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2019 NFL Schedule Released! How Many Games Will Each AFC Team Win?

How Many Games Will Each AFC Team Win in 2019

The 2019 NFL schedule has been released as well as over/under betting odds on all 32 teams for total regular season wins.

The NFL draft concluded recently and while that probably didn’t move the numbers all that much, we do have a somewhat better idea on what direction several different teams will be heading going into the 2019 regular season.

Most of the free agents have chosen their preferred destinations, albeit some surprising ones but to each their own as they say.

Everyone is expecting many of the same teams that won fairly regularly last season to do so once again this year including the Kansas City Chiefs and, of course, the defending Super Bowl Champion New England Patriots.

The Kansas City Chiefs will be back but will they be stronger than last year?

Yes, their defense had nowhere to go but north but will their opponents having a year’s worth of game tape on quarterback Patrick Mahomes mean that tremendous offense will be heading south?

What about the Cleveland Browns?

The over/under is set at 9 wins right now. They were unquestionably the most improved team of the 2018 season, but can the perennial laughing stock of the NFL really get to double-digit wins this year?

What about the teams on the bottom?

The Miami Dolphins have an even lower projected total of 5 wins.

Can the newly acquired Josh Rosen make a difference in South Beach?

He couldn’t do much for the Arizona Cardinals last year. But what did they expect with no offensive line or weapons in the rookie’s saddle bag?

There are so many questions to be answered.

Will we get to them all today?

I don’t have all week to write this and I’m sure you’ll have to work at some point, so let’s do what we can with what we know right now.

ESPN has recently released their Football Power Index or FPI which is computed mostly by offensive, defensive, and special teams efficiency by some really smart people and some even more intelligent computers.

There’s a lot that goes into it but we will just use it today as an added tool to help us with these over/under’s.

It’s still very early, of course, but BetOnline has the odds, so let’s jump in!

Baltimore Ravens

OVER 8 WINS
-130
UNDER 8 WINS
+110

It will be very interesting to see if quarterback Lamar Jackson continues to evolve especially throwing the ball downfield with accuracy. He did it in college but that wasn’t against NFL high-level cornerbacks and lurking free safeties.

The Ravens lost a lot of players on defense but acquired quite a bit of speed in the offseason at wide receiver and running back. Hopefully, they can be a little less methodical and predictable because defenders are likely going to begin jumping routes if most everything is thrown short.

I didn’t believe in Jackson at first but I really like the kid.

Take the over.

My Pick
OVER 8 WINS

Buffalo Bills

OVER 7 WINS
-110
UNDER 7 WINS
-105

Josh Allen should definitely be better this year which is good, but he isn’t the one and only answer.

The ESPN FPI has them way down at 27th and only the Miami Dolphins have a lower rated offense.

Their success will depend largely on their brand new offensive line but they still likely won’t get to seven wins.

My Pick
UNDER 7 WINS

Cincinnati Bengals

OVER 6 WINS
-130
UNDER 6 WINS
+110

This is a rebuilding year for the Bengals. I don’t expect them to make it to 6 W’s.

They have a very strong division and games against the New England Patriots, Seahawks, Colts, and Chiefs.

My Pick
UNDER 6 WINS

Cleveland Browns

OVER 9 WINS
-130
UNDER 9 WINS
+110

I feel like Mr. Belding when I say “What is going on here?!”

The Cleveland Browns could win 10 games?

Special teams will be the biggest question mark for a team that is truly loaded with talent.

Baker Mayfield will have Odell Beckham Jr and Jarvis Landry as added weapons at wideout.

I like the Browns to go for 10 maybe even 11 wins this year!

My Pick
OVER 9 WINS

Denver Broncos

OVER 7 WINS
-110
UNDER 7 WINS
-110

Okay, we are even on both sides of the odds.

The biggest question here is what does Joe Flacco have left in the tank?

The offense looks bad if new additions to the line can’t keep their immobile QB upright.

The defense is very good, though, and Flacco knows how to manage a game.

A tough schedule will keep them under.

My Pick
UNDER 7 WINS

Houston Texans

OVER 8.5 WINS
+120
UNDER 8.5 WINS
-140

The Texans look very balanced going into the 2019 season but I’m not completely sold on quarterback Deshaun Watson.

ESPN has them 8th in the RPI but 9 wins may be a stretch in an improving division. The Jags will be tougher with Foles and Indy may even run away with it.

The rest of their schedule is brutal as they play the Saints, Chargers, Falcons, Chiefs, and the Patriots.

I’m going low.

My Pick
UNDER 8.5 WINS

Indianapolis Colts

OVER 9.5 WINS
-150
UNDER 9.5 WINS
+130

(-150) is the biggest odds we’ve seen so far for an over or under play.

That doesn’t mean I want to stay away from it, though.

I’m loving the way this team finished out the year last season.

Their most difficult non-divisional games are opposite the Charger, Saints, and Chiefs. They will be at home for all of them, though.

Going up.

My Pick
OVER 9.5 WINS

Jacksonville Jaguars

OVER 8 WINS
+100
UNDER 8 WINS
-120

They play at the Chiefs, Saints, and Chargers so that will be tough. They miiiight win one of those games.

I’ve always been a big fan of Nick Foles and honestly I think they might push at around 8 wins, but something is telling me to go under here.

My Pick
UNDER 8 WINS

Kansas City Chiefs

OVER 10 WINS
+105
UNDER 10 WINS
-125

Wow, it looks like Vegas doesn’t have any faith in the Chiefs this year. 11 wins aren’t extraordinary for a team with as much talent as they have.

Let’s look at their schedule.

They host the Pats and Bears while they have to travel to Indy. That’s not that bad.

The addition of the Honey Badger Tyrann Mathieu should make a big difference on defense.

Yea, we movin’on uuup…

My Pick
OVER 10 WINS

Los Angeles Chargers

OVER 9.5 WINS
-150
UNDER 9.5 WINS
+130

Is Philip Rivers ever going to slow down?

Could this be the year that he falls off?

They have never been a very good road team even though they don’t really have their own stadium.

They have to travel to Minnesota, Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Houston, and Indy.

That’s tough. Let’s take the plus money.

My Pick
OVER 9.5 WINS

Miami Dolphins

OVER 5 WINS
+120
UNDER 5 WINS
-140

Over 5 Wins: +
Under 5 Wins: –

Pay up.

They suck.

I see 3 wins, maybe.

My Pick
UNDER 5 WINS

New England Patriots

OVER 11 WINS
-130
UNDER 11 WINS
+110

Oh, the Pats. As much as I admire their front office, the head coach, and their quarterback, Tom Brady, I sure would like to see them go under .500 one year and miss the playoffs.

They only have less than a handful of difficult road games and Arrowhead is one. Give them that loss and a couple of others and they are still there.

My Pick
OVER 11 WINS

New York Jets

OVER 7 WINS
-140
UNDER 7 WINS
+120

I think this will be a much-improved team from 2018.

Le’veon Bell should be running angrily in 2019 and that’s a scary thought.

If second-year quarterback Sam Darnold can continue to improve on a decent rookie season, I think these guys can get to .500.

They travel to Cleveland, Dallas, and Pittsburgh which are all winnable games.

They play the Raiders, Redskins, Giants, and Bengals which they should take three out of four.

I like the J.E.T.S. Jets in 2019.

My Pick
OVER 7 WINS

Pittsburgh Steelers

OVER 9 WINS
+100
UNDER 9 WINS
-120

Big Ben is still at it. What a warrior that guy is.

People hate on him but he gets it done.

Antonio Brown bailed him out one too many times last season and now he is gone. You can’t really replace the best wide receiver in the league, sooo…

Picking up Joe Haden at cornerback will help the defensive backfield tremendously but I don’t think it’s going to be enough.

I think they go 7-9.

My Pick
UNDER 9 WINS

Oakland Raiders

OVER 6.5 WINS
+120
UNDER 6.5 WINS
-140

Hey, they have to improve upon an absolutely dismal 2018.

Head Coach Jon Gruden wouldn’t tank again, or would he?

Antonio Brown is an absolute game-changer and can get a few wins for his squad all by himself.

They travel to Chicago, Tennessee, and Jacksonville. Eh, I can give them one win here.

Maybe even two if Carr and Brown can hook up for some big ones.

I think the NFL may want the Raiders to have a rejuvenating season headed into their move to the booming Las Vegas.

My Pick
OVER 6.5 WINS

Tennessee Titans

OVER 8.5 WINS
+120
UNDER 8.5 WINS
-140

I really like Mike Vrabel even though he is a former Patriot.

They are a fairly well-balanced team with a good coach so 8 wins aren’t out of the question.

9 wins, though, in a very tough division is a bit of a stretch.

Let’s see what the rest of the schedule looks like.

They travel to play the Chargers, the Saints, and the Chiefs. I don’t see them winning any of these games. The Colts, Jags, and Texans are all tough as well. They don’t have much room to play with.

My Pick
UNDER 8.5 WINS

In Conclusion

There you go, guys.

Yes, it is very early in the year but you know how fast Summer flies by.

If you’re a school teacher, then all you have to do is blink and boom, it’s football season.

ESPN has the FPI and I tried to use it the best I could as a tool but strength of schedule and home vs away games is big for me too.

We can’t be right about all of these but 10-12 out of 16 would be great.

I really like Foles in Jacksonville, the Colts to get even better, the Chiefs to get to 11 fairly easily, and the Pittsburgh Steelers to regress significantly.

Check back soon for the NFC predictions on team wins!