KSW 70 MMA Odds and Predictions

KSW 70 Atlas Arena

KSW 70 is streaming online for free in the United States. You can bet on KSW 90 on most MMA betting sites, but we’re getting our odds from Bovada. We’ve looked at the entire eight fight card, and we’ve selected our top betting picks for each bout. We’re highlighting each pick with an MMA breakdown on why we’re confident in our KSW 70 predictions. 

KSW 70 Betting Picks

  • KSW 70 Main Event Betting Pick Michal Materia -275
  • Co Main Event: Omielanczuk money line at -600
  • Kijanczuk vs Erslan Under 1.5 Rounds -240
  • Radoslaw Paczuski money line at -175
  • Parlay Pick: Ugonoh vs Samociuk Doesn’t Go the Distance Prop bet -480
  • Value Bet: Damian Piwowarczyk Money Line -230 
  • Upset Pick: Tommy Quinn Money Line +400 
  • Rajewski vs Barrio Over 1.5 Rounds Prop -220

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KSW 70 Predictions and Fight Odds 

We’re starting with our main event and working down to the prelims, giving you a quick preview of all eight fights. 

Mariusz Pudzianowski vs Michal Materia 

The main event features the 45 year old Pudzianowski, a former strongman, up against an up and coming middleweight from Berserker’s Team.

Unconventional training from the big man.
Materia is easily the toughest fighter of Mariusz career, and we’ve seen the strongman lose via submission in the past. Bet Michal Materia at -275, a $36.36 payout per $100 wager. 
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Daniel Omielanczuk vs Ricardo Prasel

Prasel is a +400 underdog, and despite doing well on the local scene, oddsmakers have little faith he can handle the former ACA champion Omielanczuk. Zuk is on a losing streak, going 1-3 over his last four.

He’s looking to step down and take an easy win, and I think he’s found it in Prasel.

Bet Omielanczuk at -600 for a $16.67 return per $100 wagered. 
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Rafal Kijanczuk vs Ivan Erslan

Rafal is on a three fight winning streak with two finishes. Erslan is on a similar winning streak that includes multiple finishes via knockout and submission. The KSW 90 odds on the Under prop for this fight are -240 at 1.5 rounds. 
Erslan and Kijanczuk have a 75% finish ratio in wins and Kijanczuk has a 100% finish ratio in losses. The under pays $41.75 per $100 wager. 
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Radoslaw Paczuski vs Jason Wilnis 

Both of these fighters are undefeated professionals, but Paczuski is also an undefeated kickboxer. Wilnis is only a +135 underdog despite a losing kickboxing record. After reviewing fight tape, it’s unclear if Wilnis has quality grappling at all, and Paczuski should control every area of the fight. Bet Paczuski’s money line at -175 for a $57 payout per $100 wager. 
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Izagbe Ugonoh vs Mark Samociuk

Ugonoh is 2-2 as a professional boxer and has mixed success in MMA. He’s been knocked out three times in the last five years.

Samociuk has also been knocked out three times in three years.

Ugonoh is a slight favorite, but the ‘Fight Doesn’t go the Distance’ prop at -480 is a much better bet. The no decision prop pays out at $20.83, and is one of the better KSW 70 bets to put onto a parlay ticket. 
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Damian Piwowarczyk vs Bartosz Leśko

Piwowarczyk is a -230 in one of the more one sided bouts on the card. He’s undefeated across ten bouts with four finishes in his last four fights including a win over 7-0 Marc Doussis. Lesko is 11-2-2 and coming off a knockout loss. Bet Piwowarczyk money line at -230 for a $43.48 payout per $100 wager. 
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Albert Odzimkowski vs Tommy Quinn

Quin is a +400 underdog in spite of a 3-1 run over his last four. He hasn’t fought since 2019 and is coming out of retirement to face Odzimkowski, a fighter on a three fight losing streak. 

Judging from his fight tape, Quinn is underrated.

At +400 odds and four times your wager,  he’s our upset pick of the evening. 
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Lukasz vs Rajewski vs Francisco Barrio

Rajewski is coming off a loss that ended a three fight winning streak. He’s now facing 9-2 Croatian local champion, Barrio. Both fighters have good grappling and conditioning. On paper Rajewski is a strong favorite, but I see a long fight. We’re taking the Over 1.5 Rounds prop at -220, a $45.45 payout per $100 wagered. Both fighters have seen decisions in wins and losses against quality opponents, and many of their finishes have been over lower level or losing record fighters. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Jacob Clark / Author

Jacob Clark had a 15 year career as a professional MMA fighter, coach, and Greg Jackson’s alum. Now, TikTok’s 12th most important BJJ influencer is bringing his sports and betting knowledge to you here at TheSportsGeek. He spends his time cooking vietnamese food and playing D&D with his family. You can meet him at jiu-jitsu open mats all over Indiana.

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