the Top 20 for his last two events, including a tie for 6th place last week. At the Arnold, Wallace carded an 8-Under, which translated into 94.6 fantasy points when all was said and done. You can sign us up for that kind of return on his low price all day.

Chesson Hadley – $8,500

  • Odds to win: +16000
  • Odds to Top 10: +1400
  • FPPG: 59.12
  • Cuts made: 6/11

Hadley’s mark of six of 11 on cuts for the season has us feeling a little skittish, but we exhale a little when we take a gander at his recent form. He has finished in the Top 20 for three of his last four events, with last week’s tie for 17th checking in as the best of the bunch. He also binked an 11th place here last year, so perhaps his solid recent play will continue for another weekend.

Chris Kirk – $8,200

  • Odds to win: +20000
  • Odds to Top 10: +1600
  • FPPG: 47.48
  • Cuts made: 5/12

Kirk also has a poor cut history on the season at just five of 12. However, he also shot well last weekend while finishing up in a tie for 15th and delivering 86.2 fantasy points. The cut history for all golfers in this price tier isn’t exactly stellar, so we have to lean on recent performance to weed through our selections. Kirk is a risk, but he could pay dividends if all goes well.

Scott Brown – $7,800

  • Odds to win: +30000
  • Odds to Top 10: +2500
  • FPPG: 57.36
  • Cuts made: 7/12

As you have figured out by now, you’re going to have to take some risks if you need low-priced golfers to balance out your lineups. The pickings are slim once we get south of $8k on the price chart. Brown looks like a decent whirl, as he has made the cut in four of his last six outings. Out of those solid performances, he has one Top 20 and a pair of Top 10 finishes. You can do worse at this low price.

Sung Kang – $7,500

  • Odds to win: +15000
  • Odds to Top 10: +1200
  • FPPG: 62.14
  • Cuts made: 9/12

Most of Kang’s missed cuts on the season came before the calendar turned to 2019. Since that point, he’s five of six with a trio of Top 20 finishes included over that span. It’s tough to see him finishing that high in a field as loaded as this one, but the fact that he has made the cut four times in a row makes him worthy of consideration if you’re looking to save a ton of coin.

Our Favorite Picks

Dustin Johnson – $12,300:
The world’s top-ranked golfer has been in the Top 20 for the past two years of this event. Can he take the whole thing down this time around?
Rafael Cabrera-Bello – $9,800:
He’s in fine form and has a solid history at this event. Those two factors make Cabrera-Bello our favorite golfer at less than $10k this week.
Matt Wallace – $8,500:
No event history and an absolutely loaded field makes us nervous about any of this week’s affordable golfers. Wallace’s good recent form and attractive odds gives us a little solace.

*Betting odds provided by: MyBookie.ag