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Fort Worth Invitational Betting Preview

Fort Worth Invitational Webb Simpson

This event, known by most as “The Colonial”, has had many sponsors and thus many different names. This year there is no sponsor and will be called the ”Fort Worth Invitational”. Held at Colonial Country Club for the last 72 years, this is one of the 5 invitational tournaments on the PGA Tour and will have a 20% smaller field than most tournaments at around 125 golfers.

The weather “looks” wonderful Thursday through Sunday with sunny skies and minimal wind, although It’s probably not going to feel so wonderful. The forecast calls for nearly 50% humidity every day with highs approaching the triple digits. Caddies will need to bring several extra towels, and if they’re smart, some electrolyte water as golfers likely won’t be able to fight off a heavy sweat like a Texas Sunday pig.

The field at the Fort Worth Invitational is fairly strong this year led by former tournament champion Jordan Spieth along with Jon Rahm, Webb Simpson, and Rickie Fowler. BetOnline has odds to win the tournament as well as odds for a top 5 finisher and odds for each golfer to finish in the top 10. The latter is my favorite line here as picking a winner or even a top 5 finisher is quite the long shot if you will.

We will get to see several former winners at Colonial competing this weekend in Fort Worth. The aforementioned Spieth won two years ago in 2016. Kevin Kisner won it last year. Steve Stricker and Chris Kirk are also former champions we will see.

Adam Scott will be teeing off Thursday in hopes of continuing his streak of playing in 67 straight majors dating back to 2001. Only one other golfer, Sergio Garcia, has a longer active streak.

In the Byron Nelson Classic Preview last week, I picked Marc Leishman as my best value pick to finish in the top ten. He set a course record for the first two rounds and finished a close second to a surging 21-year-old from South Africa, Aaron Wise.

I found more excellent value with some of the golfers this week. So, let’s get into it and look and check out these odds.

Odds to Win Fort Worth Invitational

  • Jordan Spieth: +700
  • Jon Rahm: +1000
  • Rickie Fowler: +1800
  • Webb Simpson: +1800
  • Justin Rose: +1800
  • Aaron Wise: +2000
  • Adam Scott: +2500
  • Matt Kuchar: +2800
  • Jimmy Walker: +2800
  • Patrick Cantlay: +2800
  • Bryson DeChambeau: +3300
  • Zach Johnson: +3300
  • Chesson Hadley: +4000
  • Kevin Kisner: +4000
  • Brian Harman: +4000
  • Beau Hossler: +5000
  • Charley Hoffman: +6600

I don’t mind at all if you want to include the favorite Spieth (+700) in your money spread to win. He is currently ranked as the 3rd best golfer in the world, and won the tournament in 2016. A year earlier he finished Colonial tied for 2nd. He also tied for 2nd last year with the man just behind him on the world rankings at 4th, Jon Rahm.

The Spaniard Rahm (+1000) has been a tournament winner once already this year at the CareerBuilder Challenge back in January. Against top competition in Augusta at The Masters, he finished 4th. The 23-year-old is still only a year removed from the wild and crazy Arizona State University and is still searching for that signature PGA Tour win.

Surprisingly, the 29-year-old Rickie Fowler is still in search of his first victory of the year. His 2nd place finish at The Masters has been his best performance so far. Webb Simpson and Aaron Wise are arguably the hottest 2 golfers in the tournament as they both have won this month.

I really love the value you get with Aaron Wise here at (+2000), but his failed attempt at a celebratory kiss this past Sunday that recently went viral has to have his head all kinds of messed up.

Reagan Trussell rejects Aaron Wise celebratory kiss

He could easily shrug this off and chalk it up to bad communication, but he is still so young only a month shy of his 22nd birthday.

Matt Kuchar finished 2nd at Colonial 5 years ago and has 3 top ten finishes this year to go along with 7 victories in his career. The 6’4 200 pounder has the skill and experience to compete with the best guys in the world. At (+2800), I don’t see why you wouldn’t include him in your spread of golfers to win.

Please Note:

Zach Johnson (+3300), along with Spieth probably has the most value among these golfer’s odds to win. He is a two-time champion and holds the course record of 21 under par. The next best performance in recent years was when Spieth finished 17 under in 2016.

Lastly, we can’t forget about last year’s Colonial winner Kevin Kisner. He is way down the list at (+4000). This course has seen golfers win multiple years before and the 27th world ranked Kisner can definitely do it this year.

Odds to Finish in the Top Ten

  • Jordan Spieth: -125
  • Jon Rahm: +140
  • Rickie Fowler: +160
  • Webb Simpson: +160
  • Justin Rose: +160
  • Matt Kuchar: +220
  • Jimmy Walker: +250
  • Aaron Wise: +275
  • Adam Scott: +275
  • Patrick Cantlay: +275
  • Zach Johnson: +300
  • Bryson DeChambeau: +320
  • Kevin Kisner: +350
  • Chesson Hadley: +400
  • Beau Hossler: +450
  • Brian Harman: +450
  • Steve Stricker: +550
  • Charley Hoffman: +700

I really like the young guys in this tournament that haven’t developed their dad-bods quite yet. Leishman was a monster for me last week, coming through as my featured pick to finish in the top ten at the Byron Nelson Classic. He has some extra weight, though, and might overheat this week down in Fort Worth.

The man who came from behind in the late rounds to beat him last week, Aaron Wise, runs 175 pounds soaking wet at 6’1” tall. Golf is golf, but you can’t tell me conditioning doesn’t come into play when it’s nearly 100 degrees outside.

Jordan is minus money here, so I don’t see much reason to include him if you spread your money out among several golfers you think will finish in the top ten.

Jon Rahm is another young gun who will likely have adequate energy late Saturday and on Sunday. He has 3 top ten finishes including a 1st and 2nd place in 11 tournaments this year. There are definitely guys on this list, though, with better odds who have placed in the top ten much more consistently than Rahm.

Webb Simpson has 5 top tens in 14 starts this year including a 1st place finishes at THE PLAYERS Championship shooting 17 under even with a double bogey on the last hole just a couple weeks ago. I really like him at (+160) in your money spread.

Former champions Zach Johnson (+300) and Kevin Kisner (+350) both have some good value as they have hoisted the trophy at the colonial in the past.

Chesson Hadley (+400) and Brian Harman seem to be a couple of my picks every week to finish top ten. There is a very good reason for this. I’m not just shooting in the dark. Hadley has finished in the top ten in 6/18 tournaments while Brian Harman leads the Tour with 7 top ten finishes in 15 tournaments. That’s better than 50% and he is (+450)!

In Conclusion

It’s going to be very hot and muggy down in Dallas’s little brother city of Fort Worth, TX at the famed Colonial Country Club. The younger golfers that are carrying less weight around their midsections should be the guys that we see atop the leaderboard come Sunday evening.

Jordan Spieth is plus money at +700 to win. As difficult as picking a winner can be, I really like the value he has here. He has finished 1st or 2nd here each of the last three years.

Webb Simpson and Aaron Wise are both super hot as of late, but only one of these guys was turned down for a kiss after he won a tournament on national television.

Webb had his win at The PLAYERS pocketing almost 2 million bucks. Let’s hope he invested in the very best microfiber towels and moisture-wicking shirts because he is going to need them when it’s in the upper 90’s on this Memorial Day Weekend in Texas.

Leishman played his butt off last week, and I was fortunate enough to predict his success. Maybe not to the extent of setting a 2-round course record, but he finished top ten and that is all that matters to the sportsbooks.

Leishman is taking this week off, so I want my money on the guys who consistently finish near the top of the leaderboard.

Chesson Hadley and Brian Harman are my go-to’s again this week. I especially love Harman to finish top ten as he has done more often than not in 2018.

Have a safe Memorial Day Weekend, and try to remember those who gave the ultimate sacrifice so you and I can enjoy a peaceful day with friends and family.

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